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Sat TV Trends: 14th Aug 2021

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 13 of the last 17 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen the last 12 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in two decent handicaps.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

 

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.00 - MansionBet Bet £10 Get £20 Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

5 previous runnings
4/5 - Drawn stalls 3 or lower
4/5 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 - Placed in the top three last time out
4/5 - Rated between 83-88 (inc)
4/5 - Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
4/5 - Horse from stall 2 placed in the top 3
4/5 - Irish bred
4/5 - Had won over 1m4f or further before
3/5 - Had run at the track before
3/5 - Won by a jockey claiming an allowance
3/5 - Carried 8-8 or less in weight
2/5 - Winning favourites
2/5 - Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Mark Johnston won the race in 2019

 

 

2.35 – MansionBet Bet £10 Get £20 Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

17/18 – Failed to win last time out
15/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
14/18 – Aged 5 or older
14/18 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
13/18 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Had 3 or more career wins
12/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
1/18 – Winning favourites
My Style (4/1 fav) won the race in 2020
My Amigo (5/1) won the race in 2018
Case Key (8/1) won the race in 2017 and 2019

 

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 – Denford Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV4

16/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Finished in the first three last time out
16/19 – Had won a race before
15/19 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
14/19 – Won by a Feb or March foal
13/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Horses from stall 3 placed
10/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/19 – Won on their racecourse debut
4/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

2.20 – BetVictor Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV4

19/19 – Had won at least twice in their career
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
15/19 – Aged 3-5 years-old
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
13/19 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/19 – Officially rated 110 or higher
11/19 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
10/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Had already won a Group race
7/19 – Had won at Newbury before
Hukum (4/1) won the race in 2020
Technician (10/1) won the race in 2019

2.55 - BetVictor Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

10/10 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
9/10 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/10 - Won between 2-4 times before
8/10 - Had won over 7f or further before
7/10 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 - Rated between 90-96 (inc)
7/10 - Finished 5th or better last time out
7/10 - Carried between 9-1 and
7/10 - Had raced at Newbury before
5/10 - Irish bred
3/10 - Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 - Trained by William Haggas
2/10 - Ridden by Adam Kirby
1/10 - Winning favourites
1/10 - Won last time out
The last 2 winners came from stall 6

 

 

3.30 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4 

17/19 – Didn’t win last time out
17/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
16/19 – Had won over this 7f trip before
16/19 – Officially rated 108 or more
15/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/19 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
14/19 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
10/19 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/19 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
The last 12 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Dream Of Dreams (13/8 fav) won the race in 2020
Glorious Journey (10/3) won the race in 2019
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015

 

 

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

3.10 – William Hill Silver Trohpy Handicap (Consolation Race For The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes) Cl2 6f ITV4

8/8 – Previous winners over 6f
8/8 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
8/8 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
8/8 – Returned between 6/1 and 16/1
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/8 - Drawn 13 or higher
6/8 – Won between 3-4 times before
6/8 – Winning distance neck or shorter
5/8 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
5/8 – Rated between 87-93
2/8 – Has won at Ripon before
2/8 - Trained by Richard Fahey
0/8 – Winning favourites
Growl won the race in 2019
Quick Look won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star won the race in 2017

 

 

3.45 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

17/19 – Previous winners over 6f
15/19 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/19 – Didn’t win last time out
13/19 – Carried 8-12 or more
13/19 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/19  - Had run at Ripon before (4 won)
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
7/19 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/19 – Aged 4 years-old
6/19 – Winning favourites (5 in the last 8)
3/19 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
3/19 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 8)
1/19 – Aged 3 years-old
Staxton (4/1 fav) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (5/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Gunmetal won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
8 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 7 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 11.5/1