Tag Archive for: newmarket horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 25th June 2022

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh - Here at Geegez, we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle - use these trends to help find the best profiles of previous winners.

Did you know? 16 of the last 20 Northumberland Plate winners came from stalls 14 or lower and were aged 6 or younger.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)

2.05 – Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies’ Stakes Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

18/19 – Never raced at the track before
16/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
15/19 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
12/19 – Came from stall 5 or lower
11/19 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
11/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
4 of the last 8 winners came from stall 5
7 of the last 11 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.40 - House Of Cavani Menswear Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

10/11 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/11 - Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 - Won 3 or more times
8/11 - Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
8/11 - Placed favourites
8/11 - Rated 100+
5/11 - Had run at the track before
4/11 - Winning favourites
3/11 - Ran at York last time out
3/11 - Trained by David Simcock
2/11 - Ridden by William Buick
Universal Order won this race in 2020
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.15 – House Of Cavani Menswear Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

18/20 – Won over 7f before
18/20 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
17/20 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/20 – Aged 5 or younger
12/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/20 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/20 – Came from stall 3 or lower
9/20 – Unplaced favourites
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 11 runnings)
2/20 - Trained by Henry Candy (2 of last 3 runnings)
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – Pertemps Network Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 6f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
5/5 - Had won over 6f before
5/5 - Won between 2-5 times
5/5 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
4/5 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
4/5 - Drawn in stalls 10 or higher
4/5 - Placed favourites
4/5 - Rated between 96 and 99 (inc)
3/5 - Unplaced last time out
3/5 - Had run at the track before
2/5 - Came from stalls 10
1/5 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 9/1


2.25 – Pertemps Network
Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

19/20 – Had won over 6f before
18/20 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/20 – Unplaced last time out
15/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Yet to win a Group race
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Aged 5 or older
8/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/20 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
Judicial (9/1) won the race in 2020
12 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

2.55 - Jenningsbet Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
6/6 – Ran in the last 2 months
6/6 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
5/6 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
5/6 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 - Aged 4 years-old
3/6 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
3/6 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
3/6 - Winning favourites
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 8/1

3.30 – Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

19/20  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
19/20 – Finished fifth or better last time out
16/20 – Came from stall 14 or lower
16/20 – Aged 6 or younger
16/20 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
15/20 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
12/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/20 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
7/20 – Won by a National Hunt yard
6/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/20 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 14 winners)
2/20 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/20 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 7)
1/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13.5/1
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Five of the last 16 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Ten winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 4 of the last 10
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th May 2022

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from NewmarketAs always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.35 – BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

15/17 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
13/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Drawn in stall 3
3/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2

2.10 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

17/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/18 – Drawn 4 or lower
13/18 – Had run at Newbury before
13/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
12/18 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/18 – Irish bred
10/18 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/18 – Aged 4 years-old
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/18 – Won last time out
3 of the last 13 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 10/3

2.45 - BetVictor London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

17/18 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Carried 8-10 or more
14/18 – Rated 90 or lower
14/18 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
14/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.20 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Won over a mile before
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/18 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
14/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won a Group One race before
13/18 – Aged 4 years-old
13/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/18 – Winning favourites
10/18 – Having their first run of the season
10/18 – Unplaced last time out
5/18 – Godolphin owned
4/18 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/18 – Won by a mare
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/18 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/18 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 10/3
 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 – Denbury Homes Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

15/15 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/15 – Had won over 1m or further before
12/15 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Draw 1,2 or 3
9/15 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
9/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – US-bred winners
4/15 – Godolphin-owned winners
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained John Gosden
3/15 - Trained by Charlie Appleby
4/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
4/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.25 – TRU7 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

18/18 – Had won between 1-3 times before
15/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/18 – Had won over 6f before
14/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
12/18 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/18 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/18 – Rated between 91-96
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Won by a mare/filly
3/18 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-8
9 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2

 

3.00 - Birketts LLP Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

5/5 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
5/5 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
5/5 - Won over at least 7f before
5/5 - Rated between 85-91
5/5 - Won 2+ times before
5/5 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
4/5 - Placed favourites
4/5 - Didn’t win last time out
2/5 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/5 - Ridden by William Buick
1/5 - Winning favourites

 

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1000 Guineas Trends 2023

First run back in 1814, the 1,000 Guineas is a Group One flat race run over 1m just for 3 year-old fillies. The contest is one of the five English Classics and staged at Newmarket racecourse in late April or early May each year.

It’s the second of the five English Classics with the 2,000 Guineas run the day before being the first, while winners of this race often go onto run well in that year’s Epsom Oaks the following month – the last horses to land both races in the same season was Kazzia in 2002 and Minding in 2016.

The 2022 1000 Guineas was won by Cachet and trained by George Boughey.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take into the 2023 renewal – run on Sunday 7th May

1000 Guineas Key Stat - 19 of the last 21 1,000 Guineas winners finished in the top three last time out?

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Recent 1,000 Guineas Winners

2022 - Cachet (16/1)
2021 - Mother Earth (10/1)
2020 - Love (4/1)
2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
2018 - Billesdon Brook (66/1)
2017 - Winter (9/1)
2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
2014 – Miss France (7/1)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
2012 - Homecoming Queen (25/1)
2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
2004 – Attraction (11/2)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
2002 – Kazzia (14/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

1,000 Guineas Betting Trends

19/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/21 – Had won between 2-3 times before
16/21 – Had won a Group race before
15/21 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
14/21 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Won their previous race
12/21 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price
10/21 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/21 – Favourites unplaced
9/21 – Irish-trained winners
8/21 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/21 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/21 – Previous Group One winners
4/21 – Won by a US bred horse
4/21 – Won by the favourite
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – French-trained winners
3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
11 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12.5/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th April 2022

It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - My Odds Boost On Betfair Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV

8/9 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/9 - Won 3+ times before
8/9 - Had won over 6f before
7/9 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
7/9 - Didn’t win last time out
6/9 - Rated 100+
6/9 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/9 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/9 - Returned 8/1 or bigger
5/9 - Unplaced favourites
3/9 - Winning favourites
2/9 - Richard Fahey
0/9 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – Betfair Daily Rewards Suffolk Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV

15/16 – Had won at least twice before
15/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
14/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
13/16 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/16 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Having their first run of the season
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 13 runnings

3.00 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

17/19 – Had won over 5f before
17/19 – Won 3 or more times before
16/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
16/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/19 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Aged 5 or younger
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/19 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
8 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

20/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
18/20 – Had won a Group race before
18/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before
16/20 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
16/20 – Won last time out
15/20 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/20 – Having their first run of the season
13/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Won by an Irish-based yard
11/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/20 – Had won over a mile before
7/20 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/20 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/20 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/20 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – William Hill Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Yet to race at the track
8/10 – Won 2 or more times before
7/10 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
8/10 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/10 – Won over a mile before
4/10 – Winners from stall 1
3/10 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Fitzdares Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
9/10 – Won at least twice before
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won over at least 1m before
8/10 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Won between 2-4 times
6/10 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/10 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/10 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing TV Trends | Wednesday 13th April 2022

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday 12th and Wednesday 13th April 2022.

Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/Racing TV)

Wednesday 13th April 2022

1.50 – bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) - 6f (Row)

15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/15 – Came from stall 8 or lower
13/15 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
11/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/15 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
11/15 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
11/15 – Had won just once before
9/15 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8
9/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1
Trainer George Boughey has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo) - 1m (Row)

13/13 – Having their debut runs
11/13 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
9/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
1/13 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

3.00 – Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+) 6f (Row)

14/15 – Won over 6f before
14/15 – Aged 4 or older
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Rated between 106 and 114
11/15 – Had run at Newmarket before
11/15 – Won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Ran 5 months or more ago
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Winning favourites (just 2 in the last 10)
4/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Won by the Hills stable
2/15 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The last 10 winners were aged between 4-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
 

3.35 - bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo) 1m (Row)

16/18 – Having their first run of the season
15/18 – Rated 110 or higher
14/18 – Yet to win over a mile
14/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
13/18 – Had won over 7f before
13/18 – Had won no more than twice before
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
7/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 of the last 11)
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 - Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 3)
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
1/18 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or less
4 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 9/2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing TV Trends | Tuesday 12th April 2022

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday 12th and Wednesday 13th April 2022.

Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/Racing TV)

Tuesday 12th April 2022

1.50 – Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4 6f (Row)

Just 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
4/5 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
4/5 - Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
3/5 - aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer Michael Dods has a 38% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Amanda Perrett won the 2020 running
Trainer Roger Varian won the 2019 running
Trainer Ed Walker won the 2018 running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running

2.25 – bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4 7f (Row)

15/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/15 – Rated between 101 and 108
14/15 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
14/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
12/15 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
11/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/15 – Yet to win over 7f
7/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won by the Hills stable
4/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/15 - Trained by Andrew Balding (last two runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

3.00 – bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (4yo+) ITV4 1m1f (Row)

14/14 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
13/14 – Favourites placed in the top three
12/14 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
11/14 – Had raced at the track before (5 won)
10/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won at least 3 times in the past
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
7/14 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
7/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

3.35 - Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4 7f (Row)

17/18 – Were having their first run of the season
15/18 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
9/18 – Had won over 7f before
9/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 5)
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
1/18 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1
Trainer George Boughey has a 33% (2 from 6) record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

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Sat TV Trends: 9th Oct 2021

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 9th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 15 of the last 19 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
13/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Won no more than twice before
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
6/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 6

 

2.20 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

15/16 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/16 – Had raced at least twice before
13/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Won between 1-2 times before
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Godolphin winners
3/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O'Brien has NEVER won the race

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

2.55 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

19/19 – Raced at least 3 times that season
17/19 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
17/19 – Placed in their last race
14/19 – Won over 7f previously
14/19 – Favourites placed
13/19 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/19 – Won their last race
13/19 – Won a Group race previously
12/19 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (8) last time out
12/19 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/19 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
6/19 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/19 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/19 – Trained by Jim Bolger
6/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
5/19 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/19 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/19 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
1/19 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 11 of the last 15 runnings
3 of the last 11 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 4 of the last 6 winners

 

3.35 – Together For Racing International Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

18/19 – Aged 4 or older
15/19 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
15/19 – Had run within the last 2 months
15/19 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/19 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/19 – Aged 5 or older
12/19 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/19 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/19 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
10/19 – Had run at the track before
10/19 – Won by a NH trainer
9/19 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/19 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/19 – Winning mares
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Winners from stall 1
3/19 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins (last 3 winners)
3/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 21/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.02 - Coral Beaten-By-A-Length Free Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

18/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
15/18 – Foaled in March or later
15/18 – Had 4 or more runs that season
14/18 – Had never raced at York before
13/18 – Had won over 6f before
12/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Unplaced last time out
8/18 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Winners from stall 2
4/18 – Filly winners
3/18 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/18 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/18 – Ridden by David Allen
The  horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 11 runnings

 

2.37 – Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Rated between 95-103
7/8 -  Returned 10/1 or shorter
7/8 – Won over at least 1m2f before
6/8  - Aged 3 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
5/8 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
4/8 – Had run at the track before
4/8 – Ridden by Franny Norton (2) or Adam Kirby (2)
4/7 – Irish bred
1/8 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 5 winners came from stall 8

 

3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
18/18 – Had won at least 3 races before
17/18 – Had run at York before
17/18 – Had won a race over 6f before
16/18 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
9/18 – Rated between 92 and 98
9/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 - Trained by David O'Meara
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 4 winners)
2/18 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/18 – Filly or mare winners
4 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Gulliver (16/1) won the race in 2019 and 2020
Major Jumbo (12/1) won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th Sept 2021

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)

 

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

19/19 – Had won one or two races before
18/19 – Had won over 7f or further before
18/19 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
17/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/19 - Either US or Irish bred
13/19 – Had only won over 7f before
12/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 6 times
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

19/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/19 – Had won over 6f before
17/19 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
17/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/19 – Had 3 or more previous runs
15/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
13/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Won last time out
11/19 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
10/19 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/19 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/19 – Winners drawn in stall 6
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 5 runnings)
2/19 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/19 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/19 – Trained by Brian Meehan
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/18 – Won over 6f previously
17/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/18 – Won their last race
16/18 – Won at least twice previously
15/18 – Had run 3 or more times previously
15/18 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
14/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
14/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
6/18 – Ran at Deauville last time out
6/18 – Favourites that won
5/18 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/18 - Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 - Trained by Mark Johnston
1/18 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Won 3 or more times in their career
16/19 – Carried 9-5 or less
15/19 – Won from a double-figure stall
14/19 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/19 – Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/19 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/19 – Rated between 90-100
13/19 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Won their last race
2/19 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 - Trained by Marcus Tregoning
The last 6 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
13 of the last 15 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 21/1


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
9/14 – Irish bred winners
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
11/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/14 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Rated between 92-96
8/14 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
Dakota Gold won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 8th July 2021)

The three-day 2021 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (8th July) and runs till Saturday (10th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV3

19/19 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
16/19 – Failed to win last time out
16/19 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
12/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
12/19 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
11/19 – Favourites placed in the top three
11/19 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/19 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 10 runnings)
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Winners that came from stall 1

 

 

2.25 – Tattersalls July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV3

18/19 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
17/19 – Placed in their last run
16/19 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
15/19 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
11/19 – Won their last race
11/19 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
10/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/19 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 5 winners in the race

 

 

3.00 – Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV3

15/15 – Had won no more than 3 times before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
12/15 – Carried 8-12 or less
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
4/15 – Ridden by David Probert
0/15 – Winning favourites
Pass The Vino (25/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Tattersalls Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

17/19 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 11 of last 14)
17/19 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
15/19 – Had 2 or more runs that season
15/19 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
13/19 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
13/19 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that were placed
9/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/19 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Communique (11/1) won the race in 2019 and was second in 2020

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st May 2021

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk.

As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – ‘My Oddsboost’ On Betfair Suffolk Stakes Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
13/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/15 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Irish bred
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings

 

2.20 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

16/18 – Had won over 5f before
16/18 – Won 3 or more times before
15/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/18 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Far Above won the race in 2020 (run in June)
Mabs Cross won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
14/17 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Rated 112 or higher
9/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Having their first run of the season
6/17 – Aged 5 years-old
6/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Andre Fabre

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Had won a Group race before
17/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
15/19 – Won last time out
14/19 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/19 – Having their first run of the season
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/19 – Had won over a mile before
7/19 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/19 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/19 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/9 – Yet to race at the track
8/9 – Won 2 or more times before
7/9 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/9 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 4 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/9 – Won over a mile before
4/9 – Winners from stall 1
3/9 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Cliff Stud Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
9/9 – Won at least twice before
9/9 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
8/9 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Won over at least 1m before
7/9 – Unplaced last time out
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times
6/9 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/9 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/9 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Aug 2020

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in seven races across the three venues.

We’ve four competitive handicaps at Ascot, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

1:50 - ITV Home Of Terrestial Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

 

No previous runnings
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is only 3 from 85 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 0 from 17 (0%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2:25 - Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is only 1 from 30 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor is only 1 from 35 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:00 - Thames Hospice Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe is 0 from 15 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:35 - Virginia Water Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is only 1 from 40 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

2:05 - BetVictor British EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

 

9/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/9 – Won between 1-3 times
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Rated between 94-100
6/9 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/9 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
5/9 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
3/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/9 – Winning favourites
Miss O’Connor (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

2:40 - BetVictor Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

 

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/17 – Yet to run at Haydock
14/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
13/17 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/17 – Won over 1m2f or further
13/17 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/17 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
12/17 – Won 3 or more times during their career
11/17 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/17 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Finished unplaced in their last race
5/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/17 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Addeybb (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

3:20 - Betway Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

 

16/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
15/17 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/17 – Won just once previously
12/17 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/17 – Yet to win over 7f
8/17 –  Favourites that won
7/17 – Had just one previous run
5/17 – Won by Godolphin
3/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
West End Girl (11/2) won the race in 2019
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
4 of the last 13 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th July 2020

Plenty going on again this Saturday with a monster NINE LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting, with the Group One Darly July Stakes, plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve four more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

16/18 – Had won over 7f or further previously
14/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
14/18 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/18 – Unplaced in their last race
9/18 – Favourites unplaced
8/18 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
3/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Winning Favourites
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The Richard Hannon yard has won 3 of the last 7
Motakhayyel (5/1) won the race in 2019

2.25 British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

10/10 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/10 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
7/10  - Had won over at least 7f before
7/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Drawn in stalls 10 or 13 (2 each)
4/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

3.00 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

17/18 – Won over at least 6f previously
16/18 – Placed in their last race
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
13/18 – Won their latest race
12/18 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/18 – Won by either a March or April foal
9/18 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
8/18 – Favourites unplaced
6/18 – Winning Favourites
4/18 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/18 – Winners from stall 3
5/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
Mystery Power (7/1) won the race in 2019

3.35 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011      Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010      Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009      Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008      Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007      Sakhee's Secret                (9/2)
2006      Les Arcs (10/1)
2005      Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004      Frizzante (14/1)
2003      Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002      Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/18 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
13/18 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
10/18 – Placed last time out
9/18 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained the last 2 winners)
2/18 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/18 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

 

4.10 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

17/18 – Won over 7f previously
17/18 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/18 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
11/18 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
9/18 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
9/18 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/18 – Placed in their last race
4/18 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Vale Of Kent (13/2) won the race in 2019

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 – Betfred “Ascot Official Bookmaker* Fillies Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Won over at least 7f before
7/7 – Never ran at the course before
7/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/7 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/7 – Aged 3 years-old
6/7 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
5/7 – Favourites placed
3/7 – Trained by William Haggas
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

2.40 – ‘Play Nifty Fifty Exclusively At Betfred’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV

7/7 – Drawn in between stalls 3-7 (inc)
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
7/7 – Won between 0-3 times
7/7 – Had run in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Favourites placed in the first two
5/7 – Drawn in stalls 4 or 6
5/7 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
5/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/7 – Had run at Ascot before
2/7 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/7 – Godolphin-owned
2/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

 

3.15 – Betfred Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

13/13 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/13 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
8/13 – Previous Group race winner
8/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Had won a Group 1 before
10 of the last 11 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

3.50 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had won between 2-6 times
6/7 – Had won over 5f before
6/7 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
6/7 – Carried 8-10 or more
6/7 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
4/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Came from a double-figure stall
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

 

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Sunday TV Trends: 28th June 2020

This Sunday (28th June 2020) there is more LIVE ITV horse racing to enjoy with seven races spread across both Windsor and Newmarket.

We’ve got the key trends and stats for each race, plus our FREE TIPS. Use these key trends to whittle down the runners and find the best past winning profiles.

 

Windsor Horse Racing Trends (Sky/ITV4)

 

2:25 - Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

14/15 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Drawn in stall 3
3/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

Note: This race is normally staged at Newbury

 

3:00 - Midsummer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

 10/10 – Returned 8/1 or less in the betting
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Ran at Newmarket (3), Ascot (4) or York (2) last time out
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Rated between 102 and 110
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
7/10 – Drawn 4 or lower
7/10 – Won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Had run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

3:35 - attheraces.com Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m ITV4

 No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 36% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 2 from 27 (7%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 29% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris has only a 4% record riding 3 year—olds a the track

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

2:45 - Betway Empress Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV4

18/18 – Never raced at the track before
16/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
13/18 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
10/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/18 – Came from stall 5 or lower
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

3:20 - Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 16% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

3:55 - Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey David Egan is only 1 from 35 (3%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

4:30 - Betway Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV4

18/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
14/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
11/18 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Won by the Kremlin House stable (Roger Varian)
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

 

 

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