Tag Archive for: newbury horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 18th April 2026

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The ITV horse racing cameras are at Newbury as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Dubai Duty Free Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track on ITV, including the Greenham Stakes and, like always, we’ve got these LIVE Newbury races covered from a trends and stats angle – fingers crossed they will point you in the direction of a few winners.

While it’s also Scottish Grand National Day up at Ayr – a race trainer Willie Mullins has won for the last two seasons.

The ITV horse racing cameras are at the Scottish track to take in five races live and four at Newbury.  Meaning we've NINE live ITV races on Saturday.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1:25 – Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

20/22 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
19/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
19/22 – Having their first run of the season
18/22 – Had won between 1-2 times before
17/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/22 – Drawn 5 or higher
12/22 – Had won over 7f before
10/22 – Won last time out
10/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/22 – Had won at Newbury before
8/22 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 10)
4/22 – Trained by the Channon yard
2/22 – Trained by the Hannon stable
Hollie Doyle has ridden the last 2 winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2:00 – Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

20/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
20/22 – Having their first run of the season
17/22 – Won at Listed class or better before
16/22 – Won between 2-4 times before
16/22 – Placed favourites
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/22 – Had won a Group race before
11/22 – Had won over 7f before
10/22 – Won last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/22 – Had won a race at Newbury before
6/22 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/22 – Irish-trained
2/22 – Winners from stall 1
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 11 winners
3 of the last 11 from stall 8
Aidan O’Brien has never won the race
8 of the last 12 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2:35 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
20/22 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won between 2-5 times before
20/22 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
19/22 – Having their first run of the season
18/22 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/22– Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
15/22 – Had raced at Newbury before
12/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Had won a Group race before
7/22 – Raced at Newbury last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trainer by William Haggas (3 of the last 13)
2/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 11)
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden
2/22 – Won by the Johnston yard
Jockey Jim Crowley (3) and Ryan Moore (2) have won 5 of the last 11
10 of the last 13 winners drawn in stalls 4 or lower (inc last 7)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 6/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

3:10 – OLBG Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

22/22 – Won no more than 4 times before (flat)
21/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
19/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
19/22 – Won between 2-4 times before (flat)
18/22 – Won over at least 1m before
17/22 – Rated between 85-98
16/22 – Unplaced last time out
14/22 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
12/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
12/22 – Had run at Newbury before
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 11)
3/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint) (1 in the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 12)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 11)
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 6)
1/22 – Won last time out
7 of the last 11 carried 9-1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Ebt’s Guard (25/1) won the race in 2025
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.10 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m 1/2f RTV

21/21 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
19/21 – Aged 9 or younger
19/21 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/21 – Rated between 127-139
14/21 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Finished in the top four last time out
12/21 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
12/21 – Had run at Ayr before
11/21 – French bred
11/21 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
4/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/21– Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 8 years)
7 of the last 8 winners carried 11-1 or more
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Jockey Danny McMenamin has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The Other Mozzie (6/1) won this in 2025

1:45 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV

14/14 – No more than 3 chase wins
13/14 – Aged 9 or younger
13/14 – French (5) or Irish (8) bred
12/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/14 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
9/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Had run at the track before
3/14 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 11 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
6 of the last 11 winners aged 7
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11st 8lbs or more
7 of the last 9 winners aged 7 or 8
Trainer Dan Skelton has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer Alan King has won 2 of the last 8
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2:20 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

22/22 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
19/22 – Aged 7 or younger
18/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
18/22 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
17/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Carried 10-13 or less
16/22 – Rated 135 or higher
13/22 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
13/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Irish bred
6/22 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/22 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Paul Nicholls has won the race 3 times
Cracking Rhapsody (10/1) won the race last season
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2:55 – UK Greentech Seafield Trophy Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 3m 1/2f

12/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles)
11/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles
9/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/12 – Aged 6 years-old
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Had run at Ayr before (2 winners)
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 11 winners aged 6 years-old
10 of the last 11 winners aged between 6-8
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

3:35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

22/22 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
19/22 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
18/22 - Came from a different stable that's won the race
18/22 - Carried 11-1 or less
18/22 – Aged 8 or older
18/22 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
17/22 – French or Irish bred
15/22 – Finished in the first three last time out
15/22 – Had won over 3m or further
15/22 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
14/22 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
14/22 – Carried 10-9 or less
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/22 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
8/22– Won last time out
7/22 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/22 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/22 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
3/22 – Winning favourites (or joint)
2/22 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/22 – Trained by Christian Williams (2 of the last 4 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (Last 2 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 9 winners)
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
The last outright winning favourite was in 1999 (Young Kenny, 1999)
2 of the last 13 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 3 times
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12.5/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st March 2026

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This Saturday the ITV Racing action comes from Kelso, Newbury and Bangor – with jumping all the way.

There are TEN live ITV races spread out over the three venues – where you can use our key trends and stats to help whittle down the runners.

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

1:15 – Castle Windows Newbury Anniversary Novices’ Hurdle

(GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV4

8/9 – Aged 5 or 6
6/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time
6/9 – Won just once over hurdles
5/9 - Irish bred
5/9 – Winning favourites
Chris Gordon has trained 2 of the last 5 winners
3 of the last 4 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

1:50 – BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

5 previous runs
5/5 – Aged between 4-6
4/5 – Carried 10-10+
4/5 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Won with exactly 11-11
1/5 – Winning favourite
Tim Vaughan won the race in 2025
Trainer SRB Crawford won the race in 2024
Trainer Tom Lacey won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Philips Hobbs & Johnson White have a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil King has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track

2:25 – BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged 7 or older
10/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Favourites finished first or second
8/11 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
8/11 - Won no more than 3 times over fences
7/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/11 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
6/11 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 8)
2/11 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 3)
Harry Sketon has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Heltenham won the race in 2024 and 2023

3:00 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

11/13 - Carried 11-3 or less in weight
11/13- Won 1-2 times before
10/13 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/13 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
9/13 - Had not run at Newbury before
9/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/13 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/13 - Placed favourites
7/13 - Irish bred winners
6/13 - Aged 5 years-old
6/13 - Ran at Doncaster (4) or Exeter (2) last time out
5/13 - Won last time out
5/13 - winning favourites
2/13 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

3:35 – Goffs Hundred Grand Bumper (An Open National Hunt Flat Race) (GBB Race) Cl2 (4-5 yo) 2m 1/2f ITV4

6/6 – Aged 4 or 5
6/6 – Returned 17/2 or shorter
5/6 – Carried 11st or more
3/6 – Trained by Harry Fry
3/6 – Winning favourites
Trainer Anthony Honeyball has a 21% SR with his NH Flat runners here and also won this race in 2023

Kelso Horse Racing Trends

1:00 – BetWright Beeswing Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

Just 1 previous running
2025: Lavida Adiva (Ruth Jefferson)
Trainer Nicky Richards is 14-70 (20%) hurdlers at the track

1:30 – BetWright Handicap Hurdle (Go North Cab On Target Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

Just 3 past runnings
No winning favourite
Trainers Lucinda Russell, Susan Corbett and Sue Smith have won this race before
All 3 winners carried 10-5 to 10-13
All 3 winners aged 6-8
2 of the last 3 winners aged 8
2/3 winners ridden by a conditional jockey
Starlyte won the race in 2025
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 44% SR with their hurdlers at Kelso

2:10 – BetWright Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

3 previous running
Trainer Fergal O’Brien won the race in 2023 and 2024
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022
2 of the last 3 winning favourites
All 3 winners aged between 5-6 years-old
2 of the last 3 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
All 3 winners carried 10-10+
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill and AJ O’Neill are 3-9 (33%) with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track

2:40 – BetWright Novices’ Handicap Chase (Go North Forgive ‘N Forget Series Final) (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

No past runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 40% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore have a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ewan Whillans is only 1-28 (4%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Tristan Durrell is 3-6 (50%) over fence at this track

Bangor Horse Racing Trends

3:20 – Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 3 1/2f ITV4

Just 3 past runnings
All 3 winners aged 7
All 3 winners carried 10-13 to 11-3
All 3 winners 9/2 or shorter
2/3 winners fav (or joint fav)
The Four Sixes won this race last season
Both winners carried between 10-13 and 11-3
Trainer Olly Murphy won the race in 2025
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2024
Trainer Donald McCain won the race in 2023
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel and Willie Twiston-Davies have a 67% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th Aug 2025

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We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 17 of the last 23 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 14 of the last 16 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV4

21/22 – Didn’t win last time out
19/22 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
18/22 – Had won over 6f before
18/22 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
16/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Had 3 or more career wins
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/22 – Unplaced favourites
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 8)
The last 10 winners aged 3-6 years-old
4 of the last 7 winners from stalls 4 or lower
6 of the last 9 winners between stalls 4-9
Archduke Ferdinand won this race last season
Silver Samurai won this race in 2023
Strike won the race in 2022 2nd in 2024 and 6th in 2023

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:50 – Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV4

23/23 – Had won at least twice in their career
20/23 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
18/23 – Aged 3-5 years-old
18/23 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/23 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
15/23 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/23 – Winning favourites
13/23 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
11/23 – Had already won a Group race
10/23 – Had won at Newbury before
9 of the last 10 winners from stalls 2-6
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 2
Jim Crowley has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners

2:25 – BetVictor Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV4

Two previous running
Faustus (16/1) won the race in 2024
The Cook/Bridger and Channon yards have won this race before
No winning favourite yet
Both winners from stalls 2-4
Trainer Andrew Balding have an 18% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has just a 6% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is just 1-26 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley has a 23% riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – TPT Fire Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

13/14 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
13/14 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/14 - Had won over 7f or further before
10/14 - Won between 2-4 times before
10/14 - Rated between 90-98 (inc)
9/14 - Finished 5th or better last time out
9/14 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
8/14 - Had raced at Newbury before
7/14 - Irish bred
5/14 - Ran at Ascot last time out
2/14 - Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 5)
2/14 - Winning favourites
2/14 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 6
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
Documenting (7/2) won the race in 2022 and 3rd in 2024

3.35 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4

21/23 – Didn’t win last time out
19/23 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/23 – Had won over this 7f trip before
19/23 – Officially rated 108 or more
18/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
17/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
13/23 – Had run at Newbury before (5 won)
9/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 10)
14 of the last 16 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)

2:45 William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV4

One two runnings
Trainers Paul Midgley and Nigel Tinker have won this race before
Both winners from stalls 10-12
No winning favourite yet
Both winners carried between 9-11 and 9-12
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 1-from-49 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3:20 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

20/23 – Previous winners over 6f
17/23 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
17/23 – Didn’t win last time out
16/23– Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/23 – Carried 8-11 or more
14/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
13/23 - Had run at Ripon before (5 won)
13/23 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
12/23 – Unplaced favourites
10/23 – Ran at either Goodwood (7) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/23 – Aged 4 years-old
7/23 – Winning favourites (6 in the last 12)
3/23 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 14)
3/23 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/23 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of last 12)
2/23 – Aged 3 years-old
3 of the last 6 winners ran in the race the previous year
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
8 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 8 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

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Sat TV Trends: 19th July 2025

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This Saturday (19th July 2025) we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Market Rasen over the sticks it’s their biggest day of the season with the Unibet Summer Plate Chase (3.12) and Unibet Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.40) the feature contests.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (2.57) tops the bill - a race 16 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or younger.

While the Irish Oaks (3.40)  at the Curragh is another big race on the day - a contest trainer Aidan O’Brien has another strong hand in as he looks for win number eight

Like all big race days, we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

1.50 - BetVictor Steventon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

15/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
14/20 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
13/20 – Placed favourites
11/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/20 – Had run at the track before
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Had won a Group race before
7/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/20 – Winners from stall 1
3/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3
Godolphin have won 5 of the last 15 runnings (2/9 Charlie Appleby)

2.25 – Back The Super Boost At BetVictor Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

Just 7 previous runnings
6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/7 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
3/7 – Aged 6 years-old
2/7 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/7 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 5)
2/7 – Winning favourites

2.57 – Hallgarten and Novum Wines Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

20/21 – Won over 6f before
17/21 – Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won 4 or more times before
14/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Winning favourites
9/21 – Had won a Group race before
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/21 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (4 of the last 10)
4/21 – Winners from stall 8
2/21 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 10)
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of the last 5)
Trainer James Fanshawe has won the race 3 times (1990 ,2011, 2016)
11 of the last 14 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Elite Status (5/2 fav) won the race in 2024

3.30 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

19/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/21 – Had won over 5f before
17/21 – Won 1-2 times before
14/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/21 – Favourites placed in the top 4
13/21 – Won by a Feb or March foal
12/21 – Irish bred winners
10/21 – Won by a filly
10/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/21 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
6/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Winners from stall 1
Last 10 winners drawn 10+
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018, 2020 & 2021
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Unibet Moneyback As Cash Races Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m4 1/2f ITV

Only 1 past running
Trainer Peter and Micky Bowen won this race in 2024
Trainer Mikey Bowen is 4-4 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 28% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 24% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Mike Sowersby is just 2-63 with his hurdlers at the track

2.40 – Unibet Same Race Multi Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

20/23 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
16/23 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
16/23 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
16/23 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
12/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/23 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/23 -Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 5)
15 of the last 18 winners carried 11-5 or less
12 of the last 19 winners carried 11-0 or less
4 of the last 13 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
10 of the last 19 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 10 winners aged 5-8
7 of the last 10 winners aged 6-8
Castel Gandolfo (11/1) won the race in 2024

 

3.12 – Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV

22/23 – Had run within the last 3 months
21/23 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
19/23 – Aged 7 or older
17/23 – Had won 2 or more chases before
16/23 – Had run at Market Rasen before
15/23 – Carried 10-13 or less
15/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/23 – Won their previous race
9/23 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
7/23 – Trained by the Bowen yard (8 wins in total)
4/23 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 14)
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/23 – Ridden by James Bowen (2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/23 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (last 2)
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
13 of the last 16 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Sure Touch (14/1) won the race in 2024

Curragh Horse Racing Trends

3.40 – Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (3yo) 1m4f RTV

20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
19/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/22 – Won last time out
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Won over 1m4f before
10/22 – Irish-trained winners
10/22 – Ran in the Epsom Oaks last time out
10/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Winning distance, 3 lengths or more
7/22 – Had won a Group One before
7/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 9)
6/22 – Won the Epsom Oaks last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 4)
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 8)

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Sat TV Trends: 17th May 2025

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After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

12.50 – Sky Sports Racing Aston Park Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

20/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/21 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/21 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
15/21 – Drawn 4 or lower
14/21 – Had run at Newbury before
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/21 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/21 – Irish bred
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
3 of the last 16 winners were Godolphin-owned

1.25 – Highclere Castle Gin Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

18/20 – Had won over 6f before
17/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
16/20 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
15/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Drawn in stall 3
3/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 10)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

2.00 – Trade Nation London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

20/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
18/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/21 – Carried 8-10 or more
16/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/21 – Rated 90 or lower
15/21 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
15/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/21 – Won last time out
9/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/21 – Irish bred
7/21 – Raced at Newbury before (3 won here)
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 10)
5/21 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/21 – Trained by Mark Johnston

2.35 - Boylesports Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

20/21 – Won over a mile before
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had won a Group One race before
16/21 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/21 – Aged 4 years-old
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Winning favourites
12/21 – Having their first run of the season
11/21 – Unplaced last time out
6/21 – Godolphin owned (9 in total)
5/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/21 – Won by a mare
4/21 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
1/21 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.05 – Read Megan Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV

8/8 - Won over at least 7f before
8/8 - Won 2+ times before
8/8 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
7/8 - Placed favourites
7/8 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
6/8 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/8 - Didn’t win last time out
5/8 - Rated between 85-91
4/8 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
2/8 - Ridden by William Buick
2/8 - Winning favourites

1.40 – JCB Handicap Handicap (Class 4) (3yo 0-85) 7f ITV

Just two previous runs
Trainers John Gosden and Clive Cox have won the race before
Both winners between stalls 4-5
The Charlie Johnston yard are 0-29 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Cieren Fallon is just 2-32 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ray Dawson is just 1-20 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 0-16 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.15 – Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-85) ITV

11/11 – Won over 1m (or further) before
10/11 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Unplaced last time out
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/11 – Drawn 7 or lower
7/11 – Rated between 80-89
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
3/11– Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/11– Favourites

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Saturday TV Trends: 28th Dec 2024

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The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 28th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

Plus they are also taking in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown with Gold Cup favourite Fact To File taking on last year's winner Galopin Des Champs.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV) 

1.45 – Coral Racing Club Join For Free Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

10/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
9/11 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Had raced at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
Rambo T (2/1 fav) won the race in 2023

2.20 - Coral Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
11/13 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
10/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
8/13 – Had raced at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Winning favourites
Surrey Quest (7/2) won the race in 2023

2.55 - Coral Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

18/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
18/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
13/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/18 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/18 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 8)
10/18 – Aged 5 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 4 winners)
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

3.35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The Post’ And Win Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

Just 4 past runnings
No winning favourite
4/4 – Aged 6 or 7
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
3/4 – Aged 6 years-old
2/4 – Ridden by a claimer
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 1-from-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV /ITV4)

2:35 - Savills Chase (Grade 1) 3m 1/2f ITV4

22/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
22/23 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
19/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/23 – Won by an Irish bred horse
18/23 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
11/23 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/23 – Won by a UK-based stable
8/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Won last time out
4/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Ridden by Jack Kennedy (3 of the last 8)
3/22 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
Trainers Gordon Elliott (4) and Willie Mullins (3) have won 7 of the last 9 runnings

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th March 2023

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A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Kelso to take in four races, plus they are also at Newbury to take in three more jumps races. While ITV racing are also covering the lucrative Dubai World Cup for the first time.

As always, here at GeeGeez are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 - Play Pick 6 At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

2 previous run
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 19% record with his hurdlers at the track

2:05 – Get A Run For Your Money At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

8/8 – Aged 7 or older
7/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Favourites finished first or second
6/8 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
6/8  - Won no more than 3 times over fences
5/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
3/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Winning favourites

 

2:40 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

9/10 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
8/10 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 - Won 1-2 times before
8/10 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/10 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
7/10 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/10 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/10 - Placed favourites
6/10 - Irish bred winners
5/10 - Aged 5 years-old
5/10 - Ran at Doncaster (3) or Exeter (2) last time out
4/10 - Won last time out
4/10 - winning favourites
2/10 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
2/10 – Trained by Noel Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV4)

1:50 – BetVictor Go North Cab On Target Target Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

Just 1 past running
Trainer Sandy Thomson has a 19% record their chasers at the track
Trainer Mike Smith has just a 3% (1-33) with his chasers at the track

2:25 – Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV4

8/8 – Aged between 7-10 years-old
8/8 – Won between 2-5 times over hurdles
8/8 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/8 – Favourites placed in top 3
6/8  - Irish (4) or French (2) bred
6/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 Had run at Kelso before
4/8 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/8 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

3:00 – BetVictor Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m

1 previous running
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race last year
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 36% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track

3:35 – Make Your Best Bet At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV4

6/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/7 – Had won over at least 3m before
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Won between 0-3 times over fences before
6/7 – Unplaced last time out
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/7 – Had run at Kelso before
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1

MEYDAN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV4)

4:35 – Dubai World Cup sponsored by Emirates Airline (Group 1) (Dirt) (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

12/12 – Previous Group/Grade 1 or 2 winners
12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
10/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
9/12 – Officially rated between 119-123
8/12 – Didn’t win their last race
8/12 – Aged 5 or older
7/12– Had won at the track before
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 - Owned by Godolphin (9 wins in total)
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price
5/12 – Came from stalls 5-8 (inclusive)
4/12 - Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (9 wins in total)
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 - Ridden by Christophe Soumillon
Jockey Frankie Dettori has won the Dubai World Cup 4 times
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Thunder Snow (2019/20) is the only past back-to-back winner

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd April 2022

/in /by

A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Ayr to cover their Scottish Grand National card, plus they are also at Newbury to take in three more jumps races.

Here at Geegeez, we are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.


AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
15/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Rated between 127-139
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/17 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/17 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/17 – French bred
11/17 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
9/17 – Had run at Ayr before
4/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 4 years)
2/17 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

1.50 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV


10/10 – Aged 9 or younger
10/10 – No more than 3 chase wins
9/10 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
6/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Had run at the track before
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

 

2.25 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

18/18 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/18 – Aged 7 or younger
14/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Rated 137 or higher
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
Milkwood (3/1 fav) won the race in 2021
4 of the last 8 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

 

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

18/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Aged 8 or younger
17/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
17/18 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
9/18 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/18 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/18 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
6/18 – Raced at Aintree last time out
5/18 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4


3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

18/18 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
16/18 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
16/18 – Aged 8 or older
14/18 – French or Irish bred
14/18 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
13/18 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the first three last time out
13/18 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
12/18 – Had won over 3m or further
12/18 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
11/18 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
7/18 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/18 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/18 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 5 winners)
1/18 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 9 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 20/1
 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1:35 - Play Pick 6 At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

1 previous run
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2:10 - Download The BetVictor App Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+) 2m7½f ITV

1 previous run
Trainer Rebecca Curtis won the race in 2021
Trainer David Dennis has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 28% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Warren Greatrex has a 21% record with his chasers at the track

 

2:45 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV

8/9 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 - Won 1-2 times before
8/9 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/9 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
7/9 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/9 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/9 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/9 - Aged 5 years-old
5/9 - Ran at Doncaster (3) or Exeter (2) last time outs
5/9 - Placed favourites
5/9 - Irish bred winners
4/9 - Won last time out
4/9 - winning favourites
2/9 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th March 2021

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Something for everyone this Saturday as new turf season gets going at Doncaster on Saturday, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature, while there is also decent all-weather racing at Kempton with that include the Listed Magnolia Stakes, plus jumping fans will get their fix at Newbury.

The ITV cameras are showing eight races across the three venues and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

 

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 –Ladbrokes Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
7/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/13 – Had won at Kempton before
5/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Trained by William Haggas
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden


2.15 – Ladbrokes Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f ITV

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/16 – Rated between 89 and 99
11/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Winning favourites

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

2.00 – Unibet Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Last ran 4+ months ago
7/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Rated 106+
6/7 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/7 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
4/7 – Had won 6+ times before
4/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Trained by Roger Varian (3 of last 4)
2/7 – Won last time out

2.35 – Unibet Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/18 – Carried 8-13 or more
15/18 – Aged 4 years-old
15/18 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/18 – Won over a mile before
10/18 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/18 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won last time out
1/18 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 18 years

 

3.10 – Unibet Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/17 – Had won between 2-4 times before
13/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
12/17 – Having their first run of the flat season
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 95-100
9/17 – Placed first or second last time out
8/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/17 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
7/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/17  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 – Ridden by James Doyle (last 2)
9 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 34 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

3.45 - Unibet Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/16 – Had won no more than 5 times before
14/16 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
14/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/16 – Had won over 6f before
11/16 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
10/16 – Rated 102+
9/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (or joint)
3/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
7 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.50 –BetVictor Novices’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 18% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is only 3-from-76 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

3.25 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
15/16 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/16 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
12 of the last 14 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
Annie Mc won the race in 2019

Sat TV Trends: 13th Feb 2021

/in /by

We’ve plenty more Cheltenham Festival clues on offer this weekend with cracking cards at both Newbury and Warwick. The Denman Chase, Betfair Hurdle and Betfair Exchange Chase (Game Spirit) are three of the feature races at Newbury, while at Warwick the Grade 2 Kingmaker Novices' Chase gives us a chance to see some potential stars of the future.

As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the ITV LIVE races covered for you key trends and top tips.

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 - Betfair Weighed-In Podcast Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m52y ITV4

14/15 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
13/15 – Had run within the last 10 weeks
11/15 – Aged 7 or younger
11/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/15 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
10/15 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
9/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Aged 7 years-old
6/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/15 – Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
3/15 – French bred
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Raced at Haydock last time out

2.25 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/17 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
15/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/17 – Rated 150+
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Aged 8 or younger
11/17 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
11/17 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
10/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – French bred
5/17 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
4/17 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/17 – Returned a double-figure price
3/17 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/17 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
7 of the last 14 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 14 runnings is 3/1

 

3.00 – Betfair Cheltenham Free Bet Pot Builder Chase (Registered as The Game Spirit Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m92y ITV4

15/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Placed favourites
13/15 – Aged 8 or younger
12/15 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (3 winners)
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/15 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
10/15 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
9/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Had raced at Newbury (fences) before (5 winners)
6/15 – French bred
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
2/15 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase
Altior has won the last three renewals (2017, 2018 & 2020)

Note: The 2019 running was staged at Ascot

 

 

3.35 – Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

18/18 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
17/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Rated 130 or higher
15/18 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
15/18 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
14/18 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
14/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
13/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
9/18 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Aged 5 years-old (including 8 of last 14)
7/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/18 – Trained by Gary Moore
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 7)
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 9)
2/18  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/18 – Owned by JP McManus
1/18 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
23 of the last 24 winners have been aged 7 or younger
Pic D’Orhy (33/1) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 14/1

 

WARWICK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 – Close Brothers Warwick Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

Just 6 previous running
6/6 – Aged 6 or 7 years old
6/6 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
4/6 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
4/6 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
3/6 – Rated between 141 and 149
3/6 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Irish bred
2/6 – Had run at Warwick before
Trainer Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Indefatigable (7/2 cfav) won the race in 2020

 

2.40 – Agetur UK Kingmaker Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
8/9 – Won over 2m fences before
7/9 – Had won no more than twice (fences) in the UK
7/9 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Rated between 137-147
5/9 – Aged 5 or 7 years-old
5/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Unplaced favs
4 of the last 5 winners have been 6 year-olds
Rouge Vif (7/2) won the race in 2020

Note: 2009 renewal was at Sandown
 

3.15 – Paddy Power Warwick Castle Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Irish (4) or French (6) bred
9/10 – Aged 9 or younger
9/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top three
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Unplaced in their last race
7/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
5/10 – Carried 11-0 or more
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Clondaw Castle (11/2) won the race in 2020

Sat TV Trends: 28th Nov 2020

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Another huge Saturday ahead with the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

4 previous runnings
All four winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
2 of the last 4 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 6 years-old
Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past
2 winning favourites (joint) in the last 4 years
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 3% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Gerry Fielden Intermediate Handicap (Listed Race) (A Limited Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

13/14 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
12/14 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
11/14 – Irish, French or German bred
11/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/14 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/14 – Had raced at Newbury before
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/14 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
Epatante (3/1) won the race in 2019
Global Citizen (5/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

16/18 – Aged 8 or younger
16/18 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
16/18 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
15/18 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
13/18 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/18 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
12/18 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
12/18 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
12/18 – Rated between 140 and 151
12/18 – Had a previous run that season
10/18 – Won last time out
10/18 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 8)
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 4)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (29 runnings) there have been 14 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

 

3.35- Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/18 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/18 – French bred
10/18 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
10/18 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
10/18 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
9/18 – Placed in their last race
9/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
10 of the last 14 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
Magic Saint (3/1 fav) won the race in 2019

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)


2.05 – BetFair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

18/18 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
16/18 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
16/18 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
15/18 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
15/18 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Officially rated 151 or higher
12/18 – Won their last race
11/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/18 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
8/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/18 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/18 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
4/18 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/18 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (4 of last 12)
3/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/18 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 6/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

3.15 – BetFair Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

15/16 – Didn’t win their last race
14/16 – Irish bred
14/16 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
13/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/16 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
4/16 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 8 or older
Takinrisks (20/1) won the race in 2019
Lake View Lad (5/1) won the race in 2018
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th February 2020

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We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RacingTV)

**NOTE** - Newbury's Saturday card has been called off due to a waterlogged track

2.05 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4

9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/10 – Aged 10 years-old
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/10 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Winning favourites
Carole’s Destrier (6/1) won the race in 2019
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

3.15– William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4

15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
13/16 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
13/16 – Won over this trip previously
11/16 – Officially rated 139 or higher
11/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/16 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RacingTV)


1.50 – 888Sport Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 9 or younger
6/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Finished 4th or better last time out
6/7 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/7 – Favourites place in the top two
4/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/7 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Aged 9 years-old
2/7 – Won last time out

2.25 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
5/8 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
5/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/8 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/8 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

 

3.00 – 888Sport Take ‘Em On Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 2
5/6 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/6 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/6 – Irish bred

 

3.35 – 888Sport Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4

15/15 – Aged 8 or older
14/15 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
12/15 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/15 – Aged 9 or older
10/15 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Rated 131 or less
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
7/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/15 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 5 runnings
Chidswell won the race in 2019
Definitely Red won this race in 2017

 

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.45 – William Hill Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV4

10/11 – Aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/11 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
6/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Kelso before
5/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Winning favourite
3/11 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/11 – Trained by Lucinda Russell

 

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