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Sat TV Trends: 17th Aug 2019

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday, with the competitive Great St Wilfrid Handicap and the Group Three Geoffrey Freer Stakes the main events.

 

Saturday 17th August 2019

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

2.45 – Unibet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

15/16 – Failed to win last time out
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
14/16 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
13/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/16 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had 3 or more career wins
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
3/16 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/16 – Winning favourites
My Amigo (5/1) won the race in 2018
Case Key (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Denford Stud Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished in the first three last time out
14/17 – Had won a race before
13/17 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
12/17 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (5) foal
12/17 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Horses from stall 3 placed
9/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/17 – Won on their racecourse debut
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

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2.25 – Unibet Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

17/17 – Had won at least twice in their career
15/17 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 3-5 years-old
12/17 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
12/17 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/17 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/17 – Ran at Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (6) last time out
10/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had already won a Group race
7/17 – Had won at Newbury before
Hamada (7/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

3.00 – Unibet Handicap Cl3 7f ITV

15/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won at least twice during their career
13/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/17 – Drawn in stalls 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15
3/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Squats (17/2) won the race in 2017 and 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

3.35 – Unibet Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Had won a Listed (6) or Group (9) race before
14/17 – Had won over this 7f trip before
14/17 – Officially rated 110 or more
14/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
13/17 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
9/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/17 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
The last 10 winners were all draw 6 or lower
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – William Hill Silver Trohpy Handicap (Consolation Race For The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes) Cl2 6f ITV

7/7 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
7/7 – Previous winners over 6f
7/7 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
7/7 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
7/7 – Returned between 6/1 and 16/1
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Won between 3-4 times before
5/6 – Winning distance head or shorter
5/6 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/6 – Drawn in stalls 13 or higher
4/6 – Rated between 87-93
2/6 – Has won at Ripon before
0/6 – Winning favourites
Quick Look won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 12/1

3.15 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/17 – Previous winners over 6f
14/17 – Didn’t win last time out
13/17 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/17 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/17 - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
7/17 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
4/17 – Winning favourites (3 in the last 6 years)
3/17 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 8)
3/17 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 6)
1/17 – Aged 3 years-old
Gunmetal won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 12.5/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th May 2019

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats anglAfter a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
12/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Drawn in stall 3
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Drawn 4 or lower
11/16 – Had run at Newbury before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/16 – Aged 4 years-old
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Won last time out
3 of the last 11 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Crystal Ocean (2/5 fav) won the race last year

3.00 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 90 or lower
13/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/16 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

3.40 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Won over a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group One race before
13/16 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
5/16 – Godolphin owned
4/16 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Won by a mare
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 3/1

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

12/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/12 – Had won over 1m or further before
9/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Draw 1,2 or 3
8/12 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – US-bred winners
3/12 – Trained John Gosden
3/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/12 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Won only once before
12/16 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or more
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Rated between 91-96
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by a mare/filly
3/16 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-8
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th April 2019

As we head deeper into April, this Saturday we’ve another big day of horse racing with the ITV cameras heading to both Newbury and Ayr for a mixture of both flat and jumping action. The Grand National bandwagon rolls into Scotland as Ayr racecourse hosts the Scottish Grand National, while they’ve also three supporting races that include the Scottish Champion Hurdle.

Did you know, ALL of the last 16 Scottish National winners ran within the last 57 days, while 14 of the last 16 were aged 8 or older?

That’s not all - the ITV cameras are also at Newbury, as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Greenham Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

1.40 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
16/16 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
16/16 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before
14/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
10/16 – Had raced at Newbury before
10/16 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
8/16 – Drawn 6 or higher
7/16 – Had won a Group race before
5/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Winning favourites
Defoe won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


2.10 –Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/16 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/16 – Drawn 5 or higher
8/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/16 – Had won over 7f before
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Had won at Newbury before
5/16 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
4/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


2.40– Watership Down Stud Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

 

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15/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
14/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Won at Listed class or better before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won a Group race before
7/16 – Had won over 7f before
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Had won a race at Newbury before
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Irish-trained
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


3.15 – MansionBet Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

 

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
16/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/16 – Won no more than 4 times before
14/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Rated between 85-98
13/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
13/16 – Won over at least 1m before
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
9/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Had run at Newbury before
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 5)
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
1/16 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

 

1.25 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
14/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/16 – Rated between 127-139
11/16 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/16 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/16 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – French bred
10/16 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
8/16 – Had run at Ayr before
4/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (including last 2 years)
Theinval won the race 12 months ago
Duke Of Navan won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

1.55 – J & D Pierce Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

11/11 – Last race 6 weeks or less ago
11/11 – Won no more than 3 times over fences (under rules)
10/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 5
8/11 - Aged 7 years-old
8/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Had won over 3m (fences) in the past
6/11 – Irish-trained winners
4/11 – French bred winners
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
No real weight trend with winners in the last 11 years ranging from 10-0 to 11-11
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – CPMS Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

16/16 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/16 – Aged 7 or younger
11/16 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Rated 137 or higher
10/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
15/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
15/16 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
8/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/16 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
6/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
6/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/16 – Had raced at Ayr before
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

16/16 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
14/16 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
14/16 – Aged 8 or older
13/16 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
13/16 - Irish or French bred
12/16 – Carried 10-9 or less
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the first three last time out
11/16 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
10/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
10/16 – Had won over 3m1f or further
10/16 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
6/16 - Had won (fences) at Ayr before
5/16 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/16 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3 winners)
1/16 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 21/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 23rd March 2019

Another busy day this Saturday with the ITV4 cameras at Newbury and Kelso – we’ve seven races across the two venues to take in.

As always, we’ve got it all covered from a trends angle.

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
7/8 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
7/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/8 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
6/8 – Had won over 2m7f (or further) before (fences)
5/8 – Aged 9 years-old
5/8 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
4/8 – Had raced over fences at Newbury before
4/8 – Irish bred
1/8 – Winning favourites
1/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

 

2.40 –Be Wiser Handicap Hurdles Cl2 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than twice over hurdles before
10/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Rated 113 or higher
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

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13/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
13/14 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Aged 6 years-old
9/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/14 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/14 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
The last 12 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track

KELSO Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – EBF Mares’ Novices’ Chase (Qualifier For The EBF Mares’ Chase Series) Cl3 (5yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% record (5 from 15) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Michael Scudamore is 2 from 5 (40%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 29% record with his chasers at the track

2.25 – Bernhard Lighting Rig Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

7/8 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Had raced at Kelso before
6/8 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/8 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
6/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Aged 7 years-old
3/8 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom George has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track

3.00 – Liz Adams Memorial Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV4

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 9 or younger
4/4 – Unplaced last time out
3/4 – Had raced at the track before
3/4 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
3/4 – Had run at Kelso before
2/4 – Ran at Kelso last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Tom George has a 60% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 44% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 15/2

3.35 – Paxton’s Exclusively Kverneland Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
3 of the last 5 winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
Trainer Lucinda Russell has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The last 3 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
3 of the last 5 winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old
4 of the last 5 winners returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
4 of the last 5 winners carried 11-1 or more
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 7 years-old
1 winning favourite in the last 5 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners were placed at Haydock last time out
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom George has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 5/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd March 2019

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4

8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/9 – Aged 10 years-old
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
5/9 – Favourites unplaced
5/9 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/9 – Won their last race
1/9 – Winning favourites
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

 

2.40 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4

14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
12/15 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
12/15 – Won over this trip previously
11/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/15 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/15 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
7/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/15 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
2/15 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/15 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/15 - Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/15– Won their last race
Thomas Crapper won the race 12 months ago
Sametegal won the race in 2016
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)

1.50 – 888Sport Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 9 or younger
6/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/6 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/6 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
5/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Favourites place in the top two
4/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/6 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
2/6 – Aged 9 years-old
2/6 – Favourites
2/6 – Won last time out
Brydon Boy won the race in 2017

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2.25 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/7 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
4/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/7 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/7 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

 

3.00 – 888Sport Take ‘Em On Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4

5 previous running
5/5 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/5– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/5 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/5 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/5 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/5 – Irish bred
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 9/4

 

3.35 – 888Sport Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4

14/14 – Aged 8 or older
13/14 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
11/14 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/14 – Aged 9 or older
10/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Rated 131 or less
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
6/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/14 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

3.15 – Edinburgh Gin Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV4

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/10 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had raced at Kelso before
3/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/10 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Dec 2018

The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 30th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

6/6 – French (2) or Irish (4) bred
5/6 – Favourites placed
5/6 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/6 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
5/6 – Aged 5 years-old
5/6 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
5/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/6 – Had raced at the track before
2/6 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/2
Brave Eagle (11/4) won the race in 2017

 

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2.25 - Betway Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

7/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
6/7 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
6/7 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Had raced at the track before
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ran at Fontwell last time out
2/7 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
Daklondike (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.00 - Betway Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/12 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Wichita Lineman, 2006)
8/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/12 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - Betway Novices' Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

10/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
9/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st Dec 2018

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Hennessy Gold Cup – or as it’s now called The Ladbroke Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Six previous runnings
3 of the last 6 winners aged 5 years-old
1 winning favourite (joint)
5 of the 6 winners carried between 10-10 and 11-5
Old Guard won the race 12 months ago
Philip Hobbs, Paul Nicholls, Alan King, Rebecca Curtis & Ali Stronge have trained the winners

 

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m69y ITV

12/12 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/12 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
9/12 – Irish, French or German bred
9/12 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/12 – Had raced at Newbury before
6/12 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Aged 5 years-old
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/12 – Won last time out
7 of the last 11 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

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3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
14/16 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
13/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
12/16 – Had run at Newbury before (8 had won over fences there)
12/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
10/16 – Rated between 140 and 151
10/16 – Had a previous run that season
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 6)
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/2
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (27 runnings) there have been 13 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

 

 

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/16 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
10/16 – French bred
9/16 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
9/16 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
9/16 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
8/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
9 of the last 12 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – BetVictor Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

16/16 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
15/16 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
14/16 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
13/16 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
13/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Officially rated 151 or higher
10/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
10/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/16 – Won by an Irish based yard
3/16 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
3/16 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of last 10)
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/16 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

 

3.20 – BetVictor Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Didn’t win their last race
12/14 – Irish bred
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
11/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/14 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
4/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 8/1
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

Newbury TV Trends: Fri 30th Nov 2018

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Hennessy Meeting on Friday (30th Nov 2018) and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle.
As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (LIVE RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

10/11 – Aged 5 or older
10/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/11 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/11 – Yet to win over fences
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.25 – Ladbrokes Open Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
10/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 9 or younger
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
7/11 – Rated between 131 and 140
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
0/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

3.00 –  Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV4

13/16 – Grade One winner over hurdles
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
12/16 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/16 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
10/16 – Ran at either Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
9/16 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – French bred
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/16 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
6/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/16 – Won by Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 9 renewals)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Unowhatimeanharry won the race in 2016
Beer Goggles won the race in 2017

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV4

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10/11 – Placed 5th or better last time out
10/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
10/11 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4), Wincanton (3) or Wetherby (2) last time
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
7/11 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
7/11 – Irish bred winners
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Oct 2018

Loads to look forward to this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season at Cheltenham.

As always here at GEEGEEZ.co.uk we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

11/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
10/11 – Foaled in February or later
10/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Carried 9-1 in weight
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/11 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – March-born foals
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/11 – Trained by Brian Meehan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 3 runnings

 

3.25 – sunracing.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

14/14 – Ran 5 or more times that season
13/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/14 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Winners from stall 1
2/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 5)
1/14 – Winning mare/filly
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the 10 years is 11.5/1

 

4.05 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

15/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
14/16 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
14/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 - Foaled in February or later
13/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
13/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Winning favourites
11/16 – Had raced at least twice previously
11/16 – Won their last race
10/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/16 - Had won over a mile before
9/16 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
6/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/16 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/16 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
2/16 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/16 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 8 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2017
The average SP in the last 16 runnings is 7/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.20 – Teddington Royal British Legion Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

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16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won at least twice before
13/16 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/16 – Rated 107 or higher
10/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/16 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/16 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/16 – Won by a filly or mare
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

2.50 – Molson Coors Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Foaled in Feb or later
12/15 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/15 – Never raced at Newbury
11/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
9/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Won over 7f before
8/15 – Favourites unplaced
7/15 – Foaled in February
7/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

2.00 – ‘Matchbook’ Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

12/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/11 – Won over at least 3m previously
9/11 – First run of the season
8/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Favourites unplaced
8/11 – Rated 136 or higher
8/11 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
7/11 – Irish bred winners
7/11 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/11 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/11 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/11 – Unplaced in their last race
1/11 – Winning Favourites
Cogry (13/2) won the race 12 months ago
Singlefarmpayment was 2nd in the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.35 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

7/9 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/9 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 10-12 in weight
5/9 – Placed in their last race
4/9 – Irish bred winners
4/9 – Favourites placed
3/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

 

3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
Foxtail Hillwon the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland
Boondooma won the race in 2016 for trainer Dr Richard Newland
All three winners aged between 6-8 years-old (2 aged 8)
All three winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
1 winning favourite
2 of the 3 winners carried 11-1 or more

 

3.45 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

7/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/9 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/9 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/9 – Had run at Cheltenham before (3 winners)
6/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/9 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Irish Bred
2/9 – Mare winners
2/9 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/9 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st July 2018

This Saturday the LIVE ITV TV races come from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 21st July 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

13/14 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 - Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Trained by Luca Cumani (2 of last 3 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – JLT Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m ½f ITV3

No previous runnings
Trainer Hughie Morrison is just 3 from 37 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 17% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

13/14 – Won over 6f before
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winners from stall 8
2/14 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 3)
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

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3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Won 1-2 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/14 – Won by a Feb or March foal
7/14 – Irish bred winners
6/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Won by a filly
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
4/14 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

 

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – 188Bet Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or less
7 of the last 12 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.15 – 188Bet Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

16/16 – Had run within the last 3 months
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
14/16 – Aged 7 or older
12/16 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
9/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/16 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Alcala won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd July 2017

As always Andy Newton’s got all the trends for Saturday’s LIVE ITV TV races  - this weekend the action comes from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury - with the Wetherbys Super Sprint and the Market Rasen Summer Plate and Hurdle the features.

 

 

Saturday 22nd July 2017

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 - BetBright Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

12/13 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 - Winning favourite
4/13 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-110) 7f ITV3

Only 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 4+ years-old
No winning favourite
Both winners returned between 11/2 and 9/1 in the betting
Both winners carried 9-0 or more in the betting
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 1 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Marco Botti is only 1 from 36 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1
Scottish won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

12/13 – Won over 6f before
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winners from stall 8
2/13 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The Tin Man won the race 12 months ago
7 of the last 10 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

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12/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 5f before
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Won 1-2 times before
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/13 – Won by a Feb or March foal
6/13 – Irish bred horses
6/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Won by a filly
4/13 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/13 – Winners from stall 1
4/13 – Winning favourites
Mrs Danvers won the race 12 months ago
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.10 - Betfred TV Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/15 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
12/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/15 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/15 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or less
6 of the last 11 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Red Tornado won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

3.20 - Betfred Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

15/15 – Had run within the last 3 months
13/15 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
13/15 – Aged 7 or older
11/15 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Had run at Market Rasen before
8/15 – Won their previous race
6/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/15 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Long House Hall won the race in 2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th March 2017

Another busy day this Saturday with seven LIVE ITV4 races at Newbury and Kelso

As always, we’ve got the key trends and stats for all the LIVE ITV4 races – we hope they help pin-point a few winners.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends


1.50 – Be Wiser Insurance Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
5/6 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
5/6 – Had won over 3m before (fences)
5/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
4/6 – Had raced over fences at Newbury before
4/6 – Aged 9 years-old
4/6 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
4/6 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
3/6 – Irish bred
1/6 – Winning favourites
1/6 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 8/1

 

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2.25 – Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV4

Three previous runnings
All three winners returned between 4/1 and 8/1
No winning favourite
All winners carried between 11-3 and 11-12 in weight
The last 2 winners ran (placed) at Exeter last time out
Trainer Robin Dickin won the race in 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
Trainer Venetia Williams won the race in 2014
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
Oliver Sherwood has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
David Dennis has a 50% record with his chasers at the track
Kerry Lee has a 33% record with her chasers at the track


3.00 - EBF Stallions & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

11/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
9/12 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/12 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
The last 10 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or less in weight
Trainer Harry Fry has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 1 from 30 (3%) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Charlie Longsdon is just 1 from 22 (5%) with his hurdlers at the track


3.35 – OCSL Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV4

9/9 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Won by an ex-flat horse
8/9 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Had won between 0-1 times before
7/9 – Had between 4-7 previous runs over hurdles
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top three
7/9 – Carried 10-9 or more in weight
5/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
3/9 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
3/9 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2


Kelso Horse Racing Trends


2.05 – Belhaven Best Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV4

6/6 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
5/6 – Had raced at Kelso before
4/6 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
4/6 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
3/6 – Aged 7 years-old
2/6 – Winning favourites
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1
Trainer Malcom Jefferson has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alistair Whillans is just 2 from 56 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald Whillans is only 2 from 33 (6%) with his hurdlers at the track


2.40 – Edinburgh Gin Handicap Chase Cl2 3m2f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
All three previous winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
1 winning favourite in the last 3 runnings
The last two winners were third at Haydock last time out
Trainer Simon Waugh is 2 from 4 (50%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dr Richard Newland is 2 from 5 (40%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jennie Candlish is 2 from 3 (66%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 25% (14 from 56) record with his chasers at the track

 

3.15 – Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase Cl2 3m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Simon Waugh is 2 from 4 (50%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 25% (14 from 56) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richard has a 22% record (9 from 41) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Maurice Barnes is just 2 from 32 (6%) with his chasers at the track

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th July 2016

As always Andy Newton’s got all the trends for Saturday’s Channel 4 TV races - this week from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury, plus we are also covering the Irish Oaks from the Curragh.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

3.15 - Racing UK HD Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Winning distance exactly 1 length
4/5 – Had won over at least 1m before
4/5 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Rated between 92-97 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 2011& 2013
No winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners carried 9-7 or more
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 24% record with his older horses at the track
Adam Kirby has a 26% record riding older horses at the track
Martin Harley has just a 3% strike-rate riding older horses at the track


3.50 - Newsells Park Stud Stakes (Registered as The Aphrodite Stakes) (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

12/13 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 - Winning favourite
4/13 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.30 - Bathwick Tyres EBF Breeders´ Series Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

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8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Had won no more than 4 times before
8/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/8 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
7/8 – Had run in the last 3 weeks
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Winners that came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
6/8 – Won over at least a mile before
5/8 – Had won between 1-2 times before
5/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/8 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/8 – Returned 8/1 in the betting
2/8 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/8 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/8 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/2


3.00 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f CH4

9/12 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
8/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
7/12 – Had run at the track before
7/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Had won a Group race before
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

3.35 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y CH4

11/12 – Won over 6f before
9/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Placed favourites
5/12 – Had won a Group race before
5/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winners from stall 8
2/12 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/12 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 9 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

4.10 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y CH4

11/12 – Had won over 5f before
11/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/12 – Won 1-2 times before
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/12 – Irish bred horses
6/12 – Won by a Feb or March foal
6/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Won by a filly
4/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/12 – Winners from stall 1
3/12 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1


Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.15 - Betfred TV Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f CH4

13/14 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
12/14 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
8/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/14 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/14 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Winning favourites
The last 10 winners carried 11-5 or less
7 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or less
6 of the last 10 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Dr Richard Newland won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

2.45 - Betfred Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y CH4

14/14 – Had run within the last 3 months
13/14 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
12/14 – Aged 7 or older
11/14 – Had won 2 or more chases before
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/14 – Won their previous race
8/14 – Had run at Market Rasen before
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/14 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
It’s A Gimme won the race in 2014


Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)


5.45 - Darley Irish Oaks (Group 1) 1m4f

11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Won over 1m4f before
6/13 – Winning distance, 3 lengths or more
6/13 – Ran in the Epsom Oaks last time out
6/13 – Won by a UK-based trainer
5/13 – Had won a Group One before
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won the Epsom Oaks last time out
4/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 4/1

 

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"Angrywhitepyjamas - He ran very well first time out at Haydock (third - only beaten 2 lengths) but was very green, this is a step up in distance today which will suit him and I'm sure he will improve again from his first run. Hopeful of a good run today and looks a fair e/w price to us."
William Muir

11/07/16 1st 9/1

"Eurystheus - Not won for a while now, but been showing signs of late that a return to winning ways might not be far away. A close second last time out, but the handicapper has raised him 2lbs for that so we are going back up the ratings without winning. On a plus - track and trip are fine and this seems to be his grade now. A race with many chances but he's got his conditions so if running to the level of last time has place claims again."
Mick Appleby

09/07/16 1st 7/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th April 2016

Another busy day for the C4 cameras and something for everyone as they head to Chelmsford, who have stepped in to save Newbury's Greenham Stakes Fixture with the Berkshire track waterlogged -  they are, of course, also up at Ayr to show their Scottish Grand National card - as always we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - we hope they help pin-point a few winners!

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CHELMSFORD HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/C4)

2.10 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
13/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/13 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/13 – Having their first run of the season
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had raced at Newbury before
9/13 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
8/13 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
8/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Drawn 6 or higher
6/13 – Had won a Group race before
5/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

2.40 –Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/13 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
12/13 – Having their first run of the season
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/13 – Drawn 5 or higher
10/13 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Had won over 7f before
5/13 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
5/13 – Had won at Newbury before
3/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
4/13 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/13 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.15 – JLT Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
11/13 – Having their first run of the season
11/13 – Won at Listed class or better before
10/13 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/13 – Finished in the top two last time out
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Had won over 7f before
7/13 – Had won a Group race before
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Had won a race at Newbury before
5/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon Snr
2/13 – Irish-trained
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4.2/1

3.50 –Be Wiser Insurance Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
13/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/13 – Won no more than 4 times before
12/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
11/13 – Rated between 85-98
10/13 – Won over at least 1m before
10/13 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Carried 8-12 or less
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Had run at Newbury before
2/13 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
1/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1


AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/C4)


2.25 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

13/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Aged 8 or younger
12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
12/13 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
7/13 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
7/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/13 – Raced at Aintree last time out
4/13 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Had raced at Ayr before
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

3.00 – QTS Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m CH4

13/13 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/13 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
12/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Carried 10-13 or less
11/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/13 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 7 or younger
10/13 – Rated 137 or higher
9/13 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
7/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/13 – Irish-trained
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

3.35 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m CH4

13/13 – Aged 9 or younger
12/13 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
12/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
11/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Rated between 127-139
10/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/13 – Finished in the top four last time out
9/13 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – French bred
8/13 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
7/13 – Had run at Ayr before
4/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

4.10 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y CH4

12/13 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
12/13 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
12/13 – Aged 8 or older
11/13 – Carried 10-9 or less
11/13 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
10/13 – Finished in the first three last time out
10/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/13 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
8/13 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
8/13 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
8/13 – Had won over 3m2f or further
4/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/13 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/13 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/13 – Trained by Ferdy Murphy
2/13 – Trained by Andrew Parker
0/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 21/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd April 2016

Another busy day this Saturday with nine LIVE C4 races at Doncaster, Newbury and KemptonAndy Newton’s got it all covered from a trends angle.

 

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DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/C4)

2.15 - Betway Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/14 – Carried 8-13 or more
11/14 – Aged 4 years-old
11/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
10/14 – Won over a mile before
8/14 – Won from a double-figure draw
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Won a race at Doncaster before
0/14 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 15/1
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 14 years

2.45 - Betway Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/13 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
11/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/13 – Having their first run of the flat season
9/13 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
7/13 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/13 – Placed first or second last time out
7/13 – Had raced at Doncaster before
6/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

3.20 - Betway Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f More4

12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
11/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/12 – Had won no more than 5 times before
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/12 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
8/12 – Had won over 6f before
8/12 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
8/12 – Rated 102+
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
1/12 – Had won at Doncaster before
Jack Dexter won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar

3.55 – Betway Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m More4

Just 3 previous running
3/3 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
1/3 – Winning favourites
Roger Varian has a 24% record with his older horses at the track
Dandy Nicholls is just 5 from 79 with his older horses at the track
Adrian Nicholls has 3% record riding older horses at the track

4.30 - Betway Brocklesby Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl4 5f More4

8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/10 – Won this on their debut runs
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Horses from stall 2 that finished 1st or 2nd
5/10 – Ridden by a claimer
4/10 – Trained by Bill Turner
4/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winners from stall 2
2/10 – Winners from stall 10
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/10 – Winning favourites (co & joint)
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

Note: 2006 running was staged at Redcar, 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/More4)

3.05 - Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f CH4

Two previous runnings
Both winners returned between 7/1 & 8/1
No winning favourite
Both winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
Venetia Williams won the race in 2014
Trainer Robin Dickin has a 67% record with his chasers at the track
Philip Hobbs and Oliver Sherwood all have a 21% record with their chasers at the track
Kerry Lee is 2 from 6 (33%) with her chasers at the track
Philip Hobbs has a +£43 level stakes profit with his chasers at the track

3.40 - EBF Stallions & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f CH4

11/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
8/11 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Had won over 2m 1/2f (hurdles) before
8/11 – Aged 6 years-old
7/11 – Returned 15/2 or sorter in the betting
6/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.3/1
Trainer Harry Fry has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track

KEMPTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/C4/More4)

2.30 - Betfred "Goals Galore Extra" Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

3 previous runnings
All 3 winners aged 4 years-old
All 3 winners carried 9-3 or less
All 3 winners returned between 4/1 and 6/1 (inc)
No winning favourites
Karl Burke’s Georgian Bay won the race in 2014
Marco Botti’s Grey Mirage won the race in 2013
Ralph Beckett & Philip McBride have 21% records with their older horses here
Clive Cox is just 5 from 70 with his older horses here
Mick Channon is just 1 from 33 with his older horses here
Jockey John Fahey is just 5 from 97 riding older horses here

4.10 - Betfred Mobile Lotto Snowdrop Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

11/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/12 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/12 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
9/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/12 – Rated between 90-102
8/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Unplaced in their last race
6/12 – Rated 96 or lower
6/12 – Placed favourites
5/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Had run at Kempton before
2/12 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/12 – Won last time out
Marco Botti won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4.2/1

 

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