Tag Archive for: newbury horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 22nd March 2025

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This Saturday the ITV Racing action comes from Kelso, Newbury and Bangor – with jumping all the way.

There are EIGHT live ITV races spread out over the three venues – where you can use our key trends and stats to help whittle down the runners.

Kelso Horse Racing Trends

1:15– Ladbrokes ‘Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing’ Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV

7/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
7/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/8 – Won between 0-3 times over fences before
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m before
6/8 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Had run at Kelso before
1/8 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 3 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

1:50 – Ladbrokes ‘Big-Value You Can Bet On’ Mares Hurdle (Listed Race) (Registered as the Beeswing) (GBB) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Henry Daly is 1-3 with is hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 19% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer NW Alexander is just 12 from 141 (9%) with their hurdlers at the track

2:25 – Ladbrokes Go North Cab On Target Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Trainers Sue Smith & Susan Corbett have won the race before
Both winners ridden by a conditional jockey
Both winners carried 10-13 or less in weight
Both winners aged between 6-8
No winning favourite
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill and AJ O’Neill are 2-5 (40%) with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Kirby is just 1 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Sandy Forster is just 3 from 52 with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Rebecca Menzies is just 4 from 73 with her hurdlers at the track
Jockey Ross Chapman is just 3-56 riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Conor O'Farrell is just 4-84 riding over hurdles at the track

3:00 – Ladbrokes Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

2 previous running
Trainer Fergal O’Brien won the race in 2023
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022
Both winners favourites
Both winners aged between 5-6 years-old
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill and AJ O’Neill are 2-5 (40%) with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track

3:35 – Ladbrokes “Boost Your Bet Builder” Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl4 (5yo+ 120) 2m1f ITV

7/7 – Had run at Kelso before
7/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/7 – Top 4 finish last time out
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Had won at Kelso before
4/7 – Ran at Kelso last time out
4/7 – Carried 11-5 or more
3/7 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Mania
2/7 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/7 – Winning favourites
Duty Calls won the race last year

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2:05 – Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

4 previous runs
4/4 – Aged between 4-6
3/4 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
2/4 – Won with exactly 11-11
2/4 – Carried between 10-9 and 10-10
1/4 – Winning favourite
Trainer SRB Crawford won the race in 2024
Trainer Tom Lacey won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Gary and Josh Moore have a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling is just 3 from 47 with his hurdles at the track
Jockey Nico De Boinville has a 25% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Ben Jones is just 1 from 25 riding over hurdles at the track

2:40 – BetVictor Home Of The Saturday Superboost Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 7 or older
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Favourites finished first or second
8/10 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/10 - Won no more than 3 times over fences
7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/10 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
6/10 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Dan Skelton (last 2)
Heltenham won the race in 2024 and 2023

3:15 - BetVictor British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV

10/12 - Carried 11-3 or less in weight
10/12 - Won 1-2 times before
9/12 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/12 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
8/12 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/12 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
8/12 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/12 - Placed favourites
6/12 - Irish bred winners
6/12 - Aged 5 years-old
6/12 - Ran at Doncaster (4) or Exeter (2) last time out
5/12 - Won last time out
4/12 - winning favourites
2/12 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

Bangor Horse Racing Trends

1:35 Alfa Aggregates Products Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 3 1/2f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Both winners aged 7
Both winners fav (or joint fav)
Both winners carried between 10-13 and 11-3
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2024
Trainer Donald McCain won the race in 2023
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jamie Snowden is just 1-from-17 (6%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 28th Dec 2024

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The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 28th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

Plus they are also taking in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown with Gold Cup favourite Fact To File taking on last year's winner Galopin Des Champs.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV) 

1.45 – Coral Racing Club Join For Free Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

10/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
9/11 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Had raced at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
Rambo T (2/1 fav) won the race in 2023

2.20 - Coral Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
11/13 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
10/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
8/13 – Had raced at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Winning favourites
Surrey Quest (7/2) won the race in 2023

2.55 - Coral Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

18/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
18/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
13/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/18 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/18 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 8)
10/18 – Aged 5 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 4 winners)
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

3.35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The Post’ And Win Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

Just 4 past runnings
No winning favourite
4/4 – Aged 6 or 7
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
3/4 – Aged 6 years-old
2/4 – Ridden by a claimer
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 1-from-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV /ITV4)

2:35 - Savills Chase (Grade 1) 3m 1/2f ITV4

22/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
22/23 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
19/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/23 – Won by an Irish bred horse
18/23 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
11/23 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/23 – Won by a UK-based stable
8/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Won last time out
4/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Ridden by Jack Kennedy (3 of the last 8)
3/22 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
Trainers Gordon Elliott (4) and Willie Mullins (3) have won 7 of the last 9 runnings

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th Aug 2024

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We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 16 of the last 22 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 13 of the last 15 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

20/21 – Didn’t win last time out
18/21 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
17/21 – Had won over 6f before
17/21 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Aged 5 or older
14/21 – Had 3 or more career wins
14/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
13/21 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/21 – Unplaced favourites
3/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 7)
4 of the last 6 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Strike won the race in 2022 and 6th in 2023

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:50 – BetVictor Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

22/22 – Had won at least twice in their career
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
18/22 – Aged 3-5 years-old
17/22 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
15/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/22 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
14/22 – Officially rated 110 or higher
13/22 – Winning favourites
12/22 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
10/22 – Had already won a Group race
9/22 – Had won at Newbury before
Arrest (5/6 fav) won the race in 2023

2:25 – BetVictor Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV

One previous running
Desperate Hero (4/1) won the race in 2023
Trainer Clive Cox is just 1 from 26 with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainer Julie Camacho has an overall 29% strike-rate at the track
Trainer Darryll Holland has an overall 23% strike-rate at the track

3.00 – TPT Fire Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV

12/13 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
12/13 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/13 - Won between 2-4 times before
11/13 - Had won over 7f or further before
9/13 - Finished 5th or better last time out
9/13 - Rated between 90-96 (inc)
8/13 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
7/13 - Had raced at Newbury before
7/13 - Irish bred
5/13 - Ran at Ascot last time out
3/13 - Ridden by Adam Kirby
2/13 - Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 7)
2/13 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 4)
2/13 - Winning favourites
2/13 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 5 winners came from stall 6
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Spangled Mac (15/2) won the race in 2023
Documenting (7/2) won the race in 2022

3.35 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

20/22 – Didn’t win last time out
18/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
18/22 – Had won over this 7f trip before
18/22 – Officially rated 108 or more
18/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/22 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
16/22 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
12/22 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 9)
13 of the last 15 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
Witch Hunter won the race in 2023
Jumby won the race in 2022

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)

2:45 William Hill Silver Trophy Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV

One past running
Roundhay Park (11/1) won the race in 2023
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 31% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Paul Midgely has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 1-from-45 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Callum Rodriguez has a 21% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:20 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

19/22 – Previous winners over 6f
16/22 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
16/22 – Didn’t win last time out
15/22– Winning distance of 1 length or less
14/22 – Carried 8-12 or more
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/22 - Had run at Ripon before (4 won)
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/22 – Ran at either Goodwood (6) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/22 – Aged 4 years-old
6/22 – Winning favourites (5 in the last 11)
3/22 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 13)
3/22 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/22 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 11)
2/22 – Aged 3 years-old
Summerghand was runner-up in 2023
No winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
8 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 7 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

 

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Sat TV Trends: 20th July 2024

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This Saturday (20th July 2024) we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Market Rasen over the sticks it’s their biggest day of the season with the Unibet Summer Plate Chase (3.15) and Unibet Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.40) the feature contests.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (3.00) tops the bill - a race 16 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or younger.

While the Irish Oaks (3.45)  at the Curragh is another big race on the day - a contest trainer Aidan O’Brien has another strong hand in as he looks for win number eight

Like all big race days, we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

1.50 - Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Steventon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

15/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
14/19 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/19 – Had run at the track before
8/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Had won a Group race before
6/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/19 – Winners from stall 1
3/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Godolphin have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Al Aasy won the race in 2023

2.25 – Mettal UK Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

Just six previous runnings
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/6 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
5/6 – Returned 17/2 or shorter
3/6 – Aged 6 years-old
2/6 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/6 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 4)
2/6 – Winning favourites
Sweet William (5/2 fav) won the race in 2023

3.00 - Fidelity Energy Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

19/20 – Won over 6f before
16/20 – Aged 5 or younger
15/20 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won 4 or more times before
13/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Placed favourites
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Had won a Group race before
7/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
7/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (4 of the last 9)
4/20 – Winners from stall 8
2/20 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 9)
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of the last 4)
10 of the last 13 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Commanche Falls (4/1 fav) won the race in 2023

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

18/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/20 – Had won over 5f before
16/20 – Won 1-2 times before
13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/20 – Won by a Feb or March foal
11/20 – Irish bred winners
10/20 – Won by a filly
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
6/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018, 2020 & 2021
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Unibet Moneyback As Cash Races Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m4 1/2f ITV

Trainer Dan Skelton has a 24% strike-rate with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 22% strike-rate with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 24% strike-rate with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Brian Ellison is just 1 from 28 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 27% strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen has a 25% strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Charlie Todd has a 21% strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track

2.40 – Unibet Daily Industry Best Prices Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

19/22 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
16/22 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
15/22 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
12/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/22 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 -Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 4)
14 of the last 17 winners carried 11-5 or less
11 of the last 18 winners carried 11-0 or less
4 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
10 of the last 18 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Too Friendly (11/2) won the race in 2023

3.15 – Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV

21/22 – Had run within the last 3 months
20/22 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
18/22 – Aged 7 or older
16/22 – Had won 2 or more chases before
15/22 – Had run at Market Rasen before
15/22 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/22 – Won their previous race
9/22 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
7/22 – Trained by Peter Bowen (8 wins in total)
4/22 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 13)
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/22 – Ridden by James Bowen (2 of the last 3 runnings)
Francky Du Berlais won the race in 2021 and 2022
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
12 of the last 15 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Born Famous (3/1 fav) won the race in 2023

Curragh Horse Racing Trends

3.40 – Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (3yo) 1m4f RTV

19/21 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
19/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Won last time out
15/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Won over 1m4f before
10/21 – Irish-trained winners
10/21 – Ran in the Epsom Oaks last time out
9/21 – Won by a UK-based trainer
9/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Winning distance, 3 lengths or more
7/21 – Had won a Group One before
7/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 8)
6/21 – Won the Epsom Oaks last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 3)
2/21 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 7)

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Sat TV Trends: 18th May 2024

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After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 – Sky Sports Racing Aston Park Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

19/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
15/20 – Drawn 4 or lower
15/20 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
14/20 – Had run at Newbury before
13/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Had won between 1-3 times before
10/20 – Aged 4 years-old
7/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of the last 5)
4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 3)
3 of the last 15 winners were Godolphin-owned

2.25 – Highclere Castle Gin Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
15/19 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
14/19 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Drawn in stall 3
3/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 9)
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

3.00 – Trade Nation London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

19/20 – Had won between 1-2 times before
17/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Carried 8-10 or more
16/20 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/20 – Rated 90 or lower
14/20 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
14/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/20 – Won last time out
9/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 9)
4/20 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

3.35 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

20/20 – Won over a mile before
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/20 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won a Group One race before
15/20 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/20 – Aged 4 years-old
15/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/20 – Winning favourites
11/20 – Having their first run of the season
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
6/20 – Godolphin owned
4/20 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/20 – Won by a mare
4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/20 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/20 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Jenningsbet Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV

Just one previous run
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 15% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 10 from 121 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.40 – trustatrader.com Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

7/7 - Won over at least 7f before
7/7 - Won 2+ times before
7/7 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
6/7 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/7 - Placed favourites
6/7 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
5/7 - Rated between 85-91
5/7 - Didn’t win last time out
3/7 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/7 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 3)
2/7 - Ridden by William Buick
2/7 - Winning favourites

3.15 – Jenningsbet Britain’s Leading Independent Bookmakers Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-88) ITV

10/10 – Won over 1m (or further) before
9/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
9/10 – Unplaced last time out
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Drawn 7 or lower
7/10 – Rated between 80-89
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/10 – Unplaced last time out
3/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/10 – Favourites
Repertoire (11/2) won the race in 2023

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Sat TV Trends: 20th April 2024

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The ITV horse racing cameras are at Newbury as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Dubai Duty Free Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track on ITV, including the Greenham Stakes and, like always, we’ve got these LIVE Newbury races covered from a trends and stats angle – fingers crossed they will point you in the direction of a few winners.

While it’s also Scottish Grand National Day up at Ayr – a race trainer Christian Williams has won for the last two years and is sure to be well represented again.

The ITV horse racing cameras are at the Scottish track to take in five races live.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.30 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

20/20 – Aged 6 or younger
19/20 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
19/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before
18/20 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
17/20 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/20 – Having their first run of the season
16/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
13/20 – Had raced at Newbury before
11/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/20 – Had won a Group race before
7/20 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 9)
Max Vega won the race in 2022
Jockey Jim Crowley (3) and Ryan Moore (2) have won 5 of the last 9
8 of the last 11 winners drawn in stalls 4 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 6/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

18/20 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
17/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
17/20 – Had won between 1-2 times before
17/20 – Having their first run of the season
16/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Drawn 5 or higher
15/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/20 – Had won over 7f before
9/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Had won at Newbury before
7/20 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
5/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
4/20 – Trained by the Channon yard
2/20 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/20 – Trained by the Hannon stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2.40 – Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
18/20 – Having their first run of the season
17/20 – Won at Listed class or better before
16/20 – Won between 2-4 times before
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Finished in the top two last time out
13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/20 – Had won a Group race before
10/20 – Won last time out
10/20 – Had won over 7f before
9/20 – Winning favourites
9/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/20 – Had won a race at Newbury before
6/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/20 – Irish-trained
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners
8 of the last 10 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


3.15 – OLBG Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

20/20 – Won no more than 4 times before (flat)
19/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
17/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/20 – Won between 2-4 times before (flat)
16/20 – Won over at least 1m before
15/20 – Rated between 85-98
13/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
14/20 – Unplaced last time out
12/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/20 – Unplaced favourites
10/20 – Had run at Newbury before
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 10)
2/20 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 9)
2/20 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 4)
1/20 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m 1/2f ITV

19/19 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
17/19 – Aged 9 or younger
17/19 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
16/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Rated between 127-139
13/19 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/19 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/19 – French bred
11/19 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
11/19 – Had run at Ayr before
4/19 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 6 years)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

1.50 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV

12/12 – Aged 9 or younger
12/12 – No more than 3 chase wins
11/12 – French (4) or Irish (7) bred
10/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/12 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
8/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Had run at the track before
3/12 – Winning favourites
Trainer Dan Skelton has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

20/20 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
17/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
17/20 – Aged 7 or younger
16/20 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
16/20 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
15/20 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Rated 135 or higher
11/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/20 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
10/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/20 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
Rubaud (7/2 fav) won the race in 2023
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Seafield Trophy Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 3m 1/2f

10/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles)
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
6/10 – Aged 6 years-old
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Had run at Ayr before (2 winners)
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1
Sabrina won the race 12 months ago


3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

19/20 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
18/20 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
17/20 – Aged 8 or older
16/20 – Carried 11-1 or less
17/20 – Coming from a different winning yard
16/20 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
15/20 – French or Irish bred
15/20 – Finished in the first three last time out
14/20 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
14/20 – Had won over 3m or further
14/20 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
13/20 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/20 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
8/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/20 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/20 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
3/20 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 7 winners and 3 wins in total)
2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/20 – Trained by Christian Williams (last 2)
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 3 times
The last two winners won the Eider Chase earlier that season
2 of the last 12 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 19/1
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Sat TV Trends: 25th March 2023

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A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Kelso to take in four races, plus they are also at Newbury to take in three more jumps races. While ITV racing are also covering the lucrative Dubai World Cup for the first time.

As always, here at GeeGeez are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 - Play Pick 6 At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

2 previous run
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 19% record with his hurdlers at the track

2:05 – Get A Run For Your Money At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

8/8 – Aged 7 or older
7/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Favourites finished first or second
6/8 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
6/8  - Won no more than 3 times over fences
5/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
3/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Winning favourites

 

2:40 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

9/10 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
8/10 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 - Won 1-2 times before
8/10 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/10 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
7/10 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/10 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/10 - Placed favourites
6/10 - Irish bred winners
5/10 - Aged 5 years-old
5/10 - Ran at Doncaster (3) or Exeter (2) last time out
4/10 - Won last time out
4/10 - winning favourites
2/10 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
2/10 – Trained by Noel Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV4)

1:50 – BetVictor Go North Cab On Target Target Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

Just 1 past running
Trainer Sandy Thomson has a 19% record their chasers at the track
Trainer Mike Smith has just a 3% (1-33) with his chasers at the track

2:25 – Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV4

8/8 – Aged between 7-10 years-old
8/8 – Won between 2-5 times over hurdles
8/8 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/8 – Favourites placed in top 3
6/8  - Irish (4) or French (2) bred
6/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 Had run at Kelso before
4/8 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/8 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

3:00 – BetVictor Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m

1 previous running
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race last year
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 36% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track

3:35 – Make Your Best Bet At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV4

6/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/7 – Had won over at least 3m before
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Won between 0-3 times over fences before
6/7 – Unplaced last time out
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/7 – Had run at Kelso before
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1

MEYDAN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV4)

4:35 – Dubai World Cup sponsored by Emirates Airline (Group 1) (Dirt) (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

12/12 – Previous Group/Grade 1 or 2 winners
12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
10/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
9/12 – Officially rated between 119-123
8/12 – Didn’t win their last race
8/12 – Aged 5 or older
7/12– Had won at the track before
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 - Owned by Godolphin (9 wins in total)
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price
5/12 – Came from stalls 5-8 (inclusive)
4/12 - Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (9 wins in total)
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 - Ridden by Christophe Soumillon
Jockey Frankie Dettori has won the Dubai World Cup 4 times
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Thunder Snow (2019/20) is the only past back-to-back winner

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd April 2022

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A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Ayr to cover their Scottish Grand National card, plus they are also at Newbury to take in three more jumps races.

Here at Geegeez, we are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.


AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
15/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Rated between 127-139
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/17 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/17 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/17 – French bred
11/17 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
9/17 – Had run at Ayr before
4/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 4 years)
2/17 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

1.50 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV


10/10 – Aged 9 or younger
10/10 – No more than 3 chase wins
9/10 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
6/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Had run at the track before
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

 

2.25 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

18/18 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/18 – Aged 7 or younger
14/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Rated 137 or higher
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
Milkwood (3/1 fav) won the race in 2021
4 of the last 8 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

 

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

18/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Aged 8 or younger
17/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
17/18 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
9/18 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/18 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/18 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
6/18 – Raced at Aintree last time out
5/18 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4


3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

18/18 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
16/18 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
16/18 – Aged 8 or older
14/18 – French or Irish bred
14/18 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
13/18 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the first three last time out
13/18 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
12/18 – Had won over 3m or further
12/18 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
11/18 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
7/18 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/18 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/18 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 5 winners)
1/18 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 9 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 20/1
 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1:35 - Play Pick 6 At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

1 previous run
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2:10 - Download The BetVictor App Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+) 2m7½f ITV

1 previous run
Trainer Rebecca Curtis won the race in 2021
Trainer David Dennis has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 28% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Warren Greatrex has a 21% record with his chasers at the track

 

2:45 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV

8/9 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 - Won 1-2 times before
8/9 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/9 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
7/9 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/9 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/9 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/9 - Aged 5 years-old
5/9 - Ran at Doncaster (3) or Exeter (2) last time outs
5/9 - Placed favourites
5/9 - Irish bred winners
4/9 - Won last time out
4/9 - winning favourites
2/9 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th March 2021

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Something for everyone this Saturday as new turf season gets going at Doncaster on Saturday, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature, while there is also decent all-weather racing at Kempton with that include the Listed Magnolia Stakes, plus jumping fans will get their fix at Newbury.

The ITV cameras are showing eight races across the three venues and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

 

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 –Ladbrokes Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
7/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/13 – Had won at Kempton before
5/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Trained by William Haggas
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden


2.15 – Ladbrokes Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f ITV

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/16 – Rated between 89 and 99
11/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Winning favourites

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

2.00 – Unibet Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Last ran 4+ months ago
7/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Rated 106+
6/7 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/7 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
4/7 – Had won 6+ times before
4/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Trained by Roger Varian (3 of last 4)
2/7 – Won last time out

2.35 – Unibet Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/18 – Carried 8-13 or more
15/18 – Aged 4 years-old
15/18 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/18 – Won over a mile before
10/18 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/18 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won last time out
1/18 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 18 years

 

3.10 – Unibet Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/17 – Had won between 2-4 times before
13/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
12/17 – Having their first run of the flat season
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 95-100
9/17 – Placed first or second last time out
8/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/17 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
7/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/17  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 – Ridden by James Doyle (last 2)
9 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 34 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

3.45 - Unibet Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/16 – Had won no more than 5 times before
14/16 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
14/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/16 – Had won over 6f before
11/16 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
10/16 – Rated 102+
9/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (or joint)
3/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
7 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.50 –BetVictor Novices’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 18% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is only 3-from-76 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

3.25 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
15/16 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/16 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
12 of the last 14 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
Annie Mc won the race in 2019



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Sat TV Trends: 13th Feb 2021

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We’ve plenty more Cheltenham Festival clues on offer this weekend with cracking cards at both Newbury and Warwick. The Denman Chase, Betfair Hurdle and Betfair Exchange Chase (Game Spirit) are three of the feature races at Newbury, while at Warwick the Grade 2 Kingmaker Novices' Chase gives us a chance to see some potential stars of the future.

As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the ITV LIVE races covered for you key trends and top tips.

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 - Betfair Weighed-In Podcast Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m52y ITV4

14/15 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
13/15 – Had run within the last 10 weeks
11/15 – Aged 7 or younger
11/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/15 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
10/15 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
9/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Aged 7 years-old
6/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/15 – Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
3/15 – French bred
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Raced at Haydock last time out

2.25 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/17 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
15/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/17 – Rated 150+
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Aged 8 or younger
11/17 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
11/17 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
10/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – French bred
5/17 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
4/17 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/17 – Returned a double-figure price
3/17 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/17 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
7 of the last 14 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 14 runnings is 3/1

 

3.00 – Betfair Cheltenham Free Bet Pot Builder Chase (Registered as The Game Spirit Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m92y ITV4

15/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Placed favourites
13/15 – Aged 8 or younger
12/15 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (3 winners)
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/15 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
10/15 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
9/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Had raced at Newbury (fences) before (5 winners)
6/15 – French bred
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
2/15 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase
Altior has won the last three renewals (2017, 2018 & 2020)

Note: The 2019 running was staged at Ascot

 

 

3.35 – Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

18/18 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
17/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Rated 130 or higher
15/18 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
15/18 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
14/18 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
14/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
13/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
9/18 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Aged 5 years-old (including 8 of last 14)
7/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/18 – Trained by Gary Moore
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 7)
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 9)
2/18  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/18 – Owned by JP McManus
1/18 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
23 of the last 24 winners have been aged 7 or younger
Pic D’Orhy (33/1) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 14/1

 

WARWICK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 – Close Brothers Warwick Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

Just 6 previous running
6/6 – Aged 6 or 7 years old
6/6 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
4/6 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
4/6 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
3/6 – Rated between 141 and 149
3/6 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Irish bred
2/6 – Had run at Warwick before
Trainer Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Indefatigable (7/2 cfav) won the race in 2020

 

2.40 – Agetur UK Kingmaker Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
8/9 – Won over 2m fences before
7/9 – Had won no more than twice (fences) in the UK
7/9 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Rated between 137-147
5/9 – Aged 5 or 7 years-old
5/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Unplaced favs
4 of the last 5 winners have been 6 year-olds
Rouge Vif (7/2) won the race in 2020

Note: 2009 renewal was at Sandown
 

3.15 – Paddy Power Warwick Castle Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Irish (4) or French (6) bred
9/10 – Aged 9 or younger
9/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top three
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Unplaced in their last race
7/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
5/10 – Carried 11-0 or more
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Clondaw Castle (11/2) won the race in 2020



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Sat TV Trends: 28th Nov 2020

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Another huge Saturday ahead with the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

4 previous runnings
All four winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
2 of the last 4 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 6 years-old
Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past
2 winning favourites (joint) in the last 4 years
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 3% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Gerry Fielden Intermediate Handicap (Listed Race) (A Limited Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

13/14 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
12/14 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
11/14 – Irish, French or German bred
11/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/14 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/14 – Had raced at Newbury before
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/14 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
Epatante (3/1) won the race in 2019
Global Citizen (5/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

16/18 – Aged 8 or younger
16/18 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
16/18 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
15/18 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
13/18 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/18 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
12/18 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
12/18 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
12/18 – Rated between 140 and 151
12/18 – Had a previous run that season
10/18 – Won last time out
10/18 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 8)
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 4)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (29 runnings) there have been 14 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

 

3.35- Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/18 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/18 – French bred
10/18 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
10/18 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
10/18 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
9/18 – Placed in their last race
9/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
10 of the last 14 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
Magic Saint (3/1 fav) won the race in 2019

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)


2.05 – BetFair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

18/18 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
16/18 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
16/18 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
15/18 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
15/18 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Officially rated 151 or higher
12/18 – Won their last race
11/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/18 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
8/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/18 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/18 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
4/18 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/18 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (4 of last 12)
3/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/18 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 6/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

3.15 – BetFair Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

15/16 – Didn’t win their last race
14/16 – Irish bred
14/16 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
13/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/16 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
4/16 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 8 or older
Takinrisks (20/1) won the race in 2019
Lake View Lad (5/1) won the race in 2018
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

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Sun TV Trends: 19th July 2020

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The LIVE ITV horse racing continues this Sunday with the cameras heading to York and Newbury.

At York the Group Three Summer Fillies’ Stakes (3:05) is their feature, while at Newbury we’ve three races that include the lucrative Weatherbys Super Sprint (2:50).

As always we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners.

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

1:55 - William Hill King Charles II Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 7f ITV4

 

16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Won only once before
11/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/17 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Note: Normally run at Newmarket

 

2:30 - William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

 

No past runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is only 3 from 99 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is only 3 from 85 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is only 2 from 57 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Graham Lee is only 3 from 65 (5%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 2 from 69 (3%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

3:05 - William Hill Summer Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

 

10/10 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
10/10 – Won over 6f in the past
10/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Won last time out
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Won between 2-5 times
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 6-11 (inc)
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Had run at the track before
3/10 – Ran at Ayr last time out
3/10  - Ran at Haydock last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Royal Intervention won this race in 2019

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

 

2.15 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

 

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 40% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is 0-from-32 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tony Carroll is only 1 from 29 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlies Hills is only 3 from 60 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2:50 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV4

 

15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 5f before
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Won 1-2 times before
11/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Won by a Feb or March foal
8/16 – Irish bred winners
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Won by a filly
6/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
4/16 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

 

3:25 - bet365 Steventon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

 

11/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
10/15 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/15 – Had run at the track before
6/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Had won a Group race before
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 10 runnings

 

4:00 - Marsh Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m½f ITV4

 

Just two previous runnings
2/2 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
1/2 – Winning favourites
Withhold (17/2) won the race in 2019, Roger Charlton
Stratum (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018, Willie Mullins
Trainer Ralph Beckett is only 1 from 21 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 



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Sat TV Trends: 29th February 2020

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We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RacingTV)

**NOTE** - Newbury's Saturday card has been called off due to a waterlogged track

2.05 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4

9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/10 – Aged 10 years-old
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/10 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Winning favourites
Carole’s Destrier (6/1) won the race in 2019
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

3.15– William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4

15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
13/16 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
13/16 – Won over this trip previously
11/16 – Officially rated 139 or higher
11/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/16 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RacingTV)


1.50 – 888Sport Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 9 or younger
6/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Finished 4th or better last time out
6/7 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/7 – Favourites place in the top two
4/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/7 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Aged 9 years-old
2/7 – Won last time out

2.25 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
5/8 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
5/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/8 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/8 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

 

3.00 – 888Sport Take ‘Em On Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 2
5/6 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/6 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/6 – Irish bred

 

3.35 – 888Sport Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4

15/15 – Aged 8 or older
14/15 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
12/15 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/15 – Aged 9 or older
10/15 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Rated 131 or less
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
7/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/15 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 5 runnings
Chidswell won the race in 2019
Definitely Red won this race in 2017

 

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.45 – William Hill Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV4

10/11 – Aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/11 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
6/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Kelso before
5/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Winning favourite
3/11 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/11 – Trained by Lucinda Russell

 

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