Tag Archive for: hungerford stakes

Sat TV Horse Racing Trends: 15th Aug 2026

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 17 of the last 24 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 15 of the last 17 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2:10 – Betway Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

22/23 – Didn’t win last time out
19/23 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
19/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
17/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Had 3 or more career wins
15/23 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
4/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 9)
The last 11 winners aged 3-6 years-old
4 of the last 8 winners from stalls 4 or lower
7 of the last 10 winners between stalls 4-9
Archduke Ferdinand won this race in 2024
Strike won the race in 2022 2nd in 2024 and 6th in 2023 & 2025

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:25 – Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

23/24 – Had won at least twice in their career
20/24 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
19/24 – Aged 3-5 years-old
18/24 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/24 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
17/24 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
16/24 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/24 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/24 – Winning favourites (4 of the last 5)
14/24 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
11/24 – Had already won a Group race
11/24 – Had won at Newbury before
10 of the last 11 winners from stalls 2-6
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 2
2/6 winners trained by Owen Burrows

1:55 – D&H, Excellence In Nutrition Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV

Three previous running
Rhythm N Hooves won this race in 2025
1/3 winning favourite
2/3 winners from stalls 2-4
Trainer Harry Charlton is just 3-55 (5%) at Newbury
Trainer William Haggas has a 22% SR at Newbury

2:35 – TPT Fire Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV

14/15 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
14/15 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/15 - Had won over 7f or further before
11/15 - Won between 2-4 times before
11/15 - Rated between 90-98 (inc)
10/15 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 - Finished 5th or better last time out
8/15 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
8/15 - Had raced at Newbury before
7/15 - Irish bred
6/15 - Ran at Ascot last time out
3/15 - Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 9)
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 6)
2/15 - Winning favourites
2/15 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 6
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or lower

3.10 – Visit Malta Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

21/24 – Didn’t win last time out
20/24 – Had won over this 7f trip before
19/24 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/24 – Officially rated 108 or more
19/24 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
19/24 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
18/24 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
13/24 – Had run at Newbury before (5 won)
9/24 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/24 – Trained by William Haggas (4 of the last 11)
15 of the last 17 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
John Gosden is the leading trainer (6 wins)

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)

2:55 William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV

Only 3 past runnings
Trainers Richard Fahey, Paul Midgley and Nigel Tinker have won this race before
All 3 winners from stalls 10-12
No winning favourite yet
2/3 winners carried 9-11 and 9-12
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 3-from-55 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Grant Wood won the race in 2024

3:25 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

21/24 – Previous winners over 6f
18/24 – Didn’t win last time out
17/24 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
16/24– Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/24 – Carried 8-11 or more
15/24 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/24 – Finished unplaced last time out
14/24 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
13/24 - Had run at Ripon before (5 won)
13/24 – Unplaced favourites
10/24 – Ran at either Goodwood (7) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/24 – Aged 4 years-old
7/24 – Winning favourites (6 in the last 13)
3/24 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 15)
3/24 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/24 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
3/24 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of last 13)
2/24 – Aged 3 years-old
3 of the last 7 winners ran in the race the previous year
Just ONE winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings (2025)
8 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
10 of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or less
Only 8 winning favourites since 1990 (but 6 in last 13)
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

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More Thunder moving up in class at the weekend

More Thunder is all set to have his first run in Pattern company in Saturday’s Visit Malta Hungerford Stakes.

William Haggas’ rapidly improving four-year-old won over 10 furlongs for Sir Michael Stoute last season, but his new trainer wasted no time in reverting to sprinting.

He won a six-furlong handicap at the Craven meeting off 87, followed up at the Guineas meeting off 92, was beaten a head off 98 in the Wokingham and won the Bunbury Cup over seven furlongs last time out off the same mark.

Now up to 103, connections feel it is time to test the water at a higher level, starting with this Group Two contest.

Bruce Raymond, racing manager to More Thunder’s owner Saeed Suhail, said: “I can’t see why he won’t be up to it, he’s unlucky not to be unbeaten this season.

“Because he’s only been running in handicaps his rating is still pretty low compared to some in the race, but I’d be very disappointed if he wasn’t up to this level.

“He’s very versatile regarding trip. For now I think seven suits him, but I know his jockey (Tom Marquand) thinks he’s at his best over a strong-run six, which is quite hard to believe given Sir Michael started off with him at 10 furlongs.”

With More Thunder in action this weekend, Never So Brave, in the same ownership and trained by Andrew Balding, has the Sky Bet City of York Stakes on his agenda.

“He’ll be going to the new Group One at York, he’s improving with every run and looked good at Ascot,” said Raymond.

Also in contention for the Newbury race are Lennox Stakes winner Witness Stand, the Charlie Appleby pair of Notable Speech and Shadow Of Light, Marco Botti’s Great Generation and Eve Johnson Houghton’s Rage Of Bamby.