Tag Archive for: horse racing trends

2024 bet365 Gold Cup Trends

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The Bet365 Gold Cup will be known to older racing fans as The Whitbread, this 3m5 1/2f race is the last big jumping event of the NH season, and being staged on a mixed (jumps/flat) card then for many this signals the real handover between the two codes.

Run at Sandown Park racecourse the staying Handicap Grade Three chase has been won by some leading names over the years, including Desert Orchid, who landed the prize back in 1988. It’s also been a poor race for the favourite in recent times with just one outright winning favourite since 1990, but that was last year with Kitty's Light - while it might pay to note that 25 of the last 32 winners carried less than 11st to victory.

Here at Geegeez we give you all the stats ahead of the 2024 renewal - this year run on Saturday 27th April 2024.

Past Bet365 Gold Cup Winners

2023 - KITTY'S LIGHT (11/4 fav)
2022 – HEWICK (16/1)
2021 - POTTERMAN (12/1)
2020 – No Race
2019 – TALKISCHEAP (7/1)
2018 – STEP BACK (7/1)
2017 – HELLAN HARRI (40/1)
2016 – THE YOUNG MASTER (8/1)
2015 – JUST A PAR (14/1)
2014 – HADRIANS APPROACH (10/1)
2013 – QUENTIN COLLONGES (14/1)
2012 – TIDAL BAY (9/1)
2011 – POKER DE SIVOLA (11/1)
2010 – CHURCH ISLAND (20/1)
2009 – HENNESSY (13/2)
2008 – MONKERHOSTIN (25/1)
2007 – HOT WELD (6/1)
2006 – LACDOUDAL (10/1)
2005 – JACK HIGH (16/1)
2004 – PUNTAL (25/1)
2003 – AD HOC (7/1)

Bet365 Gold Cup Betting Trends and Stats

19/20 – Had raced in the last 63 days
18/20 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
16/20 – Had won over 3m or further before
16/20 – Aged 9 or younger
15/20 – Carried 11-0 or less
14/20  - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/20 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
12/20 – Had raced in the last 25 days
11/20 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/20 – Won with 10st in weight
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
3/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/20 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/20– Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/20 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
2/20 - Trained by Alan King (2 of last 4 winners)
1/20 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

Just 1 outright winning favourite since 1990 (Kitty's Light, 2023)
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
11 of the last 16 winners aged 7 or 8
3 of the last 8 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys
25 of the last 32 (78%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 7 of the last 20 runnings (35%)
16 of the last 20 (80%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times
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Sat TV Trends: 20th April 2024

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The ITV horse racing cameras are at Newbury as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Dubai Duty Free Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track on ITV, including the Greenham Stakes and, like always, we’ve got these LIVE Newbury races covered from a trends and stats angle – fingers crossed they will point you in the direction of a few winners.

While it’s also Scottish Grand National Day up at Ayr – a race trainer Christian Williams has won for the last two years and is sure to be well represented again.

The ITV horse racing cameras are at the Scottish track to take in five races live.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.30 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

20/20 – Aged 6 or younger
19/20 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
19/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before
18/20 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
17/20 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/20 – Having their first run of the season
16/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
13/20 – Had raced at Newbury before
11/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/20 – Had won a Group race before
7/20 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 9)
Max Vega won the race in 2022
Jockey Jim Crowley (3) and Ryan Moore (2) have won 5 of the last 9
8 of the last 11 winners drawn in stalls 4 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 6/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

18/20 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
17/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
17/20 – Had won between 1-2 times before
17/20 – Having their first run of the season
16/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Drawn 5 or higher
15/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/20 – Had won over 7f before
9/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Had won at Newbury before
7/20 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
5/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
4/20 – Trained by the Channon yard
2/20 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/20 – Trained by the Hannon stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2.40 – Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
18/20 – Having their first run of the season
17/20 – Won at Listed class or better before
16/20 – Won between 2-4 times before
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Finished in the top two last time out
13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/20 – Had won a Group race before
10/20 – Won last time out
10/20 – Had won over 7f before
9/20 – Winning favourites
9/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/20 – Had won a race at Newbury before
6/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/20 – Irish-trained
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners
8 of the last 10 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


3.15 – OLBG Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

20/20 – Won no more than 4 times before (flat)
19/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
17/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/20 – Won between 2-4 times before (flat)
16/20 – Won over at least 1m before
15/20 – Rated between 85-98
13/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
14/20 – Unplaced last time out
12/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/20 – Unplaced favourites
10/20 – Had run at Newbury before
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 10)
2/20 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 9)
2/20 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 4)
1/20 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m 1/2f ITV

19/19 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
17/19 – Aged 9 or younger
17/19 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
16/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Rated between 127-139
13/19 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/19 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/19 – French bred
11/19 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
11/19 – Had run at Ayr before
4/19 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 6 years)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

1.50 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV

12/12 – Aged 9 or younger
12/12 – No more than 3 chase wins
11/12 – French (4) or Irish (7) bred
10/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/12 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
8/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Had run at the track before
3/12 – Winning favourites
Trainer Dan Skelton has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

20/20 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
17/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
17/20 – Aged 7 or younger
16/20 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
16/20 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
15/20 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Rated 135 or higher
11/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/20 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
10/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/20 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
Rubaud (7/2 fav) won the race in 2023
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Seafield Trophy Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 3m 1/2f

10/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles)
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
6/10 – Aged 6 years-old
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Had run at Ayr before (2 winners)
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1
Sabrina won the race 12 months ago


3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

19/20 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
18/20 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
17/20 – Aged 8 or older
16/20 – Carried 11-1 or less
17/20 – Coming from a different winning yard
16/20 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
15/20 – French or Irish bred
15/20 – Finished in the first three last time out
14/20 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
14/20 – Had won over 3m or further
14/20 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
13/20 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/20 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
8/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/20 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/20 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
3/20 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 7 winners and 3 wins in total)
2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/20 – Trained by Christian Williams (last 2)
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 3 times
The last two winners won the Eider Chase earlier that season
2 of the last 12 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 19/1
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Sat TV Trends: 19th Aug 2023

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We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 16 of the last 21 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 13 of the last 14 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

19/20 – Didn’t win last time out
17/20 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
16/20 – Had won over 6f before
16/20 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Aged 5 or older
13/20 – Had 3 or more career wins
13/20 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/20 – Unplaced favourites
3/20 – Winning favouritess
2/20 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 6)
4 of the last 5 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Strike won the race in 2022

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 1:50 – BetVictor Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

21/21 – Had won at least twice in their career
18/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
17/21 – Aged 3-5 years-old
16/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/21 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
14/21 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
13/21 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/21 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
12/21 – Winning favourites
9/21 – Had already won a Group race
9/21 – Had won at Newbury before
Hukum won the race in 2020 and 2021

2:25 – Highclere Castle Gin Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Ed Walker has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rod Milman has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

3.00 – Heart Bingo Summer Sizzler Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV

11/12 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
11/12 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/12 - Won between 2-4 times before
10/12 - Had won over 7f or further before
9/12 - Finished 5th or better last time out
8/12 - Rated between 90-96 (inc)
7/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
7/12 - Had raced at Newbury before
6/12 - Irish bred
4/12 - Ran at Ascot last time out
3/12 - Ridden by Adam Kirby
2/12 - Trained by William Haggas
2/12 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 3)
2/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 4 winners came from stall 6
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

3.35 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Didn’t win last time out
18/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
17/21 – Had won over this 7f trip before
17/21 – Officially rated 108 or more
17/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/21 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
15/21 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
11/21 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/21 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 8)
13 of the last 14 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
Jumby won the race in 2022

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)

2:40 William Hill Silver Trophy Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Paul Midgely has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey David Allen has a 20% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

3:15 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

18/21 – Previous winners over 6f
16/21 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
15/21 – Didn’t win last time out
14/21 – Carried 8-12 or more
14/21 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
14/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/21  - Had run at Ripon before (4 won)
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
8/21 – Ran at either Goodwood (5) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/21 – Aged 4 years-old
6/21 – Winning favourites (5 in the last 10)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 12)
3/21 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/21 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 10)
1/21 – Aged 3 years-old
Intrinsic Bond won the race in 2022
Justanotherbottle won the race in 2021
No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
8 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 7 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th July 2023

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It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also four races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (29th July 2023) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

17/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/20 – Had won just once before
16/20 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
15/20 – Won over 6f before
13/20 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/20 – Winning favourite
10/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 9)
2/20 – Won by the Hannon yard
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
10 of the last 17 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 17 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 11 winners came from stall 1
Lezoo (6/5 fav) won the race in 2022

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

2.25 – Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) (Filles and Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

11/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/11 – Won over at least 7f before
11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Won 2 or 3 times in the past
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Had run at Ascot before
2/11 – Winning favourites
Jumbly (10/3) won the race in 2022

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

20/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
20/20 – Had raced at Ascot previously
18/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
15/20 – Won over 7f previously
15/20 – Won between 2-4 times previously
13/20 – Favourites unplaced
13/20 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
12/20 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
8/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/20 – Won their last race
3/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 13 years
14 of the last 16 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
12 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 16 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Fresh (8/1) won the race in 2022
Danyah (9/2 fav) won the race in 2021
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

21/21 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
19/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/21 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
18/21 – Placed last time out
17/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Previous Group 1 winner
13/21 – Had run Ascot before
12/21 – Aged 4 years-old
12/21 – Won their previous race
10/21 – Favourites that won
9/21 – Won at Ascot before
8/21 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/21 – Trained by John Gosden
4/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 9 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 4/1

York Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
4/5 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
4/5 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
3/5 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
2/5 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
1/5 - Winning favourite
Birkenhead (25/1) won the race in 2022
Soul Seeker (11/2) won the race in 2021

 

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

19/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Carried 8-12 or more
16/19 – Had won between 2-6 times before
16/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
13/19 – Aged 5 or younger
13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/19 – Had run at York before
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
6/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 4)
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/19 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/19 – Won last time out
Jockey Connor Beasley has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners
12 of the last 17 winners carried 9-0 or more
Gala Force Maya (9/2) won the race in 2022
Venturous (33/1) won the race in 2021
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Rated between 110 and 117
11/17 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
10/17 – Had run at York before
8/17 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Aged 6 years-old
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor

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Sat TV Trends: 10th June 2023

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Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from Beverley and Haydock. As always, here at GeeGeez we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 - Sky Bet Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
12/13 – Aged 5 or older
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
12/13 – Had won over 5f before
10/13 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
10/13 – Won between 6-8 times before
10/13 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
9/13 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
9/13 – Had run at the course before
9/13 – Winning distance 1 length or less
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
5/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
Raasel won the race in 2022
The last 10 winners came between stalls 2-10
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster

1.50 Sky Bet Reverence Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV

5/5 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/5 – Drawn in stalls 6 or higher
4/5 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
2/5 - Trained by David O’Meara
0/5 – Winning favourites
Silver Samurai won the race last year

2.25 – Better Betting With Sky Bet Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV

1 previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 9 from 112 with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Loughnane is just 3 from 42 with this 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Lester Piggott Stakes (Reg as the Pinnacle Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV

19/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Rated 92 or higher
15/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Aged 4 years-old
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/20 – Had run at Haydock before
6/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Trained by John Gosden
2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The last 7 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

3.35 - Sky Bet John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Rated 106 or higher
17/19 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
16/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had won over 7f before
15/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/19 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/19 – Favourites placed
6/19 – Had run at the track before
6/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 Co)
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/19 - Aged 9 years-old
8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 4-6
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

Beverley Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 - Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

15/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
13/17 – Had won just once before
12/17 – Irish bred
12/17 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
11/17 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
10/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/17 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/17 – Raced at York last out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17– Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 6/1
11 of the last 12 winners drawn 9 or lower
10 or the last 12 winners were foaled in Feb or March
8 of last 13 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)

2.40 - bet365 Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2 f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Michael and David Easterby has a 24% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 20% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tina Jackson is just 1 from 28 with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Shane Gray is just 1 from 28 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.15 – bet365 Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Colts & Geldings Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

13/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Feb, March or April bred
13/13 – Drawn in 6 or lower
11/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/13 – Won over 5f before
9/13 – Won at least once before
8/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Had raced twice or more
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Drawn in stall 1
3/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 21% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Craig Lister has a 30% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
The Andrew Balding yard have a 100% (2-from-2) record with their 2 year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

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Sat TV Trends: 27th May 2023

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More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in 8 races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.50 – Betfred TV Hell Nook Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Winners aged 4 or 5
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
8/8 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
7/8 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
7/8 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
7/8 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
6/8 – Unplaced favourites
6/8 – Rated between 89-98
6/8 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
2/8 – Trained by Mark Johnston
1/8 – Winning favourites (joint)
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Trainers John Quinn, William Haggas, Mark Johnston (2), Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison, Lucy Wadham & Andrew Balding were previous winners of the race


2.25 – Betfred Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

19/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
18/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/19 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
17/19 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/19 – Placed last time out
15/19 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/19 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
11/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/19 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 4)
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 9)
David Probert has ridden 3 of the last 12 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2


3.00 – Betfred Nify Fifty Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
16/17 – Had won over 6f before
15/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – From stall 5 or higher
8/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/17 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/17 – Raced at York last time
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/17 – Trained y by Karl Burke (2 of the last 6)
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015


3.30 –Betfred Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

19/20 – Trained in the UK
18/20 – Had won over 5f before
17/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/20 – Raced within the last 2 months
13/20 – Placed third or better last time out
12/20 – Favourites that were placed
12/20 – Had won a Group race before
9/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won their latest race
2/20 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 6 runnings)
The last 6 winners were aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Just 2 of the last 18 winners aged 3

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.30 – William Hill Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

17/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/18 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/18 – Had run at Goodwood before
11/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
9/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Chris Wall
All of the last 9 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

2.05 - William Hill Harroways Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 7f ITV4

8/9 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
8/9 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
8/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/9 - returned between 9/2 to 12/1
6/9 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
5/9 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
5/9 – Won just once before
3/9 – Rated between 77-81
3/9 – Winners from stall 3
2/9 - Trained by Richard Hannon
2/9 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/9 -  Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 5 runnings)
David O’Meara, William Haggas, Richard Hannon (2), Mark Johnston (2), Andrew Balding, William Muir and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/2

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.40 – William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
6/8 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
7/8 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
6/8 – Aged 5 or younger
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
5/8 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
3/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/8 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/8 – Aged 4 years-old
2/8 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

3.15 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
4/4 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
4/4 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
2/4 - Winning favourites
Trainers Andrew Balding, Roger Varian, John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 20th May 2023

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After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 – BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

16/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
15/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
14/18 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Drawn in stall 3
3/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 8)
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

18/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/19 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/19 – Drawn 4 or lower
14/19 – Had run at Newbury before
14/19 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/19 – Aged 4 years-old
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas (the last 2)
3 of the last 14 winners were Godolphin-owned

3.00 - BetVictor London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

18/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Carried 8-10 or more
15/19 – Rated 90 or lower
15/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/19 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
13/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Won last time out
9/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/19 – Irish bred
6/19 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
6/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

3.35 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Won over a mile before
16/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/19 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won a Group One race before
14/19 – Aged 4 years-old
14/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/19 – Winning favourites
11/19 – Having their first run of the season
10/19 – Unplaced last time out
5/19 – Godolphin owned
4/19 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/19 – Won by a mare
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/19 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/19 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Aspall Cyder 1728 Handicap Cl4 (3yo 0-85) 1m ITV

7/7 – Top 4 finish last time out
6/7 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
6/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/7 – Rated between 75-84 (inc)
5/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Came between stalls 6-10 (inc)
4/7 – Had won over a mile before
4/7 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 6 (2)
3/7 – Won last time out
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by an apprentice

2.40 – Aspall Suffolk Draught Cyder Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

19/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
16/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Had won over 6f before
15/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
13/19 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/19 – Rated between 91-96
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/19 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Won by a mare/filly
3/19 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-8
10 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 3-7
6 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 5-8
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2

3.50 – Aspall Blush Cyder Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

6/6 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/6 - Won over at least 7f before
6/6 - Won 2+ times before
6/6 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
5/6 - Placed favourites
5/6 - Rated between 85-91
5/6 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
4/6 - Didn’t win last time out
3/6 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/6 - Ridden by William Buick
1/6 - Winning favourites

 

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2022 Kerry National Trends

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Run over 3m the Guinness Kerry National is a Grade A Handicap Chase staged at Listowel racecourse.

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won two of the last 6 runnings, while we’ve not seen a winning favourite in the last 12 renewals.

Here at Geegeez, we take a look back at past winners and gives you some of the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2022 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 21st September.

 

Recent Kerry National Winners

2021 – Assemble (9/1)
2020 – Cabaret Queen (6/1)
2019 – Poker Party (14/1)
2018 – Snow Falcon (6/1)
2017 – Potters Point (8/1)
2016 – Wrath Of Titans (7/1)
2015 – Rogue Angel (8/1)
2014 – Your Busy (25/1)
2013 – White Star Line (16/1)
2012 – Faltering Fullback (33/1)
2011 – Alfa Beat (20/1)
2010 – Alfa Beat (6/1)
2009 – Northern Alliance (4/1 fav)
2008 – Ponmeoath (9/1)
2007 – Ponmeoath (14/1)
2006 – Bothar Na (10/1)
2005 – Euro Leader (11/2)
2004 – Banasan (7/1)
2003 – Native Performance (8/1)
2002 – Monty’s Pass (9/1)

 

Kerry National Betting Trends

20/20 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/20 – Rated 126 or higher
17/20 – Aged 8 or younger
16/20 – Had run at Listowel before (5 won)
14/20 – Had won at least twice over fences before
14/20 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/20 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – The first three home were aged 9 or younger
10/20– Had won 5 or more times
10/20 – Favourites placed
10/20 – Carried 10-9 or more
9/20 – Winning distance between 1 and 4 lengths
7/20 – Had won over 3m (or further) before
7/20 – Ran at Galway last time out
3/20 – Trained by E McNamara
3/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/20 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
1/20 – Winning favourites
The last 7 winners have been aged 7 or 8

Sat TV Trends: 17th Sept 2022

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It’s Ayr Gold Cup Day in Scotland (Ayr racecourse) this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 9 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race.

Did you know? 16 of the last 21 Ayr Gold Cup winners FAILED to win their last race, while 12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8 or higher.

Use our key trends to whittle down the runners and help find the best profiles of past winners.

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.20 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

10/10 - Won at least twice before
10/10 - Rated between 89 and 96
9/10 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 - Won previously over 1m
8/10 - Aged between 3-5 years-old
8/10 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 - Carried 9-3 or less in weight
7/10 - Drawn between stalls 3 and 9 (inc)
7/10 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/10 - Irish bred
6/10 - Placed favourites
5/10 - Had run at Ayr before
4/10 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 - Winning favourites
Revich (20/1) won the race in 2021

1.55 – Virgin Bet Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Yet to race at Ayr
10/11 – Won over 1m2f or more
10/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
9/11 – Rated between 101 and 111
9/11 – Won 3 or more times before
8/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Aged 4 or older
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 9)
3/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of the last 7)

2.30 – Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

19/19 – Carried 8-11 or more
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Previous winners over 6f
15/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
15/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
15/19 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/19 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
14/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/19 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
12/19 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/19 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
3/19 – Winning Favourites
0/19 – Filly or mare winners

3.05 – Virgin Bet Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

17/19 – Had never raced at Ayr before
16/19 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/19 – Previous winners over 6f
15/19 – Had won once or two times before
14/19 – Winning distance 1 length or further
14/19 – Had 3 or more runs that season
13/19 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
13/19 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
11/19 – Placed favourites
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/19 – Trained by Bryan Smart

3.40 – Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

21/21 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
18/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
18/21 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
16/21 – Had won over 6f before
16/21 – Failed to win their last race
14/21 – Rated 90-101
14/21 – Carried 9-1 or more
14/21 – Came from a double-figure stall
13/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Had 7 or more runs that season
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/21 – Ran at Doncaster (3), Goodwood (5) or Haydock (3) last time out
10/21 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/21 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/21 – Winning favourites (4 winning favs since 1980)
2/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 9)
0/21 – Filly or mare winners
12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 17 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just 6 winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 14/1

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.40 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

20/20 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
18/20 – Priced 9/1 or less
16/20 – Aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/20 – Had 4 or more career wins
12/20 – Raced at Newbury before
11/20 – Favourites placed
11/20 – Had won a Group race before
9/20 – Raced 5 or more times that season
8/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Favourites that won
4/20 – Trained by David Simcock (including 4 of last 7 runnings)
4/20 – Raced at York last time
3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Solid Stone (12/1) won the race last year

 

2.15 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

19/20 – Raced four or more times that season
18/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
17/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
16/20 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
16/20 – Won a Listed or Group race before
16/20 – Won over 5f previously
15/20 - Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Won 4 or more times
13/20 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/20 – Previous Group race winners
7/20 – Won their last race
6/20 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 9 winners)
6/20 – Favourites
5/20 – Mare winners

 

2.50 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

15/20 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
15/20 – Won from draw 5 or lower
15/20 – Raced 3 or more times
15/20 – Won over 6f previously
14/20 – Favourites placed
13/20 – Foaled in March or later
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/20 – Favourites (or joint) that won
8/20 – Won exactly two races before
7/20 – Won by an April foal
6/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/20 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 6)
2/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/20 – Filly winners

 

3.25 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Won over 1m2f or further before
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
10/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
9/12 – Won 3 or 4 times
8/12 – Drawn 8 or lower
6/12 – Rated between 92 and 96 (inc)
6/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 13 (2)
4/12 – Had run at Newbury before

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Doncaster TV Trends: Sun 11th Sept 2022

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The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (7th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

Note: Due to the Queen's sad death the St Leger card (and some other races lost on Friday's Doncaster card) will now be run on Sunday 11th Sept 2022.

As we head into Sunday - the final day of the St Leger Festival - the Cazoo St Leger is the main event - the oldest and final of the English Classics.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Sunday 11th September 2022

12.30 Coral Champagne Stakes Group 2, 7f ITV

  • Key Trends
  • 20/21 - Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 19/21 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
  • 18/21 – Favourites placed
  • 17/21 – Had won over 7f before
  • 17/21 – Finished third or better last time out
  • 16/21 – Won by a Feb or March foal
  • 13/21 – Won last time out
  • 12/21 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t­­he Curragh last time out
  • 9/21 – Raced 3 or more times that season
  • 9/21 – Winning favourites
  • 4/21 – Won by Godolphin
  • 4/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
  • 2/21 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
  • 2/21 – Winners from stall 1

1:00 - Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6½f

  • Key Trends
  • 12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
  • 12/12 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
  • 11/12 – Aged 5 or younger
  • 11/12 – Won over 6f and 7f
  • 11/12 – Won between 2-4 times
  • 11/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 10/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
  • 10/12 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
  • 9/12 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
  • 9/12 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
  • 8/12 – Carried between 8-10 and 8-13 in weight
  • 7/12 – Had run at Doncaster before
  • 7/12 – Irish bred
  • 1/12 – Winning favourites
  • 0/12 – Winners from stall 1

1:35 - Wainwright Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 5f ITV

  • Key Trends
  • 17/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
  • 15/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
  • 14/18 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
  • 14/18 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
  • 13/18 – Won 1-2 times before
  • 12/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 9/18 – Placed favourites
  • 7/18 – Winning favourites
  • 7/18 – Ran at York last time
  • 6/18 – Foaled in April
  • 5/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
  • 5/18 – Won last time out
  • 1/18 – Irish-trained winners
  • 1/18 – Winners from stall 1

2:10 - Coral Portland Handicap 5½f

  • Key Trends
  • 19/20 – Carried 8-12 or more
  • 17/20 – Had run 5 or more times that season
  • 16/20 – Came from a double-figure stall
  • 16/20 – Won over 6f before
  • 15/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 14/20 – Winner rated between 95 and 102
  • 13/20 – Run at Doncaster previously
  • 13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
  • 12/20 – Won 4 or more times in their career
  • 10/20 – Unplaced Favourites
  • 10/20 – Placed in their last race
  • 9/20 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 9 of last 14 years)
  • 7/20 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
  • 5/20 – Winning favourites
  • 4/20 – Raced at Ripon last time out
  • 3/20 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
  • 3/20 – Won last time out
  • 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 or younger

2:45 - Coral Doncaster Cup Stakes (Group 2) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m2f ITV4

 

  • Key Trends
  • 19/21 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
  • 19/21 – Had 2 or more runs that season
  • 18/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
  • 16/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 15/21 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
  • 15/21 – Placed last time out
  • 14/21 – Had won 5 or more times before
  • 13/21 – Aged 6 or younger
  • 13/21 – Previous Group race winners
  • 13/21 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
  • 12/21 – Ran at York last time out
  • 10/21 – Winning favourites
  • 9/21 – Won last time out
  • 8/21 – Unplaced favourites
  • 4/21 – Trained in Ireland

3.20 Cazoo Park Stakes Group 2, 7f

 

  • Key Trends
  • 16/19 – Won 3 or more times before
  • 15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
  • 16/19 – Run 3 or more times that season
  • 16/19 – Won a Group race previously
  • 16/19 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
  • 15/19 – Won over 7f before
  • 14/19 – Aged 4 or older
  • 13/19 – Placed favourites
  • 12/19 – Unplaced in their most recent race
  • 10/19 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
  • 9/19 – Placed horses from stall 1
  • 8/19 – Had run at Doncaster before
  • 5/19 – Winning favourites
  • 2/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
  • 4 Irish-trained winners in the last 13 runnings

3.55 Cazoo St Leger Stakes Group 1, 1m6½f

 

  • Key Trends
  • 18/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
  • 17/20 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
  • 17/20 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
  • 16/20 – Placed favourites
  • 16/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 15/20 – Had won a Group race before
  • 15/20 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
  • 14/20 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
  • 13/20 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
  • 12/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 12/20 – Won last time out
  • 11/20 – Officially rated 109 to 115
  • 9/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
  • 8/20 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
  • 5/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
  • 4/20 – Trained by John Gosden
  • 4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
  • 4/20 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 wins in total)
  • 3/20 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
  • 3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
  • 2/20 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
  • 2/20 – Winners from stall 1
  • Godolphin have won the race 7 times
  • Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 winners of the race
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13/2

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Newmarket Horse Racing TV Trends | Tuesday 12th April 2022

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More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday 12th and Wednesday 13th April 2022.

Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/Racing TV)

Tuesday 12th April 2022

1.50 – Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4 6f (Row)

Just 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
4/5 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
4/5 - Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
3/5 - aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer Michael Dods has a 38% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Amanda Perrett won the 2020 running
Trainer Roger Varian won the 2019 running
Trainer Ed Walker won the 2018 running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running

2.25 – bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4 7f (Row)

15/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/15 – Rated between 101 and 108
14/15 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
14/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
12/15 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
11/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/15 – Yet to win over 7f
7/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won by the Hills stable
4/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/15 - Trained by Andrew Balding (last two runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

3.00 – bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (4yo+) ITV4 1m1f (Row)

14/14 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
13/14 – Favourites placed in the top three
12/14 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
11/14 – Had raced at the track before (5 won)
10/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won at least 3 times in the past
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
7/14 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
7/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

3.35 - Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4 7f (Row)

17/18 – Were having their first run of the season
15/18 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
9/18 – Had won over 7f before
9/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 5)
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
1/18 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1
Trainer George Boughey has a 33% (2 from 6) record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd April 2022

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A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Ayr to cover their Scottish Grand National card, plus they are also at Newbury to take in three more jumps races.

Here at Geegeez, we are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.


AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
15/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Rated between 127-139
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/17 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/17 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/17 – French bred
11/17 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
9/17 – Had run at Ayr before
4/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 4 years)
2/17 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

1.50 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV


10/10 – Aged 9 or younger
10/10 – No more than 3 chase wins
9/10 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
6/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Had run at the track before
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

 

2.25 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

18/18 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/18 – Aged 7 or younger
14/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Rated 137 or higher
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
Milkwood (3/1 fav) won the race in 2021
4 of the last 8 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

 

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

18/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Aged 8 or younger
17/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
17/18 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
9/18 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/18 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/18 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
6/18 – Raced at Aintree last time out
5/18 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4


3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

18/18 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
16/18 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
16/18 – Aged 8 or older
14/18 – French or Irish bred
14/18 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
13/18 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the first three last time out
13/18 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
12/18 – Had won over 3m or further
12/18 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
11/18 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
7/18 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/18 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/18 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 5 winners)
1/18 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 9 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 20/1
 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1:35 - Play Pick 6 At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

1 previous run
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2:10 - Download The BetVictor App Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+) 2m7½f ITV

1 previous run
Trainer Rebecca Curtis won the race in 2021
Trainer David Dennis has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 28% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Warren Greatrex has a 21% record with his chasers at the track

 

2:45 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV

8/9 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 - Won 1-2 times before
8/9 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/9 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
7/9 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/9 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/9 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/9 - Aged 5 years-old
5/9 - Ran at Doncaster (3) or Exeter (2) last time outs
5/9 - Placed favourites
5/9 - Irish bred winners
4/9 - Won last time out
4/9 - winning favourites
2/9 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th March 2022

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Something for everyone this Saturday as new turf season gets going at Doncaster on Saturday, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature, while there is also decent all-weather racing at Kempton with that include the Listed Magnolia Stakes, plus jumping fans will get their fix at Kelso.

The ITV cameras are showing eight races across the three venues and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Unibet Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
8/14 – Winning favourites
6/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/14 – Had won at Kempton before
5/14 – Unplaced favourites
4/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas

2.40 - Unibet Queen’s Prize Handicap (London Stayers’ Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV

10/10 - Won no more than 5 times
9/10 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 - Didn’t win last time out
8/10 - Had won over 1m6f or further
7/10 - Only won between 1-3 times before
7/10 - Rated between 82-89
7/10 - Had run at Kempton before
7/10 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 - Favourites that finished 2nd
5/10  - Had won at Kempton in the past
2/10 - Trained by Roger Charlton
0/10 - Winning favourites

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

1.50 - SBK Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
15/17 – Had won no more than 5 times before
15/17 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
15/17 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won over 6f before
12/17 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/17 – Rated 102+
10/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
9/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites (or joint)
4/17 – Had won at Doncaster before
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings
7 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)

2.25 – SBK Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

16/19 – Carried 8-13 or more
15/19 – Aged 4 years-old
15/19 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
13/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/19 – Won over a mile before
10/19 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/19 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 19 years

3.00 – SBK Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

Just 8 previous running
8/8 – Last ran 4+ months ago
8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Rated 106+
7/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/8 – Had won over at least 1m before
7/8 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
4/8 – Had won 6+ times before
4/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Trained by Roger Varian (3 of last 5)
2/8 – Won last time out

3.35 – SBK Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

18/18 – Aged 6 or younger
17/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
15/18 – Had won between 2-4 times before
14/18 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
13/18 – Having their first run of the flat season
12/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/18 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/18 – Placed first or second last time out
9/18 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/18 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/18  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/18 – Trained by John Quinn
2/18 - Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 3)
9 of the last 11 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 35 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

Kelso Horse Racing Trends

1.35 - Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV

7/7 - Aged between 7-10 years old
7/7 - Won over at least 2m5f before
7/7 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 - Carried 11st 1lbs or more in weight
6/7 - Didn’t win last time out
5/7 - Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
5/7 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 - Irish bred
4/7 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/7 - Rated between 140-142
3/7 - Ran at Haydock last time out
3/7 - Had run at Kelso before
2/7 - Trained by Lucinda Russell
1/7  - Winning favourites

3:15 - Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 50% (3-from-6) record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 40% record (2-from-5) record with his hurdlers at the track

Sat TV Trends: 24th July 2021

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It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also three races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (24th July 2021) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

 

15/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Had won just once before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/18 – Won over 6f before
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/18 – Winning favourite
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 15 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
Under The Stars (25/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

9/10 – Carried 8-8 or more
7/10 – Winners between stalls 8-15
5/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10– Won last time out
4/10– Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
9 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

 

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/18 – Had raced at Ascot previously
16/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
14/18 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
13/18 – Favourites unplaced
13/18 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/18 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 11 years
12 of the last 14 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

 

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Placed last time out
15/19 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/19 – aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Had run Ascot before
11/19 – Won their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/19 – Won at Ascot before
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 7 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/3

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/3 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/3 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/3 - Winning favourite

 

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 2-6 times before
15/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Had run at York before
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 15 winners carried 9-0 or more
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

 

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Rated between 111 and 117
9/15 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/15 – Had run at York before
8/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Aged 6 years-old
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd May 2021

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More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in nine races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.40 – MansionBet Watch And Bet Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 8-12 or more
7/7 – Drawn between 3-9 (inc)
7/7 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
7/7 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
7/7 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
6/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Won between 2-4 times before
5/7 – Rated between 95-102
5/7 – Carried between 9-1 and 94 in weight
4/7 – Aged 5 years-old
4/7 – Irish bred
4/7 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/7 – Had run at the course before (2 won)
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
2/7 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/7 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/2

2.10 – MansionBet Beaten By A Head Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

15/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
9/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
8/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Chris Wall
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)


2.40 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Trainers John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past
Trainer Roger Varian is just 3 from 48 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.50 – William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
5/6 – Winning distance ½ length or less
4/6 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/6 – Didn’t win last time out
3/6 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/6 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
1/6 – Winning favourites
Duke Of Firenze won this race in 2019
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
Trainer William Haggas has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Fell is just 4 from 82 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is just 3 from 74 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 4 from 98 (4%) with his older horses at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)


1.55 – Casumo Horse Racing And Sports Betting Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 26% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 26% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 4 from 81 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just 2 from 36 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

2.25 – Download The Casumo App Today Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Winners aged 4 or 5
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
6/6 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
6/6 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
5/6 – Unplaced favourites
5/6 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
5/6 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
5/6 – Rated between 90-98
4/6 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
2/6 – Trained by Mark Johnston
0/6 – Winning favourites
Lucky Deal won this race in 2019
Trainers William Haggas, Mark Johnston (2), Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race


3.00 – Join Casumo Today Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
15/17 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/17 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
10/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 7)
David Probert has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2


3.35 – Casumo Bet10Get10 Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – From stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015


4.10 – Casumo Best Odds Guaranteed Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

17/18 – Trained in the UK
16/18 – Had won over 5f before
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/18 – Placed third or better last time out
11/18 – Favourites that were placed
11/18 – Had won a Group race before
9/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won their latest race
2/18 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Charles Hills (last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 4 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 6/1
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

 

 

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