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Sat TV Trends: 14th Aug 2021

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 13 of the last 17 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen the last 12 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in two decent handicaps.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

 

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.00 - MansionBet Bet £10 Get £20 Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

5 previous runnings
4/5 - Drawn stalls 3 or lower
4/5 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 - Placed in the top three last time out
4/5 - Rated between 83-88 (inc)
4/5 - Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
4/5 - Horse from stall 2 placed in the top 3
4/5 - Irish bred
4/5 - Had won over 1m4f or further before
3/5 - Had run at the track before
3/5 - Won by a jockey claiming an allowance
3/5 - Carried 8-8 or less in weight
2/5 - Winning favourites
2/5 - Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Mark Johnston won the race in 2019

 

 

2.35 – MansionBet Bet £10 Get £20 Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

17/18 – Failed to win last time out
15/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
14/18 – Aged 5 or older
14/18 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
13/18 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Had 3 or more career wins
12/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
1/18 – Winning favourites
My Style (4/1 fav) won the race in 2020
My Amigo (5/1) won the race in 2018
Case Key (8/1) won the race in 2017 and 2019

 

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 – Denford Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV4

16/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Finished in the first three last time out
16/19 – Had won a race before
15/19 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
14/19 – Won by a Feb or March foal
13/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Horses from stall 3 placed
10/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/19 – Won on their racecourse debut
4/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

2.20 – BetVictor Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV4

19/19 – Had won at least twice in their career
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
15/19 – Aged 3-5 years-old
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
13/19 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/19 – Officially rated 110 or higher
11/19 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
10/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Had already won a Group race
7/19 – Had won at Newbury before
Hukum (4/1) won the race in 2020
Technician (10/1) won the race in 2019

2.55 - BetVictor Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

10/10 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
9/10 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/10 - Won between 2-4 times before
8/10 - Had won over 7f or further before
7/10 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 - Rated between 90-96 (inc)
7/10 - Finished 5th or better last time out
7/10 - Carried between 9-1 and
7/10 - Had raced at Newbury before
5/10 - Irish bred
3/10 - Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 - Trained by William Haggas
2/10 - Ridden by Adam Kirby
1/10 - Winning favourites
1/10 - Won last time out
The last 2 winners came from stall 6

 

 

3.30 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4 

17/19 – Didn’t win last time out
17/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
16/19 – Had won over this 7f trip before
16/19 – Officially rated 108 or more
15/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/19 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
14/19 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
10/19 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/19 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
The last 12 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Dream Of Dreams (13/8 fav) won the race in 2020
Glorious Journey (10/3) won the race in 2019
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015

 

 

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

3.10 – William Hill Silver Trohpy Handicap (Consolation Race For The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes) Cl2 6f ITV4

8/8 – Previous winners over 6f
8/8 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
8/8 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
8/8 – Returned between 6/1 and 16/1
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/8 - Drawn 13 or higher
6/8 – Won between 3-4 times before
6/8 – Winning distance neck or shorter
5/8 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
5/8 – Rated between 87-93
2/8 – Has won at Ripon before
2/8 - Trained by Richard Fahey
0/8 – Winning favourites
Growl won the race in 2019
Quick Look won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star won the race in 2017

 

 

3.45 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

17/19 – Previous winners over 6f
15/19 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/19 – Didn’t win last time out
13/19 – Carried 8-12 or more
13/19 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/19  - Had run at Ripon before (4 won)
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
7/19 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/19 – Aged 4 years-old
6/19 – Winning favourites (5 in the last 8)
3/19 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
3/19 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 8)
1/19 – Aged 3 years-old
Staxton (4/1 fav) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (5/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Gunmetal won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
8 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 7 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 11.5/1

 

 

Sun TV Trends: 16th Aug 2020

This Sunday, the ITV cameras head to Newbury and Ripon to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Newbury, the Listed St Hugh Fillies’ Stakes (3.35) is their main draw, while up at Ripon it’s their Great St Wilfrid day.

We’ve got the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our free horse racing tips.

 

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS

 

1:50 – Unibet Extra Places Every Day Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-85) 1m ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
5/5 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
5/5 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
3/5 – Winners from stalls 3 or lower
2/5 – Winners from stall 3
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton won this race in 2019

 

2:25 – Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
1/10 – Winning favourites

 

3:00 – Unibet You’re On Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m5½f ITV4

10/10 – Aged 5 or younger
9/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
3/10 – Winning favourites
Emenem won this race in 2019

 

3:35 – Unibet St Hugh's Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 5f ITV4

9/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
5/10 - Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Archie Watson won this race in 2018

 

 

RIPON HORSE RACING TRENDS

 

2:05 - williamhill.com Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Trained by David O’Meara (4 of the last 7)
2/10 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/10 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
Hortzador won this race in 2019

 

2:40 - William Hill Ripon Hornblower Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

10/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Drawn in stall 1
3/10 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/10 – Trained by Ann Duffield
2/10 – Ridden by Tony Hamilton

 

3:15 - William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

 

16/18 – Previous winners over 6f
14/18 – Didn’t win last time out
14/18 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/18 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/18 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18  - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
9/18 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
7/18 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/18 – Aged 4 years-old
5/18 – Winning favourites (4 in the last 7 years)
3/18 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 9)
3/18 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7)
1/18 – Aged 3 years-old
Dakota Gold (5/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Gunmetal won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
8 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 6 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 11/1

 

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