It's 1,000 Guineas Day at Newmarket this Sunday (4th May 2025) and we've four more LIVE ITV races that are spearheaded by the big race the 1,000 Guineas at 3:40 - a race Irish heavyweight trainer Aidan O'Brien has won seven times in the past. But we've also not seen a winning favourite since Minding in 2016.

As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners - putting history on your side.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 - Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

13/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
10/14 – Won just once before
9/14 – Had between 1-3 runs before
9/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of last 11 and last 2)
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
2/14 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
7 of the last 8 winners drawn between 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

2.20 – Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

19/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
19/20 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
18/20 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/20 – Won this on first run of the season
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Had run at the course before
9/20 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 10)
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
2/20 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark (2 of the last 4)
2/20– French-trained winners (2 of the last 11)
14 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Running Lion was runner-up in the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

2.55 - Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6
3/3 – Carried 9-2 or less
2/3 – Carried 8-9 or less
1/3 – Winning favourites
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 1-24 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.40 – Betfred 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/23 – Had won a Group race before
16/23 – Had won between 2-3 times before
15/23 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/23 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/23 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Won their previous race
13/23 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price
11/23 – Favourites unplaced
10/23 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
9/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/23 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/23 – Previous Group One winners
4/23 – Won by a US bred horse
4/23 – Won by the favourite
4/23– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/23 – French-trained winners
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
11 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2023)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)
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