It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle to put history on your side.

Can top Irish trainer Aidan O'Brien land his 11th 2000 Guineas?

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.10 – Oddschecker British EBF Ellen Chaloner Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly The Kilvington Stakes) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f RTV

11/11 – Aged between 3-5
11/11 – Won over 5f or 6f before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Aged 3 years-old
6/11 – Came from stalls 11 (3) or 7 (3)
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 6)
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
Unequal Love won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
Note: The race was formerly run at Nottingham from 2021 back

1.45 – Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV

11/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 - Had won over 6f before
10/12 - Won 3+ times before
10/12 - Didn’t win last time out
9/12 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/12 - Returned 13/2 or bigger
8/12 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 - Unplaced favourites
7/12 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
7/12 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
6/12 - Rated 100+
3/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 4)
0/12 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

2.20 – Betfred Suffolk Stakes Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV

18/19 – Had won at least twice before
18/19 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/19 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
16/19 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/19 – Rated between 90 and 96
11/19 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Having their first run of the season
7/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Irish bred
2/19 - Winning favourites
2/19 – Won by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 6)
2/19 - Trained by Andrew Balding
William Buick has won 3 of the last 7
6 of the last 7 winners drawn between 2-7
Just 2 winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 16 runnings

2.55 – Hong Kong Jockey Club Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

20/22 – Won 3 or more times before
19/22 – Had won over 5f before
19/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
18/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
18/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
16/22 – Had run at Newmarket before
16/22– Aged 5 or younger
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Rated between 108 and 114
13/22 – Placed favourites
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/22 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 4 runnings)
Just 5 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
5 of the last 8 runnings went to 4 year-olds
8 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
Vadream won the race in 2023 and second in 2024

3.35 – Betfred 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

22/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Had won over at least 7f before
20/23 – Had won a Group race before
21/23 – Had won between 2-5 times before
19/23 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
18/23 – Won last time out
18/23 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/23 – Having their first run of the season
15/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/23 – Irish bred
10/23 – Had won over a mile before
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/23 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/23 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
4/23 – Won the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes (Churchill, Gleneagles, Dawn Approach, George Washington and Refuse To Bend)
3/23 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.00 – William Hill Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/12 – Won 2 or more times before
8/12 – Yet to race at the track
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/12 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Won over a mile before
6/12 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
4/12 – Winners from stall 1
3/12 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.35 – Ladbrokes Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

12/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Won at least twice before
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Won over at least 1m before
11/13 – Unplaced last time out
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
9/13 – Won between 2-4 times
7/13 – Winners from a double-figure draw
7/13 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 8)
8 of the last 11 winners returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
Northern Express won the race in 2023

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

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