Tag Archive for: 2000 guineas trends

Sat TV Trends: 30th April 2022

It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - My Odds Boost On Betfair Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV

8/9 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/9 - Won 3+ times before
8/9 - Had won over 6f before
7/9 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
7/9 - Didn’t win last time out
6/9 - Rated 100+
6/9 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/9 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/9 - Returned 8/1 or bigger
5/9 - Unplaced favourites
3/9 - Winning favourites
2/9 - Richard Fahey
0/9 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – Betfair Daily Rewards Suffolk Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV

15/16 – Had won at least twice before
15/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
14/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
13/16 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/16 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Having their first run of the season
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 13 runnings

3.00 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

17/19 – Had won over 5f before
17/19 – Won 3 or more times before
16/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
16/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/19 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Aged 5 or younger
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/19 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
8 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

20/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
18/20 – Had won a Group race before
18/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before
16/20 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
16/20 – Won last time out
15/20 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/20 – Having their first run of the season
13/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Won by an Irish-based yard
11/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/20 – Had won over a mile before
7/20 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/20 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/20 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/20 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – William Hill Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Yet to race at the track
8/10 – Won 2 or more times before
7/10 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
8/10 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/10 – Won over a mile before
4/10 – Winners from stall 1
3/10 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Fitzdares Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
9/10 – Won at least twice before
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won over at least 1m before
8/10 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Won between 2-4 times
6/10 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/10 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/10 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

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2000 Guineas Trends 2023

The Qipco-sponsored 2,000 Guineas is a race run over 1m and is the first of the five English Classics to be run each season - with the 1,000 Guineas run the following day. Both races are staged at Newmarket racecourse, and for 3 year-olds only, the race is also seen as an early-season guide to that year’s Epsom Derby – the last horses to land both races in the same season were Sea The Stars (2009) and Camelot (2012).

The 2022 2000 Guineas was won by Corobus and trained by Charlie Appleby.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we take a look back at past winners and highlights the key trends and stats ahead of the 2023 renewal – this year run on Saturday 6th May 2023.

 

Key 2,000 Guineas Stat - 12 of the last 20 2,000 Guineas winners came from the top 3 in the betting?

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Recent 2,000 Guineas Winners

2022 - Coroebus (5/1)
2021 - Poetic Flare (16/1)
2020 – Kameko (10/1)
2019 – Magna Grecia (11/2)
2018 - Saxon Warrior (3/1)
2017 - Churchill (6/4 fav)
2016 – Galileo Gold (14/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (4/1 fav)
2014 – Night Of Thunder (40/1)
2013 – Dawn Approach (11/8 fav)
2012 – Camelot (15/8 fav)
2011 – Frankel (1/2 fav)
2010 – Makfi (33/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (8/1)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (11/1)
2007 – Cockney Rebel (25/1)
2006 – George Washington (6/4 fav)
2005 – Footstepsinthesand (13/2)
2004 – Haafhd (11/2)
2003 – Refuse to Bend (9/2)
2002 – Rock of Gibraltar (9/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

2,000 Guineas Trends & Stats

21/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/21 – Had won over at least 7f before
19/21 – Had won a Group race before
19/21 – Had won between 2-5 times before
17/21 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
17/21 – Won last time out
16/21 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/21 – Having their first run of the season
14/21 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/21 – Placed favourites
12/21 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/21 – Irish bred
9/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/21 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/21 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st May 2021

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk.

As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – ‘My Oddsboost’ On Betfair Suffolk Stakes Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
13/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/15 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Irish bred
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings

 

2.20 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

16/18 – Had won over 5f before
16/18 – Won 3 or more times before
15/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/18 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Far Above won the race in 2020 (run in June)
Mabs Cross won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
14/17 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Rated 112 or higher
9/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Having their first run of the season
6/17 – Aged 5 years-old
6/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Andre Fabre

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Had won a Group race before
17/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
15/19 – Won last time out
14/19 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/19 – Having their first run of the season
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/19 – Had won over a mile before
7/19 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/19 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/19 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/9 – Yet to race at the track
8/9 – Won 2 or more times before
7/9 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/9 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 4 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/9 – Won over a mile before
4/9 – Winners from stall 1
3/9 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Cliff Stud Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
9/9 – Won at least twice before
9/9 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
8/9 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Won over at least 1m before
7/9 – Unplaced last time out
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times
6/9 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/9 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/9 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

 

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