Tag Archive for: 2021 duke of edinburgh stakes trends

2021 Royal Ascot Trends – Day Four (Fri 18th June)

On DAY FOUR at  ROYAL ASCOT we've seven more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Group One Commonwealth Cup, plus the Group Three Albany Stakes and the Group One Coronation Stakes.

Did you know? 17 of the last 19 Coronation Stakes winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting.

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

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Friday 18th June 2021

Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2020 – Dandalla (13/2)
2019 – Daahyeh (4/1 fav)
2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)


Albany Stakes Key Trends

19/19 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
19/19 – Never raced at Ascot before
18/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/19 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
15/19 – Won their previous race
14/19 – Placed favourites
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Previous winner over 6f
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Won by trainers Channon (2) or Hannon (3)
3/19 – Ran at Sandown last time
The last 16 winners came from double-figure stalls
12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

 

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Pyledriver (18/1)
2019 – Japan (6/4 fav)
2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

18/18 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
14/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
13/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
10/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/18 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
11 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
13 of the last 15 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

 

3.40 - Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f ITV

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners


2020 – Golden Horde (5/1)
2019 – Advertise (8/1)
2018 - Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 - Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 - Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

6/6 – Won over 6f before
5/6 – Drawn 8 or lower
5/6 – Had run at Ascot before
4/6 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/6 – Won 3+ times before
4/6 – Rated 117 or higher
2/6 – Winning favourite
2/6 – Came from stall 8
2/6 – Won last time out

 

4.20 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2020 – Apline Star (9/2)
2019 – Watch Me (20/1)
2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

19/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
13/19 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
9/19 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/19 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
8/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/19 – Unplaced last time out
5/19 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
13 of the last 15 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
12 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just 3 horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 15 runnings
9 of the last 15 winners were non UK-trained – French (4), Irish (5)

 

5.00 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m ITV


Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2020 – Onassis (33/1)
2019 – Thanks Be (33/1)
2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

Sandringham Handicap Trends


16/19 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
15/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had never run at Ascot before
14/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
13/19 – Placed in their previous race
12/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/19 – Carried 8-11 or more
9/19 – Won their last race
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price
7/19 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
6/19 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)

5.35 - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2020 – Scarlet Dragon (33/1)
2019 – Baghdad (7/2 fav)
2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

 

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

17/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/18 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
15/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
13/18 – Placed last time out
12/18 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/18 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (3), Mark Johnston (3) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
9/18 – Had run at Ascot before
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/18 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 9 winners)
5/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time
4/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/18 – Winning favourites
14 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

6.10 - Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap (3yo) 5f ITV

Trainer Ed Walker has a 26% record with his 3 year-olds in the race
Trainer Roger Varian has a 17% record with his 3 year-olds in the race
Trainer Mohamed Moubarak is 2-from-4 with his 3 year-olds in the race
Jockey William Buick has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Art Power (6/4 fav) won this race in 2020
Trainer Tim Easterby won this race in 2020
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa won this race in 2020

 

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