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Sat TV Trends: 13th March 2021

The excitement is building for the week before the Cheltenham Festival, but before that, this Saturday the ITV cameras head to Sandown, with the Imperial Cup their feature race, plus they are also at Wolverhampton for two races that include the Lincoln Handicap Trial.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

 

1.50 – European Breeders´ Fund Paddy Power "National Hunt" Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f173y ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Carried 10-11 or more
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/17 – Rated 129 or less
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
12/17 – Returned 9/1 or less in the betting
11/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Aged 6 years-old
9/17 – Had won over this trip before
6/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Won by the Pipe yard
1/17 – Winning favourites
1/17 – Winners that went onto run at Cheltenham (3rd Martin Pipe)

 

2.30 – Paddy Power Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

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16/17 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
16/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/17 – Rated 124 or higher
13/17 – Aged 6 or younger
12/17 – Carried 10-7 or less
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
10/17 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
10/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
9/17 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – French bred
5/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there before
5/17 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 4)
1/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1

 

3.00 – British Stallion Studs EBF Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

16/16 – Had won at least one NH Flat race before
15/16 – 1ST or 2ND last time out
14/16 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16– Won last time out
11/16 – Had won just once before (NH Flat race)
9/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
9/16 – Aged 5 years-old
1/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old

 

3.35 – Paddy’s Rewards Club Novices’ Handicap Chase (Listed Race) (Gbb Race) Cl1 (5yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6 year-old
3/3 – Top 4 finish last time out
3/3 – French bred
3/3 – Didn’t win last time out
3/3 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/3 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
2/3 – Favourites placed
2/3 – Won with 11st 8lbs or more
0/3 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Ben Pauling, Nick Williams and Gary Moore are the past winners of this race
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% record with his chasers at the track

The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 6/1

 

Wolverhampton Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 

2.05 – Bombardier Lady Wulfruna Stakes (AW Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f32y ITV4

12/14 – Had won over 7f before
11/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated 104 or higher
9/14 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
7/14 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
7/14 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
8/14 – Unplaced last time out
6/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/14 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
5/14 – Winning favourite
2/15 – Trained by Marco Botti
Urban Icon (2/1 fav) won the race in 2020
 

2.40 – Bombardier British-Hopped Amber Lincoln Trial Handicap Cl2 1m141y ITV4

17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won over a mile (or further) before
15/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/18– Won at least three times before
14/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
9/18 – Came from stall 8 or higher
8/18 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
7/18 – Aged 5 years-old
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Zwayyan (7/1) won this race in 2019
Assimilation (12/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

3.15 – Betway Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Drawn 5 or higher
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Aged between 4 and 7 (inc)
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or less in the betting
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Rated between 88-96 (inc)
7/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Won between 3-6 times before
5/10 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

Imperial Cup Trends

Staged at Sandown racecourse the Imperial Cup in a hurdle race run over 2m 1/2f. Run just days before the start of the Cheltenham Festival  the contest always takes has an added interest for punters and trainers as traditionally the race sponsors have traditional put up an extra £50,000 should the winner go onto land any festival race the following week - the 2020 race sponsors are leading bookmaker, Paddy Power.

In recent years that incentive has seen powerful stables like Henderson and Hobbs target the race, but it’s the Pipe yard that hold the best recent record – winning the race four times in the last 15 years and 9 times in all.

The last horses to win the Imperial Cup and then go onto land a Festival race the following week are Olympian (1993), Blowing Wind (1998) and Gaspara (2007). While the 2016 winner – Flying Angel – only just failed to land the bonus after running second in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race. The last three winners – Malaya, London Prize and Mr Antolini – didn’t go onto run at the Cheltenham Festival.

Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and give you all the key stats to take into the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 13th March.

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Recent Imperial Cup Winners

2020 – Abandoned
2019 – MALAYA (7/1)
2018 - MR ANTOLINI (20/1)
2017 - LONDON PRIZE (10/1)
2016 – FLYING ANGEL (9/1)
2015 – EBONY EXPRESS (33/1)
2014 – BALTIMORE ROCK (7/1)
2013 – FIRST AVENUE (20/1)
2012 – PAINTBALL (20/1)
2011 – ALARAZI (10/1)
2010 – QASPAL (11/4 fav)
2009 – DAVE’S DREAM (12/1)
2008 – ASHKAZAR (10/3 fav)
2007 – GASPARA (11/4 fav)
2006 – VICTRAM (8/1)
2005 – MEDISON (9/2 fav)
2004 – SCORNED (14/1)
2003 – KORELO (9/4 fav)

Imperial Cup Betting Trends and Stats

16/17 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
16/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/17 – Rated 124 or higher
13/17 – Aged 6 or younger
12/17 – Carried 10-7 or less
10/17 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
10/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
9/17 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – French bred
5/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there before
5/17 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 4)
1/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1

 

 

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