Tag Archive for: 2025 july stakes trends

2025 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day One Thursday 10th July

The three-day 2025 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (10th July) and runs till Saturday (12th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pinpoint the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day One, Thursday 10th July 2025

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

22/23 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
19/23 – Failed to win last time out
17/23 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
15/23 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
13/23 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
11/23 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
7/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 14 runnings) (5 in total, winning-most trainer)
4/23 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
4/23 – Won by Godolphin (3 of the last 4 Charlie Appleby)
2/23– Winners that came from stall 1
The last 10 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race twice (1999, Moon Dragon & 2016 Housesofparliament)
Jamie Spencer has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners

2.25 – Kingdom Of Bahrain July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Had won over 5f or 6f previously
20/23 – Placed in their last run
20/23 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
15/23 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
13/23 – Won their last race
13/23 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
12/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Trained by Hannon yard (10 wins in total) (2 of the last 4)
8/23 – Winning favourites (4 of the last)
3/23 – Winners that came from stall 1 (last 2)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times (2005, Ivan Denisovich, 2019 Royal Lytham & 2024 Whistlejacket)

3.00 – Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV

17/19 – Had won no more than 3 times before
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
15/19 – Didn’t win last time out
15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/19 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
14/19 – Came from a double-figure stall
13/19 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 9)
4/19 – Ridden by David Probert
1/19 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 10 winners drawn 8+
The last 8 winners carried between 8-3 and 8-12

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Stakes (Sponsored by the Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/23 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 13 of last 17)
21/23 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
19/23 – Had 2 or more runs that season
18/23 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
17/23 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/23 – Unplaced in their previous race
12/23 – Favourites that were placed
10/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/23 – Won by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 6)
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2007, 2009, 2011 and 2012)
2/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Trained by Michael Bell (2 of the last 10)
2/23 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (2 of the last 11)
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden
The last 10 winners all aged 4 or 5
Just one 3 year-old winner since 2007
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 11 runnings

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