2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

A massive day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature race – the ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races.

As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners on Saturday 15th November 2025

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:45 – Paddy Power Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (Registered as The November) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV

13/14 - Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 - Finished first or second last time out
13/14 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
12/14 - Favourites placed in the first three
11/14 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/14 - Had raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
10/14 - Won last time out
8/14 - Ran at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (2) or Uttoxeter (2) last time out
7/14 - French bred
6/14 - Winning favourites
3/14 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
3/14 – Trained by Dan Skelton
2/14 - Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
The last 10 winners aged 5 or 6 years-old

2:20 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

22/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
22/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
22/23 – Won by a UK-based trainer
19/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 11st or less
16/23 – Had won at Cheltenham before
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
13/23 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (4) or Twiston-Davies (3)
12/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 7 years-old
9/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/23 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/23 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
25 of the last 26 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 14 placed horses (four winners, Il Ridoto, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 49 runners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

2:55 – From The Horses Mouth Podcast Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

21/23 – Aged 7 or younger
20/23 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
18/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
18/23 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
16/23 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
17/23 – Irish bred
15/23 – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (4) or Chepstow (4) last time out
15/23 – Officially rated 126 to 137
15/23 – Placed favourites
15/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/23 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/23 – Won their last race
9/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/23 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/23 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
6 of the last 17 winners have had a claiming jockey riding

3:30 – Paddy Power Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

17/20 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
16/20 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/20 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
10/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before
9/20 – Irish-bred winners
9/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price
8/20 – Favourites unplaced
6/20 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 - Winning favourites
5/20 – French bred winners
3/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Tony Martin has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Hamsiyann (2/1 fav) won this race 12 months ago
2 of the last 12 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 16 winners went onto be placed in the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

================================================

FROMTHESTABLES.com

GET THE BEST DAILY TRAINER INFO FROM 18 TOP STABLES - Sent direct to your in-box!

**SPECIAL OFFER** TRY US FOR JUST £1 (for first month)!!

FIND OUT MORE HERE

==================================================

Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November each year.

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their fourth overall.

The Paul Nicholls yard have won the last two renewals with Stage Star and Il Ridoto.

We take a look at the 2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle - this year run on Saturday 15th November.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2024 - Il Ridoto (10/1)
2023 - Stage Star (4/1 fav)
2022 - GA Law (5/1)
2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)
2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)
2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends