Tag Archive for: 2026 1000 guineas trends

Sun TV Trends: Newmarket 3rd May 2026

It's 1,000 Guineas Day at Newmarket this Sunday (3rd May 2026) and we've four more LIVE ITV races that are spearheaded by the big race the 1,000 Guineas at 3:35 - a race Irish heavyweight trainer Aidan O'Brien has won seven times in the past.

But his most recent was in 2021 with Mother Earth.

As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners - putting history on your side.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 - Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

14/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
11/15 – Won just once before
10/15 – Had between 1-3 runs before
10/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of last 12)
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
9 of the last 10 winners drawn between 3-7
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.20 – Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

20/21 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
20/21 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
20/21 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
18/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/21 – Won this on first run of the season
13/21 – Aged 4 years-old
12/21 – Had run at the course before
9/21 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
9/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 11)
4/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark (2 of the last 5)
2/21 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 12)
15 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

2.55 - Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
4/4 – Aged 5 or 6
4/4 – Carried 9-2 or less
3/4 – Carried 8-9 or less
1/4 – Winning favourites
William Knight, James Ferguson, Alan King and George Baker are the winning trainers

3.35 – Betfred 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

22/24 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/24 – Had won a Group race before
16/24 – Had won between 2-3 times before
16/24 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/24 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/24 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/24 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
14/24 – Won their previous race
14/24 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/24 – Returned a double-figure price
11/24 – Favourites unplaced
11/24 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
11/24 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/24 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/24 – Irish-trained winners
7/24 – Previous Group One winners
6/24 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/24 – Won by the favourite (1 in the last 9)
4/24 – Won by a US bred horse
4/24– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/24 – French-trained winners
Just two horses placed from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
11 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 12/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 5 times (1998, 2002, 2011, 2023 & 2024)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

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