Tag Archive for: aintree horse racing tips and trends

Aintree Day One Stats and Trends: Thursday 7th April 22

Here at GeeGeez, we give you all the key stats for all the main LIVE ITV races – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

Aintree Trends (ITV/Racing TV)

2.20pm – Jewson Anniversary 4yo Juvenile Hurdle 4yo Grade 1 (Class 1) (4yo) 2m1f ITV

15/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
15/18 – Placed in the top three last time out
12/18 – Raced in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
12/18 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Won by trainer Alan King (4-from-7 since 2007)
4/18 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/18  - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Irish-trained winners
12/16 winners were placed at worst at the Cheltenham Festival
French-bred horses have won 12 of the last 22 (55%) runnings – including 5 of the last 6
14/21 winners raced in the Triumph Hurdle earlier that season
Just 5/31 winners hadn’t won at least twice over hurdles before

 

2.55pm – Betway Bowl Chase Grade 1 (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f ITV

16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
14/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/18 – Ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) last time out
10/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/18 – Aged in double-figures
6/18 – Winning favourites (5 of the last 6)
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/18 - Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
4/7 – Won that season’s King George
4/7 – Were the top-rated horse in the field
10 of the last 12 (83%) winners aged 9 or younger
9 of the last 11 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
Trainer Willie Mullins is 2-from-4 in the race
26/37 (70%) winners ran in that season’s King George
25/37 (68%) winners ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
14/24 (58%) winners were placed fourth or better in that season’s King George VI Chase
Just 4 of the last 25 winners were Irish-trained
9 of the last 11 winners were favourite or second favourite
2nd or 3rd favourites have won 13 of the last 28 (46%) renewals and 6 of the last 11 (55%)
5 of the last 10 winners had run in this race before
No last-time out winner since 2010

3.30pm – Betway Aintree Hurdle Grade 1 (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

17/18 – Aged 8 or younger
14/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/18 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle last time out
10/18 – Irish-trained winners, plus 20 of the last 44
5/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (4 of the last 10)
23 of the last 27 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
14 of the last 27 (52%) winners trained in Ireland
30 of the last 44 (68%) winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
7 of the last 11 winners (64%) were placed in the top 4 of that season’s Champion Hurdle
12 of the last 15 winners (including last 9) had won a Grade 1 before
9 of the last 20 (45%) winners had won at this meeting before
Only 5 Champion Hurdle winners since 1999 have run – but 3 won
Every past British-trained winner had raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Just 2 winning 5 year-olds in the last 32 runnings
Just 1 of the last 18 Champion Hurdle runners-up to race have won

 

4.05pm – The Randox Health Fox Hunters´ Chase (Class 2) (6yo+) 2m5f ITV1

18/18 – Aged 9 or older (Just 2 of the last 35 winners were younger than 9)
14/18 – Aged in double-figures
13/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Ran in the Cheltenham Foxhunters’ last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Ridden by Sam Waley-Cohen
14 of the last 16 (88%) winners were aged 10 or older
Irish-trained runners have won 4 of the last 7 runnings
4 of the last 7 winners were placed in the top 4 in last season’s race
19 of the last 28 (68%) winners went off favourite or second favourite
23 of the last 28 winners had won a race earlier that season
Only 2 of the last 37 winners were aged younger than 9
22 of the last 28 (79%) winners came from the top 4 in the market and returned at single-figures in the betting.
10 of the last 16 winners had run over these National-style fences before
Ex-handicap horses have won 13 of the last 19 (68%) renewals

 

4.40pm – Red Rum Handicap Chase Grade 3 (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

17/18 – Aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Carried 11-1 or less
13/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/18 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Unplaced last time out
10/18 – Aged 7 or younger
9/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Irish-trained winners
14 of the last 19 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
17 of the last 21 winners were rated 139 or lower
Only 2 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
4 of the last 13 winners were ridden by conditional jockeys
The top 5 in the betting have won 16 of the last 23 (69%) runnings
19 of the last 21 (90%) winners carried 11-2 or less
7 of the last 22 (32%) winners ran in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual (Cheltenham)
6 of the last 7 winners DIDN’T run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
5 of the last 6 winners were Irish-bred
Respect trainer Henry De Bromhead – winner 2019 and 3 placed horses

 

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