Tag Archive for: aintree horse racing trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 3rd Dec 2022

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Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 – Close Brothers Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
17/18 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
16/18 – Aged 6 or younger
15/18 – French (11) or Irish (4) bred
15/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (6) last time out
12/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (3 winners)
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
11/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/18 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
3/18 – Trained by Alan King

 

2.20 – Betfair Daily Rewards Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

17/18 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/18 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
14/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
11/18 – Rated between 116-128
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
11 of the last 12 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
Mack The Man (6/1) won this race in 2019

 

2.55– Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
19/20 – Aged 9 or younger
17/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Had won a Grade One chase before
16/20 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
15/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
15/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – French bred
15/20 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
15/20 – Officially rated 165 or higher
14/20 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
12/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
11/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
6/20 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
1/20 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 11/4

 

3.30 – Winners Wear Cavani Menswear Exchange London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

15/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Aged 7 or older
15/16 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
14/16 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
13/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Rated 126 or higher
13/16 – Aged 8 or older
11/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
9/16 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/16 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/16 – Trained by Tom George
1/16 – Winning favourites

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 – Boylesports Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over at least 3m (chase)
9/10 – Placed favourites (top 3)
9/10 – Ran at Aintree, Wetherby or Cheltenham last time out
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Had run at Aintree in the past
6/10 – Winning favourites
6/10 – Irish Bred
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/10 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Brian Ellison
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
 

2.05 – Boylesports Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

16/20 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
16/20 – Carried 10-12 or less
16/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
16/20 – Had no more than 1 start that season
15/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/20 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
14/20 – Aged 9 or older
12/20 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/20 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
11/20 – Irish-bred winners
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Irish-trained winners
3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/20 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/20 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Snow Leopardess (4/1) won the race in 2021

 

2.40 – Boylesports Daily Money Back 2nd Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4

8/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/8 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
6/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
6/8 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/8 – Ran at Ayr (2), Kempton (2) or Bangor (2) last time out
5/8 – Rated between 133 and 135 (inc)
5/8 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
5/8 – Had run at Aintree before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/8 – Trained by N W Alexander (last 2 runnings)
Clan Legend has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

 

3.15 – Boylesports Extra Place Daily Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/11 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 - Aged 7 or younger
9/11 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 - Won between 1-2 times before
9/11 - Aged between 5-6 years-old
8/11 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/11 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 - Won over at least 2m4f before
6/11 - Had run at Aintree before
4/11 - Ran at Aintree (2) or Kempton (2) last time out
4/11 - Winning favourites
4/11 - Won last time out
2/11 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 - Trained by Dan Skelton
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

Sat TV Trends: 7th November 2020

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This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in one of the Aintree contests – as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races….. 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.30 – Betfair Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/16 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
14/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Won from stall 12 or lower
13/16 – Rated 99 or higher
13/16 – Aged 4 or older
11/16 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/16 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

 

2.05 – Betfair Exchange British EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/15 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

3.15 – Betfair November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

13/16 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
13/16 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
13/16 – Favourites that were unplaced
12/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
12/16 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Aged 7 or younger
10/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
8/13 – Rated between 119-129
9/13 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/13 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
8/13 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
8/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/13 – Had run at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Aged 6 years-old
5/13 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 9)
2/13 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 7)
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Misty Bloom (9/2) won the race in 2019 (Emma Lavelle)

2.25 - ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

13/13 – Had won no more than twice over fences
12/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Irish (6) or French (4) bred
9/13 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
9/13 – Aged 6 or younger
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
10 of the last 11 winners were aged between 5-7
Reserve Tank (4/5 fav) won the race in 2019 (Colin Tizzard)

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Rated 150 or lower
9/16 – Having first run of the season
5/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by John Quinn
Fusil Raffles (4/7 fav) won the race in 2019 (Nicky Henderson)
Sceau Royal won this race in 2016

 

 

3.35 - Badger Beers Silver Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

17/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
15/17 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
14/17 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
14/17  – Placed in the top four in their last race
14/17 – Won at least two chase races previously
13/17 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
13/17 –  Raced at the course previously (won over fences)
12/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Irish-bred horse
10/17 – Raced already that season
10/17 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
10/17 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/17 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/17 – Priced at double-figures
7/17 – Won their latest race
7/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
7/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
5/17 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 10 years)
Present Man won the race in 2017 and 2018
Give Me A Copper (9/2 co fav) won the race in 2019 (Paul Nicholls)

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.40 – williamhill Best Odds Guaranteed Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f

4/5 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Winning favourites
3/5 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
2/5 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/5 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/5 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville