As we head into the last day of the 2026 Aintree Grand National Meeting on Saturday 11th April 2026 we’ve five more LIVE ITV races to enjoy.

The Liverpool Hurdle and The Maghall Novices’ Chase are always decent events, but really – it’s all about one race on the Saturday – the Randox Health Grand National.

As always here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the key stats for the main LIVE ITV races – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

Good Luck!

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Aintree Horse Racing Trends

SATURDAY, 11th April 2026 (ITV/Racing TV)

12:45 – Maghull Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m

22/22 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
22/21 – Winners from the first 3 in the market
22/22– Priced 5/1 or shorter in the market
19/22 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
18/22 – Ran within the last 35 days
16/22 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/22 – Ran in the Arkle Chase last time out
12/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/22 – Favourites that won
9/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Irish-trained winners
6/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
4/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (inc 4 of last 14 runnings)
3/22 – Won by the Henry de Bromhead yard (inc 3 of the last 12 runnings)
Arkle Chase winners have a good record – 6-9 in the last 24 years and 4-from-5 since 2008 (when running)
Since 1989 there have been just 6 Irish-trained winners – 2013, 2015, 2016, 2019, 2022 & 2024
Since 1999 trainer Paul Nicholls has had 8 winners and 7 runners-up
21 of the last 29 (72%) winners ran in the Arkle Chase that season
10 of the last 15 winners were French bred
11 of the last 16 winners have won at least 3 times over fences
Just 2 winners in the last 25 years finished unplaced last time out
Just 1 winner in the last 27 years returned 13/2 or bigger
No 9 year-old winner since 1973
The last 9 winners returned 5/1 or shorter

2025 Winner: Kalif Du Berlias (15/8)
Trainer: Paul Nicholls
Jockey: Harry Cobden

1.20pm – William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m 1/2f ITV

11/12 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/12 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
10/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Won 2+ times over hurdles
8/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Carried 10-12 in weight
8/12 – Placed favs (top 4)
8/12 – Had never raced at Aintree (hurdles)
7/12 – Rated between 131-138
5/12 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Finished in the top 4 at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
3/12 – Trained by Dan Skelton (3 of the last 6)
2/12 – Trained by David Pipe (Pipe’s 5 wins overall)
Harry Skelton has ridden 2 of the last 6

2025 Winner: Deep Cave (28/1)
Trainer: Christian Williams
Jockey: Jack Tudor

1.55pm – The Turners Mersey Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f ITV

21/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
19/22 – Raced 39 days or less ago
19/22 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
18/22 – Placed in the top three last time out
17/22 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the market (12 of last 15)
12/22 – Raced in the Supreme (4), Ballymore (7) or County Hurdle (1) last time out
10/22 – Favourites to win (2 joint) (9 of the last 14 favs have won)
10/22 – Won their last race
4/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 8)
2/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (inc 2 of last 14 runnings)
Ballymore (Baring Bingham) Hurdle winners (Cheltenham Festival) are 4-from-4 since 1999
21 of the last 28 winners came from the top 2 in the betting
15 of the last 16 winners were placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
20 of the last 27 (74%) winners were either fav or 2nd fav
12 of the last 19 (63%) winners had won at least 3 times hurdles
16 of the last 26 (62%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
17 of the last 28 (61%) winners finished 6th or better at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Willie Mullins, Gordon Elliott, Tizzard, Paul Nicholls or Nicky Henderson have won 14 of the last 21 (67%) runnings between them
10 of the last 15 runnings went to a 5 year-old
Only 1 winning 4 year-old in the last 29 years
Only 2 winning 7 year-olds in the last 36 years
Respect horses rated 150+ (5-from-9 since 2011)
Front runners in the race have a bad recent record
Trainer Gordon Elliott has won the last 4

2025 Winner: Honesty Policy (5/1)
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Mark Walsh

2.30pm – William Hill Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f ITV

18/22 – Had run within the last 35 days
17/22 – Didn’t win last time out
16/22 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
16/22 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
14/22 – Priced 15/2 or bigger in the market
13/22 – Unplaced in their last race
12/22 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
5/22 – Won their last race
4/22 – Favourites that won
3/22 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard (3 of the last 15)
2/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 of the last 26 winners were aged 10+
Only 5 winners carried more than 11st in the last 21 years
Just 1 Irish-trained winner in the last 48 runnings
11 of the last 15 (73%) winners were rated between 131 and 140
11 of the last 18 winners didn’t win earlier that season
10 of the last 13 winners had won over 3m before
Only 3 of the last 19 winners won last time out
Cruz Control has won the last 2 runnings

2025 Winner: Cruz Control (10/1)
Trainer: Tom Lacey
Jockey: Stan Sheppard

3.05pm – JRL Group Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m110y ITV

17/21 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
16/21 – Ran within the last 30 days
15/21 – Priced 11/2 or less in the market
14/21 – Won or finished 2nd at this meeting previously
14/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
13/21 – Won by a horse aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/21 – Placed 4th or better in that season’s Stayers' Hurdle (Cheltenham)
9/21 – Won their last race
9/21 – Favourites to win (6 odds-on)
7/21 – Raced in that season’s Cleeve Hurdle
5/21 – Irish-trained winners
4/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/21 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of the last 4)
2/21 – Trained by Alan King
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
16 of the last 21 (76%) winners raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
19 of the last 21 (90%) winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
17 of the last 21 (81%) had run at this meeting before
14 of the last 21 (67%) were favourite or second favourite
8 of the last 16 winners won a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7 of the last 16 winners won the Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) before winning this and 6 from last 10 (since becoming a G1 race)
Previous winners of the race are currently 6-from-7
Just 3 of the last 21 winners aged 9+(Sire Du Berlais, 11)
Just 3 winners rated below 155 in the last 21 runnings
No 5 year-old winners
Strong Leader won the race in 2024 & 2nd in 2025

2025 Winner: Hiddenvalley Lake (12/1)
Trainer: Henry De Bromhead
Jockey: Darrargh O’Keeffe

4.00pm – Randox Health Grand National Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 4m 2 1/2f ITV

33/34 – Officially rated 137 or higher
32/34 – Ran no more than 55 days ago
30/34 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
30/34 – Had won no more than 6 times over fences before
26/34 – Returned a double-figure price
25/34 – Ran no more than 34 days ago
25/34 – Carried 10-13 OR LESS
25/34 – Aged 9 or older
24/34 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
23/34 - Aged 10 years-old or younger
22/34 – Finished in the top 4 last time out (8 of the last 9)
21/34 – Had won between 4-6 times over fences before
20/34 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
20/34 – Placed favourites (top 4)
18/34 – Carried 10-8 OR LESS
16/34 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
14/34 – Trained in Ireland (inc 11 of the last 19 years)
13/34 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/34 – Won last time out
8/34 – Won by the favourite or joint favourite
7/34 – Ran in a previous Aintree Grand National (but 15 of the last 17 were having their debuts)
3/34 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
3/34 - Trained by Willie Mullins (last 2)
2/34 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/34 - Trained by Lucinda Russell (2 of the last 8)
1/34 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old OR LESS

Aintree Grand National Facts

• Since 1978, 151 horses have tried to win with 11-6 (or more) – with just three winners – I Am Maximus (11-6) in 2024, Many Clouds (11-9) in 2015 & Neptune Collonges (11-6) in 2012
• 20 of the last 26 winners were bred in Ireland
• 5 of the last 8 winners wore a tongue tie
• 23 of the last 31 winners aged between 8-10
• Only 4 horses that won at the Cheltenham Festival that same season has won since 1961 (Corach Rambler did the double in 2023)
• 15 of the last 17 Grand National winners were having their first run in the race
• Just one 7 year-old or younger to win after 1940 (Noble Yeats, 2022)
• 16 of the last 28 winners had won or been placed in a National-type race before
• No horse aged 13 or older has won since 1923 or placed since 1969
• 3 of the last 16 winners ran in the Scottish National the previous season
• 10 of the last 22 winners had run over hurdles at some stage earlier in the season
• 5 of the last 23 winners had been unplaced in the National last year
• Just two past winners or placed horses from the previous year’s race has won for 39 years (88 have attempted)
• 26 of the last 28 winners had fallen or unseated no more than twice in their careers
• Just two back-to-back winners since 1974 Red Rum (1974) and Tiger Roll (2019)

Aintree Grand National Betting Trends (22 Year)

22/22 – Carried 11st 9lbs or less
20/22 – Officially rated 137 or higher
19/22 – Had won over at least 3m previously
19/22 – Ran 50 days or less ago
18/22 – Carried 11st 5lbs or less
15/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
14/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/22– Winners from the top 8 in the betting
11/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/22 – Won by horses aged in double-figures
9/22 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
8/22 – Experienced the National fences before
8/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/22 - (Won by a horse aged 8 years-old (6 of the last 10)
5/22– Won by a horse aged 10 years-old
3/22 – Won by the Gordon Elliott yard
3/22 - Won by the Willie Mullins yard
2/22 – Won by the McCain yard
2/22 - Won by the Lucinda Russell yard

 

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