Tag Archive for: ascot Gold Cup trends

2026 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Three (Thurs 18th June)

More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2026 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 16th to Sat 20th June 2026) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day three on Thursday 18th June 2026.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Three – Thursday 18th June 2026

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2025 – Charles Darwin (8/13 fav)
2024 – Shareholder (12/1)
2023 – Valiant Force (150/1)
2022 - The Ridler (50/1)
2021 – Perfect Power (14/1)
2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Trends

23/23 – Had at least 1 previous run
21/23 – Previous winners over 5f
21/23 – Had never raced at Ascot before
19/23 – Had a RPR of 105+
18/23 – Won their previous race
16/23 – Foaled in March or April
13/23 – Favourites placed
12/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/23 – Returned a double-figure (or triple) price
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Ran at Windsor last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Aidan O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 11 winners (4 in total)
Richard Fahey have won 2 of the last 5 runnings
11 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)
The Hannon yard have won the race 4 times

3.05 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2025 – Merchant (3/1 fav)
2024 – Going The Distance (9/1)
2023 – Desert Hero (18/1)
2022 – Secret State (4/1 jfav)
2021 – Surefire (5/1)
2020 – Hukum (12/1)
2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Trends

22/23 – Never raced at Ascot before
21/23 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
21/23 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
21/23 – Placed last time out
17/23 – Carried 8-13 or less
16/23 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
13/23 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
13/23 – Won their previous race
12/23 – Favourites placed
4/23 – Won by the Johnston camp (4)
4/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out
5/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/23 – Godolphin-owned (Charlie Appleby has trained 2 of the last 11)
13 of the last 20 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 20 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)
Ralph Beckett has trained 2 of the last 6 winners
Charlie Appleby has trained 2 of the last 12 winners
William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 12 winners

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2025 – Garden Of Eden (7/1)
2024 – Port Fairy (12/1)
2023 – Warm Heart (13/2)
2022 – Magical Lagoon (11/4)
2021 – Loving Dream (18/1)
2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)
2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Trends

20/23 – Had never raced at Ascot before
19/23 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
18/23 - Placed in their previous race
17/23 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
16/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/23 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
10/23 – Irish-trained winners (9 of last 14)
9/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 of last 12)
6/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/23 - Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
3/23 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (5 in total)
3/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
10 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

4.20 - Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2025 – Trawlerman (85/40 fav)
2024 – Kyprios (11/10 fav)
2023 – Courage Mon Ami (15/2)
2022 – Kyprios (13/8 fav)
2021 – Subjectivist (13/2)
2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Ascot Gold Cup Trends

22/24 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
21/24 – Aged 6 or younger
21/24 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
19/24 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
19/24 – Favourites that were placed
19/24 – Won their last race
15/24 – Previous Group 1 winners
14/24 – Won by the favourite
11/24 – Aged 4 years-old (9 of the last 14)
10/24 – Irish-trained winners
9/24 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
6/24 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
4/24 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 13)
17 of the last 20 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13 of the last 20 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc) (7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 7 or lower)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2000, 2004, 2012 & 2025
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2024, 2022, 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019, 2020 & 2025
Since 1949 there have been 16 multiple winners of the race
Since 1930 only 4 winners aged 7+ (Trawlerman, Yeats x 2, Drum Taps)
France have won 15 Gold Cups (last Westerner)

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2025 – Arabian Story (15/2)
2024 – Mickley (15/2)
2023 – Docklands (6/1 fav)
2022 – Thesis (14/1)
2021 – Perotto (18/1)
2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)
2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Trends

21/23 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
19/23 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
19/23 – Placed last time out
15/23 – Carried 8-13 or less
15/23 – Had never run at Ascot before
14/23 – Failed to win their previous race
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price
13/23 – Unplaced favourites
9/23 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
9/23 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/23 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
16 of the last 20 winners came from a double-figure stall (2 of the last 6 winners from stall 19)
In 2025 the first 5 horses from stalls 27+
The first 10 home in 2024 were all from a double-figure stall
Aidan O’Brien has only trained 1 winner (War Envoy, 2015)
8 of the last 11 winners drawn between stalls 10-19
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 4 times (last 2001)

5.35 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2025 – Trinity College (5/2 fav)
2024 – Jayrebe (7/1)
2023 – Waipiro (7/1)
2022 - Claymore (7/1)
2021 – Mohaafeth (11/8 fav)
2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)
2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Trends

22/23 – Had not raced at Ascot before
20/23 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
20/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
12/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 - Ran at Epsom last time out
5/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
16 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
12 of the last 19 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

6.10 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4

Buckingham Palace Handicap Trends

10/11 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had won over at least 6f before
9/11 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/11 – Unplaced favourites
9/11 – Had run at Ascot before
9/11 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/11 – Rated between 92-99
7/11 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
6/11 – Had 5+ wins before
5/11 – Bred in Ireland
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 6)
2/11 – Came from stall 29
2/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
The last 6 winners were aged 4
Since 2002 only 2 winners aged 7+
7 of the last 8 winners from stalls 24+
2025: Never So Brave (4/1 fav), Andrew Balding, Oisin Murphy

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