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Sat TV Trends: 10th Aug 2019

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2019

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

11/11 – Failed to win their last race
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/11 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
10/11 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/11 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/11 – Favourites  placed
6/11 – Had won over 5f previously
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/11 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/11 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
Tis Marvellous (6/1) won the race in 2018

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Carried 8-13 or more
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
12/15 – Rated between 86-94
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
12/15 – Had raced at the track before
11/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/15 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/15 – Won last time out
Cleonte (9/2) won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 12 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Officially rated between 87-94
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times previously
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
8/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/15 – Favourites that won
Genetics (9/1) won the race in 2018
One winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Won over at least a mile before
15/15 – Failed to win last time out
15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Rated between 92-100
14/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Had run at Ascot before
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/15 – Winning favourites
Via Serendipity (7/2) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 1
11 or the last 14 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Raced 3 or more times that season
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
7/10 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Favourites placed
2/10 – Favourites that won
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Berkshire Blue (9/2) won the race in 2018
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

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15/15 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
14/15 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks<
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won over 6f previously
13/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/15 – Won between 2-3 times previously
11/15 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/15 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/15 – Favourites placed
7/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/15 – Winning Favourites
Green Power (12/1) won the race in 2018
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

Haydock Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.55 – Vulcan Village Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried between 9-0 and 9-6
7/10 – Won over 1m before
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Horses from stall 5 finished in the top 2
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

2.30 – British Stallion Studs EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
8/8 – Won between 1-3 times
6/8 – Rated between 94-100
6/8 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
5/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/16 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/16 – Won a Listed or better class race before
12/16 – Won over 1m2f or further
12/16 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/16 – Won 3 or more times during their career
10/16 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/16 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/16 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Teodoro (10/1) won the race in 2018

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
13/16 – Won just once previously
12/16 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/16 – Yet to win over 7f
8/16 –  Favourites that won
7/16 – Had just one previous run
5/16 – Won by Godolphin
3/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (7/4 fav) won the race in 2018
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Nov 2018

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, we are on hand with all the trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 - Christy 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/15 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
10/15 – Ran at Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
9/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/15 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/15 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Aged 5 years-old
3/15 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/15 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Top Notch won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 

 

2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

16/16 – Priced 7/2 or less
14/16 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
14/16 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
13/16 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
12/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Won their latest race
10/16 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/16 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/16 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
9/16 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
9/16 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
6/16 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
5/16 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
5/16 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
4/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/16 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 12 winners were Irish-trained
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4
Lil Rockerfeller won the race in 2017
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

 

3.15 – Gerard Bertrand Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
11/12 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
9/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Rated 142 or higher
7/12 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/12 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
6/12 – Placed favourites
4/12 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Aged 6 years-old
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by Gary Moore

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f ITV

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Irish bred
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/7 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/7 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
Limited Reserve won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

 

2.25 - Betfair Exchange Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

12/13– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
11/13 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/13 – Rated between 132 and 143
8/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – French bred
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/13 – Trained by David Pipe
2/13 – Trained by Nick Williams
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13 Previous runnings
11/13 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
11/13 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
10/13 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (7) bred horse
10/13 - Placed in the top three in their last race
10/13 - Won a Grade One chase previously
9/13 - Raced at Haydock previously
9/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Aged 8 or older
7/13 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
7/13 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
6/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won their latest race
3/13 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 11 runnings is 11/2
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012

 

3.35 – Better Value On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y ITV

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
10/11 – French (4) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Carried 11-1 or more
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
8/11 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
7/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
4/11 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/11 –Winning distance – head or shorter
4/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
Chase The Spud won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Oct 2018

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar to take in seven LIVE races.

At Redcar we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race the French have won 5 times in the last 16 years. Then at Ascot we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap - Did you know that 14 of the last 16 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

As always, use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.50 – Duke Of Edinburgh’s Award Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated 101 or higher
11/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
6/14 – Irish bred
3/14 - Trained by Bryan Smart
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Winning favourites
Just Glamorous (33/1) won the race in 2017
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

2.25 – Stella Artois Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

16/16 - Finished fourth or better last time out
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/16 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
10/16 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/16 – Favourites to win
6/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/16 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/16 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Filly or mare winners
9 of the last 10 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2007
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Won over 6f previously
10/10 – Officially rated 100 or higher
9/10 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/10 – Won 4 or more times previously
8/10 – Had run within the last 30 days
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/10 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/10 – Won their previous race
3/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Favourites to win
2/10 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 7 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Blue Point (Evs) won the race in 2017

3.35 – Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
13/16 – Won over 7f previously
11/16 – Had raced within the last 30 days
11/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/16 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/16 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/16 – Favourites to win
2/16 – Traind by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Won their previous race
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 10 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 10 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Accidental Agent (16/1) won the race in 2017

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Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 2 previous running
Trainer Malcolm Saunders won the race in 2017
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2016
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hughie Morrison has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track


3.15 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/14 – Previous Group winners
12/14 – Won between 3-5 times before
11/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Rated between 113 and 119
9/14 – Previous Group One winners
7/14 – Aged 3 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/14 – French-trained winners
5/14 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 4 of the last 12 runnings
Roly Poly (4/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.45 – Racing UK Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
10/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
10/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Foaled in March or later
8/16 – Had won over 6f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Filly winners
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/16 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th July 2017

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

 

Saturday 29th July 2017

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

12/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won just once before
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/14 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/14 – Won over 6f before
8/14 – Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5 of the last 11 winners were Irish bred
7 of the last 11 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
Fair Eva (4/6 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Carried 8-8 or more
5/6 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/6 – Had won just once before
3/6 – Won last time out
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
3/6 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/6 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Irish bred
1/6 – Winning favourite
Mustashry (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race 12 months ago
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 3.00 – Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

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14/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Had raced at Ascot previously
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
11/14 – Favourites unplaced
11/14 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
10/14 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
9/14 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
9/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/14 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/14 – Favourites
Librisa Bereeze (4/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 10 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Heavens Guest won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 21/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3.35 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/15 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
14/15 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
13/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Previous Group 1 winner
9/15 – Had run Ascot before
8/15 – Won their previous race
7/15 – Favourites that won
7/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/15 – Won at Ascot before
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/2

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Win £10,000 for Free At sportinglife.com/pick7 Now Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more
8/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Had won over 7f before
7/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Had won at York before
4/9 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/9 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
2/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/9 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/13 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
9/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/13 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
7/13 – Had run at York before
6/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Won last time out
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9-0 or more
Kimberella (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/11 – Rated between 112 and 117
6/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/11 – Had run at York before
5/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Aged 6 years-old
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Time Test (1/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st Jan 17

It’s off to Haydock Park and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action – like all big race days we've got all the main races covered from a trends and stats angle…….


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
7/8 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
7/8 – From the top 4 in the betting
7/8 – Later ran in that season’s David Nicholson Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
7/8 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
6/8 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
6/8 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
5/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Won their last race
4/8 – Winning Favourites
3/8 – French bred
3/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/8 – Aged 6 years-old
2/8 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/8 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/8 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 3 runnings


2.25 – Keltbray Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

8/10 – Priced 11/2 or bigger in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Officially rated 139 or higher
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
6/10 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – French bred
6/10 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/10 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/10 – Had raced at Ascot previously
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Aged 6 years-old
3/10 – Trained by David Pipe
3/10 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/10 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/10 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/10 – Favourites (1 co)
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock


3.00 – Berkshire Community Foundation Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

14/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/14 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
13/14 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
12/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
12/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
7/14 – Favourites that won
4/14 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
3/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 2 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (26 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 7/2

Note:

2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 – Renewal at Cheltenham


3.35 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Either French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/11 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/11 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/11 – Aged 8 or younger
5/11 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
5/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/11 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/11 – Trained by Richard Rowe
1/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
10/10 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
9/10 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Aged 5 years-old
6/10 – Had raced at Haydock previously
6/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Winning Favourites
4/10 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/10 – French bred
2/10 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/10 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr

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Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby


2.40 – stanjames.com Champion Hurdle Trial (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

11/11 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
11/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/11 – Finished in the top three in their last race
9/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
9/11 -  From the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
8/11 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
8/11 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
8/11 – Either French (3) or Irish (5) bred
7/11 – Aged 7 or younger
7/11 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (2) last time out
6/11 – Winning Favourites
4/11 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle


3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/13 – Aged 8 or older
13/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/13 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
12/13 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
12/13 – Had run within the last 36 days
10/13 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
9/13 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
9/13 – Won at Haydock previously
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
9/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/13 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/13 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/13 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
6/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/13 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
5/13 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/13 – Won over fences at Haydock before
4/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/13 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/13 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/13 – Won their last race
1/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Scribner Creek - Won well two starts ago here, but pulled a bit too hard last time out over further. The drop back in trip should help as they should be going a bit quicker which should help him not race too freely. The plan is to drop him in and come with a run and should not be far away. Doesn't look much value though, but we'd be disappointed if he's not in the frame."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 3rd 11/2

"What Usain - All three career wins have been here at the track - only second run for us so still finding our feet with the horse but wasn't beaten far last time at Newcastle over a mile and a repeat of that effort would see him go close. But draw 12 not ideal so might need a bit of luck from there. Tough race, but each-way claims if not getting into too much traffic problems."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 2nd 12/1

"Call Out Loud - Better last time on second run back so seems to be slowly blowing the cobwebs away. More needed up in grade here off the same mark, but trying the first-time visor here as took a hold last time - hopefully this will settle him better. Stays further too so that will help down the long straight."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 10/1

"Among Angels - Drop in class and the drop in trip here are both things in his favour. The horse is in great form at home and would not be shocked to see him run well at a fair each-way price."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 2nd 7/2

"Big Amigo - Won well the last day here over CD - has come out of that race very well and despite a 6lb penalty everything is in place for a big run. No reason why he can't go very close again, but, in truth, we'll be a bit disappointed if he can't follow-up."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 1st 9/4

"Mithqaal - A nice prize here and we look to have a decent chance. This horse loved the surface last time when dotting up by 2 lengths over 7f. The step up to a mile should be fine and a 6lb rise for that looks fair. Several others that like the surface too, so a bit more needed but is a horse certainly capable of taking this and one of my best chances on the day."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 4/6

"Pancake Day - Ran a cracker last time when third here over 6f. Been given a chance with same mark and grade. Drop down to 5f is no problem and in good form at home. Hands and Heels race, but we claim a further 7lbs so should be giving his jockey a nice run and should not be far away."
David C Griffiths

10/01/17 1st 4/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Oct 2016

Another jam-packed weekend of LIVE C4 action and, as always, we are on hand with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s meetings - this week from Ascot & Wetherby - races include the Charlie Hall Chase and Ascot Gold Cup.

 

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


1.55 - Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f CH4

Just three previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 6 year-old
3/3 – Irish bred
2/3 – Yet to win over fences
2/3 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
0/3 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 15/2
Trainer Evan Williams won the race 12 months ago


2.25 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f CH4

11/13 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
10/13 – Irish (4) or French (6) bred
9/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
8/13 – Having their first run of the new season
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
7/13 – Rated 130 or lower
5/13 – Aged 8 years-old
4/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/13 – Won carrying 11-12
3/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Ulck Du Lin won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Ascot


3.00 -William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m CH4

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12/12 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
12/12 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
11/12 – Never raced at Ascot before
9/12 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
7/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
5/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
4/12 – Won by a French bred horse
3/12 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
2/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/12 - Won by the Nicky Henderson team
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

3.35 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 2 ½m before
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
8/12 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
7/12 – Carried 10-10 or more
7/12 – Aged 8 or older
7/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Unplaced in their last race
6/12 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

1.35 - racinguk.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 1m7f36y CH4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried 11-4 or less in weight
3/3 – Finished second last time out
3/3 – Yet to win over fences
2/3 – French bred
2/3 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/3 – Rated exactly 135
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
Trainer David Pipe has a 28% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 9/2


2.10 – OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y CH4

9/9 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
8/9 – Never raced at Wetherby before
8/9 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
8/9 – Were having their first run of the season
7/9 – Finished unplaced last time out
5/9 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/9 – Placed favourites
4/9 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
4/9 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 4/1


2.45 –  bet365 West Yorkshire Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y CH4

14/14 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
13/14 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
11/14 – Failed to win their last race
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Officially rated 149 or higher
9/14 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
8/14 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
7/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/14 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1


3.20 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f CH4

13/14 – Were having their first run of the season
12/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
12/14 – Rated 151 or higher
11/14 – Aged 8 or older
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/14 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
9/14 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/14 – Had run at Wetherby before (2 won)
6/14  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Ridden by Paul Moloney
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005 & 2007
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 7/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Cuttin Edge - Working well at home. The drop back in trip should help him, in good form, favourite to beat, but not much depth after that horse and looks a fair each-way price."
William Muir

24/10/16 1st 5/1

"Bassarabad - Our final runner on the card and another with a decent-looking chance - probably my best on the day! Sporting the first-time visor to keep his mind on the job and was a decent fourth at the track here back in May. Yet to win a race and comes here off a 6 month break, but the horse is well and George's 8lb claim a further plus. Doesn't look the best of races so that helps too - hoping for a big run."
Tim Vaughan

22/10/16 1st 15/8

"Mezzotint - Loves it here at Chelmsford. Got shuffled back last time out here when fifth of 13, so still did well to finish where he did. Race clearly didn't suit, but down a pound for that, plus a good draw (1) here. So with a bit more luck in-running then we think a top three finish is certainly on the cards here today - anything else a plus."
Lee Carter

20/10/16 2nd 9/1

"Brave Encounter - Won nicely the last day at Fontwell and should have every chance again today in this grade off just 7lbs higher. He's fit and well, so touch wood for a bit of luck in-running then hopeful we can go close here with the horses running well at the moment. "
Jamie Snowden

20/10/16 1st 5/2

Sat TV Trends: 6th Aug 2016

The C4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s we've got all the LIVE C4 TV race trends…….

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (C4/MORE4)

13:15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f More 4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Failed to win their last race
8/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/8 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
7/8 – Had 4 or more runs that season
7/8 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
6/8 – Won at least 3 times in their career
6/8 – Won at least 3 times in their career
5/8 – Favourites  placed
5/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/8 – Had won over 5f previously
3/8 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/8 – Favourites (1 joint)
3/8 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including last 2 runnings)
2/8 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/2

1.45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m More 4

12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/12 – Rated between 86-94
10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Carried 8-13 or more
10/12 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
10/12 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at the track before
9/12 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (4) last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/12 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/12 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top 3 in 6 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Officially rated between 87-94
10/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Won between 1-4 times previously
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
8/12 – Aged 4 years-old
8/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/12 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
5/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/12 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/12 – Favourites that won
No winners from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 5
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

2.55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/12 – Won over at least a mile before
12/12 – Failed to win last time out
12/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/12 – Rated between 92-100
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
9/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/12 – Had run at Ascot before
4/12 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
9 or the last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

3.30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Raced 3 or more times that season
6/7 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Officially rated between 84-90
6/7 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
4/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Favourites placed
2/7 – Favourites that won
2/7 – Trained by Mark Johnston
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8 (2 each)
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

4.05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/12 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/12 – Won between 2-3 times previously
10/12 – Won over 6f previously
10/12 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/12 – Officially rated between 86-94
8/12 – Came from the top three in the betting market
8/12 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/12 – Favourites
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.35 - Betfred Haydock Park Ladies´ Trophy Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders´ Race) Cl3 1m3f200y CH4

No previous runnings
No previous runnings Trainer Richard Fahey is just 7 from 132 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 5 from 64 with his runners at the track
Miss Joanna Mason is 1 from 2 riding at the track
Rachel Richardson has a 32% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track


3.45 - Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y CH4

13/13 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Yet to run at Haydock
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Won over 1m2f or further
11/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
11/13 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Won a Listed or better class race before
10/13 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
10/13 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
10/13 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/13 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/13 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/13 – Favourites that won
2/13 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/13 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

3.15 - German-Thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/13 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/13 – Won just once previously
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/13 – Favourites placed
9/13 – Had won over only 6f previously
8/13 – Won their last race
7/13 – Had just one previous run
7/13 –  Favourites that won
7/13 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
5/14 – Won by Godolphin
3/14 – Won over 7f previously
3/14 – Trained by the Hills stable
1 winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
4 of the last 9 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Take Cover took this race in 2014 and a close second 12 months ago so no issues on the track and trip. Didn't work out at Ascot last time out as the ground went too soft for him and the draw not ideal. In really good form at home and at this course and on this quicker ground confident of a good run. Tough race, but looks a great e/w price."
David C Griffiths

29/07/16 1st 8/1

"Palmerston - Won well for us two runs back beating a fair yardstick in Fort Jefferson. That was over a mile so the return to this trip after trying 1m2f last time is a big plus. Yes, 5lbs higher than that win and higher grade but the horse is very well at home and I think we head here with a great each-way chance at a nice price. We've a few out today, but this one looks the value e/w bet from all my runners."
Mick Appleby

23/07/16 1st 20/1 

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Sat TV Trends: 23rd July 2016

It’s King George day at Ascot this Saturday, while the C4 cameras also head to York – As always, Andy Newton’s got all the big TV race trends & stats.

 

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


2.45 – Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had won just once before
10/13 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/13 – Won over 6f before
7/13 – Winning favourite
5/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5 of the last 10 winners were Irish bred
7 of the last 10 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 5 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury


3.20 – Woodford Reserve Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Carried 8-8 or more
4/5 – Winners between stalls 9-14
4/5 – Had won just once before
3/5 – Won last time out
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
3/5 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
2/5 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/5 – Irish bred
1/5 – Winning favourite
William Haggas won the race in 2014
Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

Your first 30 days for just £1


3.55 – Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

13/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/13 – Had raced at Ascot previously
13/13 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Won over 7f previously
11/13 – Favourites unplaced
10/13 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
9/13 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
9/13 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
9/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/13 – Won their last race
3/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/13 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
0/13 – Favourites
Heavens Guest won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 21/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

4.30 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f CH4

14/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/14 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
13/14 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Placed last time out
10/14 – Previous Group 1 winner
8/14 – Won their previous race
8/14 – Had run Ascot before
6/14 – Favourites that won
6/14 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/14 – Won at Ascot before
3/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2


York Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


3.00 – Win £5,000 With sportinglife.com Pick 6 Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Carried 9-3 or more
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/8 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Had won over 7f before
6/8 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/8 – Had won at York before
4/8 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/8 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/8 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/8 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1


3.35 – Skybet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y CH4

9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/10 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
7/10 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/10 – Rated between 112 and 117
5/10 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/10 – Had run at York before
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Tullius won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1


4.10 – Skybet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/12 – Had won between 2-6 times before
11/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
8/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/12 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
8/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Had run at York before
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Won last time out
7 of the last 10 winners carried 9-0 or more
Tanzeel won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

4.45 - Sky Bet Best Odds Guaranteed EBF Fillies´ Stakes (Handicap) Cl3 1m2f88y

11/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
9/11 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Had won over at last 1m2f before
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Raced at either Lingfield, Doncaster, Newcastle & Newbury last time out
8/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Rated between 79-84
7/11 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
7/11 – Aged 3 years-old
6/11 – Winning favourites (4 of last 5)
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Had won just once before
3/11 – Winners from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Eager Beaver - She has not run a bad race all year and she is in really good form, would love to get her first win under her belt and feel this race gives her a good opportunity."
William Muir

20/07/16 1st 7/2

"Masqueraded - Only wins have been on the AW to date so still some questions to answer on the turf. Hoping the drop back to a mile will suit though and this doesn't look the best race into Selling grade again. A bit to find with 3 or 4 on these terms though so a place might be the best we can hope for."
Gay Kelleway

20/07/16 3rd 25/1

"Attain - Is well-handicapped on the turf at present. He is off his old rating here but has gone up 3lbs in future for his second at Beverley last week. Liam takes off 7lbs too so on these terms must have a good e/w chance."
Julia Feilden

20/07/16 1st 4/1

 

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