Tag Archive for: Bet365 Fillies´ Mile free tips and trends

Newmarket TV Trends (Fri 11th Oct 24): Future Champions Festival

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 11th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis, Oh So Sharp and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always, Andy Newton has all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV)

 

1.47 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV4

19/21 – Had won over 5f previously
15/21 – Won at least twice or more before
16/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
16/21 – Rated 98 or more
15/21 – Ran within the last 30 days
15/21 – Had raced 5 or more times
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
15/21 – Foaled in March or later
12/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/21 – Filly winners
8/21 – Won their last race
7/21 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Richard Kingscote
3 of the last 10 winners trained by Jonathan Portman
2 of the last 15 winners trained by Kevin Ryan
2 of the last 15 winners ridden by Jamie Spencer
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 1 or 3
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 3 or lower

2.25 – Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

19/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/20 – Had between 1-2 wins already
18/20 – Had between 1-3 career runs
17/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/20 – Won last time out
13/20 – Foaled in March or later
12/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
12/20 – Had won over 7f or further before
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
10/20 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/20 – Irish bred
7/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of last 9)
2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 7 winners)
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 10)
3 of the last 10 winners were owned by Godolphin
The last 5 winners were drawn 3 or lower

3.00 – Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4

21/21 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
21/21 – Won over 7f previously
21/21 – Raced 3 or more times that season
18/21 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Won 3 or more times previously
18/21 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
17/21 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
17/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
15/21 – Officially rated 112 or higher
15/21 – Priced 7/1 or lower
13/21 – Placed in their last race
11/21 – Favourites placed
10/21 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
7/21 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (4) last time out
7/21 – Won their previous race
6/21 - Favourites that won
2/21 – Trained by Henry Candy (2 of the last 7)
2/21 – Filly/Mare winners
William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 3 winners

3:35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV4

20/20 - Finished in the first three last time out
20/20 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
19/20 - Yet to win a Group 1
18/20 – Foaled in Feb or later
18/20 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
17/20 – Finished in the first two last time out
16/20 – Had won between 2-3 times before
16/20 – Favourites that finished in the top three
15/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won a Group race before
13/20 – Won last time out
12/20 - Foaled in Feb or March
10/20 - Winning favourites (or joint)
8/20 - Raced at Doncaster last time out
8/20 – Irish-trained winners
7/20 – Irish bred
5/20 – Won by trainer John Gosden
4/20 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 of last 10)
3/20 – US bred
3/20 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 9)
6 of the last 10 winners have been Irish-trained

4:10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4

10 previous runnings
9/10 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/10 – Had won at least twice before
7/10 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
7/10 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/10 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
3/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/10 – Ridden by William Buick
3/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
3/10 – Owned by Godolphin
3/10 – winning favourites
3/10 – Came from stall 10
2/10 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/10 – Came from stall 17

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Fri 9th Oct 2020

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 9th October 2020 for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket.

Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV3

15/17 – Had won over 5f previously
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/17 – Rated 98 or more
13/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
13/17 – Won at least twice or more before
12/17 – Ran within the last 30 days
12/17 – Had raced 5 or more times
11/17 – Foaled in March or later
10/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/17 – Filly winners
6/17 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Richard Kingscote
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Jonathan Portman
2 of the last 11 winners trained by Kevin Ryan
2 of the last 11 winners ridden by Jamie Spencer
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 3
3 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 11 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

2.25 – Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV3

15/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Had between 1-2 wins already
14/16 – Had between 1-3 career runs
13/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Foaled in March or later
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
8/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 3 winners)
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV3

17/17 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
17/17 – Won over 7f previously
17/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
15/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Won 3 or more times previously
14/17 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
13/17 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
13/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/17 – Officially rated 113 or higher
11/17 – Priced 7/1 or lower
9/17 – Placed in their last race
9/17 – Favourites placed
8/17 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
6/17 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
5/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 - Favourites that won
2/17 – Trained by Henry Candy
1/17 – Filly/Mare winners
Limato has won the race in 2017, 2018 and was runner-up in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV3

16/16 - Finished in the first three last time out
16/16 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/16- Yet to win a Group 1
14/16 – Finished in the first two last time out
14/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
14/16 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/16 – Had won between 2-3 times before
12/16 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won a Group race before
9/16 - Foaled in Feb or March
7/16 - Raced at Doncaster last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
7/16 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/16 – Irish-trained winners
4/16 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – US bred
3/16 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4 of the last 6 winners have been Irish-trained
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV3

6 previous runnings
5/6 – Had won at least twice before
5/6 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
5/6 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
4/6 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
3/6 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/6 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/6 – Ridden by William Buick
2/6 – Came from stall 17
1/6 – winning favourites
Trainer Ralph Becket won the race last season
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 13/1

 

 

 

 

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