Here at GeeGeez, we give you all the key stats for all the main LIVE ITV races at Aintree on the opening day of their 2025 Grand National Festival (Thursday 3rd April) – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

Once the final runners are out, you can apply these stats to the entries to put history on your side.

Aintree Trends (ITV/Racing TV) - Thursday 3rd April 2025

1.45pm – EBC Group Manifesto Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m4f ITV

15/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – From the top 3 in the market
12/15 – Ran 8 or less times over hurdles
11/15 – Ran in the Arkle (6) or Golden Miller (5) at Cheltenham
12/14 – Rated 150+
12/13 – Ran between 4-5 times over fences
9/10 – Won exactly once over fences
8/11 – Aged 6 years-old
3/8 – Irish winners (last 2)
1/9 – Won by a 5 year-old
0/6 – Mare winners
0/10 – Winning favourite (1 of the last 15)
Paul Nicholls runners are 0-16

2024 Winner: El Etait Temps (3/1)
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Jockey: Paul Townend

2.20pm – Boodles Anniversary 4yo Juvenile Hurdle 4yo (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo) 2m1f ITV

17/21 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
17/21 – Placed in the top three last time out
14/21 – Raced in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
14/21 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Won by trainer Alan King (4-from-7 since 2007)
4/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
3/21 – Irish-trained winners
3/21 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (3 of last 6)
17/19 – Won at least twice over hurdles
15/19 – Retuned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Previous Grade 1 or 2 winners that season
13/19 - Winners were placed at worst at the Cheltenham Festival
13/19 – Ran at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins, Alan King, Nicky Henderson or Paul Nicholls
11/19 – Finished in the top 3 in the Triumph Hurdle
11/16 – Began their careers in France
15 of the last 19 had won a graded race that season
Horses rated 152+ are 5 from 8 (since 2007)
Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Just 3 of the last 23 winners were Irish-trained
French-bred horses have won 14 of the last 25 (56%) runnings – including 7 of the last 9
Just 5/34 winners hadn’t won at least twice over hurdles before

2024 Winner: Sir Gino (11/10)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Nico de Boinville

2.55pm – Bowl Chase (Grade 1) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f ITV

19/21 – Didn’t win last time out
16/21 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
12/21 – Ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) last time out
13/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/21 – Aged in double-figures
8/21 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 9)
5/21 - Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (6 wins in total)
5/10 – Were the top-rated horse in the field
4/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/10 – Won that season’s King George
12 of the last 15 (80%) winners aged 9 or younger
11 of the last 14 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
9 of the last 11 winners top two on BHA ratings
7 of the last 9 market leaders (favs) have won
All of the last 13 winners DIDN’T win last time out
Trainer Willie Mullins is 2-from-5 in the race
26/40 (65%) winners ran in that season’s King George
26/40 (65%) winners ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
14/27 (52%) winners were placed fourth or better in that season’s King George VI Chase
Just 5 of the last 28 winners were Irish-trained (only 2 in the last 10)
5 of the last 12 winners had headgear
11 of the last 14 winners were favourite or second favourite
2nd or 3rd favourites have won 13 of the last 31 (42%) renewals and 6 of the last 14 (46%)
6 of the last 13 winners had run in this race before
No last-time out winner since 2010
Harry Coden (2) and Nico de Boinville (2) have won 4 of the last 6

2024 Winner: Gerri Colombe (9/4 fav)
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Jack Kennedy

3.30pm – William Hill Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

20/21 – Aged 8 or younger
17/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
14/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/21 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle last time out
11/21 – Irish-trained winners, plus 21 of the last 47
7/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/21 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (6 of the last 13)
5/21 – Won last time out
15 of the last 16 winners from the top 3 in the betting
26 of the last 30 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
46 of the last 47 winners aged 8 or younger
15 of the last 30 (50%) winners trained in Ireland
32 of the last 47 (68%) winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
9 of the last 14 winners (64%) were placed in the top 4 of that season’s Champion Hurdle
Just 1 of the last 47 winners aged 10+
29 of the last 30 winners aged 8 or younger
15 of the last 18 winners (including last 12) had won a Grade 1 before
9 of the last 23 (39%) winners had won at this meeting before
Only 6 Champion Hurdle winners since 1999 have run – but 4 won
The last 16 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Just 4 winning outright favourites since 2000
Every past British-trained winner had raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Just 2 winning 5 year-olds in the last 35 runnings
Just 2 of the last 20 Champion Hurdle runners-up to race have won

2024 Winner: Impaire Et Passe (Evs fav)
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Jockey: Paul Townend

4.05pm – Randox Foxhunters´ Open Hunters’ Chase (Class 2) (6yo+) 2m5f ITV

19/21 – Aged 9 or older (Just 3 of the last 39 winners were younger than 9)
16/21 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Aged in double-figures
15/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/21 – Won last time out
9/21 – Ran in the Cheltenham St James’s Place Hunters’ Chase last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
14 of the last 19 (74%) winners were aged 10 or older
Irish-trained runners have won 5 of the last 10 runnings
5 of the last 10 winners were placed in the top 4 in last season’s race
22 of the last 31 (70%) winners went off favourite or second favourite
25 of the last 30 winners had won a race earlier that season
Only 4 of the last 40 winners were aged younger than 9
25 of the last 31 (81%) winners came from the top 4 in the market and returned at single-figures in the betting.
12 of the last 19 winners had run over these National-style fences before
Ex-handicap horses have won 13 of the last 22 (59%) renewals
Owner JP McManus has won 3 of the last 9
2 of the last 7 ridden by James King

2024 Winner: Its On The Line (3/1 fav)
Trainer: Emmet Mullins
Jockey: Mr Derek O’Connor

4.40pm – The Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

19/21 – Aged 9 or younger
18/21 – Carried 11-1 or less
15/21 – Carried 10-13 or less
15/21 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Unplaced last time out
11/21 – Aged 7 or younger
10/21 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Irish-trained winners
16 of the last 22 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
19 of the last 23 winners were rated 139 or lower
Only 3 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
4 of the last 16 winners were ridden by conditional jockeys
The top 5 in the betting have won 18 of the last 26 (69%) runnings
21 of the last 24 (88%) winners carried 11-2 or less
7 of the last 25 (28%) winners ran in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual (Cheltenham)
9 of the last 10 winners DIDN’T run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
7 of the last 9 winners were Irish-bred
Respect trainer Henry De Bromhead – winner 2019 & 2023 and 4 placed horses
No winning favourite in the last 10 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners carried 10-10 or less
Rachael Blackmore has won 2 of the last 5
Brian Hughes has won 2 of the last 8

2024 Winner: Sans Bruit (5/1)
Trainer: Paul Nicholls
Jockey Bryony Frost

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