Tag Archive for: cheltenham racing tips

2025 December Gold Cup Betting Trends

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The December Gold Cup is run over 2m5f at Cheltenham’s December Meeting each season around the middle of the month.

In recent years, trainer Paul Nicholls’ has won the prize five times, the most recent being Frodon in 2018. Nicky Henderson is another trainer to look out for - having won the race three times since 2002 – while in 2020, the race was won by the Michael Winters-trained Chatham Street Lad, who was only the third Irish-trained winner of the race in last 23 runnings.

It's also interesting that 26 of the last 27 winners were aged 8 or younger.

It’s generally, been a good contest for the bookmakers with just one winning favourite in the last 22 runnings (last winning market leader was in 2009), but that’s not to say those at the head of the market don’t do well as 14 of the last 22 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting – while three of the last 11 December Gold Cup winners returned 7/1.

Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and give you all the trends that matter ahead of the 2025 renewal - Saturday 13th December.

Recent Decmeber Gold Cup Winners

2024 - Gemirande (11/2)
2023 - Fugitif (13/2)
2022 – No Race
2021 – Coole Cody (12/1)
2020 - Chatham Street Lad (16/1)
2019 – Warthog (7/1)
2018 – Frodon (7/1)
2017 – Guitar Pete (9/1)
2016 – Frodon (14/1)
2015 – Village Vic (8/1)
2014 – Niceonefrankie (16/1)
2013 – Double Ross (7/1)
2012 – Unioniste (15/2)
2011 – Quantitativeeasing (6/1)
2010 – Poquelin (16/1)
2009 – Poquelin (7/2 fav)
2008 – Abandoned
2007 – Tamarinbleu (22/1)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (8/1)
2005 – Sir Oj (16/1)
2004 – Monkerhostin (4/1)
2003 – Iris Royal (7/1)
2002 – Fondmort (5/1)
2001 – Abandoned
2000 – Go Roger Go (7/1)

December Gold Cup Betting Trends

21/22 – Aged 8 or younger
20/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
17/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
16/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/22 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
16/22 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
15/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Officially rated 141 or higher
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
13/22 – French bred
12/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/22 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/22 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
7/22 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
6/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/22 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/22 – Trained by David Pipe
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 10/1

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Sat TV Trends From Cheltenham: 15th Nov 2025

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A massive day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature race – the ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races.

As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners on Saturday 15th November 2025

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:45 – Paddy Power Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (Registered as The November) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV

13/14 - Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 - Finished first or second last time out
13/14 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
12/14 - Favourites placed in the first three
11/14 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/14 - Had raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
10/14 - Won last time out
8/14 - Ran at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (2) or Uttoxeter (2) last time out
7/14 - French bred
6/14 - Winning favourites
3/14 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
3/14 – Trained by Dan Skelton
2/14 - Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
The last 10 winners aged 5 or 6 years-old

2:20 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

22/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
22/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
22/23 – Won by a UK-based trainer
19/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 11st or less
16/23 – Had won at Cheltenham before
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
13/23 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (4) or Twiston-Davies (3)
12/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 7 years-old
9/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/23 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/23 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
25 of the last 26 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 14 placed horses (four winners, Il Ridoto, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 49 runners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

2:55 – From The Horses Mouth Podcast Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

21/23 – Aged 7 or younger
20/23 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
18/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
18/23 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
16/23 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
17/23 – Irish bred
15/23 – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (4) or Chepstow (4) last time out
15/23 – Officially rated 126 to 137
15/23 – Placed favourites
15/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/23 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/23 – Won their last race
9/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/23 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/23 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
6 of the last 17 winners have had a claiming jockey riding

3:30 – Paddy Power Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

17/20 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
16/20 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/20 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
10/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before
9/20 – Irish-bred winners
9/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price
8/20 – Favourites unplaced
6/20 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 - Winning favourites
5/20 – French bred winners
3/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Tony Martin has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Hamsiyann (2/1 fav) won this race 12 months ago
2 of the last 12 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 16 winners went onto be placed in the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Fri 14th Nov 25)

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This Friday we’ve a cracking jumps card from the home of jumps racing – Cheltenham – as their three-day November Meeting gets underway, with day one races that include the Shloer Chase - which sees the return of last year's winner Jonbon.

To help narrow down the field and hopefully find the winners - we give you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the FOUR LIVE ITV races from the opening day of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (14th Nov 2025).

Use these Cheltenham trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends: Friday 14th November 2025

1:45 - Unibet Middle Distance Veterans' Chase Series Veterans' Handicap Chase (Qualifier) Cl2 (10yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

No past runnings
Trainer Evan Williams has a 23% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 19% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy is just 1-23 (4%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson is just 1-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell is just 2-51 (4%) riding over fences at the track

2:20 – Sun's "Save Our Bets" Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

11/11 – Aged between 5-8
11/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
10/11 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham before
9/11 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/11 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
8/11 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Winning favourites or joint (4 of the last 6)
5/11 – Aged 6 years-old
4/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Won by the Tizzard yard
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

2.55 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Officially rated 150+
14/16 – Won on seasonal reappearance
13/16 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
12/16 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
11/16 – Aged 7 or older
9/16 – Failed to win last time out
9/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – German bred
3/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Jonbon won the race in 2023 and 2024

3.30 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
19/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
15/20 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
15/20 – Aged 5 years-old
14/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
14/20 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (6) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
14/20 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
13/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Won just once before (under rules)
7/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/20 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

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