Tag Archive for: cheltenham racing tips

2024 December Gold Cup Betting Trends

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The December Gold Cup is run over 2m5f at Cheltenham’s December Meeting each season around the middle of the month.

In recent years, trainer Paul Nicholls’ has won the prize five times, the most recent being Frodon in 2018. Nicky Henderson is another trainer to look out for - having won the race three times since 2002 – while in 2020, the race was won by the Michael Winters-trained Chatham Street Lad, who was only the third Irish-trained winner of the race in last 20 runnings.

It's also interesting that 25 of the last 26 winners were aged 8 or younger.

It’s generally, been a good contest for the bookmakers with just one winning favourite in the last 21 runnings (last winning market leader was in 2009), but that’s not to say those at the head of the market don’t do well as 13 of the last 21 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting – while three of the last 10 December Gold Cup winners returned 7/1.

Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and give you all the trends that matter ahead of the 2024 renewal - Saturday 14th December.

Recent Decmeber Gold Cup Winners

2023 - Fugitif (13/2)
2022 – No Race
2021 – Coole Cody (12/1)
2020 - Chatham Street Lad (16/1)
2019 – Warthog (7/1)
2018 – Frodon (7/1)
2017 – Guitar Pete (9/1)
2016 – Frodon (14/1)
2015 – Village Vic (8/1)
2014 – Niceonefrankie (16/1)
2013 – Double Ross (7/1)
2012 – Unioniste (15/2)
2011 – Quantitativeeasing (6/1)
2010 – Poquelin (16/1)
2009 – Poquelin (7/2 fav)
2008 – Abandoned
2007 – Tamarinbleu (22/1)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (8/1)
2005 – Sir Oj (16/1)
2004 – Monkerhostin (4/1)
2003 – Iris Royal (7/1)
2002 – Fondmort (5/1)
2001 – Abandoned
2000 – Go Roger Go (7/1)

December Gold Cup Betting Trends

20/21 – Aged 8 or younger
19/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
16/21 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
15/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
15/21 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
14/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Officially rated 141 or higher
13/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/21 – French bred
10/21 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/21 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
7/21 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/21 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/21 – Trained by David Pipe
2/21 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/21 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 12 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 10/1

 



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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 16th Nov 2024

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A massive day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature race – the ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus they are also covering two at Newcastle.

As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners on Saturday 16th November 2024.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:45 – Paddy Power Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (Registered as the November) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV

12/13 - Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/13 - Finished first or second last time out
12/13 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
11/13 - Favourites placed in the first three
10/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Had raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
9/13 - Won last time out
8/13 - Ran at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (2) or Uttoxeter (2) last time out
6/13 - French bred
5/13 - Winning favourites
3/13 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/13 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
2/13 – Trained by Dan Skelton
The last 9 winners aged 5 or 6 years-old

2.20 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

21/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
21/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
21/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
18/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 11st or less
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Had won at Cheltenham before
14/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/22 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (3) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
10/22 – Aged 7 years-old
9/22 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/22 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
24 of the last 25 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 13 placed horses (three winners, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 47 runners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

2.55 – From The Horses Mouth Podcast Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

20/22 – Aged 7 or younger
19/22 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
18/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
17/22 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
15/22 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
16/22 – Irish bred
14/22 – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (4) or Chepstow (3) last time out
14/22 – Officially rated 126 to 137
14/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/22 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/22 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
6 of the last 16 winners have had a claiming jockey riding

3.30 – Paddy Power Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV4

17/19 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
16/19 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/19 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
10/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/19 – Irish-bred winners
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/19 – Favourites unplaced
6/19 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – French bred winners
5/19 - Winning favourites
3/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 11 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 15 winners went onto be placed in the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (SkySports Racing/ITV)

3:15 – BetUK Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

16/18 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/18– Rated between 102 and 112
13/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/18 – Favourites placed in the top two
12/18 – Won between 1-4 times before
10/18 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/18 – Placed last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (2 of the last 9)
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 5)
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 9 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners drawn in stalls 7 or lower
Note: Previous runs staged at Lingfield (from 2023)

3.48 – BetUK Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

16/17 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Aged 4 or older
13/17 – Didn’t win last time out
14/17 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/17 – Won 5 or more times before
11/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
Willem Twee (3/1) won the race in 2023
Note: Previous runs staged at Lingfield (from 2023)

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Fri 15th Nov 24)

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This Friday we’ve a cracking jumps card from the home of jumps racing – Cheltenham – as their three-day November Meeting gets underway, with day one races that include the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase and the Shloer Chase - which sees the return of last year's winner Jonbon.

To help narrow down the field and hopefully find the winners - we give you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the FOUR LIVE ITV races from the opening day of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (15th Nov 2024).

Use these Cheltenham trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends: Friday 15th November 2024

1:45 – Mucking Brilliant Paddy Power Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

10/10 – Aged between 5-8
10/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
9/10 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham before
8/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
7/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Won by the Tizzard yard
Springwell Bay won at this meeting 12 months ago

2.20 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Officially rated 150+
13/15 – Won on seasonal reappearance
12/15 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
11/15 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
10/15 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
10/15 – Aged 7 or older
9/15 – Failed to win last time out
8/15 – Favourites that won
6/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – German bred
3/15 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Jonbon won the race in 2023

2.55 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 2m4f ITV4

20/20 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
17/20 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
16/20 – Either Irish (10) or French (6) bred
14/20 – Unplaced in their last race
14/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
14/20 – Had a recent run that season
14/20 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
14/20 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (9 won)
14/20 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/20 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Favourites placed
11/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
10/20 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
7/20 – Favourites that won (5 of the last 11)
8 of the last 11 winners carried 11-2 or less in weight
8 of the last 11 winners aged 8 or older
The last 8 winners carried between 10st – 10st 12lbs
4 of the last 11 runnings won by a previous winner
Martin Keighley and Sean Bowen have teamed up to win 2 of the last 3
The Philip Hobbs yard have won 2 of the last 11 runnings
Back On The Lash won the race in 2021 and 2023

3.30 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

19/19 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
18/19 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
14/19 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
14/19 – Aged 5 years-old
13/19 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
13/19 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (6) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
13/19 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
12/19 – Won last time out
11/19 – Won just once before (under rules)
6/19 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/19 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Fri 9th Dec 22)

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The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2022 Cheltenham December Meeting (The International) this Friday (9th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park.

As always, here at GeeGeez we are on hand with his quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races - use these stat to help find the best profiles of past winners.

1:50 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

Six previous runs
6/6 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/6 - Between 0-1 chase wins before
6/6 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 - Finished in the top 5 last time out
5/6 - Irish bred
4/6 - Yet to race at Cheltenham
4/6 - Unplaced favourites
4/6 - winners carried 11-3 or more in weight
2/6 – Winning favourites
Madera Mist won the race in 2020

2.25 – Racing TV Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

17/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/20 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (7 won)
16/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
14/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Aged 8 or younger
11/20 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
11/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
11/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Placed favourites
9/20 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of last 6 runnings)
Commodore (7/1) won this race in 2021

3.00 – Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4 - ABANDONNED

17/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (4 won)
15/18 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
14/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18– Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
10/18 – Aged 9 or older
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Aged in double-figures
8/18 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
8/18 – French bred
7/18 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Carried 11-12
Diesel D’Allier (6/1) won this race in 2021
Easysland (5/2) won this race in 2019

 

3.35 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

16/19 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
15/19 – Carried 11-2 or less
15/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/19 – Irish bred
14/19 – Aged 7 or younger
14/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
11/19 – Rated between 127 and 137
10/18 - Priced 15/2 or bigger in the betting
10/19 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
9/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/19 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/19 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Sun 14th Nov 21)

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Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday (14th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting.

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we're on hand with all the LIVE ITV race trends and stats………..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.45 – Jewson Click And Collect Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m3 1/2f ITV

17/19 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
17/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
16/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
12/19  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
12/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/19 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
8/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/19  – Ran at either Cheltenham (6) or Sandown (2) last time out
7/19 – French bred
3/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 5 years)
3/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 10 years)
Ramses De Teillee (11/2) won the race in 2020
West Approach (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Rock The Kasbah (9/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.20 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (BGG Race) Cl1 2m ITV

11/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Officially rated 150+
10/12 – Won on seasonal reappearance
10/12 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/12 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
7/12 – Failed to win last time out
7/12 – Aged 7 or older
6/12 – Favourites that won
5/12 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/12 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – German bred
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Put The Kettle On won the race in 2020
Defi Du Seuil won the race in 2019
Sceau Royal won the race in 2018

 

2.55 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

17/19 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
17/19 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/19 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
10/19 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/19 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/19 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/19 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1
6 of the last 12 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/17 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Aged 5 years-old
9/17 – Had won a NH Flat race before
9/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Carried 11-7 in weight
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Won by the Nicholls stable
For Pleasure (14/1) won the race in 2020

 

 

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TV Trends: Fri 1st Jan 2021

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Cheltenham – New Year’s Day TV Trends

A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2020 with the ITV cameras taking in four races.

As always, here at GeeGeez we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.20 – Paddy Power Goodbye 2020 Hello 2021Million Novices’ Chase (Reg as the Dipper Novices’ Chase) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m4 ½f

18/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (1 winner)
15/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/18 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/18 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/18 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Aged 7 years-old
7/18 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
7/18 – Ran at either Sandown or Cheltenham last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/18 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase (My Way De Solzen, 2007)

 

1.55 – Paddy Power Millionaire Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

18/18 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
17/18 – Raced within the last 2 months
16/18 – Had won at least twice over fences before
15/18 – Either French (6) or Irish (9) bred
15/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
15/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Rated 138 or higher
13/18 – Aged 8 or older
12/18 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/18 – Unplaced last time out
11/18 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard
1/18 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
Oldgrangewood (12/1) won the race in 2020
Aso (3/1 fav) won the race in 2019

 

2.30 – Paddy Power 74 Sleeps To Cheltenham Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

15/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
13/17 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
13/17 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
12/17 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
12/17 – Rated 130 or higher
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
10/17 – Carried 10-9 or more
10/17 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/17 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
7/17 – French bred
5/17 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/17 – Won by a mare
1/17 – Went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)


3.05 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

14/16 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
14/16 – Won by either a French (5) or Irish (9) bred
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/16 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/16 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
7/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
Summerville Boy (10/1) won this race in 2020
Agrapart (16/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Friday 13th November 2020

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This Friday we’ve a cracking jumps card from the home of jumps racing – Cheltenham – as their three-day November Meeting gets underway.

To help narrow down the field and hopefully find the winners - we give you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the FOUR LIVE ITV races from the opening day of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (13th Nov 2020).

Use these Cheltenham trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

1:50 – Mucking Brilliant Paddy Power Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV

16/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/17 – Raced at Cheltenham before
14/17 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
13/17 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
10/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/17 – Unplaced in their previous race
9/17 – Having their first run of the season
9/17 – Favourites placed
8/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – French-bred horse
4/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/17 – Won their most recent race
2/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/17 – Trained by Paul Henderson (2 of last 3 runnings)
0/17 – Irish-trained winners
Bun Doran won the race in 2018
Doitforthevillage won the race in 2017

2.25 – SSS Super Alloys Supports Racing Welfare Novices´ Chase Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

17/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
16/17 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
15/17 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
15/17 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
14/17 -  Finished in the top three in their latest race
13/17 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
12/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
11/17 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old  (10 of last 12 runnings)
9/17 – Irish-bred horse
8/17 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/17 – First run over fences
8/17 – Raced already that season
7/17 – Won their latest race
6/17 – French-bred horse
6/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
5/17 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
Dynaste, Denman, Weird Al, Imperial Commander, Time For Rupert and Grands Crus are all big names to win this race in recent years


3.00 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Cl2 3m6f ITV

16/16 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
15/16 – Either Irish (9) or French (6) bred
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/16 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
12/16 – Had a recent run that season
12/16 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
12/16 – Unplaced in their last race
11/16 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (7 won)
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/16 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/16 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/16 – Favourites that won
Josies Orders won this in 2015 and 2018

 

3.35 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/15 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
15/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
12/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
12/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/15 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (5) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 years-old
9/15 – Won just once before (under rules)
9/15 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

 

 

 

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Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

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Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November (13th-15th Nov 2020).

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners. In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

While last year (2019) the Kerry Lee-trained Happy Diva landed the honours under jockey Richard Patrick - she'll be looking to become the first back-to-back winner since Bradbury Star, who won the race in 1993 and 1994.

Did you know - 11 of the last 17 Paddy Power Gold Cup winners were trained by Jonjo O'Neill, Paul Nicholls, Nigel Twiston-Davies or the Pipe yard?

Here at GeeGeez we take a look at the 2020 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle – this year run on Saturday 14th November.

 

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

18/18 – Aged 9 or younger (last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975)
18/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
17/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
17/18 – Won by a UK-based trainer
14/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Carried 11st or less
12/18 – Had won at Cheltenham before
12/18 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
9/18 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/18 – Aged 7 years-old
8/18 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
8/18 – Placed favourites
5/18 – Won their last race
4/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/18 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 39 runners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

 

 

 

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Greatwood Hurdle Trends

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The Greatwood Hurdle, this year, will at the Cheltenham November Meeting and continues to be sponsored by leading bookmaker Unibet.

Run over 2m ½ f on the Old Course the contest gives National Hunt racing fans some early season pointers ahead of the Champion Hurdle, run at Cheltenham at the Festival in March – Rooster Booster (2002) was the last horse to win this race and go onto land that same season’s Champion Hurdle.

Since 1988 the race has been won four times by the Pipe stable, three times by Philip Hobbs and three times, including in 2015, by ex-champion trainer Paul Nicholls.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2020 renewal.....this year run on Sunday 15th November.

Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners

2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
2018 - NIETZSCHE (20/1)
2017 - ELGIN (10/1)
2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
2013 – DELL ‘ARCA (12/1)
2012 – OLOFI (8/1)
2011 – BRAMPOUR (12/1)
2010 – MENORAH (6/1)
2009 – KHYBER KIM (9/1)
2008 – NUMIDE (5/1)
2007 – SIZING EUROPE (5/1)
2006 – DETROIT CITY (6/5 fav)
2005 – LINGO (5/1)
2004 – ACCORDION ETOILE (100/30 fav)
2003 – RIGMAROLE (33/1)
2002 – ROOSTER BOOSTER (7/1)

Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends and Stats

16/18 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
16/18 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/18 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
11/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
10/18 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
8/18 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/18 – Won their previous race
6/18 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/18 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/18 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 3)
1/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1
6 of the last 11 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

 

 

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