Tag Archive for: cheltenham racing trends

TV Trends: Fri 1st Jan 2021

Cheltenham – New Year’s Day TV Trends

A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2020 with the ITV cameras taking in four races.

As always, here at GeeGeez we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.20 – Paddy Power Goodbye 2020 Hello 2021Million Novices’ Chase (Reg as the Dipper Novices’ Chase) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m4 ½f

18/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (1 winner)
15/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/18 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/18 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/18 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Aged 7 years-old
7/18 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
7/18 – Ran at either Sandown or Cheltenham last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/18 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase (My Way De Solzen, 2007)

 

1.55 – Paddy Power Millionaire Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

18/18 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
17/18 – Raced within the last 2 months
16/18 – Had won at least twice over fences before
15/18 – Either French (6) or Irish (9) bred
15/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
15/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Rated 138 or higher
13/18 – Aged 8 or older
12/18 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/18 – Unplaced last time out
11/18 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard
1/18 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
Oldgrangewood (12/1) won the race in 2020
Aso (3/1 fav) won the race in 2019

 

2.30 – Paddy Power 74 Sleeps To Cheltenham Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

15/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
13/17 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
13/17 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
12/17 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
12/17 – Rated 130 or higher
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
10/17 – Carried 10-9 or more
10/17 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/17 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
7/17 – French bred
5/17 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/17 – Won by a mare
1/17 – Went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)


3.05 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

14/16 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
14/16 – Won by either a French (5) or Irish (9) bred
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/16 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/16 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
7/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
Summerville Boy (10/1) won this race in 2020
Agrapart (16/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th November 2020

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus they are also covering two at Lingfield.

As always,here at GeeGeez we are on-hand with all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

 

1.40 – From The Horse’s Mouth Podcast Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RacingTV

15/15 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/15 – Aged 7 or younger
12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
12/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
11/15 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
11/15 – Raced no more than twice over fences
11/15 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Raced at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (3) or Wetherby (2) last time out
8/15 – Aged 6 years-old
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by David Pipe
3/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
 

2.15 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

18/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
17/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
17/18 – Won by a UK-based trainer
14/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Carried 11st or less
12/18 – Had won at Cheltenham before
12/18 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
9/18 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/18 – Aged 7 years-old
8/18 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
8/18 – Placed favourites
5/18 – Won their last race
4/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/18 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 39 runners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

2.50 – Paddy Power 3PM Kick Off Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
15/18 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
15/18 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
14/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
13/18 – Officially rated 126 to 137
13/18 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/18 – Placed favourites
13/18  – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
12/18 – Irish bred
12/18 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Won their last race
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/18 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/18 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
5 of the last 12 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017
First Assignment won the race in 2018
Golan Fortune won the race in 2019

 

3.25 – Paddy Power First Millionaire Qualifier Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

13/15 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/15 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Favourites unplaced
7/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/15 – Irish bred winners
6/15 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – French bred winners
2/15 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 - Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 11 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

3.55 – Karndean Designflooring Mares’ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed Race) C1 (4-6 year-olds) 2m 1/2f

 

8/8 – GB (5) or Irish (3) bred
7/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/8 – Won at least once before in a NH Flat race
6/8 – Won last time out
6/8 – Had never raced at Cheltenham before
5/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Returned 14/1 or bigger in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in recent years is 11/1

Note: The 2016 running was a dead-heat

 

 

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.05 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

12/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated between 102 and 112
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top two
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Master The World (10/1) won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

3.40 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

12/13 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 4 or older
10/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Won 5 or more times before
9/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
Gifted Master (9/2) won the race in 2017
Encrypted won the race in 2018
Judicial won the race in 2019

 

 

 

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