Another massive day of horse racing this Saturday with ‘Trials Day’ at Cheltenham – their last meeting before the Festival in March. Therefore, plenty more clues to be had, including top races like the Cleeve Hurdle and Cotswold Chase – a race only two favourites in the last 21 runnings have taken.

The ITV cameras are also heading to Doncaster to take in the best of their action, including the ultra-competitive Great Yorkshire Handicap Chase and the River Don Novices' Hurdle.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we've got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

Cheltenham Trials Day Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV)

1.15 – JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f RTV

18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
13/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Had previously won at least once over hurdles in the UK
12/20 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/20 – Winning distance – 2 ¼ lengths or less
11/20 – French bred (including 8 of last 9 winners)
10/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/20 – Went onto be placed in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (3 winners, Defi Du Seuil  2017, Peace & Co 2015, Katchit 2007)
5/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham previously
4/20 – Trained by Alan King
4/20 – Priced 25/1, 50/1 or 100/1
4/20 – Won by an Irish bred horse
3/20 – Won by a German bred horse
Nicky Henderson has trained 5 of the last 11 winners
4 of the last 7 winners have been owned by JP McManus

2024 Winner: SIR GINO (N Henderson) 5/4

1.50 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m 41/2f ITV

18/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
18/20 – Rated 130 or higher
17/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
17/20 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
16/20 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
15/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/20 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (8 won)
14/20 – Aged 8 or older
14/20 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner – Siruh Du Lac)
12/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
9/20 – Carried 10-7 or less
7/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites (just 1 joint-fav in the last 10 runnings)
3/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/20 – Won by the Hobbs yard
2/20 - Won the by the Paul Nicholls yard (2 of the last 6)
2/20 - Won the by the Venetia Williams yard (2 of the last 11)
2/20 - Won the by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard (2 of the last 7)
3 of the last 7 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Jockey Gavin Sheehan has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners
Last 9 winners aged 8 or younger
Il Ridoto won this in 2023
Torn and Frayed won this in 2022

2024 Winner: GA LAW (Jamie Snowden) 8/1

2.25 – Betfair Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV

21/21 – Officially rated 151 or higher
20/21 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (10 had won)
19/21 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
19/21 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
17/21 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
16/21 – Priced 7/1 or less
14/21 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (6) last time
11/21 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
10/21 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
10/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
7/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/21 - Won by the Henderson yard (2 of the last 5)
2/21 - Won by the Tizzard yard
2/21 – Favourites
1/21 – Irish-trained winners (2024)
1/21 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
1/21 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase (Frodon, 2019)
10 of the last 17 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 7/1
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup
Nicky Henderson has won the race 3 times (1980, 2020, 2022)
No back-to-back winners of the race

2024 Winner: CAPODANNO (Wille Mullins) 7/2

3.00 Unibet Hurdle (Reg as the International Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m1f ITV

20/20 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
18/20 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
17/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Won over 2m1f+ (hurdles) previously
17/20 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
16/20 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
14/20 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
14/20 –  Favourites placed
13/20 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
13/20 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
12/20 – Won their latest race
12/20 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
11/20 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/20 – Rated 162 or higher
8/20 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/20 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
6/20 – Won by a French-bred horse
5/20 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 6)
5/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (4 of the last 10)
4/20 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies (4 of the last 10)
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 11)
3/20 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
Rooster Booster (2002) won both races in the same season (last won)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

2024 Winner: LOSSIEMOUTH (Willie Mullins) 4/7 fav

3.35 – Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

18/19 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
17/19 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/19 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
16/19 – Went to run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (5 won)
15/19 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
14/19 – Officially rated 154 or higher
13/19 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/19 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 4 in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
12/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
12/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
9/19 – Won their latest race
8/19 – Favourites that won
7/19 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/19 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable

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6 winners in total won the Stayers’ Hurdle (same season)

Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown

2024 Winner: NOBLE YEATS (Emmet Mullins) 3/1

4.10 – AIS Novices’ Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

18/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
17/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
15/18 – Winners that later raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 winners)
15/18 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
14/18 – Won their latest race
14/18 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
13/18 – Favourites placed
12/18 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/18 – Priced 4/1 or shorter
9/18 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
6/18 – Favourites that won
5/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/18 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4/18 – Won by the Alan King stable
3/18 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival

2024 Winner: GIDLEIGH PARK (Harry Fry) 5/6 fav

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – River Don Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m110y ITV

14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/15 – Winning favourite
3/15 - Trained By Ben Pauling (3 of the last 9)
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 - Ridden by Nico de Boinville
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old

2024 Winner: KERRYHILL (Ruth Jefferson) 7/1

2.40 – Yorkshire Rose Mares´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m 1/2f ITV

9/9 – Aged between 7-9
9/9 – Favourites placed (top 3)
8/9 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
8/9 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/9 – Returned 5/2 or shorter
7/9 – Winning favourites
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Went onto run in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) 1 winner – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
6/9 – Won 4+ times over hurdles
5/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Irish-trained
2/9 – Trained by Dan Skelton
2/9 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
Note: From 2022 the race was run at Ascot

2024 Winner: MARIE’S ROCK (N Henderson) 6/4 fav

3.15 –The Great Yorkshire Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (CLASS 1) (5yo+ 0-155) CH4 3m ITV

18/19 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
16/19 – Carried 11-2 or less
15/19 – Officially rated 130 or higher
14/19 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/19 – Aged 9 or younger
13/19 – Unplaced favourites
13/19 – Irish bred
j12/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 – Carried 10-12 or less
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Winning favourites (1 in the last 10)
2/19 – Trained by Alan King
6 of the last 18 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)
The last 9 winners returned 8/1 or bigger
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell

2024 Winner: ANNUAL INVICTUS (Chris Gordon) 16/1

 

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