Tag Archive for: cotswold chase trends

Saturday TV Trends: 25th Jan 2025

Another massive day of horse racing this Saturday with ‘Trials Day’ at Cheltenham – their last meeting before the Festival in March. Therefore, plenty more clues to be had, including top races like the Cleeve Hurdle and Cotswold Chase – a race only two favourites in the last 21 runnings have taken.

The ITV cameras are also heading to Doncaster to take in the best of their action, including the ultra-competitive Great Yorkshire Handicap Chase and the River Don Novices' Hurdle.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we've got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

Cheltenham Trials Day Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV)

1.15 – JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f RTV

18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
13/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Had previously won at least once over hurdles in the UK
12/20 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/20 – Winning distance – 2 ¼ lengths or less
11/20 – French bred (including 8 of last 9 winners)
10/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/20 – Went onto be placed in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (3 winners, Defi Du Seuil  2017, Peace & Co 2015, Katchit 2007)
5/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham previously
4/20 – Trained by Alan King
4/20 – Priced 25/1, 50/1 or 100/1
4/20 – Won by an Irish bred horse
3/20 – Won by a German bred horse
Nicky Henderson has trained 5 of the last 11 winners
4 of the last 7 winners have been owned by JP McManus

2024 Winner: SIR GINO (N Henderson) 5/4

1.50 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m 41/2f ITV

18/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
18/20 – Rated 130 or higher
17/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
17/20 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
16/20 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
15/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/20 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (8 won)
14/20 – Aged 8 or older
14/20 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner – Siruh Du Lac)
12/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
9/20 – Carried 10-7 or less
7/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites (just 1 joint-fav in the last 10 runnings)
3/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/20 – Won by the Hobbs yard
2/20 - Won the by the Paul Nicholls yard (2 of the last 6)
2/20 - Won the by the Venetia Williams yard (2 of the last 11)
2/20 - Won the by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard (2 of the last 7)
3 of the last 7 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Jockey Gavin Sheehan has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners
Last 9 winners aged 8 or younger
Il Ridoto won this in 2023
Torn and Frayed won this in 2022

2024 Winner: GA LAW (Jamie Snowden) 8/1

2.25 – Betfair Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV

21/21 – Officially rated 151 or higher
20/21 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (10 had won)
19/21 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
19/21 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
17/21 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
16/21 – Priced 7/1 or less
14/21 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (6) last time
11/21 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
10/21 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
10/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
7/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/21 - Won by the Henderson yard (2 of the last 5)
2/21 - Won by the Tizzard yard
2/21 – Favourites
1/21 – Irish-trained winners (2024)
1/21 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
1/21 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase (Frodon, 2019)
10 of the last 17 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 7/1
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup
Nicky Henderson has won the race 3 times (1980, 2020, 2022)
No back-to-back winners of the race

2024 Winner: CAPODANNO (Wille Mullins) 7/2

3.00 Unibet Hurdle (Reg as the International Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m1f ITV

20/20 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
18/20 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
17/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Won over 2m1f+ (hurdles) previously
17/20 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
16/20 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
14/20 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
14/20 –  Favourites placed
13/20 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
13/20 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
12/20 – Won their latest race
12/20 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
11/20 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/20 – Rated 162 or higher
8/20 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/20 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
6/20 – Won by a French-bred horse
5/20 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 6)
5/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (4 of the last 10)
4/20 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies (4 of the last 10)
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 11)
3/20 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
Rooster Booster (2002) won both races in the same season (last won)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

2024 Winner: LOSSIEMOUTH (Willie Mullins) 4/7 fav

3.35 – Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

18/19 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
17/19 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/19 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
16/19 – Went to run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (5 won)
15/19 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
14/19 – Officially rated 154 or higher
13/19 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/19 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 4 in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
12/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
12/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
9/19 – Won their latest race
8/19 – Favourites that won
7/19 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/19 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable

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6 winners in total won the Stayers’ Hurdle (same season)

Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown

2024 Winner: NOBLE YEATS (Emmet Mullins) 3/1

4.10 – AIS Novices’ Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

18/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
17/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
15/18 – Winners that later raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 winners)
15/18 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
14/18 – Won their latest race
14/18 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
13/18 – Favourites placed
12/18 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/18 – Priced 4/1 or shorter
9/18 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
6/18 – Favourites that won
5/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/18 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4/18 – Won by the Alan King stable
3/18 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival

2024 Winner: GIDLEIGH PARK (Harry Fry) 5/6 fav

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – River Don Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m110y ITV

14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/15 – Winning favourite
3/15 - Trained By Ben Pauling (3 of the last 9)
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 - Ridden by Nico de Boinville
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old

2024 Winner: KERRYHILL (Ruth Jefferson) 7/1

2.40 – Yorkshire Rose Mares´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m 1/2f ITV

9/9 – Aged between 7-9
9/9 – Favourites placed (top 3)
8/9 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
8/9 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/9 – Returned 5/2 or shorter
7/9 – Winning favourites
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Went onto run in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) 1 winner – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
6/9 – Won 4+ times over hurdles
5/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Irish-trained
2/9 – Trained by Dan Skelton
2/9 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
Note: From 2022 the race was run at Ascot

2024 Winner: MARIE’S ROCK (N Henderson) 6/4 fav

3.15 –The Great Yorkshire Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (CLASS 1) (5yo+ 0-155) CH4 3m ITV

18/19 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
16/19 – Carried 11-2 or less
15/19 – Officially rated 130 or higher
14/19 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/19 – Aged 9 or younger
13/19 – Unplaced favourites
13/19 – Irish bred
j12/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 – Carried 10-12 or less
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Winning favourites (1 in the last 10)
2/19 – Trained by Alan King
6 of the last 18 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)
The last 9 winners returned 8/1 or bigger
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell

2024 Winner: ANNUAL INVICTUS (Chris Gordon) 16/1

 

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2025 Cotswold Chase Trends

Run at Cheltenham racecourse – normally in the third week of January at their Trials Meeting – the Cotswold Chase is run over a trip of 3m 1 ½ furlongs. The race is deemed as another Cheltenham Gold Cup trial, but maybe only in name as the last horse to land both races in the same season was Looks Like Trouble in 2000, while Master Oats also landed both races back in 1995.

In 2023 we saw the Lucinda Russell-trained Ahoy Senor win the race and in 2024 Willie Mullins won the race for the first time - when his Capodanno landed the prize.

We take a look back at past winners of the Cotswold Chase and give you all the stats that mater ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Saturday 25th January.

Cotswold Chase Past Winners

2024 – Capodanno (7/2)
2023 – Ahoy Senor (13/2)
2022 – Chantry House (5/6 fav)
2021 - Native River (13/2)
2020 – Santini (13/8 fav)
2019 – Frodon (9/4)
2018 – Definitly Red (7/1)
2017 – Many Clouds (8/1)
2016 – Smad Place (9/2)
2015 – Many Clouds (4/1)
2014 – The Giant Bolster (6/1)
2013 - Cape Tribulation (7/1)
2012 – Midnight Chase (11/2)
2011 – Neptune Collonges (11/2)
2010 – Taranis (16/1)
2009 – Joe Lively (11/1)
2008 – Knowhere (16/1)
2007 – Exotic Dancer (6/1)
2006 – See You Sometime (18/1)
2005 – Grey Abbey (10/3)
2004 – Jair Du Cochet (11/4)

Cotswold Chase Betting Trends

21/21 – Officially rated 151 or higher
20/21 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (10 had won)
19/21 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
19/21 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
17/21 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
16/21 – Priced 7/1 or less
14/21 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (6) last time
11/21 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
10/21 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
10/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
7/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/21 - Won by the Henderson yard (2 of the last 5)
2/21 - Won by the Tizzard yard
2/21 – Favourites
1/21 - Irish-trained winners
1/21 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
1/21 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase (Frodon, 2019)
10 of the last 17 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 7/1

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Nicky Henderson has won the race 3 times (1980, 2020, 2022)
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup

 

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Cotswold Chase Trends

Run at Cheltenham racecourse – normally in the third week of January at their Trials Meeting – the Cotswold Chase is run over a trip of 3m 1 ½ furlongs. The race is deemed as another Cheltenham Gold Cup trial, but maybe only in name as the last horse to land both races in the same season was Looks Like Trouble in 2000, while Master Oats took both prizes back in 1995.

Being Staged at Sandown Park in 2021 - Note, the 2021 running of the Cotswold Chase will now be run at Sandown Park on Saturday 6th Feb 2021, after the original race day at Cheltenham (30th Jan) was called off.

Twelve months ago in 2020 we saw the Nicky Henderson-trained Santini win the race under jockey Nico de Boinville – that was the first winning favourite in the last 17 runnings, while Santini went onto finish a close second in the 2020 Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at past winners of the Paddy Power Cotswold Chase and give you all the stats that mater ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 6th February 2021.

 

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Cotswold Chase Past Winners

2020 – Santini (13/8 fav)
2019 - Frodon (9/4)
2018 - Definitly Red (7/1)
2017 – Many Clouds (8/1)
2016 – Smad Place (9/2)
2015 – Many Clouds (4/1)
2014 – The Giant Bolster (6/1)
2013 - Cape Tribulation (7/1)
2012 – Midnight Chase (11/2)
2011 – Neptune Collonges (11/2)
2010 – Taranis (16/1)
2009 – Joe Lively (11/1)
2008 – Knowhere (16/1)
2007 – Exotic Dancer (6/1)
2006 – See You Sometime (18/1)
2005 – Grey Abbey (10/3)
2004 – Jair Du Cochet (11/4)

Cotswold Chase Betting Trends

17/17 – Officially rated 151 or higher
16/17 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (8 had won)
15/17 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
15/17 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
12/17 – Priced 7/1 or less
12/17 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
11/17 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
11/17 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Unplaced last time out
7/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/17 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
6/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/17 – Won by the Oliver Sherwood yard
1/17 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
1/17 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase (Frodon, 2019)
1/17 – Favourites
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 15/2
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup

 

 

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