Tag Archive for: Craven Stakes Trends

2024 Craven Stakes Trends

The bet365 Craven Stakes is the feature contest on the three-day Newmarket April Meeting and is a Group Three race run over 1 mile.

Being for 3 year-old colts and geldings the race is often seen as an early season trial for the 2,000 Guineas, run the following month – although, the last horse to win both races was Haafhd in 2004. The 2018 winner - Masar - went onto win the Epsom Derby.

Here at GeeGeez, we looks back at recent winners and gives you the key stats ahead of the 2024 renewal – this year staged on Thursday 18th April.

Recent Craven Stakes Winners

2023 - INDESTRUCTIBLE (8/1)
2022 - NATIVE TRAIL (1/4 fav)
2021 - MASTER OF THE SEAS (11/4 fav)
2020 – No Race (Covid)
2019 – SKARDU (3/1)
2018 – MASAR (7/2)
2017 – EMINENT (8/1)
2016 – STORMY ANTARCTIC (9/2)
2015 – KOOL COMPANY (14/1)
2014 – TOORMORE (Evs fav)
2013 – TORONADO (8/11 fav)
2012 –TRUMPET MAJOR (9/2)
2011 – NATIVE KHAN (8/11 fav)
2010 – ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL (10/11 fav)
2009 – DELEGATOR (4/6 fav)
2008 - TWICE OVER (9/4)
2007 – ADAGIO (5/4 fav)
2006 – KILLYBEGS (9/2)
2005 – DEMOCRATIC DEFICIT (12/1)
2004 – HAAFHD (10/3)
2003 – HURRICANE ALAN (9/1)

Craven Stakes Betting Trends

18/20 – Having their first run of the season
16/20 – Rated 110 or higher
15/20 – Yet to win over a mile
15/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
15/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
14/20 – Had won over 7f before
14/20 – Had won no more than twice before
12/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
11/20 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (5 won)
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 of the last 12)
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of the last 5)
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
1/20 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 5 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or less
4 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Trainer John Gosden has only won the race once (1993)
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 9/2

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing TV Trends | Wednesday 13th April 2022

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday 12th and Wednesday 13th April 2022.

Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/Racing TV)

Wednesday 13th April 2022

1.50 – bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) - 6f (Row)

15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/15 – Came from stall 8 or lower
13/15 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
11/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/15 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
11/15 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
11/15 – Had won just once before
9/15 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8
9/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1
Trainer George Boughey has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo) - 1m (Row)

13/13 – Having their debut runs
11/13 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
9/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
1/13 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

3.00 – Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+) 6f (Row)

14/15 – Won over 6f before
14/15 – Aged 4 or older
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Rated between 106 and 114
11/15 – Had run at Newmarket before
11/15 – Won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Ran 5 months or more ago
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Winning favourites (just 2 in the last 10)
4/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Won by the Hills stable
2/15 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The last 10 winners were aged between 4-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
 

3.35 - bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo) 1m (Row)

16/18 – Having their first run of the season
15/18 – Rated 110 or higher
14/18 – Yet to win over a mile
14/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
13/18 – Had won over 7f before
13/18 – Had won no more than twice before
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
7/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 of the last 11)
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 - Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 3)
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
1/18 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or less
4 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 9/2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

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