Tag Archive for: Dewhurst Stakes free tips and trends

Sat TV Trends: 12th Oct 2024 (York and Newmarket)

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 12th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 18 of the last 22 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less - including last year's winner The Shunter, who won with 9st 1lb.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Space Blues Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV4

10/11 – Won over a least 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/11 – Listed or Group winner
9/11 – Winners from stalls 7 or higher
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
7/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Favourites unplaced
4/11 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/11 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 3)
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 9)
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
Highland Avenue (11/4 fav) won the race in 2023
7 of the last 8 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

1:50 – Palace Pier Zetland Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

17/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Won no more than twice before
15/17 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
11/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
3/17 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
2/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard (none in the last 10)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin has won the last 3 runnings
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 5, 6 or 7
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won the last 3 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 9

2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

18/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
17/19 – Had raced at least twice before
16/19 – Won between 1-2 times before
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Godolphin winners (8 of the last 8)
7/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Ridden by William Buick (6 of the last 9)
5/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (5 of the last 7)
3/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/19 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 7 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race
Charlie Appleby and William Buick have won the last four
Ancient Wisdom (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

3:00 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

21/22 – Raced at least 3 times that season
19/21 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
19/21 – Placed in their last race
17/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Favourites placed
16/22 – Won their last race
16/22 – Won a Group race previously
15/22 – Won at least 3 times previously
14/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/22 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
12/22 – Won by an Irish-based stable
12/22 – Favourites that won
9/22 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
7/22 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/22 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
7/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 wins in total)
6/22 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/22 – Trained by Jim Bolger
3/22 – Godolphin-owned winners (3 of the last 12)
3/22 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 5)
1/22 – Winners that came from stall 1
5 of the last 6 winners drawn in stalls 5 (3) or 2 (2)
The Irish have won 12 of the last 18 runnings
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 of the last 11 winners
Ryan Moore has won the race 5 times
City Of Troy (8/15 fav) won the race in 2023

3:40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

21/22 – Aged 4 or older
18/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
17/22 – Had run within the last 2 months
16/22 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
16/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/22 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
13/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/22 – Won by a NH trainer
12/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Had run at the track before
9/22 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/22 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/22 – Winning mares
4/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 6 winners)
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/22 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 7 winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 21/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

21/21– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
20/21 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
16/21 – Foaled in March or later
15/21 – Had never raced at York before
15/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had won over 6f before
12/21 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
8/21 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Filly winners
5/21 – Winners from stall 2
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/21 – Ridden by David Allan
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Jockey Tom Marquand has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 14 runnings

2:05 – Coral ‘Daily Rewards Shacker’ Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

10/11 - Returned 11/1 or shorter
10/11 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/11 – Rated between 95-103
8/11 - Aged 3 years-old
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
7/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before
5/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 3 (including last 2)
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 8
3 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

2:40 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

21/21 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
21/21 – Had won at least 3 races before
20/21 – Had won a race over 6f before
19/21 – Had run at York before
19/21 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
16/21 – Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/21 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 8)
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 7 winners)
2/21 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/21 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners carried 9st or more
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 6 winners drawn in stalls 5 or 7 (2 each)
4 of the last 15 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Strike Red (12/1) won the race in 2022

3:15 – Play Coral ‘Racing-Super-Series’ For Free Nursery Handicap (Cl2) (2yo) 1m ITV4

7/7 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
6/7 – Drawn 6 or lower
6/7 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/7 – Rated between 80-86
5/7 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Carried 9-4 or more
4/7 – Irish bred
3/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Hector Crouch (last 2)
2/7 – Ridden by Ben Curtis
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 3 of the last 5 (inc last 2)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Oct 2020

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 10th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & the Group One Dewhurst Stakes, where we get to see some of the stars of the future.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

13/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
12/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Won no more than twice before
11/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/13 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
6/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won two of the last 3 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

2.20 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

14/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 7f before
13/15 – Had raced at least twice before
13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Won between 1-2 times before
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Godolphin winners
3/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 9
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

2.55 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

18/18 – Raced at least 3 times that season
16/18 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
16/18 – Placed in their last race
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
13/18 – Favourites placed
13/18 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/18 – Won their last race
13/18 – Won a Group race previously
11/18 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (7) last time out
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/18 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/18 – Favourites that won
7/18 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
6/18 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/18 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/18 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
5/18 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/18 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/18 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
1/18 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 10 of the last 14 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 5 winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.35 – Together For Racing International Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

17/18 – Aged 4 or older
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
15/18 – Had run within the last 2 months
14/18 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/18 – Aged 5 or older
12/18 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/18 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
9/18 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/18 – Had run at the track before
9/18 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/18 – Won by a NH trainer
8/18 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/18 – Placed favourites
4/18 – Winning mares
3/18 – Winners from stall 1
3/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins (last 2 winners)
2/18 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 22/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.00 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17– Had raced within the last month
16/17 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
14/17 – Foaled in March or later
14/17 – Had 4 or more runs that season
13/17 – Had never raced at York before
12/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/17 – Had won over 6f before
10/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
8/17 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Winners from stall 2
4/17 – Filly winners
3/17 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/17 – Ridden by David Allen
The  horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

2.35 –Coral Beaten By A Length Handicap (96 Plus Race) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just seven previous runnings
7/7 – Rated between 96-103
6/7 -  Returned 10/1 or shorter
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Won over at least 1m2f before
5/7  - Aged 3 years-old
5/7 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Had run at the track before
4/7 – Ridden by Franny Norton (2) or Adam Kirby (2)
4/7 – Irish bred
0/7 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 8
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

3.10 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

17/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
17/17 – Had won at least 3 races before
16/17 – Had run at York before
16/17 – Had won a race over 6f before
15/17 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
9/17 – Rated between 92 and 98
9/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/17 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 3 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/17 – Filly or mare winners
4 of the last 11 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Gulliver (16/1) won the race in 2019
Major Jumbo (12/1) won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

 

 

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