Tag Archive for: doncaster horse racing tips

Doncaster TV Trends: Friday 12th Sept 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (11th-14th Sept) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday – with the races on the ITV main channel.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Friday 12th September 2025

1:15 – Betfred Mallard Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m 6 1/2f ITV

22/22 – Drawn in stall 11 or lower
21/22 – Had won at least twice before
20/22 – Aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
18/22 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
17/22 – Carried 8-10 or more
15/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/22 – Winning distance 1 length or more
9/22 – Ran at York last time out
9/22 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
8/22 – Returned a double-figure price
6/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/22 – Trained by James Fanshawe
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
7 of the last 8 winners drawn between 3-7

1:50 – Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/15 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
13/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Won just once before
12/15 – Foaled in March or later
12/15 – Won over 7f or 1m before
10/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
6/15 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3) or 5 (3)
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by John Gosden

2:25 – Carlsberg Danish Pilsner Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV

19/21 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
17/21 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
16/21 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
15/21 – Won 1-2 times before
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
12/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Ran at York last time
7/21 – Foaled in April
7/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
1/21 – Winners from stall 1
Archie Watson has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
9 of the last 12 winners drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7 of the last 11 winners drawn in stalls 5 or lower

3:00 – Betfred Howard Wright Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m2f ITV

22/24 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
22/24 – Had 2 or more runs that season
20/24 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
17/24 – Placed last time out
16/24 – Had run at Doncaster before (7 won)
15/24 – Had won 5 or more times before
15/24 – Aged 6 or younger
15/24 – Previous Group race winners
15/24 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
13/24 – Ran at York last time out
11/24 – Winning favourites
9/24 – Won last time out
8/24 – Unplaced favourites
4/24 – Trained in Ireland
2/24 – Trained by Andrew Balding
The last 10 winners were drawn 6 or lower
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 6
Sweet William won the race in 2024
Coltrane won the race in 2022

3:40 British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/8 – Won over 1m4f before
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times
7/8 – Rated between 85-89 (inc)
6/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/8 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
6/8 – Never raced at Doncaster
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Drawn 5 or lower
5/8 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/8 – Irish bred
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Ridden by William Buick
2/8 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (last 2)

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Thursday 11th Sept 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (11th-14th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday on the ITV main channel.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Thursday 11th September 2025

1:15 - British Stallion Studs β€œCarrie Red” EBF FilliesΒ΄ Stakes (Nursery Handicap) Cl2 6f110y ITV

22/22 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
20/22 – Carried 9-3 or less
19/22 – Rated 74 or higher
18/22 – Had won at least one race before
17/22 – Placed third or better last time out
16/22 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
15/22 – Won by a Feb or Mar-born foal
14/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/22– Won by the Hannon team
2/22 – Won by the Richard Fahey team
2/22 – Won by the Cole yard
2/22 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 8)
Clifford Lee has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners)
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
4 of the last 5 winners from stalls 5 or 3 (2 each)
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 3

1:50 - Weatherbys Scientific Β£200,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 6f110y ITV

19/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Finished 5th or better last time out
16/21 – Yet to win over 6 Β½ or 7f
16/21 – Won between 1-2 times
14/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Placed favourites
11/21 – Won from a double-figure stall
11/21 – Raced at York last time out
11/21 – Foaled in Jan or Feb
7/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey (including 2 or the last 11 runnings)
2/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before
2/21 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/21 – Won by a filly
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
2/21 - Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/21– Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 12)
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
12 of the last 18 winners carried 8-12 or less in weight
5 of the last 8 winners drawn 1 (2) or 3 (3)
Just 1 winning favourite in the last 10 runnings

2:25 – Betfred May Hill Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

21/23 – Had 1 or 2 previous career wins
21/23 – Had won over 7f+ before
21/23 – Won by a Feb, Mar or April foal
19/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
16/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
9/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
2/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/23 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 8)
14 of the last 19 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2018)
7 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower

3:00 – Betfred Park Hill Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV

20/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
19/22 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Won no more than 4 times before
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Previous Group winners
10/22 – Had run at Doncaster before
9/22 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
8/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won the Lillie Langtry (Goodwood) that season
6/22 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 6)
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 9)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
The last 8 winners from stall 8 or lower
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 2

3:35 – Oddschecker Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

Just two past runnings
Trainer Hugo Palmer won the race in 2024
Trainer Marco Botti won the race in 2023
No winning favourite
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 40% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track

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Sat TV Trends: 7th November 2020

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This Saturday the ITV cameras head to WincantonΒ with the Badger Ales Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in one of the Aintree contests – as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVEΒ races…..Β 

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Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.30 – Betfair Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/16 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
14/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Won from stall 12 or lower
13/16 – Rated 99 or higher
13/16 – Aged 4 or older
11/16 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/16 – Winning distance – Β½ length or less
5/16 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

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2.05 – Betfair Exchange British EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/15 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

3.15 – Betfair November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

13/16 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
13/16 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
13/16 – Favourites that were unplaced
12/16 – Winning distance – 2 Β½ lengths or less
12/16 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

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Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Aged 7 or younger
10/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
8/13 – Rated between 119-129
9/13 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/13 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
8/13 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
8/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/13 – Had run at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Aged 6 years-old
5/13 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 9)
2/13 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 7)
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Misty Bloom (9/2) won the race in 2019 (Emma Lavelle)

2.25 - β€˜Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

13/13 – Had won no more than twice over fences
12/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Irish (6) or French (4) bred
9/13 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
9/13 – Aged 6 or younger
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
10 of the last 11 winners were aged between 5-7
Reserve Tank (4/5 fav) won the race in 2019 (Colin Tizzard)

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Rated 150 or lower
9/16 – Having first run of the season
5/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by John Quinn
Fusil Raffles (4/7 fav) won the race in 2019 (Nicky Henderson)
Sceau Royal won this race in 2016

 

 

3.35 - Badger Beers Silver Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

17/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
15/17 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
14/17 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
14/17Β  – Placed in the top four in their last race
14/17 – Won at least two chase races previously
13/17 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
13/17 –  Raced at the course previously (won over fences)
12/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Irish-bred horse
10/17 – Raced already that season
10/17 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
10/17 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/17 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/17 – Priced at double-figures
7/17 – Won their latest race
7/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
7/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
5/17 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 10 years)
Present Man won the race in 2017 and 2018
Give Me A Copper (9/2 co fav) won the race in 2019 (Paul Nicholls)

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.40 – williamhill Best Odds Guaranteed Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f

4/5 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Winning favourites
3/5 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
2/5 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/5 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/5 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville

 

Sat TV Trends: 29th February 2020

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We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RacingTV)

**NOTE** - Newbury's Saturday card has been called off due to a waterlogged track

2.05 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood VeteransΒ΄ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of VeteransΒ΄ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4

9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/10 – Aged 10 years-old
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/10 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Winning favourites
Carole’s Destrier (6/1) won the race in 2019
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

3.15– William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4

15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
13/16 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
13/16 – Won over this trip previously
11/16 – Officially rated 139 or higher
11/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/16 – FavouritesΒ  to win (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RacingTV)


1.50 – 888Sport Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 9 or younger
6/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Finished 4th or better last time out
6/7 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/7 – Favourites place in the top two
4/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/7 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Aged 9 years-old
2/7 – Won last time out

2.25 – 888Sport Bet Β£10 Get Β£30 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
5/8 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
5/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/8 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/8 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

 

3.00 – 888Sport Take β€˜Em On MaresΒ΄ NovicesΒ΄ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 2
5/6 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/6 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/6 – Irish bred

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3.35 – 888Sport Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4

15/15 – Aged 8 or older
14/15 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
12/15 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/15 – Aged 9 or older
10/15 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Rated 131 or less
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
7/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/15 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 5 runnings
Chidswell won the race in 2019
Definitely Red won this race in 2017

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KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.45 – William Hill Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV4

10/11 – Aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/11 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
6/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Kelso before
5/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Winning favourite
3/11 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/11 – Trained by Lucinda Russell

 

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