Tag Archive for: doncaster horse racing trends and tips

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 11th Nov 2023

A busy one this Saturday as the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Newcastle for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in three Aintree contests as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races….. 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkyRacing)

1.30 – Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Irish EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

16/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Had won at least twice before
15/18 – Had 3 or more runs that season
12/18 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
11/18 – Unplaced last time out
11/18 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
11/18 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/18 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
4/18 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding  (2 of last 10)
2/18  - Ridden by David Probert
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

2.05 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

17/19 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
17/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Won from stall 12 or lower
15/19 – Rated 99 or higher
15/19 – Aged 4 or older
13/19 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
10/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/19 – Had won at Doncaster before
9/19 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/19 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites (4 of last 10)
3/19 – Winning mare/filly
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
8 of the last 9 winners carried 9-0 or more
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

3.45 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

16/19 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
16/19 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
15/19 – Favourites that were unplaced
15/19 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/19 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
13/19 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
13/19 – Placed last time out
12/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/19 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/19 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Won last time out
3/19 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/19 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
2/19 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 11/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1995

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – West Country Weekend Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m4f ITV4

7/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/7 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – French or Irish bred
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top two
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
6/7 – Had won over 2m4f (fences)
6/7 – Carried 11-2 or more
5/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Rated between 120-127
5/7 – Carried 11-5 or more
4/7 – Had run at Wincanton before
3/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

1.50 – Boodles ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

15/16 – Had won no more than twice over fences
15/16 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Irish (8) or French (5) bred
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/16 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Aged 6 or younger
9/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
11 of the last 14 winners were aged between 5-7

2.25- West Country Elite Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/19 – Aged 7 or younger
17/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/19 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
14/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/19 – Rated 150 or lower
10/19 – Unplaced last time out
9/19 – Having first run of the season
7/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
5/19 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by John Quinn
3/19 - Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 7)

3.00 – 62nd Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

19/20 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
18/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
17/20 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
16/20 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
16/20  – Placed in the top four in their last race
16/20 – Won at least two chase races previously
15/20 –  Raced at the course previously (over fences)
14/20 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
14/20 – Favourites placed
12/20 – Irish-bred horse
12/20 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
11/20 – Raced already that season
11/20 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
9/20 – Priced at double-figures
8/20 – Won their latest race
8/20 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
8/20 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
8/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/20 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 6 of the last 11 years)
4/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
Frodon (9/4) won the race in 2022

3.32 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

16/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Aged 7 or younger
12/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
12/16 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
11/16 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
11/16 – Rated between 119-129
10/16 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – Had run at the track before
5/16 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 12)
2/16 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 10)
2/16 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/16 – Trained by Alan King (last 2)
2/16 – Ridden by Tom Cannon (last 2)

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.45 – Boylesports Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

17/18 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
16/18 – Aged 8 or older
16/18 – Rated 124 or more
14/18 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
13/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/18 – Had run at Aintree before (5 over the GN style fences)
11/18 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
2/18 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
1/18 – Won last time out
14 of the last 17 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 10 runnings

3.20 – Boylesports Acca Boost On Horse Racing Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f ITV4

8 previous runnings
7/8 - Aged 9 or younger
7/8 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/8 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
Brewin’upastorm won the race in 2021

 

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