Tag Archive for: doncaster racing tips and trends

November Handicap Trends

Staged at Doncaster racecourse the November Handicap is run over a distance of 1m4f, and, as the race title suggests, is run every November. The event is always run on the last day of Britain’s flat turf racing season – this year run on Saturday 6th November 2021

Being first run in 1876 the contest was staged in the early days at Manchester and Pontefract racecourses - it was then transferred to Doncaster in 1964.

The race is always a very competitive betting heat, and one the bookmakers have loved in recent years with the favourites having a very poor recent record.

In terms of stables to note - Trainer John Gosden has been the man to follow – he’s landed the prize six times since 1991 and most recently in 2018 as the race was abandoned in 2019 due to a waterlogged track but returned 12 months ago when the Alan King-trained On To Victory won the race.

Looking at the recent stats horses drawn in stall 9 or higher have a great recent record but be wary of the market leaders – we’ve only had two winning favourites since 1995!

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look at recent winners of the November Handicap, plus highlights some key trends and stats based to apply to the 2021 running - Sat 6th November.

November Handicap Recent Winners

2020 - On To Victory (10/1)
2019 – Abandoned
2018 – Royal Line (9/1)
2017 – Saunter (6/1)
2016 – Prize Money (4/1)
2015 – Litigant (10/1)
2014 – Open Eagle (15/2 fav)
2013 – Conduct (8/1)
2012 – Art Scholar (20/1)
2011 – Zuider Zee (8/1)
2010 – Times Up (14/1)
2009 – Charm School (17/2)
2008 – Tropical Strait (20/1)
2007 – Malt or Mash (5/1)
2006 – Group Captain (10/1)
2005 – Come On Jonny (14/1)
2004 – Carte Diamond (12/1)
2003 – Turbo (25/1)

 

November Handicap Trends

14/17 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
14/17 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
14/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
13/17 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/17 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/17 – Placed last time out
11/17 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/17 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/17 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

 

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Sat TV Trends: 12th Dec 2020

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday, plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 - Spreadex Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 2m 1/2f ITV4


10/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
8/10 – Irish bred
8/10 – Aged 7 or older
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
6/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Gino Trail won this race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

1.50 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

18/18 – Aged 8 or younger
16/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
14/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/18 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (1 winner, Frodon – Ryanair Chase)
13/18 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (5 won)
13/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
12/18 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/18 – Officially rated 142 or higher
11/18 – French bred
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Carried 10-13 or more
8/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/18 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
6/18 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by David Pipe
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/18 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (3 wins in total)
2/18 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 9/1

 

2.25 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

16/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
14/16 – Aged 6 or younger
13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
10/16 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
10/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/16 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/16 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
9 of the last 11 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting

3.00 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

18/18 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
16/18 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
16/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Won over 2m1f+ (hurdles) previously
15/18 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
14/18 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
14/18 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
13/18 –  Favourites placed
12/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
12/18 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/18 – Won their latest race
11/18 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/18 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/18 – Rated 162 or higher
7/18 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/18 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
5/18 – Won by a French-bred horse
5/18 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
4/18 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/18 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
1/18 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)

3.35 – Close Brothers Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
All five winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
2/5 - Winners carried 10-11 in weight
2/5 - Winners aged 7 or 8 years-old
2/5 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Nicky Henderson, Dan Skelton, Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball have won the race in the past

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

2.05 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

10/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
9/10 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – French (2) or Irish (5) bred
6/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 7 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls

Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

 

2.40 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

10/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/10 – Had won just once before over hurdles
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
7/10 – Irish (3) or French (4) bred
6/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/10 – Trained by John Quinn
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Peace and Co won the race in 2014 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle

3.15 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4

10/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had won no more than 2 times over fences
9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/11 – Unplaced last time out
8/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
6/11 – Aged 7 years-old
6/11 – Ran at Doncaster before
2/11 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
2/11 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 6 winners were all rated 139

 

 

 

 

 

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