Tag Archive for: dubai world cup trends

2026 Dubai World Cup Trends

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It's now over 20 years ago since horse-loving and mega-rich HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum had the dream to build a new and exciting race tracks in the heart of Dubai and attract the world’s best thoroughbreds to race for the Dubai World Cup.

Millions of dollars of prize money provided the carrot for trainers around the globe and with the prize now upped to a whopping $10million, from $6 million, for the main race this year’s event is set to be the best yet. 2010 saw the start of a new era with the entire carnival being run for the first time at the newly built Meydan Racecourse, having previously been staged at Nad Al Sheba.

The new futuristic track has cost an estimated $2billion to build and will easily accommodate a bumper 60,000 crowd. 10,000 car park spaces make things easier for visitors, while the track has been built on 76m Sq feet and includes a 12f turf track and an 8.75 Tapeta (AW) course.

This year’s race will be run on Saturday 28th March, the final day of the Dubai Racing Carnival that runs from January and consists of around 10 meetings.

Last year we saw the hot favourite from Japan Forever Young only third, but he's back for more on 2026 - trying to go two places better.

Dubai World Cup Trends (Since run at Meydan 2010)

15/15 - Ran in the last 8 weeks
14/15 - Previous Group/Grade 1 or 2 winners
12/15 - Finished 1st or 2nd in last race
12/15 - Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/15 - Won over 1m2f
9/15 - Favourites unplaced
9/15 - Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
9/15 - Officially rated between 119-123
9/15 - Failed to win last race
9/15 - Aged 5 or older
8/15 - Won at the track
7/15 - Returned a double-figure price
7/15 - From stalls 5-8 (inclusive)
5/15 - Owned by Godolphin (9 wins in total)
4/15 - Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (9 wins in total)
4/15 - Favourites (1 joint)
2/15 - Ridden by Christophe Soumillon
Bob Baffert has won the race 4 times
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6+
The last 9 winners were aged between 4-6

Trained Dubai World Cup Winners………..

15/29 – Trained in USA (52%)
11/29 – Trained in GB (38%)
2/29 – Trained in Japan (7%)
1/29 – Trained in France (3%)
0/29 - Trained in Ireland (0%)

Previous Dubai World Cup Winners

2025 Hit Show (USA) (5): Florent Geroux / Brad H Cox 66/1
2024 Laurel River (USA) (6): Tadhg O'Shea / Bhupat Seemar  17/2
2023 - Ushba Tesoro (JPN) (6): Yuga Kawada / Noboru Takagi - 10/1
2022 - Country Grammer (USA) (5): Frankie Dettori / Bob Baffert - 15/2
2021 - Mystic Guide (USA) (4): Luis Saez / Mike Stidham - 6/4 (fav)
2020 - No race (Covid)
2019 – Thunder Snow (UAE) (5): Christophe Soumillon / Saeed Bin Suroor – 4/1
2018 – Thunder Snow (UAE) (4): Christophe Soumillon / Saeed Bin Suroor – 8/1
2017 - Arrogate (USA) (4) : Mike E Smith / Bob Baffert - 1/3 (fav)
2016 – California Chrome (USA) (5) : Victor Espinoza / Art Sherman – 15/8 (jfav)
2015 – Prince Bishop (UAE) (8) : William Buick / Saeed Bin Suroor – 14/1
2014 – African Story (UAE) (7) : Silvestre de Sousa / Saeed Bin Suroor – 12/1
2013 – Animal Kingdom (USA) (5) : Joel Rosario/ Graham Motion – 11/2
2012 – Monterosso (UAE) (5): Mickael Barzalona/M Al Zarooni – 20/1
2011 - Victoire Pisa (JPN (4): Mirco Demuro/Katsuhiko Sumii – 12/1
2010 - Gloria de Campeao (FRA) (6): T. J. Pereira/Pascal Bary – 16/1
2009 - Well Armed (USA) (6): Aaron Gryder/Eoin G. Harty – 10/1
2008 – Curlin (USA) (4): Robby Albarado/Steve Asmussen – 4/11 (fav)
2007 – Invasor (USA) (5): Fernando Jara/K McLaughlin – 5/4 (fav)
2006 – Electrocutionist (UAE) (5): Frankie Dettori/Saeed bin Suroor – 5/4 (fav)
2005 - Roses in May (USA) (5): John Velazquez/Dale Romans – 11/8 (fav)
2004 - Pleasantly Perfect (USA) (6): Alex Solis/Richard Mandella – 5/2
2003 - Moon Ballad (UAE) (4): Frankie Dettori/Saeed bin Suroor – 11/4
2002 - Street Cry (UAE) (4): Jerry Bailey/Saeed bin Suroor – 9/2
2001 - Captain Steve (USA) (4): Jerry Bailey/Bob Baffert – 7/4 (jfav)
2000 - Dubai Millennium (UAE) (4): Frankie Dettori/Saeed bin Suroor -
1999 – Almutawakel (UAE) (4): Richard Hills/Saeed bin Suroor -
1998 - Silver Charm (USA) (4): Gary Stevens/Bob Baffert -
1997 – Singspiel (GB) (5): Jerry Bailey/Michael Stoute -
1996 – Cigar (USA) (6): Jerry Bailey/Bill Mott -

 

Sat TV Trends: 25th March 2023

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A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Kelso to take in four races, plus they are also at Newbury to take in three more jumps races. While ITV racing are also covering the lucrative Dubai World Cup for the first time.

As always, here at GeeGeez are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 - Play Pick 6 At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

2 previous run
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 19% record with his hurdlers at the track

2:05 – Get A Run For Your Money At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

8/8 – Aged 7 or older
7/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Favourites finished first or second
6/8 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
6/8  - Won no more than 3 times over fences
5/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
3/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Winning favourites

 

2:40 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

9/10 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
8/10 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 - Won 1-2 times before
8/10 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/10 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
7/10 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/10 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/10 - Placed favourites
6/10 - Irish bred winners
5/10 - Aged 5 years-old
5/10 - Ran at Doncaster (3) or Exeter (2) last time out
4/10 - Won last time out
4/10 - winning favourites
2/10 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
2/10 – Trained by Noel Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV4)

1:50 – BetVictor Go North Cab On Target Target Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

Just 1 past running
Trainer Sandy Thomson has a 19% record their chasers at the track
Trainer Mike Smith has just a 3% (1-33) with his chasers at the track

2:25 – Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV4

8/8 – Aged between 7-10 years-old
8/8 – Won between 2-5 times over hurdles
8/8 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/8 – Favourites placed in top 3
6/8  - Irish (4) or French (2) bred
6/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 Had run at Kelso before
4/8 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/8 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

3:00 – BetVictor Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m

1 previous running
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race last year
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 36% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track

3:35 – Make Your Best Bet At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV4

6/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/7 – Had won over at least 3m before
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Won between 0-3 times over fences before
6/7 – Unplaced last time out
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/7 – Had run at Kelso before
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1

MEYDAN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV4)

4:35 – Dubai World Cup sponsored by Emirates Airline (Group 1) (Dirt) (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

12/12 – Previous Group/Grade 1 or 2 winners
12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
10/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
9/12 – Officially rated between 119-123
8/12 – Didn’t win their last race
8/12 – Aged 5 or older
7/12– Had won at the track before
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 - Owned by Godolphin (9 wins in total)
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price
5/12 – Came from stalls 5-8 (inclusive)
4/12 - Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (9 wins in total)
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 - Ridden by Christophe Soumillon
Jockey Frankie Dettori has won the Dubai World Cup 4 times
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Thunder Snow (2019/20) is the only past back-to-back winner

 

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