Epsom Derby Trends 2025
It’s the highlight race on the flat racing calendar as the best middle distance 3 year-olds of the season lock horns in the Epsom Derby. Steeped in history winners of the race will see their stud value rocket as soon as they cross the line.
Did you know that 21 of the last 23 Epsom Derby winners had raced no more than 5 times before?
Here at GeeGeez we take a look at recent winners and highlight the key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Saturday 7th June 2025.
Past Epsom Derby Winners
2024 - City Of Troy (3/1 fav)
2023 - Auguste Rodin (9/2)
2022 - Desert Crown (5/2 fav)
2021 - Adayar (16/1)
2020 – Serpentine (25/1)
2019 – Anthony Van Dyck (13/2)
2018 – Masar (16/1)
2017 – Wings of Eagles (40/1)
2016 – Harzand (13/2)
2015 – Golden Horn (13/8 fav)
2014 – Australia (11/8 fav)
2013 – Ruler Of The World (7/1)
2012 – Camelot (8/13 fav)
2011 – Pour Moi (4/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (11/4)
2008 – New Approach (5/1)
2007 – Authorized (5/4 fav)
2006 – Sir Percy (6/1)
2005 – Motivator (3/1 fav)
2004 – North Light (7/2 j fav)
2003 – Kris Kin (6/1)
2002 – High Chaparral (7/2)
Epsom Derby Betting Trends
22/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
21/23 – Raced no more than 5 times before
19/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Had won a Group race before
19/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Won from a single-figure stall (10 of the last 13 came from stalls 7-12)
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
12/23 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
12/23 – Irish-trained winners
10/23 – Had won a Group One before
9/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 10 in all)
8/23 – Won by the favourite
7/23 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
5/23 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
5/23 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
4/23 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
4/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Won over 1m4f before
2/23 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar) and (City Of Troy)
0/23 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 15/2
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (6 of the last 12 from stalls 10 (3) or 12 (3))
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 7-14 (inc)
11 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Desert Crown (2022) & Golden Horn (2015) being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby
Since the stalls were introduced in 1967 only Oath (1999), Adayar (2021) and City Of Troy (2024) has won from stall 1
Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2022, 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2023 & 2024
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