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Sat TV Trends: 15th June 2019

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Sandown, Chester and York.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 15th June 2019

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.05 – Randox Health Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

14/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/14 – Came from stall 7 or higher
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/14 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/14 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/14 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

3.15 – Randox Health Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had won between 2-4 times before
6/7 – Had won over 1m before
6/7 – Rated between 90-94
6/7 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
5/7 – Aged 4 years-old
5/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
4/7 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/7 – Had run at the course before
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Via Serendipity (4/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup (Lady Amateur Riders) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

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14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Carried 9-11 or more
14/16 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
13/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
13/16 – Aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
12/16 – Rated between 80-89
12/16 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/16 – Favourites placed in the top four
11/16 – Had run at York before
10/16 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/16 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
8/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/16 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/16 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by trainer Luca Cumani
2/16 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
2/16 – Placed horses from stall 2
Mister Belvedere (20/1) won the race in 2018
Tapis Libre (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

2.25 – JCB Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/4 – Unplaced favourites
4/4 – Had raced at York before
3/4 – Rated between 90-99
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
3/4 – Came from a single-figure stall
3/4 – Won over 7f before
2/4 – Came from stall 9
0/4 – Winning favourites
Above The Rest (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

10/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 2 months
10/11 – Officially rated 103 or higher
9/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
9/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
8/11 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Ran at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Peter Niven
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/11 – Winners from stall 1
Marmelo won the race in 2018
Clever Cookie won the race in 2014 & 2015
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat

 

3.35 –Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

12/14 – Rated between 87-97
12/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
11/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 6 runnings)
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners came from a single-figure draw

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – City of London Handicap (Cl2) (3yo 0-100) 1m4f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 26 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Nicola Currie has a 67% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
The 2018 winner came from stall 4

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th May 2019

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats anglAfter a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
12/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Drawn in stall 3
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Drawn 4 or lower
11/16 – Had run at Newbury before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/16 – Aged 4 years-old
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Won last time out
3 of the last 11 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Crystal Ocean (2/5 fav) won the race last year

3.00 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 90 or lower
13/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/16 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

3.40 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Won over a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group One race before
13/16 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
5/16 – Godolphin owned
4/16 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Won by a mare
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 3/1

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

12/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/12 – Had won over 1m or further before
9/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Draw 1,2 or 3
8/12 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – US-bred winners
3/12 – Trained John Gosden
3/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/12 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Won only once before
12/16 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or more
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Rated between 91-96
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by a mare/filly
3/16 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-8
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th May 2019

Another jam-packed day Saturday on the horse racing front with the ITV4 cameras heading to Ascot, Haydock and Lingfield  - we've 8 races in total that include the Victoria Cup, Swinton Hurdle, plus the Lingfield Derby and Oaks Trials - As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV contests covered from a trends and stats angle.

Saturday 11th May 2019

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.10 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
16/16 – Carried 11-5 or less
15/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/16 – Irish bred
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/16 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 6 runnings)
3/16 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 13 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.15 – Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Cl3 1m4f ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Rated between 86 and 91
7/8 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/8 – Carried 9-4 or less
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/8 – Won on reappearance run (4 of last 5)
4/8 – Drawn in stalls 5-8 (inc)
4/8 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
4/8 – Had raced at Ascot before
3/8 – Winning favourites (3 of last 4)
2/8 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

2.50 - Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

11/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won 3 or more times before
8/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/13 – Had raced at Ascot before
7/13 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
7/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/13 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
3/13 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 10 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower
Barsnati (10/11 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

3.25 – St James’s Wealth Management British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/13 – Failed to win last time out
13/13 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
11/13 – Had won over a mile before
11/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
8/13 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
7/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
7/13 – Rated between 82-87
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

4.00 – Totescoop6 Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Had won no more than 3 times
12/16 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/16 – Had won over 7f before
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before (4 winners)
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 10 years
2/16 – Trained by David Elsworth (2 of last 4)
The last 6 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Ripp Orf (20/1) won the race 12 months ago

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.55 - Betfred Mobile Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

14/15 – Had won no more than once before
12/15 – Had no more than 3 career runs
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/15 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/15 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
7/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Having first run of the season
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Winners from stall 5
4/15 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
3/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 - Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

2.30 - Betfred Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

16/16 – Had won no more than 3 times
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (no winners)
12/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
11/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
The last winner to go on and win the Epsom Derby was High Rise 1998

3.40 - Betfred "Supports Jack Berry House" Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/13 – Won between 1-4 times before
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won over 7f before
8/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
7/13 – Irish-bred
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Non UK-trained winners
5/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
2/13 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 10 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th April 2019

We've LIVE racing for  Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday as the curtain comes down on another jumps season, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

One previous running
Ballymoy (Nigel Twiston-Davies) 13/2 jfav won the race in 2018
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is 0 from 35 with his hurdlers at the track

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

Just 5 previous running
Menorah (Owned by Diana Whateley) won the race in 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
5/5 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
4/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/5 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/5 – Ran at Aintree last time out
Top Notch (4/5 fav) won the race in 2018
The average SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/4
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his chasers at the track

3.00 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
12/16 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
11/16 – Rated 160 or higher
9/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Irish bred
6/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourite
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 5 times in all)
4/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
Altior won the race in 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
Jockey Daryl Jacob has a 31% record riding over fences at the track

3.35 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

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16/16 – Had raced in the last 56 days
15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
13/16 – Had won over 3m or further before
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
11/16 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had raced in the last 25 days
9/16 – Officially rated 140 or higher
9/16 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
8/16 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/16 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
0/16 – Winning favourites
Step Back (7/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 14/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
23 of the last 28 (82%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 6 of the last 15 runnings (40%)
12 of the last 16 (75%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times


HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Old Boston Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 5 or younger
5/6 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/6 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/6 – Won over 7f in the past
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Irish bred
3/6 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/6 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/6 – Winning favourites
Safe Voyage (14/1) win the race in 2018
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Trainer Richard Hannon won the race in 2015
Trainer Roger Fell has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV

10/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Won at least twice in the past
8/10 – Had won over 7f in the past
8/10 – Irish bred winners
7/10 – Last ran 2+ months ago
7/10 – Officially rated 107 or higher
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Hugo Palmer
2/10 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
Emmaus (9/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 3/1
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th March 2019

It's always a bit quiet this weekend with the Cheltenham hangovers, but there is still ITV Racing to take in with the cameras heading to Uttoxeter, with the Midlands National the feature, while they are also at Kempton Park.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

2.25 - Brit Plant Direct Novices' Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
12/15 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/15 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
10/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
10/15 – Returned 7/1 or less
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Aged 7 years-old
5/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Alan King
2/15 – Trained by Harry Fry (last two runnings)
2/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/15 – Winning favourites

 

3.00 - Marston's Pedigree Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Only 7 Previous Runnings
7/7 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/
7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Aged 8 years-old
Clyne (10/1) won the race in 2018

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3.35
- Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV

14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
13/15 – Carried 10-12 or less
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/15 – Won by an Irish bred horse
11/15 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
11/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Officially rated 133 or less
10/15 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/15 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Trained by David Pipe
3/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Winning favourites

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Get Switched On With Matchbook Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m ITV

11/12 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
8/12 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Won at least once over fences before
7/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
5/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Won 3 or more times before over fences
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Tom George (2 of last 6)

2.40 – Matchbook VIP Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV

Only 5 previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
No winning favourite yet from the last 5 runnings
All 5 previous winners carried 11-12 or more
Kildisart (5/1) won the race in 2018 (Ben Pauling)

 

3.15 – Matchbook Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

Only 5 previous running
1 winning favourite (co) from the last 5 runnings
4 of the last 5 winners carried 11-2 or more
Trainers Venetia William, Tom George, Ian Williams, Paul Nicholls, Tom George and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race so far
Cepage (14/1) won the race in 2018

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th Feb 2019

With the equine flu situation now over, racing is back and it's back with a bang!

With the ITV cameras covering some of last week's lost races we've now 10 contests to take in from Ascot, Haydock, Wincanton and even  heading over to Ireland for the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

1.35 - Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (An Ascot Appearance Money Scheme Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

16/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/16 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

2.10 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/8 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/8 – Aged 8 or older
7/8 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/8 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
5/8 – Aged in double-figures
4/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/8 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning Favourites
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-0 or more
Regal Encore won this race in 2018

2.45 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Rated 150+
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
9/15 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
6 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 12 runnings is 10/3

3.20 - Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

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16/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old (including 7 of last 10)
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/16 - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/16 – Owned by JP McManus
1/16 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
21 of the last 22 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 14/1

 

3.55 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV4

16/16 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
15/16 – Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
14/16 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
13/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Officially rated 157 or higher
11/16 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/16 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/16 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/16 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
5/16 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
5/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
10 of the last 12 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

2.25 – William Hill Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV4

15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
11/16 – Rated 145 or higher
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Aged 8 or younger
9/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
7/16 – Had run at Haydock before
6/16 – French-bred
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

 

3.35 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

16/16 – UK-based trained winners
16/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
13/16 – Aged 10 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Rated 135 or higher
11/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/16 – Irish-bred winners
4/16 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/16 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

1.45 Betway Heedyourhunch Handicap Chase 2m ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
3/4 – Aged 8 or younger
2/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is just 1 from 14 with his chasers at the track

3.00 - Betway Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
13/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Rated 155 or higher
9/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
1/15 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)

 

GOWRAN PARK TRENDS (ITV4)

2.30 – Red Mills Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (Chase) before
10/10 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Rated 150 or lower
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Raced at Thurles last time out
3/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Feb 2019

Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday with seven races spread across the three venues.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.15 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y

12/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
12/12 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
11/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
9/12 – Aged 9 or younger
9/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/12 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (3 won)
6/12 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
5/12 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/12 – Raced at Sandown last time out
5/12 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
4/12 – Aged 7 years-old
4/12 – French bred
4/12 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/12 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

1.50 – 888Sport Contenders Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

8/8 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/8 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
7/8 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
7/8 – French bred
5/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Winning favourites
5/8 – Rated 161 or higher
5/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/8 – Won last time out
Buveur D’Air won the race in 2017 and 2018

2.25 – 888Sport Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/15 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
15/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – French bred
6/15 – Aged 7 years-old
5/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/15 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
4/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (last 4 winners)
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning  SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4

3.00 – 888Sport Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y ITV

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13/13 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
13/13 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
12/13 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/13 – Officially rated 135 or lower
10/13 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously
10/13 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
9/13 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
9/13 – Priced 13/2 or less
8/13 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
8/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/13 – Favourites placed
4/13 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/13 – Won their last race
5/13 – Favourites that won
4/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/13 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)

3.35 – 888Sport Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV

14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Aged 9 or younger
11/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
10/15 – Rated 136 or lower
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
8/15 – Placed last time out
8/15 – Irish-bred
7/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – French-bred
3/15 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/15 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 5)
2/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 5)

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
11/14 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/14 – Aged 7 years-old
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y

11/12 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
9/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Former flat horses
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/12 – Rated between 120-130
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won last time out

 

3.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y

Only two previous runnings
2/2 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/2 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
0/2 – Winning favourites
Trainer Sandy Thompson won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 60% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sandy Thompson has a 26% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Full Jack won the race in 2018
Dancing Shadow (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

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Sat TV Trends: 12th Jan 2019

More LIVE ITV racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they are also at Kempton Park with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main event.

As normal we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – 32Red Casino Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
4/5 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
4/5 – Winning favourites
4/5 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Had won over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/4
Waiting Patiently won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2017 & 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Nicky Henderson has a 30% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers at the track
Alan King is just 3 from 39 (8%) with her chasers at the track

 

2.40 – Unibet Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
12/17 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
12/17 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
11/17 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
10/17 – Carried 10-11 or less
10/17 – Aged 6 years-old
9/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/17 -  Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (37 runnings) 32 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

3.15 – Unibet Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just six previous runnings
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had run at the track before
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
4/6 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
4/6 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
5/6 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
4/6 – Placed favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 is 5/1
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016

 

3.45 – Unibet Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m hurdles before
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/10 – Aged 6 or older
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
8/10 – Aged 6 years-old
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Returned a double-figure price
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – McCoy Contractors 2019 Construction News Award Finalist Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

11/11 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
11/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/11 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
9/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/11 – Aged 7 years-old
7/11 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/4

 

 

2.25 – Ballymore Leamington Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
12/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
8/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
2/12 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 3/1

 

 

3.00 – McCoy Constructors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV4

13/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
10/13 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/13 – Officially rated between 129-140
9/13 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/13 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/13 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
8/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/13 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/13 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price
6/13 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10.5/1

 

 

3.35 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

13/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/13 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
10/13 – Officially rated between 126-142
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/13 – Placed favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/13 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/13 – Winning favourites
7 of the last 8 winners were aged 8 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd Dec 2018

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.
So, to help you narrow down the fields and hopefully point you in the direction of a winner or two, here at GeeGeez we've got the big-race trends ahead of each race.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – My Pension Expert Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
Mr Medic won the race in 2017
Poker School won the race in 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
No winning favourite in 3 runnings
All winners returned between 6/1 and 10/1
All winners aged between 4-7 years-old

2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f ITV4

16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (5 won, 4 runners-up)
14/16 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
12/16 – French-bred horse
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
11/16 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
9/16 – Favourites that won
9/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017
Unowhatimeanharry (6/5 fav) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

3.00 – Garrard Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/13 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/13 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/13 – Won by a French bred horse
7/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/13 – Aged 7 years-old
4/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/13 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of the last 4)
Gold Present won the race in 2017
Regal Encore (20/1) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy (Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

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15/15 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
15/15 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 months
10/15 – Carried 10-10 or more
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
8/15 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – £50 Risk Free On Racing With Smarkets Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

11/11 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/11 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (4) last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/11 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/11 – French bred
4/11 – Winning Favourites
2/11 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

2.40 – Smarkets Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

11/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/11 – Failed to win their last race
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/11 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
7/11 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
7/11 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/11 – Favourites placed
5/11 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/11 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/11 – French bred
3/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
2/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or more
Captain Redbeard won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Boxing Day TV Trends: 26th Dec 2018

A huge day on Boxing Day with eight domestic horse racing fixtures, but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a two-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI  Chase is of course the feature race on the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack & Might Bite, landing the prize. Did you know - 12 of the last 16 King George winners were aged 8 or younger?

We take a look at each race on the Kempton card, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase from Wetherby and highlight the main trends – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12:50 – 32Red Casino Mobile Novices' Hurdle Race 2m

11/11 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
10/11 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won a NH Flat race before
7/11 – Won just once over hurdles before
7/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
If The Cap Fits (6/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

1.20 – 32Red.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

14/14 – Aged 7 or younger
13/14 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/14 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
7/14 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
7/14 – Carried 11-6 or more
6/14 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Won by a French bred horse
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/14 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Hell’s Kitchen (9/2) won the race 12 months ago

1.55 – 32RedKauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Placed in the top two last time out
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/15 – Aged 6 or younger
11/15 – French (6) or Irish (5) bred
10/15 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
10/15 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
10/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Aged 6 years-old
8/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by David Pipe
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/15 – French trained
1/15 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Royal Vacation (33/1) won the race 12 months ago

2.30 – Unibet Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015) & Buveur D’Air (2018) winners)
10/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Irish trained
8/16 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/16 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
7/16 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
6/16 – French bred
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/16 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Owner JP McManus has won the last two runnings
Buveur D’Air (2/11 fav) won the race 12 months ago

3.05 – 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

15/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/16 – Placed favourites
14/16 – French (10) or Irish bred (4)
14/16 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
13/16 – Officially rated 169 or higher
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Winning favourites
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
9/16 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (9 times in all)
5/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
2/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 32 runnings)
Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained 5 of the last 8 winners (2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 7/2

15:40 – 32Red Download The App Handicap Hurdle Race 2m5f

11/11 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
9/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/11 – Officially rated 120-128
7/11 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – French bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.10- 188Bet Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
8/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/10 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Unplaced in their last race
7/10 – Had raced at Wetherby before
6/10 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
2/10– Winning favourites
Get On The Yager won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st July 2018

This Saturday the LIVE ITV TV races come from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 21st July 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

13/14 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 - Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Trained by Luca Cumani (2 of last 3 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – JLT Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m ½f ITV3

No previous runnings
Trainer Hughie Morrison is just 3 from 37 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 17% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

13/14 – Won over 6f before
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winners from stall 8
2/14 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 3)
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Won 1-2 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/14 – Won by a Feb or March foal
7/14 – Irish bred winners
6/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Won by a filly
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
4/14 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

 

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – 188Bet Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or less
7 of the last 12 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.15 – 188Bet Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

16/16 – Had run within the last 3 months
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
14/16 – Aged 7 or older
12/16 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
9/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/16 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Alcala won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th March 2018

Another busy day this Saturday with seven LIVE ITV4 races at Newbury and Doncaster. It's National Hunt jumping action at Newbury, while Doncaster get the new turf season under way with the Lincoln Handicap their feature contest. As always, here at GeeGeez we've got it all covered from a trends angle - use these key stats to help narrow down the big fields and find the best profile of past winners.

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

1.50 - Unibet Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/14 – Aged 7 or younger
13/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/14 – Had won no more than 5 times before
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
9/14 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
8/14 – Rated 102+
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Had won at Doncaster before
6 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar

 

2.25 – 32Red Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/16 – Carried 8-13 or more
13/16 – Aged 4 years-old
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/16 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
11/16 – Won over a mile before
8/16 – Won from a double-figure draw
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Won last time out
1/16 – Won a race at Doncaster before
2/16 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
Lord Of The Rock won the race in 2016
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 15/1
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 16 years
Lord Of The Rock won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden is 0 from 24 (0%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills is 1 from 28 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Declan Carroll is 2 from 45 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Unibet Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

Just 5 previous running
5/5 – Last ran 4+ months ago
5/5 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Rated 108+
4/5 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4 (2 each)
4/5 – Had won 6+ times before
4/5 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/5 – Had won over at least 1m before
4/5 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Ran at Ascot last time out
1/5 – Won last time out
Trainer Roger Varian has a 29% record with his older horses here
Trainer David Simcock has a 30% record with his older horses here
Trainer Michael Dods is just 1 from 61 (2%) with his older horses here

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

3.35 – 32Red Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/15 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Having their first run of the flat season
10/15 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/15 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/15 – Placed first or second last time out
6/15 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/15 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Trained by John Quinn
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 32 runnings
7 of the last 8 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
6/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Aged 9 years-old
5/7 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
5/7 – Had won over 3m (or further) before (fences)
4/7 – Had raced over fences at Newbury before
4/7 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
3/7 – Irish bred
1/7 – Winning favourites
1/7 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

 

2.40 – Be Wiser Handicap  Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Won no more than twice over hurdles before
9/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Raced 113 or higher
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

3.15 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

12/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
12/13 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
9/13 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Aged 6 years-old
7/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/13 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
The last 11 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
9 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or less in weight
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Noel Williams has a 43% record (3 from 7) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 1 from 26 (4%) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Rebecca Curtis is just 1 from 28 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 9th Feb 2019

We’ve plenty more Cheltenham Festival clues on offer this weekend with cracking cards at both Newbury and Warwick. The Denman Chase, Betfair Hurdle and Betfair Exchange Chase (Game Spirit) are the feature races at Newbury, while the ITV cameras also head to Warwick.

As always we've got all the ITV LIVE races covered for you key trends and top tips.

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Betfair In-Play Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m52y ITV4

13/14 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Had run within the last 10 weeks
10/14 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
10/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/14 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Aged 7 years-old
6/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/14 – Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
3/14 – French bred
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Raced at Haydock last time out

 


2.25 -
Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Rated 150+
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
9/15 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
6 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 12 runnings is 10/3

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Note: 2009 running was staged at Kempton

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Chase (Registered as The Game Spirit Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m92y ITV4

14/14 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Placed favourites
13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (3 winners)
11/14 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
10/14 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Had raced at Newbury (fences) before (5 winners)
6/14 – French bred
6/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase

3.35 – Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

16/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old (including 7 of last 10)
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/16 - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/16 – Owned by JP McManus
1/16 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
21 of the last 22 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 14/1

 

WARWICK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Agetur UK Kingmaker Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
8/9 – Won over 2m fences before
7/9 – Had won no more than twice (fences) in the UK
7/9 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Rated between 137-147
5/9 – Aged 5 or 7 years-old
5/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Unplaced favs
4 of the last 5 winners have been 6 year-olds

Note: 2009 renewal was at Sandown

2.40 - olbg.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

Just 5 previous running
5/5 – Aged 6 or 7 years old
5/5 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
4/5 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
3/5 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
3/5 – Rated between 141 and 149
3/5 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Irish bred
2/5 – Had run at Warwick before
Trainer Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

3.15 – McCoy Contractors Warwick Castle Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Irish (3) or French (6) bred
8/9 – Aged 9 or younger
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
7/9 – Favourites that finished in the top three
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
7/9 – Unplaced in their last race
7/9 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
5/9 – Carried 11-0 or more
3/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd July 2017

As always Andy Newton’s got all the trends for Saturday’s LIVE ITV TV races  - this weekend the action comes from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury - with the Wetherbys Super Sprint and the Market Rasen Summer Plate and Hurdle the features.

 

 

Saturday 22nd July 2017

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 - BetBright Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

12/13 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 - Winning favourite
4/13 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-110) 7f ITV3

Only 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 4+ years-old
No winning favourite
Both winners returned between 11/2 and 9/1 in the betting
Both winners carried 9-0 or more in the betting
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 1 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Marco Botti is only 1 from 36 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1
Scottish won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

12/13 – Won over 6f before
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winners from stall 8
2/13 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The Tin Man won the race 12 months ago
7 of the last 10 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

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12/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 5f before
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Won 1-2 times before
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/13 – Won by a Feb or March foal
6/13 – Irish bred horses
6/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Won by a filly
4/13 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/13 – Winners from stall 1
4/13 – Winning favourites
Mrs Danvers won the race 12 months ago
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.10 - Betfred TV Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/15 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
12/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/15 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/15 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or less
6 of the last 11 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Red Tornado won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

3.20 - Betfred Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

15/15 – Had run within the last 3 months
13/15 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
13/15 – Aged 7 or older
11/15 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Had run at Market Rasen before
8/15 – Won their previous race
6/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/15 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Long House Hall won the race in 2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th June 2017

After the hustle-and-bustle of the Derby last week the ITV racing has a slightly down-graded feel to it this weekend, but don't worry Royal Ascot is just around the corner. That said, we've still decent action with the cameras heading to Chester, Haydock and Newmarket and like all Saturday's we've got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends angle - use these key stats to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 10th June 2017

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.30 – Animal Health Trust Celebrating 75 Years Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Brian Meehan has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian is just 3 from 38 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 2 from 26 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Frankie Dettori has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track (11 from 46)

 


3.40 – John Sunley Memorial Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

Trainer John Gosden has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Bell has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Josie Gordon is 0 from 15 riding older horses at the track

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.20 – Betway Sprint Handicap Cl4 (3yo 0-80) 6f ITV4

5/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
5/5 – Rated between 78-85
5/5 – Had only won once before
4/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Winners drawn between 6-11 (inc)
4/5 – Favourites placed in the top three
4/5 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
4/5 – Had won over 6f before
3/5 – Won last time out
3/5 – Had only run once before
2/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer William Haggas has a 30% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/2

 

2.55 – Betway Dash Handicap Cl3 (4yo 0-95) 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Tom Dascombe is 14 from 71 (20%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Easterby is just 2 from 32 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Barron is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ruth Carr is just 5 from 66 (8%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Clifford Lee is 4 from 10 (40%) with riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey James Sullivan is 1 from 46 (2%) with riding 4+ year-olds at the track



3.30 Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

14/14 – Had won over at least 10f before
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Aged 4 years-old
11/14 – Rated 92 or higher
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/14 – Had run at Haydock before
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 


4.05 Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/14 – Rated 107 or higher
13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/14 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won over 7f before
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/14 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
8/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
4/14 – Had run at the track before
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 - Aged 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

 

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


3.10 – Liverpool Gin Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV4

Trainer Andrew Balding has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds in the race
Trainer Richard Hannon is only 2 from 31 with his 3 year-olds in the race
Trainer Charles Hills is only 3 from 40 with his 3 year-olds in the race
Trainer Richard Fahey is only 9 from 113 with his 3 year-olds in the race

 

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