Tag Archive for: free horse racing trends

Aintree Day One Stats and Trends: Thursday 7th April 22

Here at GeeGeez, we give you all the key stats for all the main LIVE ITV races – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

Aintree Trends (ITV/Racing TV)

2.20pm – Jewson Anniversary 4yo Juvenile Hurdle 4yo Grade 1 (Class 1) (4yo) 2m1f ITV

15/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
15/18 – Placed in the top three last time out
12/18 – Raced in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
12/18 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Won by trainer Alan King (4-from-7 since 2007)
4/18 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/18  - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Irish-trained winners
12/16 winners were placed at worst at the Cheltenham Festival
French-bred horses have won 12 of the last 22 (55%) runnings – including 5 of the last 6
14/21 winners raced in the Triumph Hurdle earlier that season
Just 5/31 winners hadn’t won at least twice over hurdles before

 

2.55pm – Betway Bowl Chase Grade 1 (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f ITV

16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
14/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/18 – Ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) last time out
10/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/18 – Aged in double-figures
6/18 – Winning favourites (5 of the last 6)
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/18 - Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
4/7 – Won that season’s King George
4/7 – Were the top-rated horse in the field
10 of the last 12 (83%) winners aged 9 or younger
9 of the last 11 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
Trainer Willie Mullins is 2-from-4 in the race
26/37 (70%) winners ran in that season’s King George
25/37 (68%) winners ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
14/24 (58%) winners were placed fourth or better in that season’s King George VI Chase
Just 4 of the last 25 winners were Irish-trained
9 of the last 11 winners were favourite or second favourite
2nd or 3rd favourites have won 13 of the last 28 (46%) renewals and 6 of the last 11 (55%)
5 of the last 10 winners had run in this race before
No last-time out winner since 2010

3.30pm – Betway Aintree Hurdle Grade 1 (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

17/18 – Aged 8 or younger
14/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/18 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle last time out
10/18 – Irish-trained winners, plus 20 of the last 44
5/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (4 of the last 10)
23 of the last 27 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
14 of the last 27 (52%) winners trained in Ireland
30 of the last 44 (68%) winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
7 of the last 11 winners (64%) were placed in the top 4 of that season’s Champion Hurdle
12 of the last 15 winners (including last 9) had won a Grade 1 before
9 of the last 20 (45%) winners had won at this meeting before
Only 5 Champion Hurdle winners since 1999 have run – but 3 won
Every past British-trained winner had raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Just 2 winning 5 year-olds in the last 32 runnings
Just 1 of the last 18 Champion Hurdle runners-up to race have won

 

4.05pm – The Randox Health Fox Hunters´ Chase (Class 2) (6yo+) 2m5f ITV1

18/18 – Aged 9 or older (Just 2 of the last 35 winners were younger than 9)
14/18 – Aged in double-figures
13/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Ran in the Cheltenham Foxhunters’ last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Ridden by Sam Waley-Cohen
14 of the last 16 (88%) winners were aged 10 or older
Irish-trained runners have won 4 of the last 7 runnings
4 of the last 7 winners were placed in the top 4 in last season’s race
19 of the last 28 (68%) winners went off favourite or second favourite
23 of the last 28 winners had won a race earlier that season
Only 2 of the last 37 winners were aged younger than 9
22 of the last 28 (79%) winners came from the top 4 in the market and returned at single-figures in the betting.
10 of the last 16 winners had run over these National-style fences before
Ex-handicap horses have won 13 of the last 19 (68%) renewals

 

4.40pm – Red Rum Handicap Chase Grade 3 (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

17/18 – Aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Carried 11-1 or less
13/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/18 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Unplaced last time out
10/18 – Aged 7 or younger
9/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Irish-trained winners
14 of the last 19 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
17 of the last 21 winners were rated 139 or lower
Only 2 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
4 of the last 13 winners were ridden by conditional jockeys
The top 5 in the betting have won 16 of the last 23 (69%) runnings
19 of the last 21 (90%) winners carried 11-2 or less
7 of the last 22 (32%) winners ran in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual (Cheltenham)
6 of the last 7 winners DIDN’T run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
5 of the last 6 winners were Irish-bred
Respect trainer Henry De Bromhead – winner 2019 and 3 placed horses

 

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2020 Sovereign Stakes Trends

Staged at Salisbury racecourse the Sovereign Stakes is a Group Three race run over 1m, with just over £42,000 on offer to the winner.

First run in 2000 the contest is the highest-classed race run at Salisbury and in recent years trainers Richard Hannon and Andrew Balding are the yards to follow – they’ve won the race three times each since 2001.

We take a look at the key stats ahead of the 2020 renewal – this year run on Sunday 9th August. Did you know 16 of the last 17 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting?

 

Recent Sovereign Stakes Winners

2019 – KICK ON (9/2)
2018 - PLUMATIC (3/1)
2017 - BALLET CONCERTO (5/2)
2016 – ZONDERLAND (4/1)
2015 – KODI BEAR (11/4 fav)
2014 – CAPTAIN CAT (11/2)
2013 – AFSARE (9/4 fav)
2012 – TULLIUS (11/4)
2011 – SIDE GLANCE (2/1 fav)
2010 – SEA LORD (7/2)
2009 – MAC LOVE (25/1)
2008 – ORDNANCE ROW (5/1)
2007 – PRIDE OF NATION (5/2 fav)
2006 – BELENUS (11/10 fav)
2005 – LAYMAN (9/2)
2004 – NORSE DANCER (3/1)
2003 – PASSING GLANCE (6/1)

Sovereign Stakes Betting Trends

16/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
9/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/17 – Raced at Ascot (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Had raced at Salisbury before (3 won)
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 4/1
Richard Hannon has won the race in 2001, 2002 & 2008
Andrew Balding has won the race in 2003, 2011 & 2012

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th March 2020

It's always a bit quiet this weekend with the Cheltenham hangovers, but there is still ITV Racing to take in with the cameras heading to Uttoxeter, with the Midlands National the feature, while they are also at Kempton Park.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

2.25 - 1834 Novices' Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

13/16 – Aged 8 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/16 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
10/16 – Placed last time out
10/16 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or less
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Aged 7 years-old
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Harry Fry (two of last three runnings)
2/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/16 – Winning favourites
De Rasher Counter (4/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.00 - Burton Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Only 8 Previous Runnings
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Aged 8 years-old
Poker Play (16/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.35 - Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV

15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
14/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
12/16 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Officially rated 135 or less
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
8/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by David Pipe
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11.6/1

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

 

2.40 – Paddy Power Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
No winning favourite yet from the last 6 runnings
5 of last 6 previous winners carried 11-12 or more
Wicked Willy (20/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.15 – Paddy Power Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

Only 6 previous running
1 winning favourite (co) from the last 6 runnings
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-2 or more
Trainers Charlie Longsdon, Venetia William, Tom George, Ian Williams, Paul Nicholls, Tom George and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race so far
Forth Bridge (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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