Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 6th Nov 2021
This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in two Aintree contests – as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races…..
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)
1.25 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4
9/11– Had run at least 6 times before that season
9/11 – Won over at least 7f before
8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/11 – Officially rated between 88 and 93
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Winning favourite
2/11 – Winning mares/fillies
2.05 – Betfair Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4
15/17 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Won from stall 12 or lower
14/17 – Rated 99 or higher
14/17 – Aged 4 or older
12/17 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/17 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/17 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Winning mare/filly
Dakota Gold (4/1) won the race in 2020
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor
2.40 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4
14/17 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
14/17 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
14/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
13/17 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/17 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/17 – Placed last time out
11/17 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/17 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/17 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995
Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.50 - John Romans Park Homes ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4
14/14 – Had won no more than twice over fences
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
11/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
10/14 – Aged 6 or younger
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5-7
2.25 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4
14/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
10/14 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
10/14 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
9/14 – Rated between 119-129
8/14 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
8/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
6/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 10)
2/14 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 8)
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
3.00 - 60th Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4
18/18 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
16/18 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
15/18 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
15/18 – Placed in the top four in their last race
15/18 – Won at least two chase races previously
14/18 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
14/18 – Raced at the course previously (over fences)
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Irish-bred horse
11/18 – Raced already that season
11/18 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
10/18 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/18 – Priced at double-figures
8/18 – Won their latest race
7/18 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
7/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/18 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 10 years)
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
El Presente (11/1) won the race in 2020
3.35 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4
16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/17 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
10/17 – Rated 150 or lower
9/17 – Having first run of the season
5/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/17 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 - Trained by Alan King
Sceau Royal won this race in 2016 and 2020
Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2.15 – Betway Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV
15/16 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
14/16 – Aged 8 or older
14/16 – Rated 124 or more
12/16 – Had run at Aintree before (5 over the GN style fences)
12/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/16 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Carried 10-12 or more
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
6/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
2/16 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
1/16 – Won last time out
Beau Bay (20/1) won the race in 2020
Hogan’s Height (16/1) won the race in 2019
12 of the last 15 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
3.20 – Betway Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f
6 previous runnings
5/6 - Aged 9 or younger
5/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/6 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/6 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
Summerville Boy won the race in 2020