Tag Archive for: irish grand national betting trends

2024 Irish Grand National Trends

Staged at Fairyhouse racecourse the 2024 Irish Grand National is run over a trip of 3m5f with 24 fences to be jumped.

The gruelling contest is always staged on Easter Monday, which this year falls early on 1st April 2024). While several Irish Grand National winners have also won the Aintree Grand National, but none in the same season – Bobbyjo and Numbersixvalverde are recent examples of this.

For example, did you know? The 18 of the last 20 winners carried 10-13 or less in weight, while 16 of the last 20 successful horses were Irish-bred. We’ve also seen just three winning favourites in the last 20 renewals, while in 2021 we saw a 150/1 winner of the race - FREEWHEELIN DYLAN - and 11 of the last 20 returned 20/1+. To prove any horse really can win this National.

While last year (2023) I Am Maximus gave Willie Mullins just his second win in the race but also provided Paul Townend with his first.

Recent Irish Grand National Winners

2023 – I AM MAXIMUS (8/1)
2022 – LORD LARIAT (40/1)
2021 - FREEWHEELIN DYLAN (150/1)
2020 - No Race (Covid)
2019 – BURROWS SAINT (6/1 fav)
2018 - GENERAL PRINCIPLE (20/1)
2017 – OUR DUKE (9/2 fav)
2016 – ROGUE ANGEL (16/1)
2015 – THUNDER AND ROSES (20/1)
2014 – SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR (8/1 fav)
2013 – LIBERTY COUNSEL (50/1)
2012 – LION NA BEARNAI (33/1)
2011 – ORGANISEDCONFUSION (12/1)
2010 – BLUESEA CRACKER (25/1)
2009 – NICHE MARKET (33/1)
2008 – HEAR THE ECHO (33/1)
2007 – BUTLER’S CABIN (14/1)
2006 – POINT BARROW (20/1)
2005 – NUMBERSIXVALVERDE (9/1)
2004 – GRANIT D’ESTRUVAL (33/1)
2003 – TIMBERA (11/1)

Irish Grand National Betting Trends

18/20 – Carried 10-13 or LESS
18/20 – Won over at least 3m previously
18/20 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or less
17/20 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/20 – Aged 9 or younger
16/20 – Irish bred
16/20 – Carried 10-8 or LESS
16/20 – Won by an Irish-based trainer
16/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Returned a double-figure (or triple-figure) price
13/20 – Carried 10-6 or LESS
13/20 – Had raced at Fairyhouse previously
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Finished fourth or better last time out
11/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/20 – Rated between 130-137
4/20 – Won by an English-based trainer
3/20 – Ran at Navan last time out
3/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Winning favourites (3 in the last 9)
2/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill (2007 & 2014)
Trainer Dermot A McLoughlin has trained 2 of the last 3
Trainer Willie Mullins has trained 2 of the last 4
Trainer Gordon Elliott has only won the race once (2018, General Principle)
11 of the last 20 winners returned 20/1 +
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 27/1
Only 3 horses since 2000 to win with more than 11-0, I Am Maximus (2023), Our Duke (2017) & Commanche Court (2000)

 

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