Tag Archive for: Jockey Club Stakes

Goodwood & Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 3rd May 2024

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A busy weekend for the ITV cameras gets going on Friday with action from Newmarket and Goodwood.

There are four races from Newmarket - flat racing's HQ - to take in on ITV, with the Group 2 Jockey Club Stakes one of the highlights at 4:10pm.

While, we've also got three at Goodwood, what will see two winners from last season - Spanish Star and Dream Composer - back to defend their titles.

To help you try and find the winners, we've got the key trends and stats for each LIVE ITV race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

2:25 - William Hill Newmarket Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

8/10 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter
5/10 – Winners from stall 1
4/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (including last 2)
4/10 – Ridden by William Buick (including last 2)
4/10 – Godolphin owned
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by David Egan
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 28% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

3:00 - William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Just two previous runnings
Both winners from stall 2
Charlie Johnston and Andrew Balding past winning trainers
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 35% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 1 from 42 (2%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 29% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:35 - William Hill King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 7f ITV

8/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
7/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/10 – Ridden by Sean Levey
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 28% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

4:10 - William Hill Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/20 – Won over 1m4f+ before
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
14/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/20 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
12/20 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Rated 112 or higher
10/20 – Winning favourites
10/20 – Had won a Group race before
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Aged 5 years-old
7/20 – Having their first run of the season
7/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/20 – Won by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

2:40 - British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

Just three past runnings
All three winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
All three winners drawn between 3-7
2 winning favourites
Trainers Rod Milman, George Scott and William Haggas have won the race before
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton is just 1-from-24 with her 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Diego Dias is 1-from-1 with his 2 year-olds at the track

3:15 - British Stallion Studs John Dunlop EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo) 1m ITV

Just three previous runnings
2 of the three winners from stalls 4
All three winners from stalls 4 or 5
1 winning favourite
2 of the 3 winners carried 9-6 or more
2 of 3 winners aged 6+
Spanish Star won the race in 2023
Trainers Patrick Chamings, Charles Hills and David Menuisier have won the race before
Trainer Jack Channon has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Teal has a 21% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey David Probert is just 3 from 48 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:50 - William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Carried between 9-2 and 9-7 in weight
7/10 – Between stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/10 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners came from stall 8
Dream Composer won the race in 2023
Trainer James Evans has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jack Channon has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 5 from 69 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is 0-from-28 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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Connections confident Naqeeb has progressed enough to ask Gold Cup question

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Naqeeb has a long way to go to emulate his half-brothers Baaeed and Hukum but there is every chance he can develop into a smart performer this season ahead of his reappearance in Friday’s William Hill Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket.

While Baaeed never raced beyond 10 furlongs in establishing himself as the best of his generation, Hukum did win over a mile and three-quarters, giving hope Naqeeb could prove himself over two miles this season.

He has been entered in the Gold Cup at Ascot but starts out over a mile and a half and, having been unraced at two and only had six races in his life, the William Haggas-trained four-year-old is entitled to have plenty of progression in him.

“He was always a horse that was physically going to improve as he got older,” said Angus Gold, racing manager for owners Shadwell.

“We’ve gelded him since last year, they are happy with him at home and it looks a good place to start.

“He will get further in due course, but we just want to get him back on track and see where we are.

“We’ve put him in the Gold Cup in case he does stay. At this stage there is nothing to say he will (stay that far), but he stayed a mile and six last year, he’s a lovely, galloping horse and progressive, so we need to start him and he’ll give us a clue which way to go with him.”

Having won a £100,000 handicap under a big weight, Naqeeb made his last appearance in a Listed race but, despite going off favourite, never looked happy in finishing third.

Naqeeb
Naqeeb, right, is pencilled in for the Gold Cup next month (Tim Goode/PA)

Gold said: “His last run may have just been at the end of a long season, but he also hung badly that day at Ascot and we never found out why. He clearly didn’t run his race though, so we’ll count that one out and start again fresh.”

Harry Charlton’s Time Lock was a Group Three winner last season and ended up running on Champions Day behind Poptronic.

A course and distance winner, she hails from a yard that has started the season well. Ryan Moore has been booked to ride.

“She obviously likes Newmarket, she’s won there twice, so she handles the track and hopefully the weather will stay good as she likes a bit of good ground,” said Barry Mahon of owners Juddmonte.

“She’s fit and well and appears to be in good form, so we’re hopeful. She’s a Group Three winner so we’re looking to take the next step and this looks a nice opportunity.

Time Lock has already won twice at Newmarket
Time Lock has already won twice at Newmarket (Tim Goode/PA)

“Harry has had the plan since February that this is where he was starting. She’s taking on good, solid, older horses, but there doesn’t look to be an outstanding individual in it.”

Charlie Appleby runs Great Voltigeur second Castle Way and King Of Conquest and told the Godolphin website of his pair: “King Of Conquest is fairly exposed as a five-year-old but he is a solid horse who always runs his race.

“Castle Way definitely needed the run in the Dubai City Of Gold and has come forward significantly for it, while the ground at Newmarket will suit. He showed some decent form as a three-year-old and goes into this in good order with that run under his belt. I hope we have two live players.”

Astro King represents Daniel and Claire Kubler while Outbox for Archie Watson and Hollie Doyle completes the field.



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Crisfords hoping West can be best at Newmarket

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The progressive West Wind Blows will take on a quartet of rivals in the Jockey Club Stakes, with Ed Crisford mindful he needs to settle to show his best at Newmarket on Friday.

The four-year-old takes on the might of triple Group One winner Hurricane Lane and Godolphin’s second string, recent Meydan Group Two scorer Global Storm, in the 10-furlong contest.

Yet Crisford, who trains in partnership with his father Simon, is confident this outing will bring on West Wind Blows for what promises to be a “fun” summer campaign for the Abdulla Al Mansoori-owned Teofilo colt.

“He ran in the Derby then won a Listed race at Hamilton and won well. It all went wrong a little bit at Goodwood in the Gordon Stakes, but then he did progress,” said Crisford.

Dropped back to 10 furlongs in the Prix du Prince d’Orange at ParisLongchamp in September, he gained the third success in his six-race career before finding a couple of talented rivals too good in the Prix Dollar over the same course and distance in very soft ground a month later.

Crisford added: “He settled a lot better and won well in Paris when he won the Group Three, and then stepped up again on ground that wouldn’t suit him as much as a sounder surface and he got beaten again by two very good horses that day – Owen Burrows’ horse Anmaat and Andre Fabre’s Junko.”

West Wind Blows holds entries that include both the Coronation Cup at Epsom and the Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot, but he is versatile over 10 furlongs and is not ground dependent.

“We always thought that a mile and a half, if he could settle, would be a good trip for him,” said Crisford.

“He seems to have grown up with racing last year and through the winter this year.

“He has strengthened nicely into his four-year-old year. The Jockey Club is close to home and it is a small field, although very competitive, but it just seems a nice starting point for him.

“I think he is quite versatile in regards to ground, although I do think a sound surface would be better. He is a good-moving horse, but if he can settle, I think he can be a lot of fun for us over the summer.

“I think we will just have to see how he gets on before we make any decisions. It is his first run of the year and we have to take it from there.”

Charlie Appleby has two runners in the blue silks of Godolphin, with both Global Storm and Hurricane Lane lining up.

Hurricane Lane winning the St Leger
Hurricane Lane winning the St Leger (Mike Egerton/PA)

The latter horse is a three-time Group One winner with an Irish Derby, Grand Prix de Paris and St Leger under his belt, but he has not been successful since Doncaster in 2021 and was last of seven when last seen in the John Porter.

“Hurricane Lane was disappointing at Newbury. The ground was very testing that day and he was racing on the back of a long layoff,” the trainer told www.godolphin.com

“William (Buick) felt that he got very tired in the last couple of furlongs. From what we have seen at home, he has come out of the race very well.

“We have applied the cheekpieces to hopefully encourage some more enthusiasm.”

Of his other runner he added: “Global Storm is a good, solid horse and has proven in the past that he can be competitive in this calibre of race.”

Archie Watson’s internationally-campaigned Outbox is set to contest the race after finishing third in it last season, with Rae Guest’s Jewel In My Crown completing the field of five.



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