2026 Winter Derby Trends
First run in 1998, the Winter Derby is now staged at Southwell racecourse and run on their All Weather track, having been switched from Lingfield.
The 1m3f contest is also now a Group 3 race after being upgraded from Listed class back in 2006.
In recent years, a 4 year-old has won the race 8 times in the last 17 runnings, while it could pay to concentrate on horses aged 6 or younger as this age group has been responsible for 18 of the last 23 winners – but Royal Champion defied this stat in 2025 - winning aged 7.
Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at the recent winners and gives you all the key stats to take in the 2026 renewal – this year run on Saturday 21st February 2025.
Recent Winter Derby Winners
2025 - ROYAL CHAMPION (5/6 fav)
2024 - MILITARY ORDER (9/4)
2023 - LORD NORTH (8/11 fav)
2022 – ALENQUER (11/4)
2021 - FOREST OF DEAN (10/3)
2020 – DUBAI WARRIOR (13/8)
2019 – WISSAHICKON (1/4 fav)
2018 – MASTER THE WORLD (16/1)
2017 – CONVEY (11/2)
2016 – GRENDISAR (11/4)
2015 – TRYSTER (3/1 fav)
2014 – ROBIN HOODS BAY (10/1)
2013 – FARRAAJ (6/4 fav)
2012 – PREMIO LOCO (5/1)
2011 – NIDEEB (9/4 fav)
2010 – TRANQUIL TIGER (11/8 fav)
2009 – SCINTILLO (8/1)
2008 – HATTAN (14/1)
2007 – GENTLEMAN’S DEAL (4/1 jfav)
2006 – SRI DIAMOND (8/1)
2005 – ECCENTRIC (7/2)
2004 – CALUKI (14/1)
2003 – PARASOL (5/2 jfav)
Winter Derby Betting Trends
19/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
19/23 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
19/23 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
18/23 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
17/23 – Came from the top 3 in the market
16/23 – Had raced at either Lingfield (12) or Kempton (4) last time out
15/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
14/23 – Placed in their last race
13/23 – Winning distance – less than a length
12/23 – Won their last race
10/23– Won at least 6 times previously
10/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 7 runnings)
Just 2 of the last 19 Winter Derby Trial winners have gone onto win the Winter Derby
The average winning SP in the 23 renewals is 5/1
Military Order won the race in 2024
Note: Run at Lingfield from 2023 back & run at Southwell in 2025
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Written by Paul Ferguson and Guest Authors, is the complete guide to The Festival, with every fact, stat and trend covered to help you make the most informed bets throughout the best week of the year.
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