Tag Archive for: kempton racing trends and tips

TV Trends: Mon 27th Dec 21

A huge day of National Hunt action on Monday 27th December as the ITV cameras head to Kempton, while they are also at Chepstow to cover the Coral Welsh National and three of their supporting races.

Here at Geegeez, we've got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.20 – Ladbrokes Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

10/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – 1st or 2nd last time out
9/10 – Between 1-2 Chase wins before
9/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Favourites placed in top 2
8/10 – Irish or French bred
8/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Aged 5 years-old
4/10 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Had won over fences at Kempton before
Shishkin (1/3 fav) won the race in 2020

 

1.55 – Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV4

14/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
12/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
10/14 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
8/14 – Won over 3m previously
7/14 – Won their last race
7/14 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
6/14 – Ran at the track previously
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Aged 5 years-old
2/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
Molly Ollys Wishes (9/2) won the race in 2020

 

2.30 – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

12/14 – Aged 8 or younger
11/14 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
10/14 – Run at the track previously
9/14 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
9/14 – Winning favourites
9/14 – Officially Rated 160+
7/14 – French bred
7/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Trained by Alan King
Nube Negra (20/1) won the race in 2020
Bun Doran (4/1) won the race in 2019
Altior (1/8 fav) won the race in 2018

 

3.10 - Play Ladbrokes 1-2 Free On Football Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

14/14 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
13/14 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
10/14 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
8/14 – Favourites Unplaced
5/14 – Officially Rated between 122-129
5/14 – Ran at Kempton previously
5/14 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
5/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/14 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/14 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Royale Pagaille (9/2 fav) won this race 12 months ago

 

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 

1.05 – Watch Racing Online Free With Coral Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

17/18 – French (10) or Irish (7) bred
16/18 – Won over 2 ½ miles (fences) previously
15/18 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
14/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/18 – Won between 2-3 times (fences) previously
11/18 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
10/18 – Placed in the first three last time out
8/18 – Aged 7 or younger
6/18 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
6/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/18 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
2/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Cepage (11/4) won this race in 2020
Tiguer won this race in 2019
Doitforthevillage won this race in 2018
Aso won this race in 2016

 

1.40 – Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m ITV4

16/17 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
16/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Won between 0-2 times previously
11/17 – French bred
10/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Raced at the track previously
5/17 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/17 – Trained by Alan King

 

2.10 – Coral ‘Fail To Finish’ Free Bets Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4

17/19 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
16/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Won between 1-3 times previously over hurdles
14/19 – Irish bred
13/19 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
13/19 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/19 – Ran at Chepstow previously
11/19 – Won over 3m previously
10/19 – Carried between 11-2 and 11-11 in weight
8/19 – Officially Rated 120 or less
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/19 – Won their last race
Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat

 

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV4

19/19 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
19/19 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
19/19 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
17/19 – Aged 9 or younger
17/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/19 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
14/19 – Aged 8 or younger
13/19 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
13/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Irish bred
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
10/19 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
8/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – French bred
6/19 – Had run in the Welsh National before
6/19 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 9/1

 

 

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