Tag Archive for: lingfield horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 10th May 2025

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This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again - they are taking in nine races across three tracks.

So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfieldwe’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.

As well as three races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup at Ascot.As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:35 - Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m ITV

21/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
21/21 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
20/21 – Carried 11-5 or less
20/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/21 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
17/21 – Didn’t win last time out
14/21 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/21 – Returned a double-figure price
8/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/21 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 11 runnings)
3/21 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
Trainer Olly Murphy has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2:05 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

17/18 – Failed to win last time out
16/18 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
16/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Had won over a mile before
13/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/18 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
10/18 – Rated between 82-87
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11)
8 of the last 10 aged 4 or 5 years-old
Bellarchi won the race in 2024

2.40 – Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/21– Had won no more than 3 times
16/21 – Had won over 7f before
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
13/21 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 15 years
10 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure draw
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

3:15 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

12/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Won 2 or 3 times before
10/12 – Carried 9-4 or less
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/12 – Rated between 86 and 91
9/12 – Aged 4 years-old
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
5/12 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/12 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 7)
5/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/12 – Horses from stall 11 placed (2 winners)
5/12 – Winning favourites (4 of last 7)
2/12 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/12 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 6)
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has won 2 of the last 6
Kotari won the race in 2024

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.15– William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

19/21 – Had won no more than once before
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had no more than 3 career runs
17/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/21 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (1 winner (Anapurna 2019, two seconds)
11/21 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
11/21 – Having first run of the season
10/21 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/21 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/21 – Winners from stall 5
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
4/21 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower

1:50 William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f

Just 1 previous running (Ralph Beckett trained Esmeray)
Trainer James Evans is 2 from 3 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 23% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Leavy has a 43% (3/7) SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
1.50 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 3 1/2f ITV4
Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track

2:25 Lingfield - William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3½f ITV

Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Jockey Jason Watson has a 25% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track

3.00 – William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

22/22 – Had won no more than 3 times
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
17/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites placed
15/22 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
9/22 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
8/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 10)
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 5, 6 or 7

3.35 – William Hill Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

18/18 – Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Won between 1-4 times before
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Had won over 7f before
13/18 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18– Irish-bred
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
6/18 – Non UK-trained winners
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/18 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
4/18 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 15 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 1 (3) or 3 (3)
Great Generation won the race in 2024

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Feb 2021

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This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton, with their newly-sponsored Close Brothers Handicap Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for their Eider Chase.

As always, we've got the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races - use these to help find the best profiles based on past winners.

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

1.50– Close Brothers Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

14/16 – French (8) of Irish (6) bred
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (won 7 of the last 11)
9/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites

 

2.25 – Close Brothers Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
13/17 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
12/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/17– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – French bred
5/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Trained by Alan King (won two of last 4 runnings)
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Returned a single-figure price in the betting
13/15 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
12/15 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – French bred
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

 

3.35 – Close Brothers Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/18 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
15/18 – Aged 9 or younger
15/18 – Rated 139 or higher
13/18 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/18 – Won a Class 2 chase or better before
12/18 – Carried 10-13 or more
12/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
12/18 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/18 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
11/18 – Rated between 139 and 150
10/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Carried 11-5 or more
7/18 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Aged 8 years-old
5/18 – French bred
4/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
3/18 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/18 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/18 – Trained by Tom George
2/18 – Trained by Neil Mulholland (won 2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (won 2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/18 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
Mister Malarky (9/1) won the race in 2020

Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

3.15 – Vertem Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV4

16/16 – Had won over at least 3m before
14/16 – Aged 10 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/16 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Irish-bred
11/16 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Officially rated between 131-140
10/16 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/16 – Placed favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/16 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
Crosspark (12/1) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

12/14 – Rated 96+
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had raced at Lingfield before
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
9/14 – Placed favs
8/14 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/14 – US bred
5/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Mare winners
3/14 – Trained by David Barron
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
Hareem Queen won the race in 2020
Royal Birth won the race in 2017

 

2.40 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

16/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
14/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
14/18 – Had run at Lingfield previously
14/18 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
14/18 – Had raced at either Lingfield (10) or Kempton (4) last time out
12/18 – Winning distance – less than a length
12/18 – Placed in their last race
12/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the market
12/18 – Won at Lingfield previously
12/18 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/18 – Won their last race
9/18 – Won at least 6 times previously
8/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 8)
2/18 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (last 2 runnings)
Just 2 of the last 14 Winter Derby Trial winners have gone onto win the Winter Derby
The average winning SP in the 18 renewals is 11/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th November 2020

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A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature race – the ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus they are also covering two at Lingfield.

As always,here at GeeGeez we are on-hand with all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

 

1.40 – From The Horse’s Mouth Podcast Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RacingTV

15/15 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/15 – Aged 7 or younger
12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
12/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
11/15 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
11/15 – Raced no more than twice over fences
11/15 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Raced at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (3) or Wetherby (2) last time out
8/15 – Aged 6 years-old
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by David Pipe
3/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
 

2.15 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

18/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
17/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
17/18 – Won by a UK-based trainer
14/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Carried 11st or less
12/18 – Had won at Cheltenham before
12/18 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
9/18 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/18 – Aged 7 years-old
8/18 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
8/18 – Placed favourites
5/18 – Won their last race
4/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/18 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 39 runners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

2.50 – Paddy Power 3PM Kick Off Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
15/18 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
15/18 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
14/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
13/18 – Officially rated 126 to 137
13/18 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/18 – Placed favourites
13/18  – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
12/18 – Irish bred
12/18 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Won their last race
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/18 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/18 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
5 of the last 12 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017
First Assignment won the race in 2018
Golan Fortune won the race in 2019

 

3.25 – Paddy Power First Millionaire Qualifier Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

13/15 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/15 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Favourites unplaced
7/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/15 – Irish bred winners
6/15 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – French bred winners
2/15 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 - Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 11 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

3.55 – Karndean Designflooring Mares’ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed Race) C1 (4-6 year-olds) 2m 1/2f

 

8/8 – GB (5) or Irish (3) bred
7/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/8 – Won at least once before in a NH Flat race
6/8 – Won last time out
6/8 – Had never raced at Cheltenham before
5/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Returned 14/1 or bigger in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in recent years is 11/1

Note: The 2016 running was a dead-heat

 

 

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.05 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

12/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated between 102 and 112
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top two
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Master The World (10/1) won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

3.40 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

12/13 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 4 or older
10/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Won 5 or more times before
9/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
Gifted Master (9/2) won the race in 2017
Encrypted won the race in 2018
Judicial won the race in 2019

 

 

 

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