Tag Archive for: Melbourne Cup Trends

2024 Melbourne Cup Trends

Run each year on the first Tuesday in November the Melbourne Cup is dubbed as ‘the race that stops a nation’ and run over 2 miles it’s the richest handicap run over that distance in the world.

The 2024 race will be staged on Tuesday 5th November and in 2023 we saw the Anthony and Sam Freedman-trained Without A Fight win the race.

Staged at Flemington racecourse in Melbourne (Australia), the race always attracts runners from all corners of the globe, but there are also many key pointers and trends to help you find the winner of the Melbourne Cup.

Recent Melbourne Cup Winners

2023 - WITHOUT A FIGHT (7/1)
2022 -
GOLD TRIP (20/1)
2021 –
VERRY ELLEEGANT (17/1)

2020 - TWILIGHT PAYMENT (25/1)
2019 –
VOW AND DECLARE (10/1)
2018 –
CROSS COUNTER (8/1)
2017 –
REKINDLING (14/1)
2016 –
ALMANDIN (10/1)
2015 –
PRINCE OF PENZANCE (100/1)
2014 –
PROTECTIONIST (7/1)
2013 –
FIORENTE (6/1 fav)
2012 – GREEN MOON (19/1)
2011 – DUNADEN (15/2)
2010 – AMERICAIN (12/1)
2009 – SHOCKING (9/1)
2008 – VIEWED (40/1)
2007 – EFFICIENT (16/1)
2006 – DELTA BLUES (17/1)
2005 – MAKYBE DIVA (17/5 fav)
2004 – MAKYBE DIVA (13/5 fav)

Key Melbourne Cup Betting Trends and Stats

20/20 – Had won a Group class race before
18/20 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
17/20 – Won 8 or fewer races before
17/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/20 – Raced at Geelong (2), Flemington (3), Caulfield (5) or Moon Valley (6) last time
16/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/20 – Aged 5 or older
14/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/20 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
14/20 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
14/20 – Had raced at Flemington Park before (8 won there)
13/20 – Won by a AUS-based horse
12/20 – Aged 6 or older
11/20 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/20 – Horses from stall 10 or 11 placed
10/20 – Won by a 6 year-old
9/20 – Had won over 1m7f or further before
9/20 – Placed favourites
6/20 - Winners trained in Europe (2 Irish, 1 UK, 1 German, 2 France)
5/20 – Had won just once before
5/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Had raced in a previous Melbourne Cup
3/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – English/Irish winners
2/20 – French-trained winners
Six European winners since 2010
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 18/1

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Melbourne Cup Trends

Run each year on the first Tuesday in November (3rd) the Melbourne Cup is dubbed as ‘the race that stops a nation’. Run over 2m it’s the richest handicap run over that distance in the world.

Staged at Flemington racecourse in Melbourne, Australia the race always attracts runners from all corners of the globe, but there are also many key trends and stats to help you find the winner of the 2020 Melbourne Cup.

 

Recent Melbourne Cup Winners

2019 – VOW AND DECLARE (10/1)
2018 –
CROSS COUNTER (8/1)
2017 –
REKINDLING (14/1)
2016 –
ALMANDIN (10/1)
2015 –
PRINCE OF PENZANCE (100/1)
2014 –
PROTECTIONIST (7/1)
2013 –
FIORENTE (6/1 fav)
2012 – GREEN MOON (19/1)
2011 – DUNADEN (15/2)
2010 – AMERICAIN (12/1)
2009 – SHOCKING (9/1)
2008 – VIEWED (40/1)
2007 – EFFICIENT (16/1)
2006 – DELTA BLUES (17/1)
2005 – MAKYBE DIVA (17/5 fav)
2004 – MAKYBE DIVA (13/5 fav)

Key Melbourne Cup Betting Trends and Stats

16/16 – Had won a Group class race before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Raced at either Geelong (2), Flemington (3), Caulfield (4) or Moon Valley (5) last time
14/16 – Won 8 or fewer races before
14/16 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
14/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/16 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Won by a AUS-based horse
10/16 – Aged 5 or older
10/16 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
10/16 – Had raced at Flemington Park before (7 won there)
10/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Horses from stall 10 or 11 placed
9/16 – Aged 6 or older
8/16 – Won by a 6 year-old
8/16 – Had won over 1m7f or further before
7/16 – Placed favourites
4/16 – Had won just once before
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Had raced in a previous Melbourne Cup
2/16 – French-trained winners
2/16 – English/Irish winners
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 18/1

 

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