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Sat TV Trends: 3rd April 2021

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to both Haydock and Musselburgh to take in seven races across the two venues.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our verdicts!

 

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

2.05 – Betway Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final (A Handicap Hurdle) Cl2 1m7f144y ITV4

Four previous runnings
Trainers Neil King, Donald McCain, Tom George and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the race before
4/4 – Winners returned between 8/1 and 11/1
3/4 – Winners carried 10-4 or less in weight
3/4 – Irish Bred
3/4 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/4 – Rated between 115-119
3/4 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
0/4 – No winning favourite
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 67% record with his hurdles at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 3 from 48 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King is just 1 from 25 with his hurdlers at the track

 

 

2.40 – Betway Challenger Staying Chase Series Final (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m24y ITV4

Four previous runnings
Trainers Alan King (2), Lucy Wadham, and Tom George are the past winners of the race /
4/4 – Didn’t win last time out
4/4 – Won between 0-2 times fences
4/4 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
3/4 – Finished 4th last time out
3/4 – Rated between 125-132
3/4 – Won over 3m (fences) before
3/4 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
3/4 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
0/4 – Winning favourites
Mahlermade won the race in 2019
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 43% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 21% record with his chasers at the track

3.15 – Betway Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

4/4 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
4/4 – Carried 11-4 or less in weight
3/4 – Finished in the top three last time out
3/4 – Had run at the track before
3/4 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
3/4 – Rated between 122-126
3/4 – Unplaced favourites
0/4 – Winning favourites
Trainers Jonjo O’Neill (2), Nick Williams and Stuart Edmunds have won this race before
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 33% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King is just 1 from 25 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 3 from 48 with his hurdlers at the track

 

MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (Racing TV/ITV4)

1.50 – Betway Musselburgh Silver Arrow Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 7f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
Trainers David O’Meara, Kevin Ryan and David Barron have won the race before
Three Saints Bay won the race in 2019
All three winners returned 11/2 or 6/1
All three winners carried between 9-3 and 9-7
All three winners came from stalls 3 or 4
No winning favourite yet

 

2.25 – Betway Royal Mile Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 1m ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/5 – Won between 1-2 times before
5/5 – Rated between 81-86 (inc)
5/5 – From stalls 2-6 (inc)
4/5 – Won over 7f or further
3/5 – Won this off a layoff (5+months)
3/5 – Won last time out
2/5 – Trained by Richard Fahey
Trainers Mark Johnston, John Quinn and William Haggas have won the race before

 

 

3.00 – Betway Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Won over 5f before
7/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Drawn 8 or higher
6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/9 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
6/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/9 – Rated between 92 and 98
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Ran at the track before
4/9 – Drawn in stalls 15 (2) or 16 (2)
3/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Trained by Mick Appleby (won last 2)
2/9 – Ridden by Alistair Rawlinson
Caspian Prince won the race in 2018

 

3.35 – Betway Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

4/5 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Had run at Musselburgh before
4/5 – Returned a double-figure price
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
3/5 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
1/5 – Winning favourite
Trainers Mark Johnston, Archie Watson, JP Shanahan, Brian Ellison and Jim Goldie have won the race before

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Feb 2021

Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby (called off) provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday.

Also, an added bonus this weekend with last Saturday’s cancelled Cotswold Chase from Cheltenham are being rerouted to Sandown.

As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the races covered from a trends angle.....

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y ITV4

14/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
14/14 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
11/14 – Aged 9 or younger
10/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/14 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (4 won)
7/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/14 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
6/14 – Raced at Sandown last time out
5/14 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/14 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
5/14 – Aged 7 years-old
6/14 – French bred
4/14 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/14 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Dolos won this race in 2019
Dolos (7/2) won the race in 2020

 

1.50 – Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4


17/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/17 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
17/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
13/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Defi Du Seuil JLT Novices’ Chase)
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/17 – French bred
10/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Aged 7 years-old
6/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/17 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
4/17 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (4 of last 6 winners)
Itchy Feet (7/1) won the race in 2020

 

2.20 – Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m RTV  

 

17/17 – Officially rated 151 or higher
16/17 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (8 had won)
15/17 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
15/17 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
12/17 – Priced 7/1 or less
12/17 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
11/17 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
11/17 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Unplaced last time out
7/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/17 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
6/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/17 – Won by the Oliver Sherwood yard
1/17 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
1/17 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase (Frodon, 2019)
1/17 – Favourites
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 15/2
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup

2020 Winner: SANTINI (N Henderson) 13/8


2.55 – Virgin Bet Warriors Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-140) 2m4f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his chasers at the track


3.30 – Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV4

16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less
15/17 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/17 – Aged 9 or younger
12/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
12/17 – Rated 136 or lower
10/17 – Placed last time out
10/17 – Irish-bred
9/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/17 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
8/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/17 – French-bred
3/17 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/17 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 7)
2/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 7)
Deise Alba (7/1) won this race in 2020

 

 
Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

**CANCELLED DUE TO A WATERLOGGED TRACK**

1.58 – William Hill Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m

15/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
14/16 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
13/16 – Went to run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (5 won)
13/16 – Officially rated 154 or higher
11/16 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 4 in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
11/16 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
9/16 – Won their latest race
8/16 – Favourites that won
6/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown

2020 Winner: PAISLEY PARK (E Lavelle) 4/6 fav

 

2.35 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/15 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
11/15 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/15 – Aged 7 years-old
10/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/15 – Trained by Ian Williams
Newtide (9/2) won the race in 2020

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV4

12/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
11/13 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Aged 6 years-old
8/13 – Former flat horses
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/13 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/13 – Rated between 120-130
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won last time out
Dear Sire (15/2) won this race in 2018
Sebastopol (9/2) won the race in 2020

3.45 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y ITV4

Only three previous runnings
2/3 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/3 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
1/3 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Bob Mahler (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2020

 

 

 

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