Tag Archive for: MUSSELBURGH HORSE RACING TRENDS

Sat TV Trends: 4th April 2026

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The ITV horse racing cameras are at Haydock and Musselburgh this Saturday to take in SEVEN LIVE races across the two venues.

At Haydock the Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap at 2:05pm is one of the features.

While at Musselburgh there are four LIVE ITV races - that include the Queen's Cup Handicap over 1m6f - a race Wise Eagle won in 2023 and is back for more in 2026.

As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for each of the LIVE ITV Racing contests.

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2:12 – Pertemps Network Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 1m7f144y ITV

9 previous runnings
Trainers Harry Derham (2), Gary Moore, Neil King, Dan Skelton, Jonjo O’Neill, Donald McCain, Tom George and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the race before
7/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Winners carried 10-13 or less in weight (last two 12st)
5/9 – Carried 10-8 or less
6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/9 – Winners returned between 8/1 and 11/1
4/9 – Rated between 115-119
4/9 – Irish Bred
3/9 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Paul O’Brien
5 of the last 6 winners aged 5 or 6
Trainer Chris Gordon has a 43% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% SR with his hurdlers at the track

2:46 – Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

9/9 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/9 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
7/9 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/9 – Carried 11-3 or more in weight
5/9 – Had run at the track before
5/9 – Rated between 121-126
4/9 – Unplaced favourites
3/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Ridden by Jonjo O’Neill Jr
Secret Trix (11/1) won the race in 2024
2 of the last 6 winners ridden by a claimer
Trainer Chris Gordon has a 43% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% SR with his hurdlers at the track

3:20 – Unibet Middle Distance Veteran’s Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+) 2m4f ITV

2 previous renewals
Both winners aged 10
The Flier Begley (5/1) won this in 2025
Numitor (100/30 fav) won this in 2024
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 26% SR with his chasers at the track

3:55 – JCB Fastrac Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl4 (5yo+ 0-110) 2m4f ITV

3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
Trainer Ewan Whillans, Sam England and Ryan Potter have won the race before

MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (Racing TV/ITV)

1:25 – Virgin Bet A Good Bet Royal Mile Handicap (Class 3) (3yo) 1m ITV

3 previous runnings
Trainers Charlie Johnston, Karl Burke and Richard Fahey have won the race in the past
3/3 - winners came between stalls 6-8
3/3 - winners carried 9-7 or more
3/3 - winners returned 4/1 or shorter
Trainer William Haggas has an 44% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has an 28% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is only 2-24 (8%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Danny Tudhope has a 31% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

1:55 – Livescore Bet Silver Arrow Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 7f ITV

10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Drawn 4 or lower
9/11 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
9/11 – Had won over 7f before
9/11 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
8/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
8/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out (1 win)
7/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years old
6/11 – Run at Musselburgh before (5 won)
6/11 – Winners stalls 1 or 2
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Won by trainers David & Nicola Barron (2 of the last 3)
Persuasion (18/1) won this race in 2025
Gweedore was 2nd in 2025
Last 9 winners from stall 5 or lower
8 of the last 9 winners stalls 1, 2 or 4

2:30 – Virgin Bet Goliath Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

No past winners
Trainer Karl Burke has a 33% (4-12) SR with is 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Owen has a 60% (3-5) SR with his 4+yolds at the track

3:05 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boost Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

7/9 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/9 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Had run at Musselburgh before
5/9 – Returned a double-figure price
2/9 – Won by the Johnston yard
2/9 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope (2 of last 3)
1/9 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 7 winners aged 5 or 6
Wise Eagle (9/1) won the race in 2023
Trainer Adam Nicol is 5 from 14 with his 4 year-olds at the track (36%) (and won the race in 2023)
Trainer Karl Burke has a 33% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Owen has a 60% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainers Mark Johnston (2), Adrian Paul Keatley, Adam Nichol, Archie Watson, Ian Williams, JP Shanahan, Brian Ellison and Jim Goldie have won the race before

3:42 – Virgin Bet Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV

12/13 – Won over 5f before
10/13 – Drawn 8 or higher
9/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Rated between 92 and 99
8/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/13– Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Ran at the track before
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Drawn in stalls 15 (2) or 16 (2)
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Mick Appleby
3/13 – Ridden by a claimer (3 of the last 10)
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 8+
7 of the last 10 winners aged 6 or younger
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 33% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael & David Easterby are just 2-32 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
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Sat TV Trends: 30th March 2024

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More LIVE ITV horse racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to both Haydock and Musselburgh to take in seven races across the two venues.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our verdicts!

Enjoy!

Saturday 30th March 2024

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final (A Handicap Hurdle) Cl2 1m7f144y ITV

7 previous runnings
Trainers Gary Moore, Neil King, Dan Skelton, Jonjo O’Neill, Donald McCain, Tom George and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the race before
6/7 – Winners carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/7 – Carried 10-8 or less
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/7 – Winners returned between 8/1 and 11/1
4/7 – Rated between 115-119
3/7 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/7 – Irish Bred
1/7 – No winning favourite
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Harry Derham has a 40% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 4 from 46 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track

2.40 – Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

7/7 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/7 – Finished in the top three last time out
4/7 – Had run at the track before
6/7 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
4/7 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
3/7 – Rated between 122-126
3/7 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Jonjo O’Neill Jr
2/7 – Winning favourites
Trainers Jonjo O’Neill (2), Brian Ellison, Nick Williams and Stuart Edmunds have won this race before
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Alexander has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 4 from 46 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor has a 33% (3-9) record riding over hurdles at the track

3.15 – Unibet Veteran’s Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+) 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Sam Thomas has a 67% strike-rate over fences at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 33% strike-rate over fences at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate over fences at the track
Jockey James Bowen has a 27% strike-rate over fences at the track
Jockey Charlie Deutsch has a 23% strike-rate over fences at the track

MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (Racing TV/ITV4)

**Cancelled due to a waterlogged track**

1.50 – Virgin Bet Royal Mile Handicap (Class 3) (3yo) 1m ITV

2 previous runnings
The Johnston yard have won both runnings (Mark & Charlie)
Jockey Joe Fanning has won both runnings
Both winners came from stalls 3 or lower
Both winners carried 9-5 or more
Trainer Richard Fahey has an 18% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston has an 17% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has an 17% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Sam James has a 24% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – Virgin Bet Silver Arrow Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 7f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
Trainers Katie Scott (2), Mark Johnston, David O’Meara, Kevin Ryan and David Barron have won the race before
Gweedore won the race in 2022 and 2023
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
5/6 – Came between stalls 3-5 (inc)
5/6 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
3/6 – Came from stall 3
No winning out favourite yet (1 joint)
Trainer Karl Burke has a 50% record with his 4+ year-old at the track (3 from 6)
Jockey Shane Gray has a 19% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Sam James has a 19% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – Virgin Bet Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV

11/12 – Won over 5f before
9/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Drawn 8 or higher
8/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/12 – Rated between 92 and 99
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12– Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/12 – Ran at the track before
5/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Drawn in stalls 15 (2) or 16 (2)
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Mick Appleby
3/12 – Ridden by a claimer  (3 of the last 9)
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8+
7 of the last 10 winners aged 6 or younger
Silie Wilkie won the race in 2023

3.35 – Virgin Bet Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

7/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/8 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Had run at Musselburgh before
5/8 – Returned a double-figure price
2/8 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/8 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope (last 2)
2/8 – Ridden by Ben Curtis
1/8 – Winning favourite
Trainer Adam Nicol is 3 from 4 with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainers Mark Johnston (2), Archie Watson, Ian Williams, JP Shanahan, Brian Ellison and Jim Goldie have won the race before

 

 

Sunday TV Horse Racing Trends: 4th Feb 2024

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The ITV Racing cameras are in action in Scotland and Ireland this Sunday – taking in five races at each Leopardstown at the Dublin Racing Festival and another five north of the border at Musselburgh.

At Leopardstown, the Dublin Chase and Irish Champion Hurdle headline as Cheltenham Festival hopefuls El Fabiolo and State Man are in action.

While at Musselburgh their top card is spearheaded by the Scottish Champion Chase.

Let's take a look at the live ITV races and the key trends, plus trainer and jockey stats.

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Racing TV)

1:10 Leopardstown Ladbrokes Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 18% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emmet Mullins is 0-from-20 with his hurdlers at the track

1:40 Leopardstown Tattersalls Ireland 50th Derby Sale Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

9/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/10 – Ridden by Danny Mullins (2) or Paul Townend (2)
4/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 18% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Thomas Mullins is 0-from-33 with his hurdlers at the track

2:10 Leopardstown Ladbrokes Dublin Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m1f ITV

6/6 – Trained by Willie Mullins
5/6 – Winning favourites
4/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/6 – Ridden by Paul Townend (3 of the last 4)
2/6 – Ridden by Danny Mullins
Gentleman De Mee won this race in 2023
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 19% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is just 7-from-99 with his chasers at the track

2:45 Leopardstown Chanelle Pharma Irish Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 2m ITV

19/20 – Placed in the top three last time
17/20 – Raced within the last 2 months
17/20 – Had won at Leopardstown before
17/20 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Rated 158 or higher
16/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
16/20 – Won last time out
14/19 – Went onto finish in the top six of that season’s Champion Hurdle
15/20 – Winning favourites
12/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/20 – Raced at Leopardstown last time out
11/20 – Irish bred
7/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (7 of last 13 runnings)
5/20 - Trained by Henry De Bromhead (4 of the last 7 runnings)
5/19 – Went onto win the Champion Hurdle
3 of the last 15 winners were second season hurdlers
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 2/1

3:20 Leopardstown O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) 2m5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 - Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of the last 7)
The Goffer won the race in 2023
Birchdale won the race in 2022
Trainer Enda Bolger is 2 from 8 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is just 7-from-99 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joseph O’Brien is just 3-from-42 with his chasers at the track

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ Racing TV)

1:20 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Triumph Hurdle (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo) 1m7½f ITV

8/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 7)
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 8)
2/9 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 4)
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 36% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 5-from-97 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

1:50 Musselburgh Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-125) 2m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over fences at the track

2:25 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Supreme Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m7½f ITV

8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Aged 5
2/8 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/8 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/8 – Winning favourite
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 29% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John C McConnell has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 29% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:00 Musselburgh Pertemps Network Group Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-145) 3m ITV

7/8 – Aged 7 or younger
6/8 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/8 – Carried 10-7 or less
4/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
Trainer David Killahena & Graeme McPherson have a 67% strike-rate with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ann Hamilton has a 50% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John C McConnell has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 5-from-97 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 29% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:35 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Champion Chase (For The Bowes-Lyon Trophy) Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4½f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Ann Hamilton has a 40% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 67% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over fences at the track