Tag Archive for: newbury racing tips and trends

2026 Denman Chase Trends

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Staged at Newbury racecourse the Betfair-sponsored Denman Chase is a Grade Two race that is run in February each year.

First run in 2000, the Denman Chase is always a hotly-contested race that is run over a trip of 3 miles, and over the years has provided plenty of clues ahead of the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Four horses have won this race before going onto land the Cheltenham Gold Cup that same season – Kauto Star (2007), Denman (2008), Coneygree (2015) & Native River (2018).

In 2017 – Native River won the Denman Chase before running third in the Gold Cup, but in 2018 he went one better after landing both the Denman Chase and the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

The race was upgraded to Listed status in 2002 and then promoted further in 2003 to a Grade Two – which it remains at today.

The contest was originally sponsored by the Aon Group, but in 2012 leading betting exchange – Betfair – took over the sponsorship mantle, and in the process also renamed the race the ‘Denman Chase’ in honour of the 2008 winner. With William Hill taking over the sponsorship duties in 2025.

Since 2000 leading National Hunt trainer – Paul Nicholls – has won the race 10 times - including again in 2021 when his Secret Investor won for jockey Bryony Frost.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners of the race and highlight the key stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year staged on Saturday 7th February.

Recent Denman Chase Winners

2025 - Djelo (6/4 fav)
2024 - Shishkin (8/11 fav)
2023 – Zanza (16/1)
2022 – Eldorado Allen (6/1)
2021 - Secret Investor (14/1)
2020 – Native River (2/5 fav)
2019 – Clan Des Obeaux (2/5 fav)
2018 – Native River (8/11)
2017 – Native River (11/10)
2016 - Houblon des Obeaux (3/1)
2015 – Coneygree (15/8 fav)
2014 – Harry Topper (7/2)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (8/11 fav)
2012 – Long Run (4/7 fav)
2011 – Noland (13/2)
2010 – Tricky Trickster (8/1)
2009 – Madison du Berlais (12/1)
2008 – Denman (1/4 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (2/9 fav)

Denman Chase Trends

18/22 – Rated 150+
18/22 – Aged 9 or younger
17/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/22 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
17/22 – Placed favourites
17/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/22 – Aged 8 or younger
13/22 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
12/22 – Raced at either Cheltenham or Kempton last time out
11/22 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
10/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (10 wins in total)
8/22 – French bred
6/22 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/22 – Returned a double-figure price
4/22 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
4/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (3 in total)
8 of the last 19 winners were aged 7 years-old
Just one winner aged 11+ since 2000
Venetia Williams has won 2 of the last 10
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

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2025 Challow Hurdle Trends

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The Challow Novices’ Hurdle is a Grade One event that is run over a trip of 2m4f at Newbury racecourse.

Sponsored by Coral, the contest has been won by some promising sorts over the years, including Wichita Lineman, Diamond Harry, Reve De Sivola, Fingal Bay, Taquin du Seuil, while in more recent years the 2022 King George Chase winner Bravemansgame (2020) & Stage Star (2021) have won the race.

While in 2022 we saw the exciting Paul Nicholls-trained Hermes Allen romp to victory and Captain Teague take to pot in 2023 - meaning Paul Nicholl has won four of the last six runnings. He tries to add to that with the exciting No Drama This End, who is flying the Ditcheat flag this year.

We've also seen 9 of the last 15 market leaders win the race while trainers Paul Nicholls, Nick Williams and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race 9 times between them since 2006.

Here at Geegeez, we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Monday 29th December 2025.

Recent Challow Hurdle Winners

2024 - THE NEW LION (9/4)
2023 - CAPTAIN TEAGUE (2/1 fav)
2022 - HERMES ALLEN (11/10 fav)
2021 – STAGE STAR (5/4 fav)
2020 - BRAVEMANSGAME (5/2 jfav)
2019 – THYME HILL (4/6 fav)
2018 – CHAMP (Evs fav)
2017 – POETIC RHYTHM (15/8 fav)
2016 – MESSIRE DES OBEAUX (11/4)
2015 – BARTERS HILL (4/11 fav)
2014 – PARLOUR GAMES (6/1)
2013 – CAPTAIN CUTTER (8/1)
2012 – TAQUIN DU SEUIL (13/8 fav)
2011 – FINGAL BAY (1/4 fav)
2010 – BACKSPIN (5/1)
2009 – REVE DE SIVOLA (15/8)
2008 – DIAMOND HARRY (4/6 fav)
2007 – SOUFFLUER (7/1)
2006 – WICHITA LINEMAN (11/4)

Key Challow Hurdle Trends

19/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/19 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
19/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
19/19 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
17/19 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/19 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
14/19 – Won last time out
13/19 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/19 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/19 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 9)
11/19 – Aged 5 years-old
9/19 – Irish bred
6/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 of the last 5 winners)
3/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 29th Nov 2025

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Another massive horse racing Saturday ahead with the Coral Gold Cup (former Ladbrokes Trophy Chase and Hennessy Gold Cup) – plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk, we've got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

Did you know? 24 of the last 26 Coral Gold Cup winners were aged 8 or younger

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:40 – Coral ‘Daily Rewards Shaker’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

9 previous runnings
All of the last 9 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
7 of the last 9 winners carried 11st 1lb or more in weight
4 of the last 5 winners returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
8 of the last 9 winners aged 6 or 7
2 of the last 9 winners trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 9 winners trained by Dan Skelton
3 of the last 9 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past too
2 winning favourites (both joint) in the last 9 years
4 of the last 6 winners aged 7 years-old

2:15 - Coral Racing Club Intermediate Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
18/19 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
17/19 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
15/19 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
13/19 – Irish, French or German bred
13/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Had raced at Newbury before
10/19 – Aged 5 years-old
7/19 – Officially rated between 126-134
7/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
6/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/19 – Won last time out
12 of the last 18 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

2:55 – Coral Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV

21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
20/23 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/23 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
18/23 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
16/23 – Had run at Newbury before (10 had won over fences there)
16/23 – Rated between 140 and 151
15/23 – Had a previous run that season
15/23 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/23 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
14/23 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
13/23 – Unplaced favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/23 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
11/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 13)
2/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 9)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
13 of the last 20 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been two winners aged in double-figures (2018 Sizing Tennessee, 10 & 1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (34 runnings) there have been 16 winners (47%) aged 7 years-old

3:35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The-Post’ And Win Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

21/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/23 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
13/23 – French bred
13/23 – Officially rated between 126-136
13/23 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
13/23 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
13/23 – Placed in their last race
12/23 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
6/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The Tizzard yard have won 3 of the last 9 runnings – including two of the last three
11 of the last 19 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
General Medrano won the race in 2024

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2:00 – BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

24/24 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
21/24 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
20/24 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
20/24 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
19/24 – Placed favourites
19/24 – Officially rated 151 or higher
15/24 – Won their last race
13/24 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/24 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
8/24 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (8 of last 17) (9 wins in total)
7/24 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
6/24 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/24 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/24 – Won by an Irish based yard
2/24 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 11)
The average winning SP in the last 24 runnings is 5/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

3:15 – BetMGM Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) Cl1 3m ITV

20/20 – Didn’t win their last race
16/20 – Irish bred
16/20 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
15/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/20 – Unplaced last time out
14/20 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
11/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/20 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/20 – Aged 8 years-old
5/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/20 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Venetia Williams has won 3 of the last 8 runnings (4 in total)
10 of the last 14 winners were aged 8 or older
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

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2025 Coral Gold Cup Trends

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Run at Newbury racecourse over 3m 2 1/2f the Coral Gold Cup (formerly the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase and Hennessy Gold Cup) is handicap race this gives National Hunt fans the chance to see some of the best longer distance chasers pit their wits against horses of varied abilities.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the main stats to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal on Saturday 29th November.

Did you know - 21 of the last 23 Coral Gold Cup winners were aged 8 or younger?

Recent Coral Gold Cup Chase Winners

2024 - KANDOO KID (8/1)
2023 – DATSALRIGHTGINO (16/1)
2022 – LE MILOS (9/2 fav)
2021 – CLOUDY GLEN (33/1)
2020 - CLOTH CAP (9/1)
2019 – DE RASHER COUNTER (12/1)
2018 – SIZING TENNESSEE (12/1)
2017 – TOTAL RECALL (9/2 fav)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (7/2 fav)
2015 – SMAD PLACE (7/1)
2014 – MANY CLOUDS (8/1)
2013 – TRIOLO D’ALENE (20/1)
2012 – BOBS WORTH (4/1 fav)
2011 – CARRUTHERS (10/1)
2010 – DIAMOND HARRY (6/1)
2009 – DENMAN (11/4 fav)
2008 – MADISON du BERLAIS (25/1)
2007 – DENMAN (5/1)
2006 – STATE OF PLAY (10/1)
2005 – TRABOLGAN (13/2)
2004 – CELESTIAL GOLD (9/4 fav)
2003 – STRONG FLOW (5/1 jfav)
2002 - GINGEMBRE (16/1)

Coral Gold Cup Chase Betting Trends

21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
20/23 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/23 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
18/23 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
16/23 – Had run at Newbury before (10 had won over fences there)
16/23 – Rated between 140 and 151
15/23 – Had a previous run that season
15/23 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/23 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
14/23 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
13/23 – Unplaced favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/23 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
11/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 13)
2/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 9)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
13 of the last 20 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been two winners aged in double-figures (2018 Sizing Tennessee, 10 & 1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (34 runnings) there have been 16 winners (47%) aged 7 years-old

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