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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 12th Oct 2018

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 12th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

13/15 – Had won over 5f previously
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Rated 98 or more
11/15 – Ran within the last 30 days
11/15 – Foaled in March or later
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
11/15 – Won at least twice or more before
10/15 – Had raced 5 or more times
10/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
7/15 – Filly winners
6/15 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out

 

2.25 – The Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-2 wins already
13/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Had between 1-3 career runs
11/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Foaled in March or later
10/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Had won over 7f or further before
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

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3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/15 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (10) race previously
15/15 – Won over 7f previously
15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/15 – Won 3 or more times previously
12/15 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
11/15 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/15 – Officially rated 113 or higher
9/15 – Priced 7/1 or lower
8/15 – Placed in their last race
8/15 – Favourites placed
6/15 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
6/15 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
4/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 - Favourites that won
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
1/15 – Filly/Mare winners

 

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

14/14 - Finished in the first three last time out
14/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Finished in the first two last time out
13/14- Yet to win a Group 1
13/14 – Foaled in Feb or later
12/14 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/14 – Had won between 2-3 times before
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top three
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
9/14 – Foaled in Feb or March
7/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
6/14 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – US bred
3/14 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori

 

4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

4 previous runnings3/4 – Had won at least twice before
3/4 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
3/4 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
3/4 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
3/4 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
2/4 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/4 – Ran at Haydock last time out
0/4 – winning favourites

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Oct 2018

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar to take in seven LIVE races.

At Redcar we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race the French have won 5 times in the last 16 years. Then at Ascot we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap - Did you know that 14 of the last 16 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

As always, use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.50 – Duke Of Edinburgh’s Award Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated 101 or higher
11/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
6/14 – Irish bred
3/14 - Trained by Bryan Smart
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Winning favourites
Just Glamorous (33/1) won the race in 2017
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

2.25 – Stella Artois Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

16/16 - Finished fourth or better last time out
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/16 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
10/16 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/16 – Favourites to win
6/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/16 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/16 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Filly or mare winners
9 of the last 10 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2007
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Won over 6f previously
10/10 – Officially rated 100 or higher
9/10 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/10 – Won 4 or more times previously
8/10 – Had run within the last 30 days
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/10 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/10 – Won their previous race
3/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Favourites to win
2/10 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 7 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Blue Point (Evs) won the race in 2017

3.35 – Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
13/16 – Won over 7f previously
11/16 – Had raced within the last 30 days
11/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/16 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/16 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/16 – Favourites to win
2/16 – Traind by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Won their previous race
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 10 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 10 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Accidental Agent (16/1) won the race in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 2 previous running
Trainer Malcolm Saunders won the race in 2017
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2016
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hughie Morrison has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

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3.15 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/14 – Previous Group winners
12/14 – Won between 3-5 times before
11/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Rated between 113 and 119
9/14 – Previous Group One winners
7/14 – Aged 3 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/14 – French-trained winners
5/14 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 4 of the last 12 runnings
Roly Poly (4/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.45 – Racing UK Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
10/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
10/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Foaled in March or later
8/16 – Had won over 6f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Filly winners
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/16 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Sept 2018

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps  - as always we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/16 – Had won one or two races before
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
15/16 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
13/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
12/16 - Either US or Irish bred
12/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/16 – Had only won over 7f before
9/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

16/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
16/16 – Had won over 6f before
15/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/16 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had 3 or more previous runs
11/16 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/16 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/16 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/16 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Won over 6f previously
14/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/15 – Won their last race
13/15 – Had run 3 or more times previously
13/15 – Won at least twice previously
12/15 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
11/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/15 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/15 – Favourites placed
5/15 – Ran at Deauville last time out
4/15 – Favourites that won
4/15 – Won by an Irish-based stable
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011 & 2017

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3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Won 3 or more times in their career
13/16 – Carried 9-4 or less
12/16 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
12/16 – Won from a double-figure stall
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
12/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/16 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/16 – Rated between 90-100
11/16 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
9/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Won their last race
10 of the last 12 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 22/1

 


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

10/11 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Irish bred winners
4/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.15 – Smarkets Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
11/11 – Had won over 5f before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Had won between 2-4 times before
7/11 – Rated between 92-96
7/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 28th Sept 2018

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.
As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Friday 28th September 2018

1.50 – Muhaarar Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

7/7 – Had won over 1m before
7/7 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
6/7 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Won between 1-3 times before
5/7 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
5/7 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Aged 3 years-old
2/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Trained by John Gosden
2/7 – Trained by William Haggas
0/7 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
William Haggas won the race in 2014 & 2017
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016
Laugh Aloud won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

 

2.25 – Princess Royal Nayef Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

12/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Placed favourites
11/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
11/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times before
10/13 – Aged 3 years-old
8/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 – Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

13/14 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time
12/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Won by a March or April born foal
8/14 – Won over 7f before
8/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/14 – Won by the Hills yard
2/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (last two winners)
2/14 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/14 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
0/14 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

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3.35 – Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Officially rated between 111-118
11/14 – Had won a Group race before
10/14 – Failed to win last time out
10/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Had won over 1m before
10/14 – Won 4 or less times before
9/14 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
9/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
9/14 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 3 runnings)
2/14 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
1/14 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
Beat The Bank won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th Aug 2018

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2018

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

10/10 – Failed to win their last race
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/10 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
9/10 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/10 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
8/10 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/10 – Favourites  placed
6/10 – Had won over 5f previously
5/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/10 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/10 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/10 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/10 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2 of the last 10 winners came from stall 11
Stake Acclaim (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2017

 

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Carried 8-13 or more
11/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/14 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
11/14 – Rated between 86-94
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
11/14 – Had raced at the track before
10/14 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/14 – Won last time out
Euchen Glen (7/1) won the race in 2017
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 11 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Officially rated between 87-94
12/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
11/14 – Won between 1-4 times previously
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/14 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/14 – Favourites that won
Great Hall (12/1) won the race in 2017
No winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Won over at least a mile before
14/14 – Failed to win last time out
14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/14 – Rated between 92-100
13/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/14 – Had run at Ascot before
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/14 – Winning favourites
Raising Sand (10/1) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 1
10 or the last 13 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

 

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Raced 3 or more times that season
7/9 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/9 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
6/9 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/9 – Favourites placed
2/9 – Favourites that won
2/9 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/9 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2017
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

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4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

14/14 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
13/14 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/14 – Won between 2-3 times previously
12/14 – Won over 6f previously
12/14 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/14 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/14 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/14 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/14 – Winning Favourites
Golden Apollo (4/1) won the race in 2017
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 - Smarkets Haydock Park Ladies´ Trophy Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders´ Race) Cl3 1m3f200y ITV4

Only two previous runnings
Azari (12/1) won the race in 2017
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

15/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/15 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/15 – Favourites placed
13/15 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/15 – Won a Listed or better class race before
11/15 – Won over 1m2f or further
11/15 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/15 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
10/15 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/15 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/15 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Frankuus (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won just once previously
13/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
11/15 – Had won over only 6f previously
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket (5) or Sandown (3) last time out
7/15 – Had just one previous run
7/15 –  Favourites that won
5/15 – Won by Godolphin
4/15 – Won over 7f previously
3/15 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (10/1) won the race in 2017
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
4 of the last 11 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 13th July 2018)

The three-day 2018 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (13th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 15 of the last 16 Falmouth Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 13th July 2018

1.50 – bet365 Handicap (Silver Bunbury Cup) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only three previous runnings
Parfait win the race in 2017
Swift Approval won the race in 2016
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 4 years-old
All three previous winners carried 9-4 or more in weight
2 winning favourites

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had raced at least twice before
13/14 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
13/14 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Won by a UK-based yard
9/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
8/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by the Hannon team
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc last 2)
1/14 – Drawn in stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Clemmie (11/8 fav) won the race in 2017

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3.00 - bet354 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/11 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
8/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/11 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
5/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including last 4 of last 5 runnings)
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Marzouq (6/1) won the race in 2017

3.35 - Qipco Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
15/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16– Won over at least 1 mile previously
12/16 – Won from stall 5 or lower
12/16 – Had 2+ runs that season
11/16 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
9/16 – Favourites placed
6/16 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
6/16 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
5/16 – Previous Group One winners
4/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 4)
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Roly Poly (6/4 fav) won the race in 2017

 



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Sat TV Trends: 19th May 2018

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Saturday 19th May 2018

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

12/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
11/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/13 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Drawn in stall 3
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

14/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/15 – Drawn 4 or lower
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Had run at Newbury before
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
9/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
7/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
7/15 – Aged 4 years-old
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/15 – Won last time out
3 of the last 10 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.00 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

15/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Rated 90 or lower
12/15 – Carried 8-10 or more
12/15 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
11/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

3.40 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Won over a mile before
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won a Group One race before
12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Having their first run of the season
10/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
4/15 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
3/15 – Won by a mare
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
0/15 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 3/1
No winner aged 7 or older since 1958

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/11 – Had won over 1m or further before
8/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Draw 1,2 or 3
7/11 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 – US-bred winners
3/11 – Trained John Gosden
2/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 – Godolphin-owned winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/15 – Won only once before
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 4 winners)
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Rated between 91-96
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by a mare/filly
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st July 2017

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh -  As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Saturday 1st July 2017

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RUK)

2.05 - Betway Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
12/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
12/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/15 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Won by the Kremlin House stable
Bateel (8/11) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

2.40 – Betway Empress Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Never raced at the track before
13/15 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
13/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
9/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/15 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
7/15 – Came from stall 4 or lower
5/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by the Hannon yard
Nations Alexandar (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

3.15 - Betway Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

13/15 – Won over 7f before
13/15 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
13/15 – Had at least 1 run already that season
11/15 – Aged 5 or younger
10/15 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/15 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
4/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 6 runnings)
Breton Rock (11/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - Betfred ‘Celebrating 50 Years Of Success’ Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
11/15 – Had won between 1-4 times before
10/15 – Rated 90 or less
10/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/15 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/15- Ran at York last time out
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/15 – Won last time out
Amazour (6/1) won the race 12 months ago
11 of the last 13 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-15

2.25 - Betfred TV Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Unplaced last time out
13/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Yet to win a Group race
9/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/15 – Aged 5 or older
7/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/15 – Won last time out
Markaz (9/2) won the race 12 months ago
Danzeno won the race in 2014 and was third 12 months ago
9 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)

3.00 - Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y ITV

One previous running
Dannyday (7/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Marco Botti has a 25% record at the track with his older horses
Trainer Keith Dalgleish is only 3 from 53 (6%) with his older horses at the track Jockey
Paul Hanagan has a 20% strike-rate riding older horses at the track Jockey
Paul Mulrennan has just a 5% record riding older horses at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves has just a 4% record riding older horses at the track

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3.30 – Stobart Rail Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

14/15  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
14/15 – Finished fifth or better last time out
13/15 – Came from stall 14 or lower
13/15 – Aged 6 or younger
11/15 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
11/15 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/15 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/15 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/15 – Won by a National Hunt yard
4/15 – Won their previous race
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 9 winners)
3/15 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/15 – Trained by Donald McCain
1/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 14/1
Note: The 2016 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

5.20 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
12/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/14 – Won a Group race before
12/14 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Failed to win their last race
10/14 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
10/14 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
8/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 11 times in all)
7/14 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/14 – Previous Group 1 winners
2/14 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 4/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Oct 2016

Sat TV Trends: 8th Oct 2016 - More LIVE C4 action this Saturday for day two of the Newmarket Cesarewitch Meeting. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

The C4 cameras are also at York to take in four races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.  As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

tvtrends-300x73
 

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

2.20 - Dubai Business Internships´ Fund Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Just 2 previous runnings
Trainer Karl Burke won the race in 2014
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 20% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 1 from 41 (2%) with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Bell is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Jamie Spencer is only 1 from 49 (2%) riding 2 year-olds at the track

 

2.55 - Dubai 100 Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

11/11 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/11 – Had raced at least twice before
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Irish-trained winners

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

3.30 - Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

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13/14 – Raced at least 3 times that season
13/14 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
12/14 – Placed in their last race
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (5) last time out
9/14 – Won at least 3 times previously
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Won a Group race previously
8/14 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
8/14 – Won by an Irish-based stable
6/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/14 – Favourites that won
5/14 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/14 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/14 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/14 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
4/14 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/14 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/14 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 8 of the last 10 runnings

 

4.10 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4

13/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
11/14 – Had run within the last 2 months
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/14 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/14 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/14 – Aged 5 or older
9/14 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had run at the track before
8/14 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/14 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
7/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
7/14 – The first three home returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Won by a NH trainer
3/14 – Winning mares
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 25/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

2.35 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

Just three previous running
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2015
Chancery won the race in 2015
2 of the last 3 winners were 3 year-olds
Sir Michael Stoute has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds here
Richard Fahey is just 7 from 130 (5%) with his 3 year-olds here
Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 27 (5%) with his 4+year-olds here
No winning favourite yet

 

3.10 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13– Had raced within the last month
12/13 – Foaled in March or later
12/13 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/13 – Had never raced at York before
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Winners from stall 2
3/13 – Filly winners
3/13 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby


3.45 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won at least 3 races before
12/13 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
12/13 – Had run at York before
12/13 – Had won a race over 6f before
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/13 – Aged 5 or younger
8/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/13 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/13 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/13 – Filly or mare winners

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Check Em Tuesday ran well last time out but this looks quite competitive with the favourite (Ice Alert) winning very easily a week ago. We think he will be difficult to beat, but if our filly handles this surface (she is trying it for the first time) then she would have a small each way chance at a decent price."
Mark Loughnane

04/10/16 1st 8/1

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Sat TV Trends – 1st Oct 2016

Andy Newton takes you through the LIVE C4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle – Did you know that 12 of the last 14 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed? Narrow down the fields and find the best winning profiles!

 

tvtrends-300x73
 

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

 

2.30 - Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

14/14 - Finished fourth or better last time out
13/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/14 – Had 5 or more runs that season
9/14 – Had raced at the course before (4 won)
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/14 – Favourites to win
6/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/14 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/14 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
Trainer James Fanshawe (Star Storm) won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.05 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over 6f previously
8/8 – Officially rated 100 or higher
7/8 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/8 – Won 4 or more times previously
7/8 – Had run within the last 30 days
6/8 – Aged 4 or older
6/8 – Raced 6 or more times that season
4/8 – Won their previous race
3/8 – Returned a double-figure price
2/8 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
1/8 – Favourites to win
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 4 of the last 5 runnings (2 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 4 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 11/1

 

3.40 – totescoop6 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

13/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/14 – Had raced within the last 30 days
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/14 – Raced 7 or more times that season
7/14 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
5/14 – Raced at Ayr last time out
3/14 – Favourites to win
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Won their previous race
0/14 – Filly or mare winners
Buckstay won the race in 2015
Intransigent won the race in 2014
Heavens Guest won the race in 2013
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
4 of the last 8 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 3
3 of the last 8 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 16/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

4.15 - Ascot And Camra 10th Anniversary Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Won over 5f before
10/12 – Rated 101 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Had won between 3-7 times before
8/12 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/12 – Winning favourites
1/12 – Won last time out
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
The Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.15 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 17% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 3 from 41 (7%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.50 - British Stallions Supporting EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Mile Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Luca Cumani is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 38 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 0 from 25 with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

3.25 - British Stallions EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Middle Distance Handicap Cl2 1m2f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Luca Cumani is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 38 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 0 from 25 with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

4.00 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m CH4

10/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/12 – Previous Group winners
10/12 – Won between 3-5 times before
9/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Rated between 113 and 119
7/12 – Previous Group One winners
5/12 – Aged 3 years-old
5/12 – French-trained winners
5/12 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/12 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/12 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/12 – Won last time out
Horses from stall 1 have won 3 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

3.15 - totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

11/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
9/14 – Foaled in March or later
9/14 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
9/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had won over 6f before
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/14 – Filly winners
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Next Sensation: In great form - has been much more like himslef the last two starts. Unlucky to fall when looking the winner last time. We've given him plenty of time since and seems as good as ever at home - hopefully he can make amends today and hopeful of a big run."
Michael Scudamore

26/09/16 1st 7/4

"GUNS OF LEROS  should have a great chance today. Probably the toughest race he has been in yet but he looks to be improving to me (won his last two) and as long as he can cope with the undulations of this track then I expect him to be there at the finish. "
Gary Moore

25/09/16 1st 5/1

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Sat TV Trends – 24th Sept 2016

The C4 cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday (24th Sept) to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus they are also at Market Rasen to take in two jumps races as the NH season starts to get going and as always Andy Newton’s on hand with all the key trends and stats……

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends(C4/RUK)

 

2.20 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m CH4

14/14 – Had won one or two races before
13/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Had won over 7f or further before
13/14 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
11/14 - Either US or Irish bred
11/14 – Had run within the last month
10/14 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/14 – Had only won over 7f before
8/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.55 - Connolly´s Red Mills Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

14/14 – Finished in the top two last time out
14/14 – Had won over 6f before
13/14 – Foaled in Feb or March
13/14 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had 3 or more previous runs
11/14 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/14 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
7/14 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/14 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/14 – Trained by the Hannon yard

 

3.30 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/13 – Won over 6f previously
12/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/13 – Won their last race
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/13 – Had run 3 or more times previously
11/13 – Won at least twice previously
10/13 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
9/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
9/13 – Foaled in either Feb or March
8/13 – Favourites placed
5/13 – Ran at Deauville last time out
4/13 – Favourites that won
3/13 – Won by an Irish-based stable
2/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/13 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004 & 2011

 

4.10 - Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4

14/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Won 3 or more times in their career
11/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/14 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
11/14 – Carried 9-3 or less
10/14 – Won from a double-figure stall
10/14 – Finished 5th or better last time out
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
10/14 – Rated between 90-100
10/14 – Had 5 or more runs that season
9/14 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
8/14 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/14 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Won their last race
8 of the last 10 winners had run in the last 8 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 20.5/1

 

4.45 - British Stallion Studs EBF "Jersey Lily" Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f

12/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/12 – Won no more than twice before
11/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Won 1-2 times before
9/12 – Carried 8-8 or more
9/12 – Unplaced favourites
9/12 – Foaled in March
8/12 – Failed to win last time out
8/12 – Had won over 7f before
7/12 – Officially rated between 75-79
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
2/12 – Won by Godolphin

 

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.35 - 188Bet.co.uk Prelude Hurdle Handicap Class 1 (Listed Race) Cl1 2m148y CH4

8/8 – Had won over 2m before
7/8 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Unplaced favourites
6/8 – Aged either 5 or 8 years-old
6/8 – Had won between 2-4 times before
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Carried 10-10 or less
4/8 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/8 – Had raced at Market Rasen before
3/8 – Rated 122-125 (inc)
3/8 – Aged 5 years-old
3/8 – Ran on the flat last time out
2/8 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/8 – Aged 8 years-old
0/8 – Winning favourites

 

3.10 – 188Bet Prelude Chase Handicap Class 1 (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f89y CH4

12/12 – Aged 9 or younger
12/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (fences)
10/12 – Had won between 2 and 4 times over fences
9/12 – Finished 4th or better in their last race
9/12 – Had raced within the last 10 weeks
9/12 – Carried 10-9 or more
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Rated between 123 and 125
5/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/12 – Had run at Market Rasen before
4/12 – Ran a Newton Abbot last time out
4/12 – Trained by Peter Bowen
0/12 – Winning favourites

 

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Wistari Rocks - Nice horse and we head here fit and well. First run back since August 15, but is well at home and this doesn't look the best of race. Gets in here with a fair weight and Alan takes off another 5lbs. That said, a horse that is hard to have a lot of faith in, but would certainly not be surprised to see go well."
Tim Vaughan

18/09/16 1st 14/1

"East Indies - Best of these on the flat, but a completely different ball game today over hurdles.  If he settles well enough, should have a good chance though and has schooled well at home."
Gary Moore

18/09/16 1st 11/4

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Sat TV Trends: 27th Aug 2016

This weekend’s LIVE C4 action is spread across three meetings with Goodwood the flagship fixture with four races that include the Group Two Celebration Mile, while with three more races at Newmarket, plus one at Beverley then we’ve eight races to enjoy.
As always we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle to help you narrow down the fields and pinpoint the best past profiles of
winners.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 


Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

2.45 – Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

13/13 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
12/13 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
12/13 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/13 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had won just once before
10/13 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Won over 7f before
6/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Trained by John Gosden
2/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
ALL of the last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3


3.20 -Revival Stakes (Handicap) 7f CH4

12/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/13 – Had won 3 or more times before
11/13 – Had won over 7f before
10/13 – Finished 5th or better last time out
10/13 – Aged 4 or older
10/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/13 – Previous course and distance winners
4/13 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1


3.55 – Lewis Badges 1832 March Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

11/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 – Had raced at Goodwood before (4 won)
9/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 6 or younger
8/11 – Rated between 107-115
8/11 – Had won at least 3 times before
7/11 – Carried 9-7 or more
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
5/11 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – US bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2


4.30 – Doom Bar Celebration Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m CH4

12/13 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or shorter
11/13 – Had won over a mile before
10/13 – Priced 7/1 or less
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/13 – Had run at Goodwood before (3 CD winners)
8/13 – Previous Group winners
7/13 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 8 times in all)
3/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/13 – Won by a mare
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (won  times in all)
2/13 – Won last time out
ALL of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1,2 or 6
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

Your first 30 days for just £1


Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


3.00 - Eddie Stobart Industrial Sector Handicap Cl3 7f CH4

10/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/10 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Winners from stall 9 or lower
9/10 – Rated between 82-90
9/10 – Had won over at least 7f before
9/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
7/10 – Had run at Newmarket before
7/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Won from stall 6 (2) or 9 (3)
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by the Hills yard
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1


3.35 – Fly Stobart Air Handicap Cl2 1m5f CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
4/4 – Carried 9-1 or more
4/4 – Returned 15/2 or bigger in the betting
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
0/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 9/1


4.10 - Stobart Club And Shop Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Aged 4 or older
10/11 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had won over 6f before
9/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Rated 106+
8/11 – Won between 3-6 (inc) times before
8/11 – Came from stalls 5-11 (inc)
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Had raced at Newmarket before (July)
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – US bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Dean Ivory
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1


Beverley Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


3.10 - totescoop6 Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

11/12 – Unplaced last time out
11/12 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/12 – Had won over 5f before
10/12 – Won 3 or more times before
9/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Run at Beverley before (4 won)
4/12 – Aged 3 years-old
3/12 – Ridden by Tom Eaves
2/12 – Trained by Ian Semple
2/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/12 – Winning favourites
No winner from a double-figure draw in the last 10 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The horse from stall 9 has been placed in 6 of the last 10 runnings
Maarek won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Calvados Spirit - He is working well at home, he has had a wind operation since his last run. I hope tonight we see the running that he shows at home as I think he is very good horse."
William Muir

23/08/16 1st 9/2

"We are trying For Shia and Lula at Chelmsford for the first time and believe that the fast surface will suit him. We think he is in super form at home so if he can get his own way in front then we are hopeful that he can get involved today dropping in grade again. Each-way chance."
Mark Loughnane

23/08/16 2nd 7/1

"Sakhee's Jem - The Richard Fahey-trained favourite might be hard to beat but we'll head hopeful of giving that horse a fright. Our runner is still to win a race, but has been running well of late and has a lot of experience now - unlike most of the others. Has had a fair break with last run coming back in November, but seems better for it and a bit stronger now. Gone well fresh in the past so hoping so a nice return run with Luke a plus in the saddle."
Gay Kelleway

23/08/16 1st 8/1

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Sat TV Trends: 13th Aug 2016

Another busy Saturday ahead and as always we've got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE C4 action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday…

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.15 – Rigeoens Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

5 previous renewals
5/5 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
4/5 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
2/5 – Ridden by Luke Morris
0/5 – Winning favourites


2.45 – Pantile Stud Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f CH4

12/13 – Failed to win last time out
11/13 – Aged 5 or older
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
11/13 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
10/13 – Had 3 or more career wins
10/13 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
10/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
3/13 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
George Bowen won the race in 2015
Crew Cut win the race in 2013
Time Medicean won the race in 2011


3.20 – CJ Murfitt Ltd (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/14 – Failed to win last time out
12/14 – Only had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
11/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Came from stall 10 or lower
10/14 – Winning distance ½ length or less
9/14 – Rated 82 to 88 inc
9/14 – Carried 8-13 or less
9/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
7/14 – Had run at the track before (4 won)
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Winners won by a neck
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by David Barron
2/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 3 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1


NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.30 – Denford Stud Washington Singer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the first three last time out
11/14 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (4) foal
11/14 – Had won a race before
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/14 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
8/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Horses from stall 3 placed
7/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won on their racecourse debut
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4


3.05 – Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y CH4

14/14 – Had won at least twice in their career
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Officially rated 111 or higher
10/14 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/14 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
10/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Aged 3-5 years-old
8/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
8/14 – Ran at Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Had already won a Group race
6/14 – Had won at Newbury before
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/14 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1


3.40 – Betfred TV Ladies Day Handicap Cl3 7f CH4

13/14 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
12/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
12/14 – Had won at least twice during their career
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Carried 9-1 or more
9/14 – Previous winners over 7f
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Rated between 95 and 103
7/14 – Drawn in stalls 12, 13, 14 or 15
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Had run at Newbury before
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Won by the Hills yard
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1


4.10 – Betfred Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

13/14 – Had won a Listed (5) or Group (8) race before
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
12/14 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
11/14 – Had won over this 7f trip before
11/14 – Officially rated 110 or more
11/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Winning distance was 1 length or more
8/14 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
6/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1


RIPON Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


3.55 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

12/14 – Previous winners over 6f
11/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/14 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/14 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
8/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/14  - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Ran at either Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/14 – Aged 4 years-old
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by David Nicholls
1/14 – Aged 3 years-old
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8-12 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL winners have returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 11/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Take Cover took this race in 2014 and a close second 12 months ago so no issues on the track and trip. Didn't work out at Ascot last time out as the ground went too soft for him and the draw not ideal. In really good form at home and at this course and on this quicker ground confident of a good run. Tough race, but looks a great e/w price."
David C Griffiths

29/07/16 1st 8/1

"Palmerston - Won well for us two runs back beating a fair yardstick in Fort Jefferson. That was over a mile so the return to this trip after trying 1m2f last time is a big plus. Yes, 5lbs higher than that win and higher grade but the horse is very well at home and I think we head here with a great each-way chance at a nice price. We've a few out today, but this one looks the value e/w bet from all my runners."
Mick Appleby

23/07/16 1st 20/1 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th June 2016

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse - running on their AW track for the first time, while the C4 cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh - as always Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

tvtrends-300x73


 

 


Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4 and RUK)


2.45 - Tangent Office Furniture Supporting The AHT Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

14/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
11/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
9/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/14 – Won by the Kremlin House stable
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

3.20 - Cambridge Magazine Supporting The AHT Empress Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

14/14 – Never raced at the track before
13/14 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
12/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
8/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/14 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
7/14 – Came from stall 4 or lower
5/14 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by the Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

3.55 - John Sunley Memorial Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4

12/14 – Won over 7f before
12/14 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
12/14 – Had at least 1 run already that season
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/14 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
4/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 5 runnings)
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
Markaz won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2


Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)


2.30 - Betfred Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

14/14 – Had won over 6f before
13/14 – Unplaced last time out
12/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Yet to win a Group race
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/14 – Aged 5 or older
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/14 – Won last time out
Danzeno won the race in 2014 and was third 12 months ago
8 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just won winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings (and only 3 horses placed)

Note: Used to be run on the turf

3.05 - Betfred TV Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

14/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
10/14 – Rated 90 or less
10/14 – Had won between 1-4 times before
9/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/14 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/14- Ran at York last time out
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Won last time out
11 of the last 12 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
6 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 10-15

Note: Used to be run on the turf

3.40 - Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y CH4

No previous runnings


4.15 – John Smith´s Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y CH4


Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Northumberland Plate Trends

13/14  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
13/14 – Finished fifth or better last time out
12/14 – Came from stall 14 or lower
12/14 – Aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
11/14 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/14 – Carried 8-12 or less
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/14 – Won by a National Hunt yard
4/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 8 years)
3/14 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/14 – Trained by Donald McCain
1/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 14/1

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

No horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985
Five of the last 10 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Eight winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

Note: Used to be run on the turf


Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)


5.20 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f


Recent Irish Derby Winners

2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

13/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
11/13 – Won by an Irish-based yard
11/13 – Won a Group race before
11/13 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Failed to win their last race
9/13 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/13 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
8/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 11 times in all)
6/13 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (2 winners, Australia & Camelot)
3/13 – Previous Group 1 winners
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/13 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 4/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Coiste Bodhar - Will certainly want the ground to ease further as I feel he is best suited to good-to-soft, or softer. Didn't handle the track at Newcastle and it wasn't soft enough at Nottingham when he was only beaten 3 1/2 lengths. Well at home and if the ground is on the slow side he would have a decent e/w claim."
Scott Dixon
14/06/16 1st 16/1

"Sarabi - Ran a solid race over 6f last time out after a break. Looks like she will appreciate the step back down to 5f and the ground is of no concern today. Currently looks good each-way value."
Scott Dixon
14/06/16 2nd 20/1

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 18th July 2015

Another big weekend of LIVE Channel 4 racing – this week from Newmarket, Market Rasen, including their Summer Hurdle and Plate, and Newbury, with the Weatherby’s Super Sprint the feature. We’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

Find those TV winners!

 
Newmarket (C4/RUK)

1.40 - Betway Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
Godolphin won this in 2011& 2013
No winning favourites
3 of the last 4 winners carried 9-7 or more in weight

2.15 - Newsells Park Stud Stakes (Registered as The Aphrodite Stakes) (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

11/12 – Won over at least 1m2f or further
10/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Favourites placed
8/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
7/12 – Won between 1-2 times
6/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/12 - Favourites
3/12 – Raced at Haydock last time out
3/12 – Won their last race
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

Newbury (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Al Basti Equiworld EBF Breeding Winners Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
6/7 – Aged 4 years-old
2/7 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/7 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

2.35 - JLT Stakes (Registered as the Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f6y CH4

9/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Won over 1m2f or further
7/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/11 – Favourites placed
6/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
6/11 – Raced at the track before
6/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Won a Group race before
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Favourites
1/11 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11.5/1

Your first 30 days for just £1

3.10 - Al Basti Equiworld Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y CH4

10/11 – Won over 6f before
8/11 – Won 4 or more times before
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Won a Group race before
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/11 – Favourites
3/11 – Winners from stall 8
3/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/11 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

3.45 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y CH4

10/11 – Won over 5f before
10/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/11 – Won 1-2 times before
7/11 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/11 – Irish bred horses
6/11 – Won by a Feb or March foal
5/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Won by a filly
4/11 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/11 – Winners from stall 1
3/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 19/1

Market Rasen (C4/RUK)

2.55 - Betfred Mobile Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f CH4

12/13 – Ran within the last month
12/13 – Won over at least 2m1f over hurdles
11/13 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/13 – Won 2 or more times already over hurdles
8/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
4/13 – Raced at Market Rasen before
3/13 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

3.30 - Betfred Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y CH4

13/13 – Raced within the last 3 months
12/13 – Won over at least 2m4f before
11/13 – Aged 7 or older
10/13 – Won 2 or more chases before
9/13 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
9/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Raced at Market Rasen before
5/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/13 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/13 – Raced at Stratford last time out
4/13 – Ridden by AP McCoy
3/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Raced at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
It’s A Gimme won the race 12 months ago

 

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