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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 27th Sept 2019

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.
As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Friday 27th September 2019

 

1.50 – Tasleet British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

8/8 – Had won over 1m before
8/8 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Won between 1-3 times before
6/8 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
5/8 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/8 – Aged 3 years-old
3/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Trained by John Gosden
0/8 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

 

2.25 – Princess Royal Muhaarar Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

13/14 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
11/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/14 – Aged 3 years-old
8/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

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3.00 – Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time
13/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Won by a March or April born foal
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won over 7f before
7/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/15 – Won by the Hills yard
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 3 winners)
2/15 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/15 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
1/15 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
8 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.35 – Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

14/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/15 – Officially rated between 111-118
12/15 – Had won a Group race before
11/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Had won over 1m before
10/15 – Won 4 or less times before
10/15 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
10/15 – Failed to win last time out
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
6/15 – Aged 4 years-old
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 4 runnings)
2/15 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
The last 4 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 6 (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 11th July 2019)

The three-day 2019 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (11th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Princess of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 9 of the last 12 Princess Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day One,
Thursday 11th July 2019

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

17/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
15/17 – Failed to win last time out
15/17 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
12/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
10/17 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/17 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/17 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
10/17 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 8 runnings)
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Wells Farhh Go (7/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 - Arqana July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Placed in their last run
16/17 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
14/17 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
13/17 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/17 – Won their last race
10/17 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
6/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 5 winners in the race
Advertise (11/10) won the race in 2018

3.00 – Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Didn’t win last time out
13/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won no more than 3 times before
12/13 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/13 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
4/13 – Ridden by David Probert
0/13 – Winning favourites
Foxtrot Lady (8/1) won the race in 2018

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Arqana Racing Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/17 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 9 of last 12)
15/17 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
14/17 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/17 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
11/17 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/17 – Favourites that were placed
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Best Solution (6/1) won the race in 2018

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Oct 2015

Decent cards at Newmarket and York this Saturday, including the Cesarewitch Handicap – we’ve got the key trends  for all the LIVE TV races.

Find those TV winners!

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends and Stats (RUK/C4)

2.00 - Dubai European Breeders´ Fund Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Only 1 previous running
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 2 year-olds here
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 27 with his 2 year-olds here
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute is just 3 from 41 with his 2 year-olds here

2.35 - Vision Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

10/10 – Won over at least 7f
10/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
9/10 – Raced at least twice before
8/10 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/10 – Won their last race
7/10 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Favourites
1/10 – Irish-trained winners
The Charles Hills yard won the race 12 months ago
Kingston Hill won this race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1
Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

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3.10 - Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Ran at least 3 times that season
12/13 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
11/13 – Placed last time out
10/13 – Won over 7f
9/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Ran at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (4) last time out
8/13 – Won at least 3 times
8/13 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Won a Group race previously
7/13 – Won by an Irish-based stable
6/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/13 – Priced 20/1 or bigger
5/13 – Placed horses from stall 2
5/13 – Favourites
5/13 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/13 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
4/13 – Placed in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/13 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

3.50 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4

12/13 – Aged 4 or older
11/13 – Won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
11/13 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/13 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/13 – Placed 4th or better last time out
9/13 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/13 – Aged 5 or older
8/13 – Won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/13 – Won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/13 – Raced at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
7/13 – The first three home returned double-figure odds
7/13 – Had run at the track before
6/13 – Won by a NH trainer
3/13 – Winning mares
2/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 24.5/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

YORK Horse Racing Stats (RUK/C4)

1.45 - TitanBet.co.uk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m208y CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
Richard Fahey (2), John Gosden and Mark Johnston have won the race
4/4 – Unplaced in their last race
4/4 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/4 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
3/4 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
3/4 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Won 2 or 3 times before
3/4 – Rated between 93-98
2/4 – USA bred
2/4 – Winners from stall 4
2/4 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/4 – Favourites
Mark Johnston is just 5 from 81 with his 3 year-olds at the track
William Haggas has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at York

2.15 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

Just two previous running
Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Charlie Appleby (Godolphin) won the race in 2014
No winning favourite yet
Mark Johnston is just 3 from 75 with his older horses at the track
Andrew Balding is only 3 from 45 with his older horses here

2.50 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

12/12– Raced within the last month
11/12 – Foaled in March or later
11/12 – Won between 1 and 3 times
10/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Won over 6f before
9/12 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/12 – Never raced at York before
7/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Unplaced in their last race
6/12 – Raced at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/12 – Winners from stall 2
4/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Filly winners
2/12 – Placed horses (both 2nd) from stall 1
2/12 – Trained by Tim Easterby
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/2

3.25 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4
12/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Won at least 3 races
11/12 – Ran 6 or more times that season
11/12 – Ran at York before
11/12 – Won a race over 6f before
8/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/12 – Aged 5 or younger
8/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/12 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/12 – Rated between 92 and 98
7/12 – Placed in the top 4 in their last race
7/12 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
7/12 – Favourites unplaced
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/13 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 12/1

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Sat TV Racing Trends – 11th July 2015

A massive day ahead this Saturday with LIVE C4 action from Newmarket, York & Ascot - as always we've got all the races covered from a trends angle........

Find those TV winners!

Newmarket (C4/RUK)


2.00 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/13 – Won over 7f or further previously
10/13 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
10/13 – Had 2 or more runs that season
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
7/13 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
2/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

2.35 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Placed in their last race
12/13 – Won over at least 6f previously
10/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
10/13 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
9/13 – Won their latest race
9/13 – Won by either a March or April foal
8/13 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
6/13 – Favourites unplaced
4/13 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/13 – Winners from stall 3
4/13 – Trained my Richard Hannon
3/13 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
4/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.10 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

13/13 – Won over 7f previously
12/13 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/13 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
9/13 – Priced at double-figure price in the market
8/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 – Priced between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
7/13 – Winners from stall 15 or higher
7/13 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
6/13 – Placed last time out
6/13 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

3.45 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
11/13 – Won over 6f previously
10/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
10/13 – Had between 1-3 previous races that season
9/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/13 – Raced in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee last time out
8/13 – Placed in their last race
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
2/13 – Irish-trained winners
1/13 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 9/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968

York (C4/RUK)


1.45 - John Smith´s Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

11/11 – Priced 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
10/11 – Won over at least 1m previously
9/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/11 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
8/11 – Rated 90 or less
7/11 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
7/11 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
7/11 – Placed in their last race
6/11 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Won by a USA-bred horse
3/11 – Ran at York previously
3/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

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2.20 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 5 or younger
9/9 – Raced between 1 and 3 times that season
8/9 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
7/9 – Failed to win last time out
5/9 – Aged 4 years-old
5/9 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
5/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Raced at York previously
4/9 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
4/9 – Luca Cumani horses that finished in the top three
3/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/9 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1

2.55 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
Take Cover won the race 12 months ago
4/4 – Aged 4 or older

3.25 – 56th John Smith´s Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Won over 1m1f or further previously
11/13 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
10/13 – Raced between 3-5 times that season
9/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/13 – Top 3 finish in their last race
8/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Raced at York previously
6/13 – Officially rated between 99-105
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
3/13 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/13 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out

2/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 10.6/1

Ascot (C4/ATR)

2.10 - Totescoop6 Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

Just 2 previous running
Discussiontofollow won the race in 2014
2/2 – Priced 10/1 or bigger
2/2 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight

2.45 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
6/8 – Won over a mile previously
6/8 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
6/8 – Ran at Ascot before (1 won)
5/8 – Won at least 4 times previously
5/8 – Favourites placed
5/8 – Previous Group race winner
4/8 – Aged 4 years-old
3/8 – Won a Group 1 previously
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Favourites
2/8 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th May 2015

Another busy weekend of LIVE C4 action with the cameras heading to Haydock, York and Newmarket. We’ve got all the races covered from at trends angle.

Find those TV winners!

Haydock (C4/RUK)

2.00 - 888sport Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f200y CH4

12/12 – Won over at least 10f previously
10/12 – Aged 4 years-old
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Rated 92 or higher
8/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
8/12 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
8/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Raced at Haydock previously
3/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Ridden by Neil Callan
2/12 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.35 - Timeform Jury Stakes (Registered As The John of Gaunt Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4

12/12 – Rated 107 or higher
11/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Won over 7f previously
10/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/12 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
8/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Won at least 4 times previously
4/12 – Raced at the track previously
3/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
3/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Aged 9 years-old
Penitent won this 12 months ago
Amarillo won this in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

3.10 - 888sport Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

6 previous runnings
5/6 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
5/6 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
5/6 – Raced at the track previously
5/6 – Won over 5f previously
5/6 – Won at least 7 times previously
4/6 – Unplaced in their last race
4/6 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
3/6 – Aged 3 years-old
2/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 15/2

3.45 - 888sport Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Won over 6f previously
10/11 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won between 1-3 times previously
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – From stall 5 or higher
7/11 – Favourites
5/11 – Came from stall 8 or 9
2/11 – Ran at York last time
2/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

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Newmarket (C4/RUK)


2.45 - winner.co.uk Fairway Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f CH4

No previous runnings
Richard Hannon has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds here
Clive Brittain is 0 from 48 with his 3 year-olds here
Sir Michael Stoute is only 3 from 66 with his 3 year-olds here
Barry Hills is only 1 from 25 with his 3 year-olds here

3.20 - winner.co.uk Handicap Cl2 1m4f CH4

No previous runnings
Frankie Dettori is just 2 from 47 riding older horses here
James Doyle is only 1 from 42 riding older horses here
Mark Johnston has a +£78 level stakes profit with his older horses here

York (RUK/C4)

1.45 - titanbet.co.uk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

1 previous running David O’Meara won the race 12 months ago
Andrew Balding is just 2 from 34 with his older horses here
Tim Easterby is just 10 from 169 with his older horses here
Samantha Bell has a 23% record riding older horses here

2.20 - Stowe Family Law LLP Grand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

8/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Won over at least 1m4f previously
7/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/9 – Rated 105 or higher
6/9 – Came from stall 1-4 (inc)
6/9 – Placed 4th or better last time out
6/9 – Won 3 or more times before
6/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
2/9 – Favourites
Clever Cookie won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
The 2006 & 2007 runnings were run at Musselburgh

2.55 - titanbet.co.uk Spring Sprint (Handicap Stakes) Cl2 5f CH4

10/10 – Won over 5f previously
10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
9/10 – Winning distance: 1 length or less
7/10 – Won at least 4 times previously
7/10 – Carried 8-11 or less in weight
7/10 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
7/10 – Aged 5 years-old
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
6/10 – Rated between 82-93
6/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Raced at Chester last time out
2/10 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/10 – Trained by Dandy Nicholls
1/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Favourites
Kingsgate Choice won this in 2013
Note: 2005 to 2007 was staged at Musselburgh

 

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"Shades of Silver: Steps up to 2m for the first time - If he gets the extra distance then I think he's got a big chance."
Michael Scudamore 19/05/15 1st 9/2

"Honour Promise: Stepping up in trip today will suit her and the softer ground should also suit her. Each way chance."
William Muir 19/05/15 1st 20/1

"Felice: Out of the handicap - showed minor promise last time at Southwell and feel the drop of 1f should suit today."
Scott Dixon 18/05/15 1st 25/1

"Misu Moneypenny: Has worked on course a couple of times and gone well with an older Southwell performer last time out. The two market leaders justify their price but we have a very solid chance of an upset if she performs to the same level on the track as her course and distance home work."
Scott Dixon 18/05/15 1st 10/1 (from 20/1)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th May 2015

Find those TV winners!

The return of TV Trends!

Another huge weekend of LIVE C4 racing as the cameras head Newbury for their Lockinge Stakes, plus they are also at Newmarket for three races - As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends…..

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Newbury (RUK/C4)

2.00 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

12/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
11/12 –  From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Won over at least 1m4f previously
9/12 – Drawn 4 or lower
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Raced at Newbury previously
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Won at Listed or Group class previously
7/12 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Won between 1-3 times previously
3/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
3/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Favourites
1/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.35 - Toronado Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y CH4

9/10 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/10 – Won over 6f previously
9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
7/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Drawn in stall 3
3/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Your first 30 days for just £1

3.10 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y CH4

12/12 – Won between 1-2 times previously
11/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Rated 90 or lower
10/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
9/12 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
7/12 – Won their last race
7/12 – Won over 1m2f before
7/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Ran at Newbury before (2 won)
2/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Ridden by Steve Drowne
2/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

3.45 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

12/12 – Won over a mile previously
11/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Won at least 4 times previously
10/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Won a Group One race before
9/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Aged 4 years-old
8/12 – Favourites
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
3/12 – Won by a mare
3/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/12 – Won by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute (Has won the race 7 times in all)
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
0/12 – No winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
No winner aged 7 or older since 1958

Newmarket (RUK/C4)

2.15 - Home of Racing Handicap Cl2 1m6f CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/8 – Won over at least 1m4f before
7/8 – Rated 95 or lower
7/8 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/8 – Won at least twice before
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/8 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/8 – Raced at Newmarket before
5/8 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
5/8 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/8 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
4/8 – Favourites
3/8 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/8 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9.5/1

2.50 - King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Won only once before
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/12 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
9/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Ran at Newmarket (Rowley) before
7/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

3.25 - Junction 17 Cars Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Won between 1-3 times previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Won over 6f before
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
8/12 – Rated between 91-96
8/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/12 – Carried 8-12 or more
7/12 – Ran at Newmarket previously
6/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Won by a mare/filly
2/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays

Trainers Quotes

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"Bennachie: Won well last time out - escapes a penalty for that and has come out of that race very well. We actually come here a pound better off too as Alan can claim his full 7lbs here. Conditions ideal and as long as he can cope with the step up in trip and take a quick return I'd hope he can follow-up here tonight."
Tim Vaughan 12/05/15 1st 7/4

"Avenue Des Champs: Will like the distance and being back on turf. Nice second last time out at Kempton - running on well. Undulating track a slight unknown but if handling it should go well."
Jane Chapple-Hyam 12/05/15 1st 6/1

"Threes Grand: Just a supremely well-handicapped horse if turning up. She got her tongue over the bit when taken off the bridle last time after travelling like the winner. Has run well over CD and should be winning soon."
Scott Dixon 12/05/15 3rd 12/1

"GUN SHY was very disappointing last time out on a freezing cold day when he last ran. Better conditions today for him and I hope he can put that poor run behind him."
Gary Moore 11/05/15 1st 4/1

 

Sunday TV Trends: 3rd May 2015

Another jam-packed day of racing this Sunday as the  Qipco 1,000 Guineas takes centre stage - the C4 cameras take in four LIVE races from Newmarket, plus one at Salisbury.

Newmarket (C4/RUK)

1.50 – Qipco Supporting British Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f CH4

11/11 – Had won at least twice before
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Finished in the top 5 in their last race
10/11 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/11 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
8/11 – Had won between 2-4 times before
5/11  Having their first run of the season
4/11 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

2.25 – Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f CH4

11/11 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/11 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Had won over 1m before
9/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/11 – Had run at the course before
7/11 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/11 – Aged 4 years-old
6/11 – Won this on first run of the season
5/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Ran at Kempton last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Seb Sanders
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3.00 – Havana Gold Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

11/11 – Had won between 2-5 times before
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/11 – Had won over 6f before
9/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
5/11 – Returned between 10/1-12/1 in the betting
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

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3.40 – Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (The 201st Running) (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m CH4

12/13 – Placed last time out
11/13 – Had won a Group race before
10/13 – Had won between 2-3 times before
9/13 – Won their previous race
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
8/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Yet to win a race over a mile
8/13 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price
7/13 – Favourites were unplaced
6/13 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
6/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/13 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
4/13 – Won by a US bred horse
4/13 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/13 – Previous Group One winners
3/13 – Won by the favourite
3/13 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
1/13 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia)
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 9.5/1
1,000 Guineas Facts
Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained two winners , Virginia Waters (1995) and Homecoming Queen (2012)

Salisbury (C4/RUK)

2.05 - Betfred "City Bowl" Handicap Cl3 1m6f21y CH4

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/11 – Had won between 1-3 times on the flat
9/11 – Carried 8-12 or more
6/11 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
6/11 – Aged 4 years-old
5/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/11 – Ridden by Seb Sanders
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

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Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 19 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Arsenale: Upped in trip and down in grade give her a chance of improving on her last run. Still lightly-raced and should be more to come. I expect the Southwell surface to suit and we also help her with Ali's 5lb claim. Should go well."
Mick Appleby

27/04/15 1st 11/4

"Marciano - Returns to the AW here after not settling at Pontefract last time out. Yet to win over this far but his run here two starts ago gives him a big chance and Jane gets on well with him. Got the in-form Al Muheer to beat but we come here with high hopes."
Mick Appleby

27/04/15 1st 13/8

Sat TV Trends: 2nd May 2015

We've the 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket this Saturday, plus three other LIVE C4 races, while the cameras also head to Goodwood for two more LIVE contests - We've got all the races covered from a trends angle here.......

Newmarket (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Makfi Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4¬

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
10/10 – Won at least twice previously
10/10 – Won over at least a mile previously
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
8/10 – Priced between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
8/10 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
7/10 – Rated between 90 and 95
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Having their first run of the season
4/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Came from stall 9
1/10 - Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 9/1

2.30 - Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f CH4

11/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/12 – Had won over 5f before¬¬
11/12 – Won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/12 – Rated between 108 and 114
9/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Raced at Newmarket previously
8/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
5/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/12 – Aged 5 years-old
Sole Power has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 8/1

3.05 – Dunaden At Overbury Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f CH4

12/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Won between 3-5 times before
10/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
10/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
8/12 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Officially Rated 112 or higher
7/12 – Favourites
6/12 – Won a Group race previously
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
5/12 – Having first run of the season
4/12 – Priced 7/4 in the betting
4/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Won by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Trained by Andre Fabre
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 10/3

3.45 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m CH4

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13/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
11/13 – Won a Group race previously
11/13 – Won between 2-5 times previously
11/13 – Won over at least 7f previously
10/13 – Won their last race
10/13 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
8/13 – Won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
8/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Having their first run of the season
7/13 – Won by an Irish-based yard
7/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Won over a mile previously
4/13 – Favourites
4/13 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
4/13 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/13 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts
- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008 & 2012
- Kieren Fallon rode the winner in 2000, 2001, 2005, 2006 & 2014

Goodwood (C4/RUK)

2.15 – Betfred TV EBF Stallions Daisy Warwick Stakes (Fillies´ & Mares) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
1/4 – Favourites
Trainer Luca Cumani has a 23% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 20% strike-rate with his older horses at the track

2.50 – Betfred "Goals Galore Extra" (Handicap) Cl2 7f

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners carried between 8-10 and 8-12 in weight
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race last year
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 24 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Sean Levey has a 23% record riding older horses at the track

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 19 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Arsenale: Upped in trip and down in grade give her a chance of improving on her last run. Still lightly-raced and should be more to come. I expect the Southwell surface to suit and we also help her with Ali's 5lb claim. Should go well."
Mick Appleby

27/04/15 1st 11/4

"Marciano - Returns to the AW here after not settling at Pontefract last time out. Yet to win over this far but his run here two starts ago gives him a big chance and Jane gets on well with him. Got the in-form Al Muheer to beat but we come here with high hopes."
Mick Appleby

27/04/15 1st 13/8

Sat TV Trends: 14th July

Can Society Rock Land The July Cup?

Andy Newton is on hand will all the key trends and stats for the LIVE C4 races at York & Newmarket this Saturday.... Read more

Newmarket Trends: Day One

Andy Newton is on hand with the key trends and trainer/jockey stats ahead of the opening day (Thurs) of the Newmarket July Meeting..... Read more