Tag Archive for: newmarket trends

2026 Craven Stakes Trends

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The Craven Stakes is the feature contest on the three-day Newmarket April Meeting and is a Group Three race run over 1 mile.

Being for 3 year-old colts and geldings the race is often seen as an early season trial for the 2,000 Guineas, run the following month – although, the last horse to win both races was Haafhd in 2004. The 2018 winner - Masar - went onto win the Epsom Derby.

Here at GeeGeez, we looks back at recent winners and gives you the key stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year staged on Thursday 16th April.

Recent Craven Stakes Winners

2025 - FIELD OF GOLD (100/30 fav)
2024 - HAATEM (17/2)
2023 - INDESTRUCTIBLE (8/1)
2022 - NATIVE TRAIL (1/4 fav)
2021 - MASTER OF THE SEAS (11/4 fav)
2020 – No Race (Covid)
2019 – SKARDU (3/1)
2018 – MASAR (7/2)
2017 – EMINENT (8/1)
2016 – STORMY ANTARCTIC (9/2)
2015 – KOOL COMPANY (14/1)
2014 – TOORMORE (Evs fav)
2013 – TORONADO (8/11 fav)
2012 –TRUMPET MAJOR (9/2)
2011 – NATIVE KHAN (8/11 fav)
2010 – ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL (10/11 fav)
2009 – DELEGATOR (4/6 fav)
2008 - TWICE OVER (9/4)
2007 – ADAGIO (5/4 fav)
2006 – KILLYBEGS (9/2)
2005 – DEMOCRATIC DEFICIT (12/1)
2004 – HAAFHD (10/3)
2003 – HURRICANE ALAN (9/1)

Craven Stakes Betting Trends

20/22 – Having their first run of the season
17/22 – Rated 109 or higher
17/22 – Yet to win over a mile
16/22 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
16/22 – Had won over 7f before
16/22 – Had won no more than twice before
14/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
13/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (5 won)
10/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (5 of the last 14) (9 Hannon Jr and Snr wins in total)
3/22 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of the last 7)
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
1/22 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas (Haafhd)
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
12 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5 or less
4 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Trainer John Gosden has only won the race twice (2025 & 1993)
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 4/1

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2026 Nell Gwyn Stakes Trends

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The Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes is run on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile course in April over a distance of 7f. The Group 3 contest is for 3 year-old fillies only and was first run in 1961 – the race is also often seen as a trial race for the 1,000 Guineas run the following month at the same track - the last horses to win both races were Speciosa in 2006 and Cachet in 2022.

Did you know? 17 of the last 23 Nell Gwyn Stakes winners finished in the top 3 last time out.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you all the key stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 15th April.

Recent Nell Gywn Stakes Winners

2025 - ZANZOUN (9/1)
2024 - PRETTY CRYSTAL (18/1)
2023 - MAMMAS GIRL (16/1)
2022 - CACHET (15/8 fav)
2021 - SACRED (6/1)
2020 – No Race
2019 – QABALA (10/3 fav)
2018 – SOLILOQUY (4/1)
2017 – DABAN (12/1)
2016 – NATHRA (5/4 fav)
2015 – OSAILA (4/1)
2014 – SANDIVA (7/2 fav)
2013 – HOT SNAP (10/1)
2012 – ESENTEPE (28/1)
2011 – BAREFOOT LADY (14/1)
2010 – MUSIC SHOW (6/1)
2009 – FANTASIA (4/5 fav)
2008 – INFALLIBLE (7/2 fav)
2007 – SCARLET RUNNER (15/2)
2006 – SPECIOSA (9/1)
2005 – KAREN’S CAPER (15/2)
2004 – SILCA’S GIFT (25/1)
2003 – KHULOOD (15/8 fav)

Nell Gywn Stakes Betting Trends and Stats

21/22 – Were having their first run of the season
19/22 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
16/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/22 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
15/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
11/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Had won over 7f before
11/22 – Won last time out
9/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by John Gosden (6 wins in total)
3/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 in total for the yard)
2/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick
2/22 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 11
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 9/1

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2024 Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trends

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The bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes is the feature contest on the opening day of the Newmarket Craven Meeting and is a Group Three race run over 1m1f on Wednesday 17th April 2024.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats ahead of the 2024 renewal as the Charlie Appleby yard and jockey William Buick look to win the race for a third year in-a-row.

Recent Earl Of Sefton Stakes Winners

2023 - Ottoman Fleet 6/4 fav
2022 - Master Of The Seas 5/4 fav
2021 - My Oberon 7/1
2020 - Zabeel Prince 9/2 cfav
2019 - Forest Rnger 8/1
2018 - Calderon 10/1
2017 - Mahsoob 100/30

Earl Of Sefton Stakes Betting Trends

16/16 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
15/16 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/16 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
13/16 – Had raced at the track before (7 won)
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Won at least 3 times in the past
11/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
9/16 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
3/16 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
4/16 – Ridden by William Buick
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

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