Tag Archive for: newmarket trends

2024 Craven Stakes Trends

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The bet365 Craven Stakes is the feature contest on the three-day Newmarket April Meeting and is a Group Three race run over 1 mile.

Being for 3 year-old colts and geldings the race is often seen as an early season trial for the 2,000 Guineas, run the following month – although, the last horse to win both races was Haafhd in 2004. The 2018 winner - Masar - went onto win the Epsom Derby.

Here at GeeGeez, we looks back at recent winners and gives you the key stats ahead of the 2024 renewal – this year staged on Thursday 18th April.

Recent Craven Stakes Winners

2023 - INDESTRUCTIBLE (8/1)
2022 - NATIVE TRAIL (1/4 fav)
2021 - MASTER OF THE SEAS (11/4 fav)
2020 – No Race (Covid)
2019 – SKARDU (3/1)
2018 – MASAR (7/2)
2017 – EMINENT (8/1)
2016 – STORMY ANTARCTIC (9/2)
2015 – KOOL COMPANY (14/1)
2014 – TOORMORE (Evs fav)
2013 – TORONADO (8/11 fav)
2012 –TRUMPET MAJOR (9/2)
2011 – NATIVE KHAN (8/11 fav)
2010 – ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL (10/11 fav)
2009 – DELEGATOR (4/6 fav)
2008 - TWICE OVER (9/4)
2007 – ADAGIO (5/4 fav)
2006 – KILLYBEGS (9/2)
2005 – DEMOCRATIC DEFICIT (12/1)
2004 – HAAFHD (10/3)
2003 – HURRICANE ALAN (9/1)

Craven Stakes Betting Trends

18/20 – Having their first run of the season
16/20 – Rated 110 or higher
15/20 – Yet to win over a mile
15/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
15/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
14/20 – Had won over 7f before
14/20 – Had won no more than twice before
12/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
11/20 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (5 won)
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 of the last 12)
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of the last 5)
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
1/20 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 5 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or less
4 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Trainer John Gosden has only won the race once (1993)
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 9/2

 

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2024 Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trends

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The bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes is the feature contest on the opening day of the Newmarket Craven Meeting and is a Group Three race run over 1m1f on Wednesday 17th April 2024.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats ahead of the 2024 renewal as the Charlie Appleby yard and jockey William Buick look to win the race for a third year in-a-row.

Recent Earl Of Sefton Stakes Winners

2023 - Ottoman Fleet 6/4 fav
2022 - Master Of The Seas 5/4 fav
2021 - My Oberon 7/1
2020 - Zabeel Prince 9/2 cfav
2019 - Forest Rnger 8/1
2018 - Calderon 10/1
2017 - Mahsoob 100/30

Earl Of Sefton Stakes Betting Trends

16/16 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
15/16 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/16 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
13/16 – Had raced at the track before (7 won)
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Won at least 3 times in the past
11/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
9/16 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
3/16 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
4/16 – Ridden by William Buick
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

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2024 Nell Gwyn Stakes Trends

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The Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes is run on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile course in April over a distance of 7f. The Group 3 contest is for 3 year-old fillies only and was first run in 1961 – the race is also often seen as a trial race for the 1,000 Guineas run the following month at the same track - the last horses to win both races were Speciosa in 2006 and Cachet in 2022.

Did you know? 19 of the last 0 winners were having their first runs of the season

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you all the key stats ahead of the 2024 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 17th April.

Recent Nell Gywn Stakes Winners

2023 - MAMMAS GIRL (16/1)
2022 - CACHET (15/8 fav)
2021 - SACRED (6/1)
2020 – No Race
2019 – QABALA (10/3 fav)
2018 – SOLILOQUY (4/1)
2017 – DABAN (12/1)
2016 – NATHRA (5/4 fav)
2015 – OSAILA (4/1)
2014 – SANDIVA (7/2 fav)
2013 – HOT SNAP (10/1)
2012 – ESENTEPE (28/1)
2011 – BAREFOOT LADY (14/1)
2010 – MUSIC SHOW (6/1)
2009 – FANTASIA (4/5 fav)
2008 – INFALLIBLE (7/2 fav)
2007 – SCARLET RUNNER (15/2)
2006 – SPECIOSA (9/1)
2005 – KAREN’S CAPER (15/2)
2004 – SILCA’S GIFT (25/1)
2003 – KHULOOD (15/8 fav)

Nell Gywn Stakes Betting Trends and Stats

19/20 – Were having their first run of the season
17/20 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
15/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/20 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
10/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/20 – Had won over 7f before
10/20 – Won last time out
9/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
7/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
3/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 in total for the yard)
2/20 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/20 – Ridden by William Buick
2/20 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

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July Cup Trends

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The July Cup is a Group One contest is run over 6f at Newmarket racecourse and is one of the highlights for the best sprinters all around the world each year.

Run on the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting the race is worth around £225,000 to the winner.

We take a look back at the recent winners and give you some key trends ahead of the 2020 renewal, this year run on Saturday 10th July.

Did you know - 18 of the last 19 July Cup winners were aged 5 or younger?

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2020 – Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011      Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010      Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009      Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008      Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007      Sakhee's Secret                (9/2)
2006      Les Arcs (10/1)
2005      Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004      Frizzante (14/1)
2003      Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002      Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

18/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/19 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
14/19 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
11/19 – Placed last time out
9/19 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 3 winners)
2/19 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/19 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)



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