Tag Archive for: paddy power gold cup trends

2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

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Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November each year.

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

In 2023 we saw the Paul Nicholls-trained Stage Star win the race with jockey Harry Cobden surviving a last-fence blunder to give the yard their third Paddy Power.

We take a look at the 2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle - this year run on Saturday 16th November.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2023 - Stage Star (4/1 fav)
2022 - GA Law (5/1)
2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)
2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)
2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

21/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
21/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
21/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
18/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 11st or less
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Had won at Cheltenham before
14/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/22 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (3) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
10/22 – Aged 7 years-old
9/22 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/22 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
24 of the last 25 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 13 placed horses (three winners, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 47 runners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

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2024 Irish Gold Cup Trends

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Staged at Leopardstown racecourse the Paddy Power Irish Gold Cup is run over a distance of 3m 1/2f, with 17 fences to be tackled.

First run in 1987, the contest now another recognised trial for the Cheltenham Gold Cup run a month later with Jodami (1993), Imperial Call (1996) and Sizing John (2017) the only horses to take both races in the same season. The 2013, Sir Des Champs, went onto finish runner-up in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup, while the last horse win both the Irish Gold Cup and the Cheltenham Gold Cup in the same campaign was Sizing John in 2017.

Leading Irish trainer, Willie Mullins, is always feared as he’s sent out 12 of the last 24 winners, including 3 of the last 5 renewals, while UK raiders have taken 2 of the last 16 runnings with popular greys The Listener (2008) and 2012 Grand National hero, Neptune Collonges (2009).

However, the other main Irish yards of Gordon Elliott (2 wins), despite winning it in 2020 and 2022 and Henry de Bromhead (no wins) are yet to really stamp their mark on this prize the way Willie Mulins has.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you all the key stats to take into the 2024 renewal – this year run on Saturday 3rd February.

Recent Irish Gold Cup Winners

2023 – GALOPIN DES CHAMPS (30/100 fav)
2022 – CONFLATED (18/1)
2021 - KEMBOY (11/4)
2020 - DELTA WORK (5/2)
2019 - BELLSHILL (2/1)
2018 - EDWULF (33/1)
2017 - SIZING JOHN (100/30)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (20/1)
2015 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (4/1)
2014 – LAST INSTALMENT (8/1)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (11/8)
2012 – QUEL ESPRIT (5/4 fav)
2011 – KEMPES (5/1)
2010 – JONCOL (9/4 fav)
2009 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/13 fav)
2008 – THE LISTENER (2/1 fav)
2007 – BEEF OR SALMON (11/4)
2006 – BEEF OR SALMON  (2/5 fav)
2005 – RULE SUPREME (11/2)
2004 – FLORIDA PEARL (5/1)
2003 – BEEF OR SALMON (Evs fav)

Irish Gold Cup Betting Trends

21/21 – Had run at Leopardstown over fences before
20/21 – Last ran was 6 weeks or less
18/21 – Had won over at least 3m before in their career (any code)
17/21– Aged 9 or younger
16/21 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
16/21 – Had won between 3-5 times over fences (rules) before
15/21 – Ran in the Savills Chase (Leopardstown) last time out
15/21 – Placed favourites
15/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Gold Cup (1 winner, Sizing John 2017)
13/21 – Irish-bred
13/21 – Had won over fences at Leopardstown before
13/21 – Rated 160 or higher
13/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/21 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
8/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins (12 wins in total)
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/21 – Won by a UK-based trainer
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/2

 

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Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

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Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November (13th-15th Nov 2020).

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners. In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

While last year (2019) the Kerry Lee-trained Happy Diva landed the honours under jockey Richard Patrick - she'll be looking to become the first back-to-back winner since Bradbury Star, who won the race in 1993 and 1994.

Did you know - 11 of the last 17 Paddy Power Gold Cup winners were trained by Jonjo O'Neill, Paul Nicholls, Nigel Twiston-Davies or the Pipe yard?

Here at GeeGeez we take a look at the 2020 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle – this year run on Saturday 14th November.

 

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

18/18 – Aged 9 or younger (last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975)
18/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
17/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
17/18 – Won by a UK-based trainer
14/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Carried 11st or less
12/18 – Had won at Cheltenham before
12/18 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
9/18 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/18 – Aged 7 years-old
8/18 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
8/18 – Placed favourites
5/18 – Won their last race
4/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/18 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 39 runners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

 

 

 

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