2025 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Two (Weds 18th June)
More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2025 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 17th to Sat 21st June 2025) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.
Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day two on Wednesday 18th June 2025.
Royal Ascot Trends Day Two – Wednesday 18th June 2025
2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV
Queen Mary Recent Winners
2024 – Leovanno (22/1)
2023 – Crimson Advocate (9/1)
2022 – Dramatised (5/2 fav)
2021 – Quick Suzy (8/1)
2020 – Campanelle (9/2)
2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)
Queen Mary Stakes Trends
22/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
22/23 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
19/23 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
19/23 – Won their previous race
16/23 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
16/23 – Placed favourites
9/23 – Won from non UK-based yards
8/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price
5/23 – Trained in the US
4/23 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 10 runnings)
2/23 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 12+
5 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 20+
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 10+
Trainer Karl Burke has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race
3.05 - Queen's Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m6f ITV
Queen's Vase Recent Winners
2024 – Illinois (7/4 fav)
2023 – Gregory (Evs fav)
2022 – Eldar Eldarov (5/2 fav)
2021 – Kemari (15/2)
2020 – Santiago (10/3)
2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1)
2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)
Queen's Vase Key Trends
20/22 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/22 – Placed last time out
14/22 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
13/22 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
13/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
8/22 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/22 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
5/22 - Trained by the Johnston yard
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 8 of the last 18 runnings (4 wins)
18 of the last 19 winners came from a single-figure stall
7 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 7 or 8
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 8
3.40 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV
Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners
2024 – Running Lion (6/1)
2023 – Rogue Millennium (10/1)
2022 – Saffron Beach (5/2 jfav)
2021 – Indie Angel (22/1)
2020 – Nazeef (10/3)
2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)
Duke of Cambridge Trends
20/21 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
19/21 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
18/21 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/21 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
13/21 – Favourites that were placed
13/21 – Had run at Ascot before
7/21 – Had won at Ascot before
7/21 – Returned a double-figure price
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/21 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
5/21 – Ran at Epsom last time out
5/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 13 and 3 of last 5 runnings)
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of last 13)
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of last 13)
2/21 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2 French-trained winners since 2016
Only 6 placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 21 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race
4.20 - Prince of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV
Prince of Wales's Stakes Recent Winners
2024 – Auguste Rodin (13/8 fav)
2023 – Mostahdaf (10/1)
2022 – State Of Rest (5/1)
2021 – Love (11/10 fav)
2020 – Lord North (5/1)
2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1)
2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 - Grandera (4/1)
Prince of Wales's Stakes Trends
23/23 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
22/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
22/23 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
19/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
19/23 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
16/23 – Were previous Group 1 winners
16/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had run at Ascot before
12/23 – Won their last race
12/23 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
8/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 of the last 13) (5 in total)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
2/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (5 wins in total)
3 of the last 17 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse
Ryan Moore has ridden 3 winners since 2017
No winner aged 7+ since the race was reintroduced in 1968
5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV
Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners
2024 – Wild Tiger (11/2 jfav)
2023 – Jimi Hendrix (22/1)
2022 – Dark Shift (13/2)
2021 – Real World (18/1)
2020 – Dark Vision (15/2)
2019 – Afaak (20/1)
2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)
Royal Hunt Cup Trends
20/23 – Had won over at least a mile before
20/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/23 – Carried 9-1 or less
16/23 – Unplaced favourites
16/23 – Returned a double-figure price
14/23 – Had run at Ascot before
14/23 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 11 of the last 15 runnings)
12/23 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
7/23 – Won their last race
3/23 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (3 of the last 15)
2/23 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/23 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/23 – Won by trainer Charles Hills (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years (the first 6 home in 2024 were ALL double-figure stalls)
15 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 16 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race
5.35 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV
4 previous runnings
No winning favourite yet
All four past winners aged 4
All four winners drawn between 8-21
All four winners returned a double figure price
Villanova Queen (25/1) won this race in 2023
Rising Star (40/1) won this race in 2022
Trainer Ralph Beckett won the race in 2024 (Doha)
Trainer Mrs John Harrington won this race in 2023
Trainer Marco Botti won this race in 2022
6.10 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4
Windsor Castle Recent Winners
2024 – Ain’t Nobody (5/1)
2023 – Big Evs (20/1)
2022 – Little Big Bear (6/5 fav)
2021 – Chipotle (22/1)
2020 – Tactical (7/2 fav)
2019 – Southern Hills (7/1)
2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)
Windsor Castle Trends
23/23 – Had at least 1 previous outing
22/23 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
19/23 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
17/23 – Had won over 5f before
17/23 – Placed last time out
17/23 – Had never run at Ascot before
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
12/23 – Unplaced favourites
11/23 – Won their previous race
9/23 – Won by a Feb foal
5/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 10)
Just 2 horses placed from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
12 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall
Trainer Kevin Ryan has won 2 of the last 13
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