Racing Insights, Saturday 19/08/23
Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.
HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.
My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...
...and they have generated a stack of qualifiers for me to consider...
14-day form...
30-day form...
1-year form...
Course 5-year form...
...in addition to our selection of daily 'free' races...
- 3.10 Newmarket
- 4.00 Curragh
- 4.05 Newbury
- 4.35 Curragh
- 4.55 Newmarket
- 5.50 Tramore
The Owen/Cobden partnership has been flying over the last year and their sole runner on Saturday is up against one of the McCain/Hughes runners and that partnership has been excellent on that track for many a year now, so let's see how Too Friendly and Finisk River might get on in the 3.20 Perth, a 7-runner, Class 2, 3yo+ handicap hurdle over a right-handed two miles on good ground...
Top-weight Too Friendly, handicap debutant Liverpool Knight and course and distance winner Well Planted all come here off the back of LTO successes in the last four weeks. Too Friendly has two wins and a second from his last three, Liverpool Knight is on a hat-trick and only Earth Company (who hasn't completed 3 of his last 4) & Dexter are winless in seven.
Despite being winless in seven, Earth Company is up one class here on his debut for Patrick Neville, as are Finisk River and Well Planted, whilst the hat-trick seeking, handicap debutant Liverpool Knight is up two steps.
The bottom two on the card, Earth Company and Dexter are both tongue-tied for the first time and both makes debuts in new headgear : a hood and cheekpieces respectively, whilst both are ridden by claimers. Earth Company might also need a run after a 103-day absence, as all his rivals have raced in the past four weeks.
At this point, there's little going on in Earth Company's favour and I'm already sure I won't be backing him, even if Instant Expert says he has won at this trip and has scored on good ground...
There's not huge chunks of data to consider here, but it does highlight the inadequate results for Castel Gandolfo on good ground and at Class 2, whilst it does also say that Too Friendly's better form has come on different going (good to soft). Normally we'd then look at place stats, but they just seem to muddy the water...
...as based on that, virtually all of them have enough to make the frame, whilst from a pace perspective their chances of doing so are greatly increased by racing prominently or even leading...
...and the same can be said to a slightly lesser extent about the winners of those races. which is advantage Too Friendly, based on the fields recent performances...
Summary
Nice and quick today and a fairly easy decision for me to suggest Too Friendly as the one to beat.
The trainer/jockey combo have 6 wins and 3 runner-ups together from 11 races over the last year, the horse is in great (121) form and gets the trip readily. He's got the best pace profile of the seven runners and the only blot is his weaker record on good ground than he has on slightly softer, but that's probably why he's the 5/2 second favourite in the early market (4pm and only Hills open) rather than heading the field.
Liverpool Knight has that 'honour' at 9/4 and whlst he's in great form too, he's up two classes here and this will far tougher than the stroll around he had last time out. That said, he's sure to be there or thereabouts.