Tag Archive for: rehearsal chase free tips and trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 2nd Dec 2023

Another massive horse racing Saturday ahead with the Coral Gold Cup (former Ladbrokes Trophy Chase and Hennessy Gold Cup) – plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk, we've got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

Did you know? 19 of the last 21 Coral Gold Cup winners were aged 8 or younger

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.40 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

7 previous runnings
All of the last 7 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
5 of the last 7 winners carried 11st 3lbs or more in weight
4 of the last 7 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
3 of the last 7 winners were aged 6 years-old
2 of the last 7 winners trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 7 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Dan Skelton and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past too
2 winning favourites (joint) in the last 7 years
3 of the last 4 winners aged 7 years-old

2.15 - Coral Bet Bundles Intermediate Handicap (Listed Race) (A Limited Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
15/17 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
13/17 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
12/17 – Irish, French or German bred
12/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/17 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had raced at Newbury before
8/17 – Aged 5 years-old
7/17 – Officially rated between 126-134
7/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 16 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

2.50 – Coral Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV

19/21 – Aged 8 or younger
19/21 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/21 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
17/21 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
14/21 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/21 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
14/21 – Had a previous run that season
14/21 – Rated between 140 and 151
13/21 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
13/21 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
12/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Won last time out
10/21 – Ran at either Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 11)
2/21 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 7)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
12 of the last 18 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (32 runnings) there have been 15 winners (47%) aged 7 years-old

 

3.25 – Coral Get Closer To The Action Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

19/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
12/21 – Officially rated between 126-136
12/21 – French bred
11/21 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
11/21 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
11/21 – Placed in their last race
11/21 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/21 – Unplaced favourites
9/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/21 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/21 – Trained by Venetia Williams
11 of the last 17 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.55 – BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

22/22 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
19/22 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
19/22 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
18/22 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
18/22 – Placed favourites
17/22 – Officially rated 151 or higher
14/22 – Won their last race
12/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/22 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/22 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
7/22 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (7 of last 15)
6/22 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/22 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/22 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/22 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 9)
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 11/2

 

3.05 – BetMGM Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

18/19 – Didn’t win their last race
16/19 – Irish bred
16/19 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
14/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
14/19 – Unplaced last time out
12/19 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/19 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Aged 8 years-old
4/19 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/19 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
9 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or older
L'Homme Presse (9/4 fav) won the race in 2022
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

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