Tag Archive for: Rob Hornby

Hornby looking to Alcohol Free to spark Lockinge celebration

Rob Hornby hopes his stock can continue to rise as he prepares to take the ride on Alcohol Free in the Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes at Newbury on Saturday.

The filly enjoyed a fantastic campaign last year, taking the Group Three Fred Darling on debut before going on to land a pair of Group One prizes in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot and the Sussex Stakes at Glorious Goodwood.

Her final run of the campaign was an eighth-placed effort behind Baaeed in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, after which regular rider Oisin Murphy was suspended and trainer Andrew Balding allocated the ride to Hornby.

Alcohol Free made her four-year-old debut in the Group Two bet365 Mile at Sandown in late April, a race in which she finished third behind Sir Michael Stoute’s Lights On in a run Hornby expects will leave the filly fitter and more finely tuned for her Newbury outing.

“We thought that for her first run of the year we’d make sure we did it the right way round, she might have looked a little bit keen on television but she doesn’t ride as bad as she looks,” he said.

Jockey Rob Hornby
Jockey Rob Hornby (Tim Goode/PA)

“We always thought she’d come on for the run, she wasn’t quite there in her coat. It would have been nice to have gone and won at Sandown with her being a dual Group One winner but it was always going to be a starting block for her – she’s definitely going to come on for the run.”

Alcohol Free will encounter Baaeed once again in the Lockinge, with the William Haggas-trained colt the runaway favourite as he bids to maintain his flawless record.

Excluding the favourite, however, the field are not too distant on ratings and the race could be an open affair should Baaeed underperform for any reason.

“Obviously Baaeed is the standout in the race and I’ve got quite a nice draw next to him,” Hornby said.

“We’ll keep it uncomplicated, just get her relaxed in the first couple of furlongs and then ride our race from there. I’ve been riding her plenty at home and she’s certainly come on a lot from Sandown and that’s encouraging.

Alcohol Free winning the Coronation Stakes under Oisin Murphy
Alcohol Free winning the Coronation Stakes under Oisin Murphy (Steven Paston/PA)

“Take Baaeed out and it looks quite open really. Baaeed is rock solid on form and ratings but if he isn’t quite there on the day, then it’s going to be a really exciting race to look forward to – let’s just hope my filly can run a big race.”

Having enjoyed a first Group One winner when landing the Prix Royal-Oak aboard Scope last season, Hornby’s career is on an upwards trajectory and the ride on a top-class filly like Alcohol Free could bring more success at the highest level.

“It’s hugely exciting, I rode her on her second start at Salisbury and then she went on to all her Group One success,” he said.

“To have an opportunity to get back on her is really exciting. I’m wanting to build my career after my first Group One winner and you’re always looking for the next one and the next big horse. An opportunity like this is just one you want to take with both hands.

“It’ll be nice to get her back on track and hopefully get her winning again. She’s going to have a busy year at all the big festivals and I hope we can look forward to a lot of success with her.”

:: The Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes is part of the Qipco British Champions Series. For more information go to britishchampionsseries.com

Nashwa goes on trial for big-race targets at Newbury

John and Thady Gosden have a strong hand in the Haras De Bouquetot Fillies’ Trial Stakes at Newbury as their exciting filly Nashwa puts her Cazoo Oaks aspirations to the test under Hollie Doyle in the 10-furlong Listed contest.

The daughter of Frankel is a general 12-1 chance in the Oaks market following an impressive six-and-a-half-length win at Haydock last month.

And with the Clarehaven team already having the top of the betting covered with Musidora winner Emily Upjohn, they could have a real stranglehold on the Epsom Classic if Nashwa impresses on Saturday in her first attempt at a mile and a quarter.

As well as having an entry for Epsom, the Imad Al Sagar-owned three-year-old also figures among the list of possibles for the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot, and Thady Gosden believes this weekend will tell the team plenty about where they head next with the talented filly.

“She won well on reappearance at Haydock over the mile. It’s obviously a step up in grade for her, but she has come on for the run and we’ve been really happy with her at home,” he said.

“Obviously we’ll know where we are after the race in terms of where we’re heading, whether up to a mile and a half or stay at a mile and a quarter.

“She’s a very likeable filly, who is always trying to please. She has a good mind and tries her heart out, like all Frankel’s seem to.”

Nashwa is joined in the line-up by stablemate Bouquet and her joint-trainer is optimistic a line can put through her disappointing end to last season in the Fillies’ Mile.

He continued: “The Fillies’ Mile was a big jump in class for her at the end of last year, but she’s done well over the winter and she’ll appreciate the step up in trip. We’ll see how she gets on.”

Scope is a favourite horse of Rob Hornby's
Scope is a favourite horse of Rob Hornby’s (Steven Paston/PA)

Elsewhere on the high-class card, Scope bids to back up his French Group One success as he makes his seasonal debut in the Al Rayan Stakes.

The Group Three contest, commonly known as the Aston Park Stakes, has attracted a select field of six, with Ralph Beckett’s representative out to frank the form that saw him win the Prix Royal-Oak at ParisLongchamp when last seen in October.

That win came on very soft ground over half a furlong short of two miles and underfoot conditions are expected to be much quicker over a mile and a half.

Sixth in the St Leger last season, Scope is on a hat-trick after taking the Listed Noel Murless at Ascot prior to his victory in Paris, and jockey Rob Hornby is looking forward to renewing his partnership with the four-year-old.

He said: “I’m delighted to be getting back on board him, he’s been a bit of a superstar regarding my career. He gave me my first Group One win and that was a huge thing for me. He’s a horse who’s been fantastic, though he’s never really got the rub of the green, I think.

“In the St Leger he was a little bit slowly away. For an inexperienced horse, the day and the occasion might have got to him a little bit. It was a big crowd that day and he got a little bit worked up in the stalls which is very uncharacteristic of him.

“He just missed the break slightly and for a horse whose stamina is key, the last thing you want is to be making up ground when the race is quickening away from you.

Rob Hornby looking forward to renewing his partnership with Scope
Rob Hornby looking forward to renewing his partnership with Scope (Mike Egerton/PA)

“I was delighted to see a drop of rain (earlier in the week) – that will be perfect for him.

“I’ve managed to have a few sits on him in the mornings and he feels great. I sat on him about 10 days ago and I said to Ralph that I think he’s there, he’s fit, so I’m really excited to see where we are with him.”

The Roger Varian-trained Eshaada is another Group One winner who makes the first start of her four-year-old campaign, having taken the British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes at Ascot in October over a similar trip.

Sandown’s Gordon Richards Stakes runner-up Foxes Tales represents Andrew Balding, Newmarket Listed winner Without A Fight (Simon and Ed Crisford) and Qatar Group One scorer Outbox (Archie Watson) provide plenty of depth, with Ilaraab completing the field.

William Haggas hopes last season’s St Simon Stakes winner will strip fitter than when fourth to Max Vega on his seasonal bow in the John Porter over course and distance.

Ilaraab (left) in winning action at York
Ilaraab (left) in winning action at York (Alan Crowhurst/PA)

“Ilaraab will be much better for the race, but then it is a much stronger race than the one he ran in before,” said Haggas.

“It will be much more of a test, but he is much tighter for that first run and I would expect to see improvement.”

Richard Hannon would appear to have a leading chance with Ehraz, who takes on eight rivals in the Listed BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes.

Jim Crowley’s mount was well supported upon his seasonal return at Ascot in the Commonwealth Cup Trail last month, but had to settle for third behind Go Bears Go and Hierarchy, with the latter set to reoppose.

Hannon feels he may not have been fully wound up for his first run since August and said: “I thought he looked like he travelled extremely well at Ascot and he didn’t quite finish his race.

“Maybe it was because it was his first run back for a long time and hopefully, he’ll finish off better this time.”

Rob Hornby relishing Derby chance with Westover

Rob Hornby is excited at the prospect of linking up with Westover in the Cazoo Derby following his victory in the bet365 Classic Trial at Sandown.

The son of Frankel overcame signs of greenness to hold off David Simcock’s fast-finishing Cash, with handler Ralph Beckett stating recently the strapping three-year-old will now head straight for the Epsom Classic, for which he is a best price of 25-1.

Hornby has been aboard Westover for three of his four racecourse appearances and is confident there is still plenty of improvement to be seen from the Juddmonte-owned colt.

He said: “He’s very exciting. We always thought a lot of him as a two-year-old and he did very well to win first time out being such a big horse.

“We always thought he’d improve a great deal and be a better three-year-old and to go and do that on his first run of the year, when we hadn’t really asked to many questions at home, was really good.

“There was always going to be a great deal of improvement from the run and to go and be able to win and put in a performance like that was really taking.”

Beckett provided Hornby with his first Group One win when he partnered Scope to land the Prix Royal-Oak at Longchamp in October and Westover could continue a blossoming partnership between the trainer and jockey at Epsom, with the pair going within a neck of victory in the 1000 Guineas through Prosperous Voyage.

Epsom Downs Spring Meeting – Epsom Downs Racecourse
Rob Hornby is excited by the prospect of linking up with Westover in the Derby (John Walton/PA)

“For myself it is really exciting and it’s great for the whole yard, there’s a real buzz about the place. The horses are running really well and hopefully it bodes well for an exciting season,” continued Hornby.

“The link up with Ralph has been really fruitful for the past three years now and I’ve always been attached with Andrew Balding since my apprenticeship. Obviously there has become a few more opportunities there this year with Oisin’s (Murphy) absence, so it will be nice to grab as many of those opportunities while I can and keep pushing forwards.”

Westover clings on for Classic Trial triumph

Hot favourite Goldspur could finish only third as Westover came out on top in a thrilling climax to the bet365 Classic Trial at Sandown.

Charlie Appleby’s subsequent Derby hero Adayar finished second in the Group Three contest 12 months ago and his stablemate Goldspur was all the rage to go one better as the 6-5 favourite.

A previous winner at the track and third in a Group One in France on his final juvenile start, the Dubawi colt attempted to make all the running under William Buick, but gave best late on.

The Ralph Beckett-trained Westover, who also made a winning debut at Sandown before finishing second on his next two starts, was a 5-1 shot in the hands of Rob Hornby and took over the lead in the last-half furlong despite hanging left.

Having been reluctant to go into the starting stalls and spent most of the race at the rear of the field, Jamie Spencer produced Cash with what looked like a winning late run against the far rail but he was a short head down at the line.

Westover races in the Juddmonte silks and Barry Mahon, general manager Ireland and European racing for the owner-breeder, said: “He won here well and likes the track.

“The uphill finish suits him well and he has very good form as a two-year-old. We felt he improved over the winter and today he showed he probably has.

“There was a very bad thunderstorm that morning at Pontefract before the race (when second on his final start last year) and the ground got very loose and it just didn’t suit him 100 per cent. Ryan (Moore) rode him that day and felt that if he had his time again he would do things a little differently.

“He is a good horse. He is by a great stallion (Frankel) and has a good pedigree and hopefully he will continue to improve.

“He is pretty versatile in regards to ground. Good ground or either side would suit, He is a big horse and might not want it very quick, but good, safe ground would be fine for him.

“There is no plan. He is still in the Epsom Derby. We will go away with Prince Khalid’s family and see what they’d like to do.

“Ralph and Prince Khalid’s family will decide if he has another run beforehand. He looked a little green again today, so if there was a race that fitted well into the programme, then I’d say another run might be no harm.

“He is a horse we have always regarded as could be an Epsom horse and today has probably shown he is on the road, so hopefully he can stay in one piece and continue to improve.”

Hornby added: “He could be a Dante horse.”

David Simcock has no plans for Cash
David Simcock has no plans for Cash (John Walton/PA)

David Simcock had no immediate plans for the runner up, adding: “I’m delighted. You don’t know how good they are as we haven’t got too many of those type of horses.

“He has worked well and trained well and worked well with what he has trained with.

“He ran in a maiden that had not worked well at all We hoped he would be a nice horse, and it looks like he is. He finished good and came through the line real strong.

“The fact that he didn’t get a break until late is absolutely irrelevant.”

Alex Merriam, representing Godolphin, said of third-placed Goldspur: “He’s run well and just got beaten by a couple of better horses on the day, simple as that. We’ll see how he comes out of this and then make a plan moving forward.”

Vesela springs surprise in Doncaster’s Gillies Fillies’ Stakes

Ralph Beckett’s Vesela sprang a surprise to take Listed honours at Doncaster in the British EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes.

The Juddmonte three-year-old was the winner of a maiden on the same track as a juvenile, and has since stepped up to black-type class with creditable efforts in this season’s Abingdon, Lyric and Upavon Stakes.

She was only eighth in the Galtres at York last time, but bounced back on Town Moor to prevail by three-quarters of a length at 22-1 – from the staying-on Something Enticing.

Beckett said: “I got it wrong with her really – she got rolled over in the Lyric at York and she ran well in the Upavon at Salisbury.

“We ran her back quickly in the Galtres – which was a mistake. I shouldn’t have done it, but leaving her alone and running her here was a good idea as it turns out.”

Winning jockey Rob Hornby added: “I was just trying to keep her in a rhythm throughout – it was very hard work (on soft ground) out there.

“Not many horses were going to make up a lot of ground. But I was in front too soon – she did well to keep battling all the way to the line, because it was a lonely enough place for her and she stuck at it well.”

The Virgin Bet Handicap went to a second successive 22-1 shot – and another bouncing back from a below-par run, William Haggas’ Boosala.

The four-year-old was 11th of 12 in the Bengough Stakes at Ascot last time, but returned to form as the middle leg of trebles for jockey Tom Marquand and Haggas.

Boosala raced in mid-division and took the lead a furlong from home, before crossing the line a length and a quarter ahead of Young Fire.

“He was against some former Group One horses, but he’s really bounced out of Ascot well,” said Marquand.

“William had him good and ready, and just told me to ride him with patience and stay relaxed so I got him to enjoy it.

“I tried to leave it as late as I could to produce him – you really notice the wind when you’re in behind them and you come out into it. It does hit you.

“It was a really nice performance and it’s nice to have him back on track, because he promised plenty early on.”

Haggas added: “He’s had a few issues and he was too fresh at Ascot – the ground was very soft, and he ran himself into the ground.

“He’s always been a nice horse. He’s had a few issues, but he’s over them now.

“Our enthusiasm for him fell by the wayside after Ascot, but he’s done well today.”

Mick Channon’s Wonderful World was a winning 5-2 favourite in the opening Virgin Bet Nursery Handicap, by a length and a quarter under Marquand – who completed his treble on Haggas’ odds-on chance Hebrides in division two of the Virgin Bet Cock O’The North EBF Maiden Stakes.

Division one of the same race also went to Haggas – with Shadwell debutante Kidwah, at 4-1 under Jim Crowley.

Scope strikes for Beckett and Hornby in Prix Royal-Oak

Scope capped a brilliant weekend in France for Ralph Beckett with the trainer’s second Group One victory in as many days, in the Prix Royal-Oak at ParisLongchamp.

Beckett sent Angel Bleu from his Hampshire yard for a successful raid on the Criterium International at Saint-Cloud on Saturday, and completed his cross-Channel one-two at the highest level as jockey Rob Hornby won his first Group One on his maiden visit to ParisLongchamp.

Scope was continuing the recent trend of three-year-old pre-eminence in this race – also known as the French St Leger, but open to older horses too.

The Teofilo colt was also a third consecutive British-trained winner of the Royal-Oak, following subsequent Gold Cup hero Subjectivist 12 months ago and Technician in 2019.

Hornby sat prominent but bided his time on the 5-1 winner as habitual front-runner Alkuin set the pace, closely attended by Irish hope Zero Ten – who led into the straight.

But as the pack closed, Scope showed fine acceleration as well as stamina for this trip in rain-softened ground, moving to the lead a furlong out and holding off the challenge of Skazino by a length – with another three and a half lengths back to Glycon in third.

Reflecting on his two Group One wins in the space of 24 hours, Beckett said: “I wasn’t expecting it.

“It’s just great, fantastic.”

Scope, sixth in the St Leger at Doncaster last month, was then a Listed winner at Ascot three weeks ago.

Beckett told Sky Sports Racing: “At the beginning of the year, I said ‘I think he might be a Leger horse’ instead of a Derby horse. I didn’t think it was a French Leger – but that’ll do!”

He was always encouraged by Scope’s position, close enough to the pace.

“I was just delighted with where he was, how it was panning out and how well he travelled today – because he’s not an exuberant horse at home or in his races,” he added.

“He only does enough. His mother (Look So, a four-time winner for the yard in the same colours) was the same, and all his sisters were the same.

“I’ve been lucky enough to train the whole family, so you kind of know what he’s going to do before he does it.”

Beckett hopes Scope will improve again next year.

Trainer Ralph Beckett completed a Group One double in France this weekend - with Angel Bleu and Scope
Trainer Ralph Beckett completed a Group One double in France this weekend – with Angel Bleu and Scope (Mike Egerton/PA)

“He’s just got better and better with each run,” he said.

“He had a tough mid-part of the year – nothing really went right for us at home.

“I remember saying before he ran in the Voltigeur (a close fifth at York in August) ‘I’m not sure what’ll happen today’ because we hadn’t been able to get the work into him that I would have liked.

“He’d have run a lot better in the St Leger if he hadn’t blown the start. Then it was a good effort last time in the Noel Murless (at Ascot) and I thought today, beforehand, he looked terrific.

“He’s quite a raw, immature horse. He should develop from three to four – he should get better, (because) he was very backward all through his two-year-old career.

“I can see him getting stronger from three to four – but let’s worry about that in April!”

Hornby will happily do likewise, but can concentrate on this career high point first.

“I’m just ecstatic, delighted, this is why we do it,” said the winning jockey.

“When it pays off on days like today it’s really special.”

All went to plan from the outset, he explained.

Hornby added: “This horse can be quite slowly away sometimes, and I felt in the St Leger he didn’t get a fair crack at things – he was slowly away, and we had to bide our time.

“That doesn’t really suit him. He races quite lazily in the first part of the race but really comes good for you later on, and stamina is the key with him.

“It was a matter of just keeping tabs on the leaders, keeping him interested and then just build through the gears.

“I always knew he’d be hitting the line strongly – (but) he had to dig deep off that elbow. They came at him either side, and he really stuck his neck out.”

Ben Curtis and Rob Hornby sore and bruised but otherwise unscathed

Ben Curtis and Rob Hornby face short spells on the sidelines after escaping serious injury in nasty-looking incident at Wolverhampton on Tuesday.

Hornby was unseated from Villanelle about two furlongs from the finish of the Betway Casino Handicap, while Curtis and his mount Fortultous were brought down.

The two riders were treated on track, with Hornby soon sitting up after his spill. Curtis took longer before he thankfully got to his feet and was able to walk unaided to the ambluance.

His wife Shauna came to collect him, with fellow jockeys Ben Robinson and Cam Hardie taking his car home.

“I spoke to Ben this morning. He’s in good spirits considering. He’s going to hospital for scans, but he feels OK,” said his agent Simon Dodds.

“There’s a bit of stiffness in his neck and he has a sore leg, but he’s very lucky and looking forward to coming back as soon as he’s allowed.

“He’s having precautionary scans at the hospital today, but he feels 100 per cent. Obviously he has a red mark on his medical book so he’ll be out for at least six days. All things considered Ben’s really lucky.

“It was great to see him up and walking about after the fall.”

Hornby is expected to be back in action at the weekend.

His agent Nicky Adams said: “He’s having a couple of days just to recoup. He’s a little bit sore and bruised, but otherwise he’s OK.

“He’ll probably be back at the weekend.”

Kieran O’Neil was handed a 12-day suspension by the stewards for careless riding following an inquiry into the incident.

The stewards found O’Neill had allowed his mount to shift left-handed towards the rail when insufficiently clear of Villanelle. That caused the filly to clip heels, stumble and unseat Hornby resulting in Fortultous being brought down with Curtis unshipped.

Both horses ran loose, none the worse.

Stat of the Day, 24th September 2020

Wednesday's pick was...

6.30 Kempton : Pioneering @ 7/2 BOG 4th at 15/8 (Prominent early, chased leaders, ridden over 2f out, no impression on winner inside final furlong, kept on) : not the result we wanted, but I was definitely right about the price offering value.

Thursday's pick runs in the...

2.05 Pontefract :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Normally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Victory Chime @ 11/4 BOG

...in a 7-runner, Class 3, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m2f on Good/Good to Soft ground worth £7,470 to the winner...


As tends to be the case, the Geegeez Report Suite and interactive racecard provide us with an absolute stack of data, so let's crack on.

Today, I'm going to start with one of the easiest ways into a race : The Shortlist, which looks like this...

...and gives an indication that our horse should be suited by conditions. It's an indication backed by the following about this horse's performance to date. His overall record stands at...

...and includes of note today...

  • 16/28 (57.1%) at 6/1 or shorter
  • 12/24 (50%) in races worth up to £8,000
  • 11/21 (52.4%) during July-October
  • 11/21 (52.4%) in fields of 5-8
  • 9/20 (45%) during 2018-20
  • 9/19 (47.4%) on Good/Good to Soft
  • 6/17 (35.3%) in handicaps
  • and 5/5 (100%) on Good to Soft

Our next port of call is the racecard itself...

And the Geegeez ratings...

Plenty to go at there, of course, so let's take it bit by bit. We've discussed the horse and the Geegeez Ratings are self-explanatory, so let's focus on the trainer/jockey and trainer/course details. The TJ30 record of 5 from 17 is excellent, but isn't a massive surprise if you get into the Geegeez Query Tool, where you can do the following...

...from which, the pair are...

  • 15/47 (31.9%) during June-September
  • 13/36 (36.1%) in races worth up to £8k
  • 11/33 (33.3%) with male runners
  • 9/22 (40.9%) in fields of 4-7 runners
  • 9/18 (50%) at 4/1 and shorter
  • 8/28 (28.6%) on Good to Soft
  • 5/10 (50%) at Class 3
  • and 4/10 (40%) over a 1m2f trip

And finally for today, we'll look at Ralph Beckett's record here at Pontefract. Ralph only sends an average of 5 runners a year to this track and I can only assume it's the 400+ mile round trip that keeps him away, as the ones he sends here do very well, as once again the Geegeez Query Tool is our friend...

...including of note today...

  • 16/28 (57.1%) at 6/1 and shorter
  • 12/24 (50%) in races worth up to £8k
  • 11/21 (52.4%) during July-October
  • 11/21 (52.4%) in fields of 5-8 runners
  • 9/20 (45%) during 2018-20
  • 9/19 (47.4%) on Good/Good to Soft
  • 6/17 (35.3%) in handicaps
  • and 5 from 5 (100%) on Good to Soft

I've spent considerably more time on this today to try to highlight some aspects of the toolkit you might not currently be using as a type of precursor to next week's switch away to a Race of the Day feature, but hopefully you've found it both interesting to read...

...and a justifciation for... a 1pt win bet on Victory Chime @ 11/4 BOG as was still available at 9.00am Thursday, but as always please check your own BOG status (*some firms are not BOG until later in the morning)To see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 2.05 Pontefract

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

Here is today's racecard


Stat of the Day, 5th September 2020

Friday's pick was...

4.50 Ascot : Gin Palace @ 5/1 BOG 6th at 11/2 (Tracked leader, every chance until winner quickened on over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong)

Saturday's pick runs in the...

3.10 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Normally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Recovery Run @ 5/2 BOG

...in a 5-runner, Class 4,  A/W Nursery Handicap for 2yo over 1m on Polytrack worth £4,464 to the winner...


The racecard holds all the clues, as is often the case...

Here we have a 2 yr old colt, who heads the Geegeez Speed Ratings and who seems to be getting better with each run.

Beaten by less than three lengths on debut here at Kempton over 7f and then by a neck at Chelmsford over 7f, staying on well both times, he got off the mark at Sandown LTO 29 days ago when stepping up to today's 1m trip for the first time.

As you can see from the above, trainer Andrew Balding's horse's do well here at Kempton, when either ridden by my distant relative Rob Hornby or when they're making a handicap debut.

The race by race improvement, the Speed Rating and those two stats are more than enough (in my opinion) to warrant the bet today, but let's just have a quick/closer look at those two reports before signing off, starting with...

...the trainer/jockey/course combo, which with handicappers sent off sub-10/1 since 2015 are 7 from 19 (36.8% SR) for 32.77pts (+172.5% ROI) profit, including 7 from 15 (46.7%) for 36.77pts (+245.2%) from runners rested for less than eight weeks....

...whilst Andrew Balding's handicap debutants sent off shorter than 5/1 here at Kempton since the start of 2018 are 5 from 9 (55.6% SR) for 9.91pts (+110.1% ROI) profit, including...

  • 3/4 (75%) for 7.21pts (+180.3%) over 7f/1m
  • 3/4 (75%) for 4.29pts (+107.3%) were placed LTO

...steering me towards... a 1pt win bet on Recovery Run @ 5/2 BOG as was available at 8.30am Saturday, but as always please check your own BOG status (*some firms are not BOG until later in the morning)To see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 3.10 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!