Tag Archive for: royal ascot trends 2024

2024 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Three (Thurs 20th June)

More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2024 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 18th to Sat 22nd June 2024) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day three on Thursday 20th June 2024.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Three – Thursday 20th June 2024

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Valiant Force (150/1)
2022 - The Ridler (50/1)
2021 – Perfect Power (14/1)
2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Trends

21/21 – Had at least 1 previous run
19/21 – Previous winners over 5f
19/21 – Had never raced at Ascot before
18/21 – Had a RPR of 105+
16/21 – Won their previous race
14/21 – Foaled in March or April
12/21 – Favourites placed
11/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/21 – Returned a double-figure (or triple) price
3/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Ran at Windsor last time out
2/21 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 9 winners
Richard Fahey have won 2 of the last 3 runnings
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

3.05 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Desert Hero (18/1)
2022 – Secret State (4/1 jfav)
2021 – Surefire (5/1)
2020 – Hukum (12/1)
2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Trends

20/21 – Never raced at Ascot before
19/21 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
19/21 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
19/21 – Placed last time out
17/21 – Carried 8-13 or less
14/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
12/21 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
11/21 – Favourites placed
11/21 – Won their previous race
6/21 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or the Johnston camp (4)
4/21 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/21 – Godolphin-owned (Charlie Appleby has trained 2 of the last 9)

11 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

3.45 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Warm Heart (13/2)
2022 – Magical Lagoon (11/4)
2021 – Loving Dream (18/1)
2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)
2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Trends

18/21 – Had never raced at Ascot before
17/21 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
16/21 – Placed in their previous race
15/21 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
14/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Placed favourites
11/21 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
8/21 – Won their last race
8/21 – Irish-trained winners (7 of last 12)
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 of last 10)
4/21 - Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (5 in total)
3/21 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse

Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
9 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

4.25 - Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2023 – Courage Mon Ami (15/2)
2022 – Kyprios (13/8 fav)
2021 – Subjectivist (13/2)
2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Ascot Gold Cup Trends

20/22 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
20/22 – Aged 6 or younger
19/22 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
17/22 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
17/22 – Favourites that were placed
17/22 – Won their last race
14/22 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/22 – Won by the favourite
11/22 – Aged 4 years-old (9 of the last 12)
9/22 – Irish-trained winners
8/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/22 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 11)

15 of the last 18 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11 of the last 18 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc) (6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 7 or lower)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2000, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2022, 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019 and 2020
Since 1949 there have been 15 multiple winners of the race

 

5.05 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV4

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Docklands (6/1 fav)
2022 – Thesis (14/1)
2021 – Perotto (18/1)
2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)
2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Trends

19/21 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
17/21 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
17/21 – Placed last time out
14/21 – Failed to win their previous race
14/21 – Carried 8-13 or less
13/21 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/21 – Returned a double-figure price
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
8/21 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
8/21 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
4/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
14 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall (2 of the last 4 winners from stall 19)

 

5.40 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Waipiro (7/1)
2022  - Claymore (7/1)
2021 – Mohaafeth (11/8 fav)
2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)
2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Trends

20/21 – Had not raced at Ascot before
18/21 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
12/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/21 – Unplaced favourites
7/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 - Ran at Epsom last time out
4/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute

No winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
14 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
11 of the last 17 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

6.15 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4

Buckingham Palace Handicap Trends

9/9 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/9 – Unplaced favourites
8/9 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Had won over at least 6f before
7/9 – Had run at Ascot before
7/9 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
7/9 – Rated between 92-98
7/9 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
6/9 – Had 5+ wins before
4/9 – Bred in Ireland
4/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/9 – Ridden by Neil Callan
2/9 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 4)
2/9 – Came from stall 29
2/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/9 – Winning favourites

2023: Witch Hunter (50/1), Richard Hannon, Jamie Spencer

 

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2024 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Two (Weds 19th June)

More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2024 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 18th to Sat 22nd June 2024) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day two on Wednesday 19th June 2024.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Two – Wednesday 19th June 2024

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2023 – Crimson Advocate (9/1)
2022 – Dramatised (5/2 fav)
2021 – Quick Suzy (8/1)
2020 – Campanelle (9/2)
2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

21/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
21/22 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
18/22 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
18/22 – Won their previous race
16/22 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
16/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Won from non UK-based yards
8/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/22 – Returned a double-figure price
5/22 – Trained in the US
4/22 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 9 runnings)
2/22 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 12+
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 20+

3.05 - Queen's Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m ITV

Queen's Vase Recent Winners

2023 – Gregory (Evs fav)
2022 – Eldar Eldarov (5/2 fav)
2021 – Kemari (15/2)
2020 – Santiago (10/3)
2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1)
2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen's Vase Key Trends

19/21 – Had never raced at Ascot before
15/21 – Placed last time out
13/21 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
13/21 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
12/21 – Placed favourites
7/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
7/21 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
8/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 - Trained by the Johnston yard
5/21 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
No winner from stall 1 in the last 18 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 7 of the last 17 runnings (4 wins)
17 of the last 18 winners came from a single-figure stall
7 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

3.45 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2023 – Rogue Millennium (10/1)
2022 – Saffron Beach (5/2 jfav)
2021 – Indie Angel (22/1)
2020 – Nazeef (10/3)
2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

19/20 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
18/20 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
17/20 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/20 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
13/20 – Favourites that were placed
12/20 – Had run at Ascot before
7/20 – Had won at Ascot before
7/20 – Returned a double-figure price
6/20 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/20 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/20 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 12 and 2 of last 4 runnings)
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of last 12)
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of last 12)
2/20 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/20 – Winners from stall 1

Only 5 placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings

 4.25 - Prince of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV

Prince of Wales's Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Mostahdaf (10/1)
2022 – State Of Rest (5/1)
2021 – Love (11/10 fav)
2020 – Lord North (5/1)
2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1)
2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales's Stakes Trends

22/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
21/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
21/22 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
18/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
18/22 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/22 – Were previous Group 1 winners
15/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Won their last race
12/22 – Had run at Ascot before
11/22 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
7/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 12)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
2/22 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (5 wins in total)
3 of the last 16 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

5.05 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2023 – Jimi Hendrix (22/1)
2022 – Dark Shift (13/2)
2021 – Real World (18/1)
2020 – Dark Vision (15/2)
2019 – Afaak (20/1)
2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

20/22 – Had won over at least a mile before
19/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
16/22 – Unplaced favourites
16/22 – Returned a double-figure price
14/22 – Had run at Ascot before
14/22 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 11 of the last 14 runnings)
12/22 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
6/22 – Won their last race
2/22 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/22 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/22 – Won by trainer Charles Hills (2 of the last 5)
1/22 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
14 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 15 runnings

 5.40 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV

3 previous runnings
No winning favourite yet
All three past winners aged 4
All three winners drawn between 8-17
All three winners returned a double figure price
Villanova Queen (25/1) won this race in 2023
Rising Star (40/1) won this race in 2022
Trainer Mrs John Harrington won this race in 2023
Trainer Marco Botti won this race in 2022
Trainer David Loughnane won this race in 2021

6.15 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2023 – Big Evs (20/1)
2022 – Little Big Bear (6/5 fav)
2021 – Chipotle (22/1)
2020 – Tactical (7/2 fav)
2019 – Southern Hills (7/1)
2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

22/22 – Had at least 1 previous outing
21/22 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
19/22 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
16/22 – Had won over 5f before
16/22 – Placed last time out
16/22 – Had never run at Ascot before
12/22 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
10/22 – Won their previous race
9/22 – Won by a Feb foal
5/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 9)

Just 2 horses placed from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
11 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

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