Posts

Stat of the Day, 10th June 2019

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Saturday's pick was...

4.20 Beverley : Archie Perkins @ 4/1 BOG WON at 4/1 (Mid-division, headway on inside over 2f out, not clear run over 1f out, soon switched left to challenge, led just inside final furlong, hung right closing stages, ran on to win comfortably by 4 lengths)

Monday's pick runs in the...

7.05 Pontefract :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Who?

Kinks @ 7/2 BOG

...in a 10-runner, Class 3, Flat Handicap for 3yo over 6f on Good ground worth £9238 to the winner... 

Why?...

This 3 yr old gelding hasn't quite scaled the heights expected of him so far, having been entered into races at Gr 2 & Listed class last season, but does at least come here off the back of a decent run LTO in a big field (14 ran) Class 2 handicap at Newmarket 23 days ago when he was third, beaten by just a neck and a short head under jockey Nicola Currie.

I've nothing bad to say about Nicola, I think she's very talented, but the booking of Silvestre de Sousa, in her place, on a track where he has been very successful in the past is a positive move for me, as is the drop in class. In fact Silvestre comes here in decent touch having ridden 13 winners from his last 68 rides over the previous fortnight and boasts a record of better than 2 in 9 at this venue since 2010 over trips up to 1m2f, winning 55 of 246 (22.4% SR) for 87.3pts (+35.5% ROI) profit.

Trainer Mick Channon also does pretty well here too, independently of the jockey's successes and over the last five seasons, Mick's runners here are 13 from 52 (25% SR) for 75.6pts (+145.4% ROI), including of relevance today...

  • at 6-60 days since last run : 13/41 (31.7%) for 88.6pts (+211.2%)
  • at odds of 7/4 to 5/1 : 8/20 (40%) for 12.22pts (+61.1%)
  • in handicaps : 8/28 (28.6%) for 65.6pts (+234.2%)
  • those finishing 2nd/3rd LTO are 7/15 946.7%) for 49.9pts (+332.5%)
  • over this 6f course and distance : 7/16 (43.8%) for 34.4pts (+214.9%)
  • 3 yr olds are 6/21 (28.6%) for 26.5pts (+126.2%)
  • males are 6/23 (26.1%) for 37.3pts (+162.3%)
  • and class droppers are 5 from 12 (41.7%) for 29.2pts (+243.5%)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Kinks @ 7/2 BOG which was quite widely available at 5.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 7.05 Pontefract

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 10th June 2019

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Saturday's pick was...

4.20 Beverley : Archie Perkins @ 4/1 BOG WON at 4/1 (Mid-division, headway on inside over 2f out, not clear run over 1f out, soon switched left to challenge, led just inside final furlong, hung right closing stages, ran on to win comfortably by 4 lengths)

Monday's pick runs in the...

7.05 Pontefract :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Kinks @ 7/2 BOG

...in a 10-runner, Class 3, Flat Handicap for 3yo over 6f on Good ground worth £9238 to the winner... 

Why?...

This 3 yr old gelding hasn't quite scaled the heights expected of him so far, having been entered into races at Gr 2 & Listed class last season, but does at least come here off the back of a decent run LTO in a big field (14 ran) Class 2 handicap at Newmarket 23 days ago when he was third, beaten by just a neck and a short head under jockey Nicola Currie.

I've nothing bad to say about Nicola, I think she's very talented, but the booking of Silvestre de Sousa, in her place, on a track where he has been very successful in the past is a positive move for me, as is the drop in class. In fact Silvestre comes here in decent touch having ridden 13 winners from his last 68 rides over the previous fortnight and boasts a record of better than 2 in 9 at this venue since 2010 over trips up to 1m2f, winning 55 of 246 (22.4% SR) for 87.3pts (+35.5% ROI) profit.

Trainer Mick Channon also does pretty well here too, independently of the jockey's successes and over the last five seasons, Mick's runners here are 13 from 52 (25% SR) for 75.6pts (+145.4% ROI), including of relevance today...

  • at 6-60 days since last run : 13/41 (31.7%) for 88.6pts (+211.2%)
  • at odds of 7/4 to 5/1 : 8/20 (40%) for 12.22pts (+61.1%)
  • in handicaps : 8/28 (28.6%) for 65.6pts (+234.2%)
  • those finishing 2nd/3rd LTO are 7/15 946.7%) for 49.9pts (+332.5%)
  • over this 6f course and distance : 7/16 (43.8%) for 34.4pts (+214.9%)
  • 3 yr olds are 6/21 (28.6%) for 26.5pts (+126.2%)
  • males are 6/23 (26.1%) for 37.3pts (+162.3%)
  • and class droppers are 5 from 12 (41.7%) for 29.2pts (+243.5%)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Kinks @ 7/2 BOG which was quite widely available at 5.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 7.05 Pontefract

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 19th September 2018

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Tuesday's Pick was...

4.30 Lingfield : Oasis Fantasy @ 11/4 BOG WON at 3/1 (Tracked leader, ridden 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong, led towards finish to win by a neck)

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

4.55 Sandown :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Geetanjali @ 11/4 BOG  

In an 11-runner, Class 4 Handicap (AW)  for 3yo+ over 1m4f on Polytrack, worth £5531 to the winner...

Why?

Well, I'm going to keep it fairly simple again with this 3 yr old filly who has improved for the step up in trip to 1m2f (and 1 run at 1m4f), making the frame in all six starts at the longer trip(s). She was only beaten by half a length last time out (9 days ago) and runs off the same mark and under the same jockey today.

That jockey is Silvestre de Sousa and in two rides on this filly, he has a win and that narrow defeat as a runner-up, whilst the horse herself has won 3 of 7 in fields of 8-11 runners and she's 2 from 2 after a break of 7 to 10 days.

Her trainer Michael Bell is 14/80 (17.5% SR) for 15pts (+18.7% ROI) here at Sandown since the start of 2010 and these include (of relevance today, of course!)...

  • in handicaps : 9/55 (16.4%) for 19.4pts (+35.3%)
  • 3 yr olds are 9/45 (20%) for 17.25pts (+38.3%)
  • on Good ground : 5/31 (16.1%) for 22.7pts (+73.3%)
  • at odds of 11/2 and shorter : 10/28 (35.7%) for 13.8pts (+49.3%)
  • female runners are 4/25 (16%) for 7.05pts (+28.2%)
  • LTO runners-up are 4/12 (33.3%) for 18.2pts (+151.4%)
  • in September : 2/9 (22.2%) for 9.56pts (+106.2%)
  • and those beaten by a head to a length LTO are 4/7 (57.1%) for 23.6pts (+337.1%)

Now, you might have noticed no trainer/jockey stats in that list there, that's because Silvestre de Sousa hasn't ridden a Michael Bell horse here at Sandown as far as I'm aware, but he has ridden 18 winners from 80 (22.5% SR) on this track for other trainers over the last three seasons, so he clearly rides this one well. Those winners have generated 11.32pts profit at an ROI of 14.2% and of the 80 rides...

  • handicappers are 13/54 (24.1%) for 9.64pts (+17.8%)
  • at odds of 5/4 to 11/2 : 16/41 (39%) for 28.5pts (+69.6%)
  • 3 yr olds are 8/35 (22.9%) for 5.8pts (+16.6%)
  • and at Class 5 : 9/25 (36%) for 19.22pts (+76.9%)

AND...from the above...3 yr old handicappers priced at 5/4 to 11/2 are 6/14 (42.9%) for 9.28pts (+66.3% ROI) with 5 of the 8 "losers" making the frame and Class 5 runners winning 3 of 5 (60%) for profits of 4.46pts (+89.2%)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Geetanjali @ 11/4 BOG, a price offered by the first three firms (BF, PP & B365) to have shown their hand by 5.05pm on Tuesday evening. To see what your preferred bookie will give you...

...click here for the betting on the 4.55 Sandown

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 22nd August 2018

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Tuesday's Pick was...

4.00 Kempton : Fortune and Glory @ 4/1 BOG 3rd at 3/1 (Tracked leader, raced keenly, led over 2f out, hung left under pressure inside final furlong, headed closing stages, no extra)

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

2.25 York :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Persian Moon @ 5/1 BOG

In an 8-runner, Group 3 contest (Tattersalls Acomb Stakes) for 2yo over 7f on Good To Firm ground worth £56710 to the winner...

Why?

This 2yr old colt couldn't be in better form, coming here on a hat-trick after wins over 7f at Yarmouth and then here over course and distance 23 days ago making him the only previous course (and ultimately C&D) winner in today's contest.

He has winning and placed form on good to firm ground and he's 1 from 1 under today's jockey, the excellent Silvestre de Sousa, whose 2 wins and 2 runner-up finishes on Tuesday took his 30 day form to 27/111 (24.3% SR) and his 14 day record to 11 from 47 (23.4%).

More long-term (ie since 2010), SdS is 210/671 (31.3% SR) for 123.3pts (+18.4% ROI) on horses trained by the wily Mark Johnston that were sent off at odds shorter than 6/1 and from these 671 runners, of relevance today...

  • those last seen 4-90 days ago are 180/568 (31.7%) for 99.5pts (+17.5%)
  • in non-handicaps : 86/247 (34.8%) for 45.75pts (+18.5%)
  • on 2yr olds : 80/229 (34.9%) for 57.8pts (+25.2%)
  • on Good to Firm ground : 77/222 (34.7%) for 79.27pts (+35.7%)
  • over 7/8f : 63/188 (33.5%) for 69.75pts (+37.1%)
  • LTO Winners are 49/151 (32.5%) for 18pts (+11.9%)
  • at Class 1 : 11/38 (29%) for 8.67pts (+22.8%)
  • and here at York : 5/23 (21.7%) for 2.54pts (+11%)

...whilst since the start of last season, Mark's runners have won 12 of 76 (15.8% SR) here at York, generating profits of 29.23pts at an ROI of 38.5pts, including...

  • in non-handicaps : 11/31 (35.5%) for 70.2pts (+226.4%)
  • 2yr olds are 9/28 (32.1%) for 57.8pts (+206.4%)
  • LTO winners are 6/21 (28.6%) for 12.91pts (+61.5%)
  • and at Class 1 : 4/17 (23.5%) for 40.04pts (+235.5%)

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Persian Moon @ 5/1 BOG, a price offered by most firms (as at 6.20pm on Tuesday). To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.25 York

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 2nd August 2018

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Wednesday's Pick was...

3.00 Goodwood : Soldier's Call @ 11/4 BOG 3rd at 6/4 (Went left and bumped rival start, in touch in mid-division, headway over 2 out, edged left over 1f out, chased winner inside final furlong, no impression, lost 2nd close home)

Thursday's pick goes in the...

7.30 Epsom :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Toy Theatre @ 4/1 BOG non-runner at 8:05am Reason: Going

In an 8-runner, Class 4, Fillies Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 7f on Good ground worth £7116 to the winner...

Why?

This 4 yr old filly was only beaten by a nose and a short head as she finished third last time out in this grade, but has previously won with today's jockey at a higher level than today and the winner from LTO has already gone on to win again.

Trainer Mick Appleby is 7 from 35 (20% SR) over he last two weeks and 4/15 (26.7%) on the past week's racing, whilst jockey Silvestre de Sousa has ridden 9 winners from 31 (29%) in the last seven days and his record on this quirky track stands at 35 from 129 (27.1% SR) for 67.8pts (+52.5% ROI), so he's well worth following here, especially under today's conditions, as...

  • on horses who last ran in the previous 60 days : 33/116 (28.5%) for 66.8pts (+57.6%)
  • in handicaps : 24/83 (28.9%) for 55.4pts (+66.7%)
  • on good ground : 21/66 (31.8%) for 60.1pts (+91.1%)
  • on females : 13/31 (41.9%) for 37.9pts (+122.3%)
  • over this 7f C&D : 12/31 (38.7%) for 27.6pts (+88.9%)
  • in August : 11/24 (45.8%) for 13.8pts (+57.7%)

Now, Silvestre has never actually ridden any of Mick Appleby's horses here at Epsom, but elsewhere the partnership stands at 32/140 (22.9% SR) for 49.2pts (+35.2% ROI), including of relevance today...

  • at odds of 9/4 to 12/1 : 24/104 (23.1%) for 65.2pts (+62.6%)
  • on the Flat : 19/77 (24.7%) for 46.4pts (+60.3%)
  • with females : 9/34 (26.5%) for 14.9pts (+43.7%)
  • and in 2018 : 9/28 (32.1%) for 28.6pts (+102.1%)

...and females priced at 9/4 to 12/1 on the Flat are 4/16 (25%) for 12.1pts (+75.6%) including Toy Theatre's win at Newmarket last September in a Class 3 contest.

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Toy Theatre @ 4/1 BOG, a price available from more than a half dozen firms at 5.35pm on Wednesday (***9/2 available from both BetVictor & SkyBet at 6.00pm***), but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 7.30 Epsom

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 19th July 2018

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Wednesday's Pick was...

7.45 Yarmouth : Deeds Not Words @ 7/2 BOG WON at 7/2 (In touch, headway entering final furlong, soon joined leader, driven to lead post)

Thursday's pick goes in the...

4.20 Leicester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Delft Dancer @ 9/2 or 4/1 BOG

In an 11-runner, Class 5 Flat Nursery for 2yo over 7f on Good To Firm ground worth £4787 to the winner... 

Why?

A 2 yr old filly, making her sixth start after four top 3 finishes including 1 win so far.

Her trainer Mark Johnston is in good form, with 23 winners from 105 (21.9% SR) yielding 50.8pts profit at an ROI of 48.3% over the last fortnight, whilst today's jockey Silvestre de Sousa is in similarly good touch riding 16 winners from 78 (20.5% SR) for 25.5pts (+32.8% ROI) in the same 14 day period.

More generally, here at Leicester, Mark's horses have won 15 of 46 (32.6% SR) for 22.4pts (+48.6% ROI) since the start of last season and these include...

  • in handicaps : 12/33 (36.4%) for 25.6pts (+77.5%)
  • on Good to Firm : 7/17 (41.2%) for 9.68pts (+57%)
  • females are 6/16 (37.5%) for 12pts (+75%)
  • over 5 to 7 furlongs : 6/16 (37.5%) for 9.69pts (+60.6%)
  • at Class 5 : 5/15 933.3%) for 7pts (+46.8%)

Meanwhile, also here at Leicester, Mr de Sousa has ridden 32 winners from 123 (26% SR) for profits of 64.7pts (+52.6% ROI) since the start of the 2015 season and these include...

  • 23 wins from 79 (29.1%) for 57.8pts (+73.1%) over 5 to 7 furlongs
  • 21 from 72 (29.2%) for 53.3pts (+74.1%) in handicaps
  • 13 from 44 (29.6%) for 44.7pts (+101.7%) at Class 5
  • 11 from 41 (26.8%) for 29.6pts (+72.3%) over 7f
  • 9 from 312 (29%) for 32.4pts (+104.6%) on Good to Firm
  • and 5 from 10 (50%) for 13.84pts (+138.4%) in Nursery races

Trainer and jockey also have a good record when they come together, winning 81 of 439 (18.5% SR) handicaps for 142.3pts (+32.4% ROI) since the start of 2013, from which...

  • on the Flat (turf) : 65/348 (18.7%) for 167.4pts (+48.1%)
  • with females : 30/158 (19%) for 133.6pts (+84.5%)
  • over 7f to 1m : 29/127 (22.8%) for 24.3pts (+19.2%)
  • in July : 20/63 (31.8%) for 21.9pts (+34.8%)
  • here at Leicester : 6/24 925%) for 4.74pts (+19.8%)

...and from the above : Johnston + de Sousa + females + Flat (turf) + 7f to 1m = 8/38 921.1% SR) for 4.88pts (+12.9% ROI), from which...

  • in July : 3/5 960%) for 8.49pts (+169.8%)
  • at Leicester : 2/4 950%) for 7.88pts (+197%)
  • and in July here at Leicester = 1/1!

That 1 from 1 July/Leicester runner was when Martini Time won this very race back in 2015 and the same trainer/jockey combo also won this race last year, albeit with a male runner, Ventura Knight.

Like Delft Dancer today, Ventura Knight was also making his sixth career start that day and was also top weighted conceding several pounds all round : so the profile looks strong!

...and points towards...a 1pt win bet on Delft Dancer @ 9/2 or 4/1 BOG, a price available from Bet365 & SkyBet respectively, as of 5.55pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.20 Leicester

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 7th July 2018

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Friday's Pick was...

3.30 Sandown : Euginio @ 11/4 BOG 4th at 7/4 (Tracked leader, pushed along 3f out, lost 2nd over 1f out, chased leaders, held when not much room and no extra towards finish, beaten by less than a length)

Saturday's pick goes in the...

8.10 Nottingham :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Ventura Gold @ 4/1 BOG

In a 7-runner Class 5 Flat Handicap for 3yo over 1m2½f on Good To Firm ground worth £3881 to the winner...

Why?

This 3yr old gelding has won two of his last six runs and his sole turf success came two starts ago in another small field Class 5 handicap on good to firm ground, so conditions won't be alien to him.

Despite not managing to land SotD's 4th winner on the bounce yesterday, I've no hesitation is trusting Silvestre de Sousa with the reins again today. I mentioned yesterday that he was riding well and although he couldn't get Euginio up for us, he did have two more winners on the day.

Like Sandown, Nottingham has been another good venue for this jockey in recent years, where he has won 30 of 158 races (19% SR) for 36.7pts (+23.2% ROI) profit since the start of the 2014 season and with today's race in mind, that record includes...

  • in fields of 5-11 runners : 27/115 (23.5%) for 36.4pts (+31.6%)
  • in handicaps : 18/107 (16.8%) for 16.3pts (+15.2%)
  • at Class 5 : 16/86 (18.6%) for 4.6pts (+5.3%)
  • on Good to Firm ground : 10/56 (17.9%) for 6.8pts (+12.2%)
  • and over trips of 10/10.5f : 7/27 (25.9%) for 37.6pts (+139.3%)

Now, although he doesn't get to ride for today's trainer Richard Fahey too often, it's certainly not because he doesn't win on that yard's horses. In fact he is 4 from 11 (36.4%) for 12.56pts (+114.2%) on them since the start of last season with a 4/6 (66.6%) record in handicaps that has produced 17.56pts profit at an ROI of 292.7%!

And finally, we really should consider Mr Fahey's own recent record at this venue and I'm happy to report that it's also very good with 28 winners from 150 since the start of the 2014 season.

This 18.7% strike rate has rewarded followers with profits of 50.7pts at a healthy ROI of 33.8% with his handicappers winning 19 of 104 (18.3%) for 47.4pts (+45.5%) and it is these 104 'cappers I want to focus on, because under today's conditions, they are...

  • 15/68 (22.1%) for 55pts (+80.8%) in fields of 5-11 runners
  • 10/52 (19.2%) for 42pts (+80.7%) as 3 yr olds
  • 6/44 (13.6%) for 37.5pts (+85.3%) when beaten by 5 to 30 lengths LTO
  • 7/33 (21.2%) for 24.5pts (+74.1%) in 3yo races
  • 7/30 (23.3%) for 36.2pts (+120.5%) racing 6-15 days after their last run
  • and 9/24 (37.5%) for 14.7pts (+61.4%) when sent off at odds of 2/1 to 9/2

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Ventura Gold @ 4/1 BOG, which was available from BetVictor & SkyBet at 7.10pm on Friday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 8.10 Nottingham

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 6th July 2018

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Thursday's Pick was...

7.00 Epsom : Baron Bolt @ 11/4 BOG WON at 11/4 (Chased leaders, not clear run 2f out, switched outside and headway under pressure over 1f out, soon ridden, ran on inside final furlong, led near finish to win by half a length)

Friday's pick goes in the...

3.30 Sandown :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Euginio @ 11/4 BOG

In a 6-runner (was originally 8), Listed Race for 3yo+ over 1m2f on Good To Firm ground worth £22684 to the winner...

Why?

Handily drawn in stall 2, this 4yr old colt has progressed nicely this season and come here off the back of an excellent run in the Wolferton at Royal Ascot lees than three weeks ago. Sent off as a virtual no-hoper at 33/1, he not only defied those odds, but also a 14 of 16 draw to get to a point where only a Dettori-driven Monarchs Glen (rated 7lbs higher but only conceding 5) beat him and there was only a length in it at the post.

Not much form to glean from that race yet, in fairness, although the horse coming home last of the 16 (11 lengths behind our boy), Yucatan, did reappear at The Curragh last Sunday to win a Group 3 contest over today's 1m2f trip on similarly Good to Firm ground.

As for Euginio's own form, he has won here before over course and distance on good to firm ground, he has 2 wins and a place from 4 races in fields of 7 or fewer runners and has 2 wins, 1 place from 3 June/July outings, so he probably has optimum conditions here.

No disrespect intended to regular rider Andrea Atzeni, but I'm happy to see Silvestre de Sousa booked for this one today, as SdS is in excellent touch right now. Of his 16 rides so far this month, 13 top-3 finishes (81.25%) have included no less than 7 winners (43.75%), including managing to get a 16/1 outsider into the winners' enclosure after the last at Newbury last night!

Silvestre rides this track well, winning 16 of his 65 rides here since the start of the 2016 season and those punters taking advantage of that 24.6% strike rate will have benefited from profits of 17.4pts or 26.8% of total stakes invested. Amongst those 65 rides...

  • he is 15/49 (30.6%) for 24pts (+49%) over trips of 7 to 14 furlongs
  • he is 14/33 (42.4%) for 27.6pts (+83.6%) on horses sent off at odds of 5/4 to 11/2
  • and when riding horses at those odds over 7-14 furlongs, he has won 14 of 25 (56%) for profits of 35.6pts (+142.4%)

He also gets on well with horses trained by Richard Hannon, winning 13 times from 37 (35.1% SR) since the start of 2106, with the 32.5pts profit equating to an 87.8% return on stakes. Closer inspection of the 13 winners (as I'm not too interested in the 24 losers!), shows that...

  • 12 of them came from 22 (54.6%) horses turned back out within 3 weeks of their last run, generating profits of 46.3pts (+210.6%)
  • 12 came from 23 (52.2%) at odds of 8/1 and shorter for 29.8pts (+129.6%) profit
  • 11 came from 27 (40.7%) in fields of 6-11 runners at a return of 39pts (+144.6%)
  • 11 came from 31 (35.5%) Flat runners giving 26pts (+84%)
  • 9 came from the 14 (64.3%) who finished in the first three home last time out. Backing these gave 33.5pts (+239.4%) profit
  • 7 came from 22 (31.8%) non-handicap contests for 20.5pts (+93.3%)
  • and 4 came from just 8 (50%) runs this year, producing 11.07pts at an ROI of 138.3%

Before I wrap this one up, it's worth noting that...de Sousa + Hannon + 8/1 and shorter + 11 or fewer runners + no more than three weeks rest = 11/13 (84.6% SR) for 38.7pts (+297.4% ROI) profit!

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Euginio @ 11/4 BOG, which was widely available at 5.10pm on Thursday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.30 Sandown

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 8th September 2017

/4 Comments/in /by

Thursday's Result :

4.35 Haydock : Azari @ 9/2 BOG 2nd at 4/1 : Dwelt, in rear, headway 3f out on inner, soon chased winner, kept on and always well held, beaten by Steve's Race of the Day selection by two lengths...

Friday's pick goes in the...

3.15 Ascot :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Fire Brigade @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

Here we have an in-form horse with some relevant positive race stats representing a yard also in good touch who do well at this track.

Need numbers?

OK, let's go!

We've a 3 yr old gelding with three wins in his last six outings, including a win over this 1m trip last time out, on soft ground 27 days ago. He has won 4 of his 13 starts to date, which is a decent return for mid-grade horses, but the following suggest this is his kind of race, as his record includes...

  • 3 wins and a place from 6 over the 1m trip
  • 4 wins and a place when sent off at 4/1 and shorter
  • 3 wins from 5 after a break of 2 to 4 weeks
  • a win and a place from 2 runs on good to soft ground
  • he won his only previous race in this grade
  • he won his only previous race under Silvestre de Sousa
  • and he made the frame on his only other visit to this track, which was at a higher grade than today

And the trainer?

Michael Bell has saddled up 5 winners from 21 runners over the last fortnight, so things are going pretty well there, whilst since 2008 his record here at Ascot stands at 20 from 174 (11.5% SR) for profits of 60pts at an ROI of 34.5% : these are decent numbers, of course, but in the context of this particular challenge...

  • his male runners are 16/137 (11.7%) for 63.7pts (+46.5%)
  • in non-handicaps : 8/66 (12.1%) for 56.7pts (+85.9%)
  • over the last four seasons : 8/51 (15.7%) for 70.2pts (+137.7%)
  • LTO winners are 10/48 (20.8%) for 22.9pts (+47.7%)
  • and those coming off a break of 21-30 days are 9/46 (19.6%) for 26.4pts (+57.5%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Fire Brigade @ 11/4 BOG, which was available from over half a dozen firms at 5.55pm on Thursday, so the choice is yours! For what it's worth, I'm on with Bet365. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.15 Ascot

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 28th July 2017

/in /by

Thursday's Result :

7.05 Newbury : Pilgrims Treasure @ 7/2 BOG 6th at 7/2 Pushed along briefly after start, held up in touch on inside, eased out over 3f out, headway chasing leaders soon after, hung left over 2f out, ridden inside final 2f, soon beaten.

Friday's pick goes in the...

3.55 Ascot...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Appeared @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

This 5 yr old gelding has 2 wins and 4 places from his last 6 runs and was a winner two starts ago over this course and distance, before finishing second LTO five weeks ago, also over C&D.

There was no disgrace in getting beaten at that Royal Ascot race, as not only did he beat 17 other rivals in that Class 2 race, but the winner has since gone on to land a Listed contest by a wider margin than the defeat suffered by Appeared.

His trainer Roger Varian is in prime form at the moment, having saddled 7 winners from just 19 runners (36.8% SR) in the last 9 days, whilst throughout his career his Flat handicappers priced at 13/2 or shorter are 154/637 (24.2% SR) for 52.8pts (+8.3% ROI).

Now, whilst 8.3% ROI isn't as high as we normally lead with on SotD, it's actually a decent return from blanket betting over 600 runners with no filters other than price. If we do apply some relevant and logical filters, then the numbers become far more attractive, such as...

  • those finishing 2nd to 7th LTO are 99/369 (26.8%) for 72.5pts (+19.6%)
  • those racing after a break of 21-75 days are 80/300 (26.7%) for 62.5pts (+20.8%)
  • those racing over 8.5 to 12.5 furlongs are 77/286 (26.9%) for 91pts (+31.8%)
  • in the months of June/July : 75/277 (27.1%) for 46.8pts (+16.9%)
  • at Class 2 : 25/127 (19.7%) for 7.6pts (+6%)
  • 5 yr olds are 11/40 (27.5%) for 17.6pts (+43.9%)
  • and those ridden by the excellent Silvestre de Sousa are 8/20 (40%) for 5pts (+25%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Appeared @ 11/4 BOG which was available from Bet365 & BetVictor at 5.45pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.55 Ascot...

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 26th June 2017

/in /by

Saturday's Result :

2.55 Ayr : Speed Company @ 9/2 BOG WON at 5/2 Tracked leaders, closed from 2f out, led just over 1f out, driven inside final furlong, just held on by a nose.

Monday's pick goes in the...

5.45 Wolverhampton...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Who?

Rattle On @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

A Tapeta debut beckons for this 4yr old gelding, whose chance must surely be boosted by the fact that the in-form Silvestre de Sousa is booked to do the steering. SdS has won 25 of his 89 rides (28.1% SR) over the last fortnight, including another four winners yesterday (Sunday), whilst more long-term he is 70 from 272 (25.7% SR) here at Wolverhampton since the start of 2013.

Trainer Jim Boyle might not have accrued such excellent figures himself, but 30 Wolverhampton winners from 147 runners (20.4% SR) for level stakes profits of 54.9pts (+37.3% ROI) is more than decent, I'd say.

And with the above in mind, there's probably enough evidence to support the selection, but as it's a switch to Tapeta, it's worth highlighting the performance of runners sired by Pivotal running in handicaps on Tapeta after running on a different surface last time out, as they are currently 23/115 (20% SR) for 70.3pts (+61.1% ROI), including...

  • over 6f to 9.5f : 20/95 (21.1%) for 80.3pts (+84.5%)
  • at Wolverhampton : 18/95 (19%) for 59.9pts (+63.1%)
  • at Class 6 : 5/32 (15.6%) for 18.1pts (+56.4%)
  • 4 yr olds are 7/25 (28%) for 12pts (+48%)
  • at Evens to 4/1 : 14/24 (58.3% ) for 31.9pts (+132.7%)

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Rattle On @ 4/1 BOG which was widely available at 6.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.45 Wolverhampton...

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 26th June 2017

/in /by

Saturday's Result :

2.55 Ayr : Speed Company @ 9/2 BOG WON at 5/2 Tracked leaders, closed from 2f out, led just over 1f out, driven inside final furlong, just held on by a nose.

Monday's pick goes in the...

5.45 Wolverhampton...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Rattle On @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

A Tapeta debut beckons for this 4yr old gelding, whose chance must surely be boosted by the fact that the in-form Silvestre de Sousa is booked to do the steering. SdS has won 25 of his 89 rides (28.1% SR) over the last fortnight, including another four winners yesterday (Sunday), whilst more long-term he is 70 from 272 (25.7% SR) here at Wolverhampton since the start of 2013.

Trainer Jim Boyle might not have accrued such excellent figures himself, but 30 Wolverhampton winners from 147 runners (20.4% SR) for level stakes profits of 54.9pts (+37.3% ROI) is more than decent, I'd say.

And with the above in mind, there's probably enough evidence to support the selection, but as it's a switch to Tapeta, it's worth highlighting the performance of runners sired by Pivotal running in handicaps on Tapeta after running on a different surface last time out, as they are currently 23/115 (20% SR) for 70.3pts (+61.1% ROI), including...

  • over 6f to 9.5f : 20/95 (21.1%) for 80.3pts (+84.5%)
  • at Wolverhampton : 18/95 (19%) for 59.9pts (+63.1%)
  • at Class 6 : 5/32 (15.6%) for 18.1pts (+56.4%)
  • 4 yr olds are 7/25 (28%) for 12pts (+48%)
  • at Evens to 4/1 : 14/24 (58.3% ) for 31.9pts (+132.7%)

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Rattle On @ 4/1 BOG which was widely available at 6.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.45 Wolverhampton...

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 16th June 2017

/in /by

Thursday's Result :

3.30 Fontwell : Charlie Mon @ 7/2 BOG 3rd at 11/2 Led until just after 4 out, no impression on winner, lost 2nd after 2 out.

Friday's pick goes in the...

7.40 Goodwood...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Road To Dubai @ 3/1 BOG

Why?

This 3yr old colt has finished 131 in his last three outings, the latest of which was a win here at Goodwood just 7 days ago, taking his course record to 2 from 2. He's also 1/2 on good to firm ground and has won on the only other occasion on which he's had less than a full week's rest.

His trainer, George Scott and jockey Silvestre de Sousa are both in excellent form with George recording 3 wins from 8 in the last fortnight whilst SdS has 11 winners from 38 in the past 7 days!

All that aside, I was initially drawn to the horse purely because George Scott was his trainer, as during his relatively short training career, he has proved profitable to follow blindly, since 26 of 151 (17.2% SR) runners to date have been winners and had you got on from the start with £20 bets on each of them, your profits would currently stand at a cool £2076, a return of some 68.8% on your outlay.

Those blind figures are, of course, excellent, but if you didn't want to back all his runners, you could apply any of the following six filters that all apply today...

  • males are 19/94 (20.2%) for 77.2pts (+82.1%)
  • on the Flat : 17/87 (19.5%) for 99.8pts (+114.7%)
  • in handicaps : 15/87 (17.2%) for 68.5pts (+78.7%)
  • on Good to Firm ground : 9/44 (20.5%) for 76.2pts (+173.3%)
  • those ridden by Silvestre de Sousa : 5/11 (45.5%) for 15pts (+136.1%)
  • and here at Goodwood : 3/5 (60%) for 84.6pts (+1692%)

And before I wrap this up, it's also worth pointing out that over the last four months Mr Scott's LTO winners are 4/8 (50% SR) for 2.86pts (+35.7% ROI) when running in handicaps.

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Road To Dubai @ 3/1 BOG offered by Bet365, Betfair , Paddy Power and SkyBet at 8.05pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 7.40 Goodwood

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 7th June 2017

/in /by

Tuesday's Result :

4.40 Wetherby : Golden Apollo @ 11/2 BOG 3rd at 3/1 Tracked leader, keen, led over 3f out, headed over 2f out, rallied over 1f out, kept on same pace closing stages.

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

8.35 Ripon...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Pumblechook @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old gelding has one win and two placed from finished from just five career runs to date and was a very creditable 3rd of 12 runners on his yard debut when last seen 12 days ago.

He'd been out of action for almost 8 months prior to that run and now that new handler Mark Johnston has had a bit longer with him and the cobwebs have been blown off, further improvement can be expected, especially now that he runs off the same mark, but at a lower grade than LTO.

The yard is going well of late with 18 winners from 89 (20.2% SR) in the past fortnight, whilst here at Ripon since the start of the 2015 campaign, Mark's runners are 22/95 (23.2% SR) for profits of 83.7pts at an excellent ROI of 88.1% and these runners include the following of relevance/note today...

  • males are 15/60 (25%) for 81.7pts (+136.2%)
  • those priced at 2/1 to 8/1 are 15/55 (27.3%) for 22.8pts (+41.5%)
  • those last seen 11 to 45 days ago are 14/53 (26.4%) for 47.7pts (+89.9%)
  • at Class 5 : 10/31 (32.3%) for 84.7pts (+273.3%)
  • whilst those ridden by Silvestre de Sousa are 5/8 (62.5%) for 10.6pts (+132.2%)

AND... males priced at 2/1 to 8/1 some 11-45 days after their last run are 7 from 20 (35% SR) for 14.9pts (+74.5% ROI) profit, with Silvestre de Sousa having a perfect 2 from 2 record yielding 7.53pts (+376.5%)...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Pumblechook @ 11/4 BOG which was available from Betway & Ladbrokes at 7.05pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 8.35 Ripon

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

Stat of the Day, 2nd March 2017

/in /by

Wednesday's Result :

2.30 Musselburgh : Dear Sire @ 11/2 BOG WON at 4/1 Tracked leaders, went 2nd 4 out, led approaching next, mistake 2 out, 2 lengths clear when blundered and good recovery by rider last, rider continued without irons flat, ridden out, kept on well to win by 5 lengths

Thursday's pick goes in the...

5.25 Newcastle...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Dark Side Dream @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

A very consistent 5yr old gelding who is trained by Chris Dwyer, a trainer with a good record in A/W handicaps in recent years, winning 77 of 454 (17% SR) for 202.5pts (+44.6% ROI) since the start of 2013, including...

  • those returning from a break of 4 to 30 days = 71/354 (20.1%) for 239pts (+67.5%)
  • over 5f to 1m : 64/353 (18.1%) for 236.8pts (+67.1%)
  • those finishing 2nd/3rd LTO are 28/115 (24.4%) for 112.4pts (+97.8%)
  • on tapeta : 14/93 (15.1%) for 35.8pts (+38.5%)
  • and those ridden by Silvestre de Sousa are 24/83 (28.9%) for 66.2pts (+79.8%)

And from the above, we can ascertain that those racing over 5f to 1m, 4 to 30 days after their last run are 59/279 (21.2% SR) for 261.1pts (+93.6% ROI), of which those who finished 2nd or 3rd LTO are 24/82 (29.3%) for 124.1pts (+151.3%)

...providing a...a 1pt win bet on Dark Side Dream @ 4/1 BOG which was widely available at 6.05pm on Wednesday and to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.25 Newcastle

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all returns quoted are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.